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Elliott Wave

GOLD → The triangle is contracting. Retest of support...FX:XAUUSD tested a local high of 3375 but quickly returned to consolidation. The reason is manipulation by the US administration related to Powell, inflation, and interest rates... Demand for gold has risen sharply amid global risks: Trump's aggressive tariff plans, strong inflation, and uncertainty about the Fed's actions have increased interest in defensive assets. Despite the temporary strengthening of the dollar, gold remains a popular hedging instrument. Technical analysis also points to a bullish outlook. However, growth potential is limited until the Fed clarifies its interest rate policy Technically, on the D1 chart, it is clear that the price is consolidating, with the range continuing to narrow. Due to the bullish factors listed above, we can expect growth to continue. However, it is difficult to say where and when the growth will begin due to the uncertainty factor. All attention is on the support at 3320-3312, the triangle support, as well as the consolidation support at 3287. Resistance levels: 3365, 3375 Support levels: 3320, 3312, 3287 Since the opening of the session, the price has spent part of its daily range, so there may not be enough potential for the decline to continue. A false breakdown of support and consolidation of the price above the key zone may attract buyers, which will trigger growth towards resistance. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
Bitcoin Bearish Shark Detected – CME Gap Below $115K in Sight?Today's analysis is on the 15-minute timeframe , following the previous analysis I shared with you on the 1-hour timeframe . Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading in the Resistance zone($120,100-$118,240) near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($121,490-$119,965) . From a technical perspective , it looks like Bitcoin is completing the Bearish Shark Harmonic Pattern on the 15-minute timeframe . From an Elliott wave theory perspective, it looks like Bitcoin is completing the microwave 5 of wave C of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to start falling from the top of the ascending channel and at least decline to the lower line of the descending channel, and if the ascending channel breaks this time, we should wait for the CME Gap($117,255-$116,675)/CME Gap($115,060-$114,947) to fill. Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $117,556-$116,465 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $115,773-$114,513 Do you think Bitcoin can create a new ATH again? Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $121,620 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
10
XRP → ATH retest. Reversal or continued growth?BINANCE:XRPUSDT.P is rallying and ready to test the resistance zone - ATH. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is consolidating after a bull run. The liquidity pool may hold back growth. Fundamentally, there is excitement across the entire cryptocurrency market. Altcoins are rallying after Bitcoin hit a new high and entered consolidation. The BTC.D index is declining, which generally provides a good opportunity for altcoins to grow. However, the index is approaching technical support, which may affect market sentiment overall... As for XRP, there is a fairly strong liquidity pool ahead — the ATH resistance zone. The price is in a distribution phase after a change in character and a breakout of the downtrend resistance in the 2.33 zone. The momentum may exhaust its potential to break through the 3.35-3.34 zone, and growth may be halted for correction or reversal (in correlation with Bitcoin's dominance in the market). Resistance levels: 3.35-3.40 Support levels: 3.0, 2.64 A breakout of resistance without the possibility of further growth, a return of the price below the level (i.e., inside the global flat) will confirm the fact of a false breakout of resistance, which may trigger a correction or even a reversal. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
Bitcoin - Will hit 135k in the short-term, Elliott and FIBOBitcoin is rising! That's what everyone sees at the moment, but we don't want to get drunk and establish our profit target. Where to take profit? Because we are in the price discovery mode, there is no previous price action above the current price. At this moment we really cannot use any horizontal lines, gaps, volume profiles, imbalances, previous ranges, or previous swing highs to establish our profit target. So we have to use special tools, such as Fibonacci extension or Elliott Wave. The Fibonacci extension is a great tool - in bitcoin's case we have a 1:1 FIB extension sitting at 135,096. This level is also in confluence with a major trendline that we can see on the chart. This gives us a really good profit target in the short term for this particular trade. This is also an opportunity to short Bitcoin here, if you trade futures. From the Elliott Wave perspective, we are in wave (3), so I made a prediction on where this wave should terminate and also where wave (5) should terminate. I think my analysis definitely makes sense! Please share your analysis in the comment section, only copy your link here. Trading tip at the end: Avoid the Obvious / Market Traps - Some obvious trading situations are kind of a trap where the chances are that everyone else has also spotted a wonderful trade situation which eventually sets you up for a disaster. Many people get trapped in some obvious good looking trades. Some obvious trades can sometimes be the market traps as they are hyped, professional traders stay away from these traps. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Long
