BTC, last Chance in this bull market?Hello everyone,
the market was very challenging within the last weeks, because there had been many ways to count, which is the most difficult part of elliot wave analysis. The reason was, that the price was in a correction/ consolidation, which I assume has now finally ended. Trump accounced that they picket 5 coins for the strategic reserve:
BTC
ETH
XRP
SOL
ADA
This aligns very well to what people have waited for. If you believe in a finall bull run, these 5 could be part of your portfolio. I would also recommend to have a look at LINK and LTC, as they are performing quiet well.
Elliotwaveanalysis
Has the Alt Season Started?Cash Data 1W
By analyzing the weekly Cash Data chart of TOTAL3, we observe that after a rapid and significant rise, a correction in TOTAL3 has begun, which appears to be forming a Neutral Triangle pattern.
Wave Analysis:
Wave-(c) is a double pattern with a small X-wave, making it the most complex wave. However, there is a possibility that wave-(d) could become more complex than wave-(c). We are currently in wave-(d). Given that wave-(b) has surpassed the start of wave-(a) and wave-(c) has been fully retraced by wave-(d), there is a likelihood that a Running Neutral Triangle is forming. For confirmation, wave-(d) must exceed the starting point of wave-(c).
Conclusion:
Based on the analysis, wave-(d) could rise to the range of 1.14–1.38 trillion USD. Subsequently, wave-(e) will begin and may conclude within the retracement zones identified on the chart. To accurately determine the target for wave-(e), we need wave-(d) to complete, allowing us to predict the end of the Running Neutral Triangle with greater precision.
After the completion of the Running Neutral Triangle, we expect a significant rally in altcoins.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
EUR/USD Wave 5 Setup – The Calm Before the SurgeWe're tracking a potential Wave (5) extension on EUR/USD after a clean completion of Wave (4), which bounced right from the golden zone between the 0.382–0.5 fib levels.
🔍 Structure & Context:
Wave (4) bottomed at 1.1065, aligning with key fib confluence and RSI oversold bounce.
Price is now showing early signs of bullish momentum, currently trading just under 1.1200, above the 0.382 retracement.
If this count holds, we could be entering the early phase of a bullish impulse leg toward 1.1572 and possibly 1.1755 for Wave (5).
🧩 Technical Confluences:
✅ Fib retracement support (0.382–0.5) held strong
✅ Price reclaiming 20/50 EMAs; 200 EMA still overhead but flattening
✅ RSI recovering above 47, showing room for upside
✅ Minor resistance at 1.1272 → watch for breakout confirmation
🎯 Key Levels:
Entry Zone: 1.1150–1.1190
Wave 5 Target:
⚡ TP1: 1.1388 (0.618 ext)
⚡ TP2: 1.1572 (wave projection)
⚡ TP3: 1.1755 (extended target)
Invalidation: Break and close below 1.1045
📌 Plan: Looking for bullish continuation confirmation above 1.1225 with strong momentum. Tight risk with upside reward aligning beautifully with the wave structure 📈
💬 Let me know your thoughts on this count—bullish or premature?
📊 Drop a like if you're trading EUR/USD & follow for more wave-based setups!
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
GBP/USD | Wave 5 Loading?Hey traders 👋,
We're setting up for what could be a textbook Wave (5) breakout on the 4H GBP/USD chart. After a clean corrective pullback to the golden zone (0.618–0.705), bulls are stepping back in. Here’s the technical story:
⚙️ Technical Breakdown:
✅ Elliott Wave Structure:
Wave (4) seems complete following a controlled retracement. If this count holds, Wave (5) should extend us toward 1.34400+ and possibly 1.36300, aligning with fib extensions and previous impulse behavior.
📏 Fib Retracement:
Wave (4) respected the 0.618–0.705 zone perfectly (1.32235–1.32047), a classic launchpad in bullish cycles. Buyers showed strong interest here—textbook bounce material.
📊 EMA Stack (20, 100, 200):
Price is holding above the 100 and 200 EMAs, with the 20 EMA curling upward. If we get a clean cross and hold, that’s further confirmation of bullish continuation.
📉 RSI:
Sitting around 53, giving us enough room to run without immediate overbought pressure. RSI holding above 50 typically aligns with bullish continuation patterns.
