BRIEFING Week #27-28 : Distancing from US MarketsHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Energy Commodities
Crude oil $ukoil - Final falling oil has been a barometer of the financial market for the last decades.
I look at the formations and I see that we will see a renewal of the bottom in the coming months, I will not say the reasons, you just need to wait a little.
I've been talking about the fall for a long time, but it's not over yet.
After the final fall, I expect a renewal of the highs, due to the worsening situation in the Middle East, this will be after September
Best Regards EXCAVO
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Move Up Ahead!
Last week, I already shared a bullish setup on WTI Crude Oil
on a daily time frame.
I see a strong intraday bullish confirmation today.
After a test of an underlined blue support area,
the price went up strongly and violated a resistance line
of a bullish flag pattern on a 4H time frame.
The market is going to rise more.
Goal - 68.2
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USOIL:Today's Trading Strategy
Oil prices have signs of upward breakthrough at present, yesterday's trend broke the short - term narrow range of shock range, on the idea of retracting to do more. The more appropriate long point is 66-66.3, if short, the more appropriate point is 67-67.4, but the short position is recommended not to be too heavy, not to do less than the point.
Trading Strategy:
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TP: 66-66.3
[email protected]
TP: 67.5-68
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Crude Oil Eyes Bullish Breakout – Demand Zone Holding StrongCrude Oil (USOIL) is forming a potential bullish reversal structure on the 1H timeframe, supported by repeated bounces from a well-respected demand zone. Price currently consolidates below the key resistance level with a visible expanding channel, hinting at possible volatility and breakout.
🔹 Trade Idea:
I’m waiting for a clear break and close above 66.50 for a valid long entry. The setup remains invalid unless price confirms this breakout.
🔹 Technical Highlights:
- Strong demand zone held price multiple times
- Formation of higher impulses with retracements aligning well with Fibonacci levels
- Market structure suggests a continuation toward upper targets if 66.50 is broken with momentum
🔹 Trade Plan:
- Buy Above: 66.50 (breakout confirmation)
- Stop Loss: 64.40 (below demand zone and structure support)
- Target: 69.00 (near 2.272 Fibonacci extension)
⚠️ Note: No entry unless 66.50 is broken convincingly. Setup favors disciplined execution only on confirmation.
WTI Oil H4 | Heading into a pullback resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) could rise towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 68.28 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 70.90 which is a level that sits above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 63.86 which is a pullback support that aligns closely with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USOIL : What will happen to the price of oil?Hello friends
As you can see, we had support in the past, which has now become a strong resistance for the price after it was broken.
Now we need to see if the price will manage to break it at this moment when it is close to its key and sensitive resistance.
*Trade safely with us*
Tariff and oil volatility converge on July 9 Tuesday, July 9 marks a key deadline for two major market-moving events.
Tuesday is the official deadline for U.S.–EU trade negotiations. While a full deal is off the table, the EU hopes to secure a last-minute "agreement in principle" to avoid a threatened 50% U.S. tariff on some European exports.
President Trump’s history of moving deadlines adds uncertainty. Traders might like to watch for sharp intraday moves in EUR/USD and European equities tied to tariff risk.
OPEC’s International Seminar also kicks off on the 9th in Vienna. Energy ministers and CEOs from BP, Shell, and others will speak on oil supply, investment, and long-term strategy.
Crude has been volatile in July, and any signs of supply shifts or policy changes could drive WTI and Brent in either direction.
USOIL: Will Keep Growing! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the USOIL pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Here's why oil prices continue to slumpBrent Crude remains under pressure and has really caught our eye. The weakness in recent weeks is significant. The price recently failed to hold above its 200-day moving average, reinforcing downside risks. Without momentum, prices could revisit June lows unless short-term hurdles at US$69 and US$72 are decisively cleared.
This weakness aligns with BP's latest Energy Outlook, which is due out this week (usually in July each year). We'll be keeping a close on global wind and solar capacities, which are projected to increase eightfold and fourteenfold, respectively, by 2050. This rapid growth in renewables, coupled with declining oil demand, suggests a structural shift in energy markets.
China is leading this shift. By 2030, it is projected to install over 500 gigawatts of solar capacity annually, surpassing the United States' total annual energy production. This underscores the scale of China's renewable energy expansion.
The technical rejection at the 200-day moving average, combined with BP's forecasted demand peak, indicates a bearish outlook for oil. Unless Brent can reclaim and sustain levels above key resistance points, further declines are likely.
The convergence of technical weakness and shifting demand dynamics underscores a bearish stance on oil. Traders should monitor key technical levels and remain cautious amid these evolving market conditions.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
July 7 - 11: Buy Stock Indices DIPs! Watch For Gold, Oil FVGs!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of July 7 - 11th.