by Xanrox
133
Short - AMDTime period for this play : week to months Analysis : Elliot wave 12345 ABC. Expect hitting .618 and bounce back up to go higher. Pattern if wave B completed : Head & Shoulder Price Target: Wave ABC ETA Timeline for correction. Please refer to the chart. Upcoming events: Tariff active on 8/1/25 - Friday Earning on 8/5/25 - Tuesday Top is not in yet, so 2 Possible top-in levels: Top 1 - $163.45 : Retesting to hit 163.45, rejected, and break $158 Top 2 - $173.94 : Breaking 163.45 and reject at 173.94 => Overall, It begins trading side way and show some weakness now. The correction may not pull back to .618, which is the best level. Other scenarios: - 0.5 fib, where it test wave 3 - 0.328 fib, strong bullish level if it doesn't break & go to the upside faster
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by Contradnging
3
XLM Explodes +132% — Is the Party Over or Just Starting?XLM has been one of the top movers, sweeping the January 2025 swing high at $0.515 before stalling and moving sideways for the past 4 days. Is XLM gearing up for another push toward the highs, or is a correction imminent? Let’s dive into the details. 🧩 Market Structure & Fractal Pattern XLM skyrocketed +132% in just 13 days, mirroring the explosive move seen back in November 2024. If we apply the November fractal, the current price action suggests we could be setting up for an ABC corrective move. 📉 Key Levels & Confluences FVG Zone: ~$0.49–$0.50 — likely to be swept before any major move down. Monthly Support: $0.4142 Key Level / Liquidity Pool: $0.4056 — likely cluster of stop-losses. Anchored VWAP (from $0.2228 start of trend): currently near $0.4056, adding strong confluence. 1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension (ABC projection): If price pushes to ~$0.49 to complete wave B, the projected 1.0 TBFE for wave C lands right on the $0.4056 key level + VWAP, creating a perfect confluence zone. ➡️ Conclusion: The $0.4142–$0.4056 zone is a critical support and liquidity area with multiple confluences lining up. Trade Setups 🔴 Short Setup: Entry zone: $0.48–$0.50 (ladder in) Stop-loss: Above $0.5166 (prior high) Take-profit: $0.4142–$0.4056 zone R:R ≈ 1:3 🟢 Long Setup: Entry zone: $0.4142–$0.4056 (preferably near VWAP) Stop-loss: Below $0.395 Take-profit: $0.44 ⚡ Final Thoughts Watch for a potential final push toward $0.49–$0.50 before a corrective wave unfolds. The confluence at the $0.4142–$0.4056 zone — including monthly/weekly levels, VWAP, liquidity pool, and the 1.0 TBFE target — makes it a key area for decision-making. Stay patient and wait for confirmation at these levels. Will post an update as things unfold! _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
1
#Nifty directions and levels for July 17thGood morning, Friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for July 17th: There have been no major changes in the global market; it continues to maintain a moderately bearish sentiment. Meanwhile, our local market is showing a moderately bullish tone on the lower time frame. Today, Gift Nifty is indicating a neutral to slightly gap-up start. So, what can we expect today? In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty moved with ups and downs. Structurally, the sentiment still remains the same. Even if the market opens with a gap-up, we can expect some rejection near immediate resistance. So, my expectation is that the market may behave similarly to the previous session. If it starts with a pullback, we may see rejection afterward. On the other hand, if it starts with a decline, we can expect a pullback later. The key point to note is that clear directional moves are likely only if a strong candle forms after consolidation.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
5
Gold (XAU/USD) - Elliott Wave Suggests Wave 5 Upside Starting!📊 Current Wave Count: Wave 1 (Complete): Rally from to . Wave 2 (Corrective): Pullback to (held 50%/61.8% Fib). Wave 3 (Extended): Strong impulse to . Wave 4 (Corrective): ABC pattern ending near (e.g., 38.2% Fib of Wave 3). 🎯 Wave 5 Projection: Target: Typical 0.618–1.0 extension of Wave 1-3 → $ . Invalidation: Break below Wave 4 low ($ ). 📈 Why Now? Wave 4 completed as a shallow correction (flat/triangle). MACD/RSI shows bullish divergence on lower timeframes. Fundamental drivers (e.g., Fed dovishness, inflation) align. ⚡ Trading Plan: Entry: Near current pullback (~$ ). Stop Loss: Below Wave 4 low. Take Profit: Scale out at 0.618 and 1.0 extensions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by OsamaSalsa