🚨 Levels to Watch:
🔑 Entry zone: 1.32200–1.32400 (golden pocket pullback)
🎯 Target zone: 1.34400 ➜ 1.36300 (Fib + Wave 5)
❌ Invalidation: Clean break below 1.31770
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Structure is clean. Momentum is building. Fundamentals aside, this chart is screaming setup potential.
📢 What’s your take on this setup?
Drop your thoughts 👇 and don’t forget to like if you’re bullish too 🟢
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
U.S. Dollar Index Set for Bearish Continuation The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has completed a five-wave impulse decline (labeled (1) through (5)) from the top of the descending channel. This downward move suggests a completed impulsive bearish leg. Following that, we’ve seen a complex corrective structure – a WXY double zigzag correction – now complete.
Price action shows a rejection from the upper trendline resistance near wave (2), confirming the bearish structure remains intact. The bounce into the corrective high (wave (2)) failed to break above key resistance, and we are now potentially entering a new impulsive move down labeled as wave (3) of the next larger degree impulse.
Primary Impulse Decline: Wave (1) to (5): Classic 5-wave move down ending late April.
Corrective Phase: Complex WXY correction (with subwaves A-B-C in both W and Y).
Current Wave in Play: Wave (3) of a larger impulsive sequence is initiating.
T1: 99.172
T2: 98.013
SL: 101.259
If price closes above 101.265 the current bearish impulse scenario would be invalidated.
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 56,339.Colleagues, I was watching the price and was expecting a pattern for a reversal downtrend. I still expect a downward movement and believe that the price is in a combined correction.
This means that wave “B” has been formed and I expect wave “C” to reach at least the 56,339 area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Elliot wave - INTRAccording to my analysis, INTR has completed a larger Primary Wave 2 (white) and is now building momentum in Wave 3. We've already seen Subwaves 1 and 2 (green), and I’m currently expecting a short-term pullback toward the fib 0.5/trendline zone 📉
If that zone holds, we could see a new impulsive move up toward the $10–11 area, where blue Subwave 3 may peak 🔼
What do you think – is the wave structure holding up? 👀
Elliot wave - NU HOLDINGSThis is my analysis of NU, where a wave 3 is currently in development. We will soon see the completion of the first five subwaves, forming the entire first subwave of the larger green wave 3. So far, everything is going exactly according to plan. The target for this trade is when the blue wave 5 reaches approximately $15–16, at which point we will wait for a correction and prepare for a new position with even more strength behind it.
AUD/USD 4H | Wave 2 Pullback in MotionAUD/USD is currently completing a corrective Wave (2) within a larger impulsive structure. After the peak of Wave (1) at 0.65145, price has been in a healthy retracement phase, now nearing key fib confluence zones.
🟣 EMA Confluence:
Price is reacting near the 100 & 200 EMA (0.6373–0.6394), which has acted as dynamic support throughout this structure.
We are currently holding above the 0.382 level, with the golden zone (0.618–0.705) sitting just below.
🔄 Bullish Continuation Scenario:
If the pair holds above 0.6285 and we see bullish confirmation candles, we may begin the next leg higher — Wave (3) — targeting 0.66250–0.66766 as initial projection zones.
📊 RSI:
The RSI is hovering just below the 50 level, showing temporary bearish pressure, but has room to recover if structure holds.
🧠 Plan:
📍 Watching 0.6285–0.6214 for final support
📍 Wave (3) target zone: 0.66500+
📍 Invalidation: Clean break and close below 0.6015
🔔 Wave (2) entries are where the patient traders shine. Eyes on structure, and let price do the heavy lifting.
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
elliot wave bullish count on SWVL as i labeled on chart we made clear 5 impulse waves SWVL with only 3 corrective leg down .now this channel break up could be a new impulsive leg to make w3 or wave c .it really doesn't matter cause from trading perspective we entered long with stop loss at 2 $ area .trade safe all.
XAUUSD 1HR, Elliott Wave TheoryCurrent price action is unfolding in a 5-wave bearish structure wave (1) of ((3)) with wave ((V)) of 3 in progress.
A corrective ABC structure completed near the CISD zone.
