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ETH1!

ETHEREUM - ETH Weekly Recap & Projection 13.07.2025Current Structure Ethereum is showing a clear bullish bias. Last week’s price action broke above a significant weekly swing level with solid candle closures — suggesting continuation. Short-Term Scenarios We could see two potential outcomes: • A consolidation range forming at current levels • A short-term retracement influenced by Bitcoin’s movement Due to ETH’s high correlation with BTC, traders should review Bitcoin’s chart to understand ETH’s likely path. Trading Plan Wait for Bitcoin to complete a retracement Monitor ETH for LTF (lower timeframe) confirmation and bounce Seek long setups below the CME Gap (pink line) Step 2 will serve as the trigger to initiate any positions on ETH. Macro Risk-On Catalyst – Powell Resignation? There are growing rumors regarding Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell potentially resigning. If confirmed, this could result in a strong rally across risk assets, including ETH — likely pushing prices higher without traditional pullbacks. Summary • ETH broke major weekly structure • Watch BTC for clues — correlation remains high • Plan favors long entries after BTC retrace + ETH LTF confirmation • Powell resignation rumors could accelerate bullish trend
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
4
get in loser, we're going to 1M.gm, before i share my in-depth analysis, i just wanted to share a piece of my mind on how i approach this market: there are many valid trajectories constantly at play. most people only ever see one; and they get emotionally attached to it. it’s usually the one that validates their own internal bias. they follow people who align with their belief system, and they end up in an echo chamber of regurgitated information, all in the name of pride and ego. there’s nothing wrong with that, but you won’t find any of that on my page. when i create a projection, i’m not just drawing it out. i spend a thousand hours tuning into the vibe... i become it. temporarily, i am the trajectory, which allows me to speak from its perspective on a deep, intuitive level. i’m not here to convince you that my idea is playing out. i’m just showing you that it’s one of many valid trajectories in this market. this one here just happens to be my primary. it has been for years, and it will remain my primary until we, at the very least, reach 752k. now, that might sound mind-boggling to a lot of people, especially those still tuned into outdated belief systems or the mainstream media, which is incredibly gloomy right now. ---- what i have before you is a bullish nest that took 3 years to form; a structure built with precision and patience, and it's about to rip faces once the third wave explosively and unexpectedly begins. i’ve color-coded all the waves for your convenience, and i come to you this morning with a simple heads-up: a monumental breakout is about to unfold. and the harsh truth is, you’re probably not going to be a part of it because you got shaken out right before it began. --- 🌙 ---
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by notoriousbids
5
one last dancegm. you finally woke up and ethereum was soaring. you saw the bounce. the reclaim. the headlines. you convinced yourself the bottom was in. you drew trendlines, watched influencers say “we’re so back.” you wanted to believe. and that’s exactly what wave B needed. because this wasn't a breakout. it’s a reset. a psychological rinse, engineered to bait late longs and build fuel for the final l i q u i d a t i o n. this is the macro (W)-(X)-(Y). not hopium, not dreams structure. wave A brought devastation. wave B brought complacency wave C brings the execution. make no mistake: we’re not going up, we’re being set up. the chart says $742. you call it impossible. but the market doesn’t care what you believe. the market only exists to find the maximum pain, your maximum pain. eth to $700 is not a prediction. it’s a scheduled event. and you’re RSVP’d unless you wake up. wave C of wave (Y) is coming. and it doesn’t care how bullish you feel. ---
CRYPTO:ETHUSDShort
by notoriousbids
23
bitcoin enters a hyper-parabolic state to 753kgm, this was initially a private post, but i've decided to open it up to the public, for the people. --- interest rates are collapsing. not slowly. not in a controlled, measured descent. this is a freefall. the kind that rewrites economic history. monetary debasement is inevitable. quantitative easing will accelerate, liquidity will flood the system, and the us dollar will plunge. this isn’t speculation. this is math. and when that happens, the gates open. the largest alt season in history is not a possibility. it is an inevitability. this will be the kind of move that people will talk about for decades. portfolios multiplied beyond reason. valuations pushed to levels most can only dream of. the everything bubble will expand beyond comprehension. people will call it unsustainable. they will call it madness. but madness is where the greatest opportunities are born. most won’t be ready. they will hesitate. they will overthink. they will sell too early, watching in disbelief as the market leaves them behind. we will not. 🌙 --- tp - 753k
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by notoriousbids
1
eth drops into februarygm, what if i told you that ethereum is about to plunge by as much as 50%, just as everyone is expecting the start of alt season? what if i told you that the entire structure over the past few months has been corrective, setting the stage for a major liquidity grab below 2k? you probably wouldn’t believe me. --- here’s my theory: the structure from the may 2024 peak (which i’ve labeled as a truncated 5th) down to the upcoming low in february 2025 which i expect to be just beneath 2k, is actually an expanded flat. --- watching closely for a flush-out into feb, with a downside target just beneath 2k.