1
Bitcoin: New All-Time High — What’s Next?Bitcoin had an incredible run, breaking the old all-time high ($111,980) with strong bullish momentum and setting a fresh ATH at $123,218 (Binance). We just witnessed the first major corrective move of ~6% and a decent bounce so far — but the big question is: What’s next? Will Bitcoin break higher over the summer or form a trading range here? Let’s dive into the technicals. 🧩 Higher Timeframe Structure May–June Range: BTC was stuck between $110K–$100K, forming an ABC corrective pattern. Using trend-based Fib extension (TBFE) from A–B–C: ✅ C wave completed at $98,922 (1.0 TBFE) ✅ Upside target hit at $122,137 (-1 TBFE) Full Bull Market TBFE: ➡️ 1.0 → $107,301 → previously rejected ➡️ 1.272 → $123,158 → recent rejection zone Pitchfork (log scale): ➡️ Tapped the upper resistance edge before rejecting. Previous Bear Market Fib Extension: ➡️ 2.0 extension at $122,524 hit. 2018–2022 Cycle TBFE: ➡️ 1.618 at $122,011 tapped. Macro Fibonacci Channel: ➡️ Connecting 2018 low ($3,782), 2021 ATH ($69K), 2022 low ($15,476) → 1.618–1.666 resistance band: $121K–$123.5K. ✅ Conclusion: Multiple fib confluences mark the $122K–$123K zone as critical resistance. Daily Timeframe ➡️ FVG / Imbalance: Big daily Fair Value Gap between the prior ATH and $115,222 swing low. BTC broke the prior ATH (pATH) without retest → a pullback to this zone is likely. Lower Timeframe / Short-Term Outlook We likely saw a completed 5-wave impulse up → now correcting. The -6% move was probably wave A, current bounce = wave B, next leg = wave C. ➡ Wave B short zone: $120K–$121K ➡ Wave C target (1.0 TBFE projection): ~$113,326 ➡ Confluence at mid-FVG + nPOC Trade Setups 🔴 Short Setup: Entry: $120,300–$121,000 Stop: Above current ATH (~$123,300) Target: $113,500 R:R ≈ 1:2.3 🟢 Long Setup: Entry: Between Prior ATH and $113,000 Stop: Below anchored VWAP (~$110,500) Target: Higher, depending on bounce confirmation. 🧠 Educational Insight: Why Fibs Matter at Market Extremes When markets push into new all-time highs, most classic support/resistance levels disappear — there’s simply no historical price action to lean on. That’s where Fibonacci extensions, channels, and projections become powerful tools. Here’s why: ➡ Fibonacci extensions (like the 1.272, 1.618, 2.0) help estimate where trend exhaustion or profit-taking zones may appear. They are based on the psychology of crowd behavior, as traders anchor expectations to proportional moves from previous swings. ➡ Trend-Based Fib Extensions (TBFE) project potential reversal or continuation zones using not just price levels, but also the symmetry of prior wave moves. ➡ Fibonacci channels align trend angles across multiple market cycles, giving macro context — like how the 2018 low, 2021 ATH, and 2022 low project the current 1.618–1.666 resistance zone. In short: When you don’t have left-hand price history, you lean on right-hand geometry. That’s why the $122K–123K zone wasn’t just random — it’s a convergence of multiple fib levels, cycle projections, and technical structures across timeframes. ⚡ Final Thoughts Bitcoin faces major resistance around $122K–$123K backed by multiple fib and structural levels. A retest of the prior ATH zone (~$112K–$113K) looks probable before the next big directional move. Watch lower timeframe structure for signs of completion in this corrective phase. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
4
New Highs Ahead?In recent sessions, Nio Inc. has shown a price acceleration consistent with a Minor degree impulsive wave, as outlined by Elliott Wave Theory. Wave 1 has extended by a factor of 1.39, and the current price structure suggests a possible completion of Wave 3 and an early development of Wave 5, with clear technical targets already in place. This technical scenario aligns with recent positive developments on the fundamental side: 🔹 Stronger delivery numbers – The latest quarterly results reveal robust year-over-year growth in vehicle deliveries, highlighting the company’s ability to scale production and meet rising demand. This performance is further enhanced by an improved product mix, with a shift toward higher-end or newer models, which contributes to stronger revenue per unit and improved brand positioning. 🔹 Battery swap network expansion – The company is steadily expanding its battery swap infrastructure. This innovative model, which allows EV drivers to swap a depleted battery for a fully charged one in just a few minutes, differentiates the company from traditional EV players. It also reduces charging time anxiety, increases convenience, and aligns with long-term goals for energy and fleet efficiency—particularly in dense urban areas and high-mileage use cases like ride-hailing or logistics. 