Wave 3 extends to the 3.618 Fibonacci projection (~3,148), with wave 5 targeting a support block near 3,120–3,130.
Anticipated short-term retracement for wave 4, followed by one more impulsive drop into demand.
Indicators:
RSI shows consistent bearish momentum with room for divergence.
BTC bull cycle comes to an end.We can see it clearly on the chart. BTC has ended the 5 waves pattern in Elliot wave count. you can see it on the chart, you can see it on the MACD & RSI.
What we are seeing now is that because of Greed & Hype no one is selling bitcoin. the up-trend we are seeing now is the result of no sellers and Hype Buyers. This is a bull trap. We can see the divergence clear as day. Stay alert and dont let them catch you this time.
AUD/CAD - Is this a turning point?!We are currently sitting at a very high-probability area for potential downside continuation!
🔎 Key Observations:
Elliott Wave Count: We have completed waves (1)-(3) and are currently finalizing a corrective wave (4) into a critical supply zone.
71% Fib Retracement: Price has retraced deep into a typical exhaustion zone for wave (4) setups — extremely common before the major trend resumes.
Supply Zone: Clear rejection visible near 0.90500 area; price is showing early signs of weakness.
MACD: Bearish cross aligned perfectly with supply pressure. Momentum indicators are favoring bears.
Volume Spike: High volume during the wave (3) selloff confirms real seller presence behind this move.
📈 My Plan:
Watching for bearish confirmation (weak candles, rejections) in this supply zone.
Expecting a potential wave (5) extension lower, targeting sub-0.82000s over the next several months.
Risk Management: Stops placed above 0.9100 structure if activated.
📢 Summary:
The trend is still bearish — we are just seeing a corrective rally.
Big money tends to load shorts on these pullbacks...
Don’t miss this potential monster setup! 🔥
💬 Drop a comment if you're watching AUD/CAD too!
🔔 Follow me for more high-probability setups each week!
#Forex #AUDCAD #ElliottWave #SupplyAndDemand #TradingSetup #SwingTrade #Bearish
Would you also like me to make a second version that's even shorter (for quick engagement) or one that sounds a bit more aggressive and hyped (depending on the style of your audience)? 🎯
We Have a Full Pattern into The Target BoxI am now looking for a 5-wave pattern to develop to the downside, followed by a 3-wave retrace, that in the coming weeks can take us back out of the Target box to the downside. Price must breach the 5578 area to give us any indication the pattern to the upside below is cracking.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3495.The design of the previous idea had an error in the table of contents and I decided to make a new one.
The price has reached the support area 3240 and at the moment I expect the price to start an upward movement in the wave “3” of the middle order - it will be a continuation of the wave “5” of the higher order.
The target is the same - the maximum of wave “3” 3495.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
SUI Elliott Wave Meets Fibonacci: Wave 5 Setup ExplainedSUI has once again delivered a textbook display of wave structure, Fibonacci precision, and anchored VWAP interaction. After finishing Wave 4, price surged upward, tagging key fib levels and now consolidating at a critical decision point. The next high-probability trade opportunity is forming — and it’s one worth watching closely.
📈 Recap of the Current Move
After completing Wave 4, SUI surged right into the golden pocket — the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 90-day downtrend (measured from the $5.3687 high to the $1.7174 low). That golden 0.618 sits at $3.9739, with price currently hovering just below at around $3.965.
In our previous analysis, we noted SUI’s tendency to respect trend-based Fib extensions. That pattern is holding beautifully.
Projecting from Wave 1 to Wave 2 of the current impulse wave, price once again nailed the 2.618 Fib extension — at exactly $4.10. That extension aligned perfectly with the 0.65 retracement of the 90-day wave at $4.0907, forming a significant resistance confluence.
2.618-1.618 fib:
The result? A healthy ~7% rejection, pulling SUI back into a support zone formed by three previously broken swing highs — $3.875, $3.8121, and $3.7666 — now acting as support.
🔺 Wave 4 Structure: Triangle Formation & Key Retest Levels
SUI has now been consolidating for ~1.5 days, and price structure shows a developing triangle — a classic Elliott Wave Wave 4 pattern.