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
by notoriousbids
5
Fading Risk Sentiment Supports Solana Amid Crypto SlumpLast week, Mint Finance published a comparison of Solana with other blockchain networks, focusing on speed, transaction costs, network size, and valuation. We emphasized Solana’s unique position in the decentralized application (dApp) space—particularly in NFTs and meme coin trading—where it has cultivated a loyal user base by offering low fees and fast transaction speeds. While Solana’s network growth has been notable, its token performance tells a more nuanced story. The token generally trades with a high correlation to broader crypto markets, though it has experienced periods of divergence that have presented attractive spread opportunities. Solana sits further out on the risk curve compared to BTC and ETH, exhibiting higher volatility. It tends to outperform in risk-on environments, delivering stronger returns during market rallies. However, during risk-off periods, it typically underperforms as investors favor more established and resilient assets like BTC. Amid the current turbulence in crypto markets, this paper examines Solana’s relative outlook versus BTC and ETH, and outlines how investors can position accordingly using CME Solana and Micro Solana futures. Recap of Solana Performance and Volatility After a strong recovery from its 2022 lows following the FTX collapse, Solana began trading closely in line with BTC throughout 2024. Both were among the top-performing crypto assets last year. However, since January, this trend has reversed, with Solana surrendering most of its year-to-date gains. Data Source: TradingView Historical volatility across SOL, ETH, and BTC follows a similar trend but varies in magnitude. SOL consistently exhibits the highest volatility, followed by ETH, with BTC being the least volatile. These differences become more pronounced during volatility spikes, while during calmer periods, their volatility levels tend to converge. The trend in implied volatility (IV) mirrors that of historical volatility, with SOL showing the highest IV and BTC the lowest. Recently, IV has begun to moderate, driven in part by the tariff rollback. Relative Performance During Risk-On/Risk-Off Periods During periods of risk-off sentiment—indicated by spikes in the VIX index—Solana typically underperforms, often experiencing the steepest declines among major crypto assets. Conversely, during market rallies, Solana tends to outperform, often posting the strongest gains by a significant margin. Technicals Sentiment Technical indicators suggest a weakening bearish trend for Solana. Although prices have been declining since January, a rising RSI and MACD are signaling that the downtrend may be approaching a turning point. While the broader macro environment remains challenging, the postponement of U.S. tariffs has offered some short-term relief. Nonetheless, continued macro stress may weigh further on prices. The USD 100 level could serve as a potential support, offering psychological significance for the market. A review of near-term technical indicators reflects a similar outlook, with multiple signals aligning toward a Buy summary. However, the 1D timeframe still shows a Sell signal, indicating that further downside may be possible before a definitive bottom is established. In contrast, the near-term outlook for ETH remains bearish, with a Sell signal across most timeframes. Any sentiment improvement has yet to materialize for ETH. Hypothetical Trade Setup Solana sits further out on the risk curve compared to assets like ETH and BTC, as reflected in its higher implied and historical volatility, as well as its more extreme price movements. It typically experiences the steepest declines during market corrections but also leads gains during bullish periods. Since the start of the year, Solana’s price has been in steady decline. However, early technical signals suggest the downtrend may be approaching a turning point, though some near-term weakness could persist. BTC continues to serve as the crypto market’s safe haven. Despite a 20% correction since January, it has significantly outperformed both SOL and ETH. While Solana has been the weakest performer among the three for most of the downturn, it has recently begun to close the gap with ETH as the correction appears to be nearing its end. With the performance gap between ETH and SOL narrowing as the correction approaches its end, a tactical long SOL / short ETH position may be attractive. If prices continue to rise or consolidate, SOL is likely to outperform ETH due to its higher beta. Alternatively, for investors expecting further downside in crypto markets, a long BTC / short SOL position could be compelling. This setup aims to capture relative strength in BTC, which tends to benefit from safe haven flows during periods of market stress. In order to express these views, investors can deploy CME futures which offer compelling margin offsets for inter-market spreads involving cryptocurrencies which can enhance capital efficiency. Long Micro SOL, Short Micro