🔹 New market entries – The company is actively pursuing international expansion, with strategic launches in Europe, including growing presence in countries like Germany, the Netherlands, and Norway. At the same time, it's establishing key partnerships in the Middle East to prepare for future entry into high-potential markets such as the UAE and Saudi Arabia. This geographic diversification not only broadens the customer base but also strengthens global brand positioning in the premium EV segment. 🔍 Key Highlights – NIO Mid-2025 Update 📈 Vehicle Deliveries June 2025: 24,925 vehicles delivered (+17.5% YoY) Q2 2025: 72,056 vehicles (+25.6% YoY) 1H 2025 total: 114,150 units (+30% YoY) Cumulative deliveries: 785,714 units as of June 30, 2025 🔋 Battery Swap Network Global footprint: Over 2,700 stations (2,400+ in China, ~60 in Europe) China: ~2,651 stations, with 159 in Shanghai Europe: ~60 stations, notably in Germany and Norway Utilization: Peak stations in Shanghai exceed 100 swaps/day; global average ~30–40 💡 Takeaway These strong operational metrics confirm accelerating growth and strategic infrastructure expansion, reinforcing NIO’s unique value proposition in the EV sector. The fundamental momentum aligns with bullish technical signals, including an unfolding Elliott Wave pattern projecting higher targets. Based on the current Elliott Wave projection: Minimum target for Wave 3: 5.64 Projected Wave 5 range: between 7.58 and 8.90 In summary, we’re observing a technically and fundamentally aligned scenario where price action is increasingly supported by improving financials and strategic execution on the ground. This is not a financial advise, please do your own research.
NYSE:NIOLong
by Tesi_Daniela_Radice
$PENGU Taking a Breather? CSECY:PENGU Taking a Breather? Wave 4 May Be Brewing After a strong move, CSECY:PENGU looks like it might be pausing for breath. The recent action suggests we may have just wrapped up a small-degree Wave 3, with price now struggling to clear a key resistance level from earlier in the structure. That hesitation could mark the early stages of a Wave 4 correction...Conservatively. Here’s the zone I’m watching for a potential W4 pullback: - .236 to 50% retracement of Wave 3, measured from the Wave 2 low - Most Likely Target (MLT) sits right around the .382 fib - Keep an eye on time symmetry—Wave 4 may offset the time duration of Wave 2 - Price could react off the base channel as a support guide If this is a W4, it could give us a clean continuation setup into Wave 5—provided it holds structure and doesn’t overlap the Wave 1 territory. Stalking the pullback as it plays out, and am ready to react if we see support step in at the expected fib levels or the base channel. Trade Safe! Trade Clarity!
Long
by CryptoKnee
XRP Special UpdateJust wanted to give y'all a heads up that XRP is within the target box for (5) of ((3)). If you look up my old posts from March and even as far back as January, you will see I have not changed this chart at all. It is doing exactly what the pattern had been telling us it would. I went ahead and sold the rest of my position, so I am now flat XRP. Will it move higher still yet? I believe it will, yes. However, it could turn around very soon so I found it better to collect my profits while I had the opportunity. A wise man once said, "profit is a thief, take it while you can." Don't get greedy in this game, or you will come to regret it! FYI: I think the 1.382 is a reasonable place for this pattern to end. If we can get a 3-wave retracement, there is a high probability I re-enter with tight stops for another leg higher.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
by TSuth
XAUUSD critical area, both sides are possiblecorrection waves are always complicated and messy often changes direction too often, goes up and down in a wide range either triangle, wedge or some sort of zigzag, internal waves usually goes as abc, wxy, wxyxz type of correction waves and it may seem like ended many times in the subwaves. so often confused with many other ideas. i believe correction continues yet criticals levles to watch 3307-3419 brake side will determen the future of gold. my 3250 target already achieved but i expect another one, shor term targets 3250-3205 mid term targets 3119-3070-3050 daily candle body above 3420 invalidates short ideas.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by artisticDog29915
The 3rd Nevada Lithium Elliot WaveI believe LAC may have begun its 3rd elliot wave, with a bottom at $2.33. There also appears to be nice recent strong base support around $2.80. In addition, there appears to be a deviation between price and money flow, as shown with the green arrows - with a potential correction available to push price beyond $3.30 very soon. I have entered and will watch its daily action and volume with an upside expectation limit around $9-10, then a 4th wave down, etc. Of course, I am not a financial advisor and I have been wrong before and will be wrong again. I trade within this reality and control my risk.
NYSE:LACLong
by montgomrie0359
1