Stock Indices are strong, so dip opportunities should present themselves next week.
Gold is bullish-neutral. Could see strength enter this market as July 9th approaches.
Silver is bullish. No reason to short it.
Oil is in a Monthly +FVG. If the FVG fails, it will confirm bearishness. Couple that with the fundamentals, I am watching for that confirmations to sell US Oil.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
USOIL: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 66.47 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 66.19.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USOIL Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
USOIL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 66.47 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear (short / long) signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 66.79
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL Is Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 66.402.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 64.925.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
ADANI GREEN ENERGY Ready to FIRE ( LONG TERM IDEA ) !!!Weekly counts for ADANI Green Energy are recommended, with a bullish wave structure.
Both appear to be optimistic, and this stock's invalidation number is 758.
Investing in declines is a smart move for long-term players.
Long-term investors prepare for strong returns over the next two to five years.
The energy sector has a promising future.
Every graphic / chart used to comprehend the theory of elliot waves, harmonic waves, gann theory, and time theory
Every chart is for educational purposes.
We have no accountability for profit or loss.
DIESEL OIL GOES 'STILL-RUNNING', AND IT IS NOT A MEME AGAINDiesel Oil NY Harbor ULSD December 2025 futures contracts are trading around $2.25/gallon, once again above its 52-week average, with recent technical ratings indicating a strong buy.
The market has shown a 4.50% rise in the past 5-Day time span, reflecting bullish momentum.
Fundamental Perspective
Supply: Distillate inventories are 20% below the five-year seasonal average, the lowest since 2022. Refinery utilization is high at 94.7%, leaving little buffer for disruptions.
Demand: Distillate consumption has risen to 3.794 million barrels per day, up 260,000 b/d year-over-year, driven by robust industrial activity and summer travel.
Geopolitics: A U.S.-brokered ceasefire in the Middle East has reduced immediate supply risks, but the situation remains fragile and could quickly change.
Macroeconomic Risks: While fundamentals are bullish, potential U.S. recession risks and data reporting delays add uncertainty. Monitoring GDP growth and manufacturing PMIs is crucial.
Summary
ULSD futures are technically strong and fundamentally supported by tight inventories and robust demand, but traders should remain vigilant for macroeconomic and geopolitical shifts.
--
Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
CRUDEOIL1! at Best Support Zone !!This is the Daily Chart of CRUDEOIL1!.
CRUDEOIL1! having a good law of polarity at 5500-5600 level .
CRUDEOIL1! is currently trading between its quarterly pivot 5603 level and monthly pivot 5805 levels , indicating a range-bound movement."
Once the Crudeoil1! sustains above the monthly pivot, it may trigger a potential upside rally."
If this lop is sustain , then we may see higher prices in CRUDEOIL1!
Thank You !!
OIL fell sharply, opportunity for upside target of 70$OIL fell sharply and has now been in a contraction for a while, I am taking it into account for a potential breakout, as it shows tightening price action, which reflects market indecision.
Price action has now coiled into a symmetrical triangle, this is often a classic continuation or reversal pattern, and it’s building pressure for a potential breakout. So, if we do get a clean breakout above this pattern, with strong bullish candles, volume, or bullish divergence, that’s your confirmation cue.
This is totally achievable. It aligns beautifully with the 0.25 to 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone from the recent swing high to low. It’s not just a psychological round number, it’s technically supported.
If the lower boundary of the triangle is broken with momentum, you’ve got to step back. No trade is better than a bad one. Watch how price interacts with the zone. If it loses it, you could be looking at a deeper leg down, potentially revisiting deeper support levels from prior bullish structure.
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) could rise towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 68.28 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 70.90 which is a level that sits above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 63.86 which is a pullback support that aligns closely with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Crude oil moves up alternately during the day
💡Message Strategy
WTI crude oil prices snapped a three-day winning streak and were trading around $66.00 a barrel in early European trading Thursday. Crude oil prices fell as rising U.S. crude inventories heightened concerns about weak demand in the United States, the world's largest oil consumer.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil fluctuates upward in the medium term and tests around 78. The K-line closes with a large real negative line, which has not yet destroyed the moving average system and is still supported. The medium-term objective upward trend remains unchanged.
However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakening. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillation pattern.
The short-term trend of crude oil (4H) fluctuated and consolidated for two trading days. The oil price repeatedly crossed the moving average system, and the objective trend direction fluctuated. From the perspective of the primary and secondary rhythms, the current rhythm is a secondary oscillation rhythm. According to the law of primary and secondary alternation, the subjective trend still maintains an upward direction. In terms of momentum, there are signs of weakening upward momentum, and it is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to be mainly upward.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:65.50-66.00,SL:64.50,Target:69.00-70.00