ETH Long 1 x Micro SOL April futures: 117.2 x 25 SOL/contract = notional of USD 2,931 Short 19 x Micro ETH April futures: 1554 x 0.1 ETH/contract x 19 = notional of USD 2,952 This trade requires margin of USD 2,185 as of 11/April (USD 1,255 for 1 x MSL and USD 931 for 19 x MET (49/contract) CME offers 40% margin offset for this trade as of 11/April reducing margin requirements to USD 1,311 A hypothetical trade setup with a 2x reward to risk ratio is described below: Long Micro BTC, Short Micro SOL Long 1 x Micro BTC April futures: 81,250 x 0.1 BTC/contract = notional of USD 8,125 Short 3 x Micro SOL April futures: 117.2 x 25 SOL/contract x 3 = notional of USD 8,793 This trade requires margin of USD 5,678 as of 11/April (USD 1,913 for 1 x MBT and USD 3,765 for 3 x MSL (1,255/contract) CME offers ~25% margin offset for this trade as of 11/April reducing margin requirements to USD 4,261 A hypothetical trade setup with a reward to risk ratio of 1.6x is described below: To access the standard size contract spreads, investors can use the ratios of 1 x BTC to 6 x SOL and 2 x ETH to 3 x SOL. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CME:SOL1!
by mintdotfinance
this is how ethereum runs to 39khere’s your rewrite—cutthroat, precise, and undeniable. --- they mock ether. they doubt it. they call it dead money. > while the smart money accumulates. "ethereum is a stablecoin," retail sneers. blind. short-sighted. drowning in their own ignorance. > while the smart money accumulates. your sell is our buy. and our buy is what takes us to the levels i have laid out. thirty-nine thousand dollars for one ethereum. and you hesitated at two. i'm not telling you to buy. far from it. what i am showing you is the beginning. the ignition of one of the largest alt seasons in history. happening right now. right in front of your eyes. --- cash you on the dark side of the moon 🌙
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by notoriousbids
10
"the top is in", "for the rates"gm, markets tend to be forward looking, and based off my understanding + the chart data, it appears the top is in for the rates. i predict the market will begin to price in future rate cuts and start bringing the us10y down. this will open the door to a "risk on" enviroment for big tech, as well as risk assets like crypto . --- the count on the us10y is relatively simple. 5 waves up from the 2020 lows. predicting 3 waves down into the year ahead. the low on the us10y should coincide with a high in the global liquidity index,,, which is set to peak into the end first month of 2026. 🌙 --- ps. check out the last us10y update from 2 years ago via:
TVC:US10YShort
by notoriousbids
[[flash crash]]gm, i’m reaching out today to give you a fair warning based on a concerning cross-market chart structure. the dxy is showing strong signs of strength and looks like it’s gearing up for an upside squeeze, potentially setting the stage for a breakout to levels we haven’t seen in decades. the implications of this move could trigger a flash crash in both the stock and crypto markets world-wide, reminiscent to that of the covid crash. this time, however, i believe the catalyst will be the combination of elevated rates, inflation, and the looming debt ceiling crisis. don’t fear the crash,,, it will present a rare buying opportunity for those who are in tune with this wilder market. a strategic player, one who profits from the collapse of this fragile economy, will thrive in these conditions. --- if my forecast is correct, we’ll see the TVC:DXY explode up to 127,,, while CRYPTOCAP:BTC would lose roughly half of its current value. 🌙
TVC:DXY
by notoriousbids
2
ethereum goes to $20,000gm, eth is setting up for a monumental move to the upside as the etfs were granted access into crypto land. they've been accumulating behind the scenes while a large majority of the market has been panic selling due to a rise in fear, uncertainty, and doubt. --- over the last month i have decided to pivot my primary macro idea from bear to bull, due to two variables. 1. fear 2. market structure . --- a macro bullish nest is a series of 1-2 structures in elliott wave theory which leads to a parabolic expansion to the upside. so while the common man sells his bag out of sheer fear, the institutional trader simply scoops his coin up for a bargain and awaits the mark-up phase. --- eth target sits above 20k.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by notoriousbids
2
ETH. Weekly trading levels 20 - 26.05.2024During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade. If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones. Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post. ! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading. The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :) ---------------------------------------------- I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade. Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat. Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern. Don't forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!! Feedback is very important to me!