But while triangles often resolve higher, we can’t ignore the Fibonacci roadmap:
The 1.618 trend-based Fib extension (drawn from Wave 1 → Wave 2) sits at $3.7619.
This level aligns almost perfectly with the key swing high at $3.7666.
In the previous Wave 3–4 sequence, price also retested the 1.618 extension — a pattern that could repeat now again.
So, despite the bullish triangle breakout potential, there’s still a high likelihood that price dips slightly to retest the 1.618 Fib zone at $3.76–$3.77.
📊 Anchored VWAP Confluence: Even More Support
To further strengthen this thesis, we’ve anchored VWAP from the recent swing low at $3.12. That VWAP (yellow line) now sits at $3.745 — just beneath the 1.618 Fib and in perfect confluence with the swing high cluster.
This creates a tight demand pocket between $3.74 and $3.77, where four technical tools align:
→ 1.618 trend-based Fib extension
→ Anchored VWAP from $3.12
→ Broken swing highs now acting as support
→ 0.382 Fib Retracement of Wave 3
This is where smart money looks to accumulate — not at the top of the triangle, but where liquidity gets transferred.
🧠 Outsmarting the Crowd: Trap & Trigger
Many breakout traders are positioning within the triangle, with stop-losses just beneath. If price dips into the $3.74–$3.77 range, it would sweep those stops and fill orders from traders waiting patiently at this confluence.
This creates a classic “switching hands” moment: breakout longs are stopped out, and Fibonacci-aligned buyers step in just as price hits the sweet spot.
To be part of the 1% in trading, you need to be thinking one step ahead — not where price is now, but where it needs to go to trap the many and reward the few.
🎯 Long Trade Setup
Entry Zone:
$3.77 preferred
Laddered from $3.76–$3.74
Stop-Loss Options:
Tight: Below $3.70 (2% buffer)
Loose: Below $3.52 (golden pocket of previous Wave 3)
Targets:
Conservative: $4.28
Primary: $4.41
Aggressive Extension: $4.5873 (0.786 retracement of full 90-day move)
R:R Potential:
Tight SL: ~2.5:1
Loose SL: 6:1+
📆 Weekend Trading Note
We’re currently in weekend session flow — often thinner liquidity and more prone to wicks. While the structure is strong, wait for confirmation and avoid FOMO entries at the top of the triangle.
✅ Wrapping It Up
SUI remains in a clean, bullish market structure and continues to respect Fibonacci and trend-based extensions to the letter. With price above key swing highs, holding structure, and anchored VWAP adding confluence, the $3.74–$3.77 zone is setting up as a high-probability entry for the next wave.
Smart money doesn’t chase — it anticipates. Be the 1% who sees beyond the triangle and understands where the real opportunity lies.
Happy Trading!
___________________________________
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ROOT: double-top short / shortable bounce set-up Stock's fundamentals, price relative strength, and group action look strong.
But the uptrend structure may have formed a mid-term top.
Weekly:
Downside potential remains as long as the price stays below the May 8th highs.
Ideal macro support zone: 90–70.
Daily:
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 3495.Colleagues, price has successfully formed an “ABC” correction and I see that the upward movement is not over.
I think that wave “5” of the higher order consists of five waves and at the moment wave “1” of the lower order is formed.
This means that I predict a target at the high of wave 3495.
Presumably correction “2” can reach a rougher target in the area of 3240.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Forecast: Preparing for Wave 5 RallyIn the daily timeframe of EUR/USD, the third wave of the larger Elliott Wave structure appears to have been completed. Within this third wave, we can also observe that the subwave 3 of wave 3 has concluded, and currently, Wave 4 is unfolding.
Wave 4 is presently developing and is likely to retrace toward the 1.10683 level or potentially form a supportive close above it. This zone corresponds to both the subwave 4 of Wave 3 and the main Wave 4 correction, which indicates a critical area of confluence and potential completion of the corrective structure.
Once Wave 4 is confirmed to be complete near this region, the chart suggests that we may enter the beginning of Wave 5, providing a favorable long trade opportunity.
Entry Trigger: Sustained price above 1.10719
First Target: 1.12900
Second Target: 1.13837
Stop-Loss: 1.09518 (below the corrective Wave 4 low to protect the setup)