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
by Forex_Hoby
1
Ethereum: Past Successes and Future ChallengesSince its inception in July 2015, Ethereum has undergone a remarkable ascent in value, surging from a mere $0.31 to its current price of $3,000. This represents an extraordinary return on investment of nearly 10,000 times, potentially transforming modest investments into substantial fortunes. However, the pivotal question remains: does Ethereum still harbor the potential to elevate investors to millionaire status? While Ethereum's past performance speaks volumes, the prospect becomes more ambiguous when considering its future trajectory. Upon its introduction in 2015, Ethereum held an unrivaled position as the premier smart contract blockchain platform, benefitting from a significant first-mover advantage. It wasn't until 2020, with the emergence of blockchain competitor Solana, that Ethereum faced its first credible challenger. Consider this scenario: visualize a prominent Silicon Valley tech giant enjoying an unparalleled five-year lead over its rivals. After such a substantial period, it would likely have solidified its dominance in market share, intellectual property, and customer loyalty, appearing virtually invincible. However, applying this analogy to Ethereum's situation reveals the daunting challenge of replicating its past success. The landscape has evolved considerably since Ethereum's inception, with numerous competitors vying for prominence. Unlike in 2015, Ethereum now contends with formidable competition, with three of the top 15 cryptocurrencies directly challenging its supremacy. Moreover, enthusiasm for Ethereum's ongoing blockchain upgrades has somewhat diminished. While the 2022 blockchain upgrade, known as The Merge, was undoubtedly impressive—comparable to changing the engine of a plane mid-flight—it also marked a turning point. Although The Merge notably enhanced Ethereum's performance, making it faster, more cost-effective, and efficient in transaction processing, the relentless pursuit of upgrades raises concerns about Ethereum's stability and long-term viability. Nevertheless, Ethereum's initial promise of delivering 1 million transactions per second remains unfulfilled, with the network relying on a complex array of Layer 2 blockchains to address scalability and functionality issues. The core Ethereum blockchain, known as Layer 1, struggles with speed and efficiency, necessitating several more upgrade cycles to introduce new adjustments and enhancements. While incremental innovation is commendable, there exists a notable distinction between incremental and truly disruptive innovation. This is where apprehension regarding Ethereum lies. The Merge may have marked the end of disruptive innovation, potentially paving the way for agile competitors to challenge Ethereum's dominance. Adding to the uncertainty is ongoing regulatory scrutiny from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Following The Merge, the SEC has yet to determine whether Ethereum should be classified as a commodity or a security. The transition to a proof-of-stake blockchain could have regulatory implications, particularly concerning the staking process, which some may interpret as an investment with profit expectations derived from others' efforts. This legal ambiguity holds significant implications for investors, as Bitcoin maximalists revel in Ethereum's regulatory uncertainty. There is a tangible risk that the SEC might classify Ethereum as a security, deterring many investors. Consider this scenario: achieving millionaire status from a $1,000 investment in cryptocurrency today would necessitate a 1,000-fold return on investment. Consequently, the pivotal question regarding Ethereum's potential as a millionaire-maker cryptocurrency revolves around whether it can appreciate by 1,000 times its current value of $3,000. Such a monumental rise would imply a staggering $3 million price per Ethereum coin in the foreseeable future. With Ethereum's circulating supply standing at 120 million coins, this would translate to a total market capitalization of $360 trillion—exceeding the current total market capitalization of the S&P 500, which is approximately $50 trillion. In essence, solely relying on past performance for investment decisions is akin to driving a car while fixating on the rearview mirror. It's imperative to shift focus towards Ethereum's potential to generate value in the future, rather than dwelling on its historical track record. Now, regarding the volume analysis and the chart provided: The price of the Future is currently under bearish pressure, characterized by low tick volumes. However, the price is above the 70% retracement from the previous swing, indicating a discount area for potential buying opportunities. Our strategy involves setting buy limits within an area of inefficiency, with stop losses positioned below. We anticipate the price to retrace to the Fair Value Point of Control (POC) and continue its upward trajectory.
CME:ETH1!Long
by FOREXN1
1
ETH. Levels for intraday trading for the weekend 27-28.04.2024During the day you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.Relevant to use as a location for installing TP. Levels are valid throughout the day, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on current data and publish a new post. The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :) --------------------------------------- Levels are drawn before the European session, based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as zones of interest for intraday trading. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat. Do not reverse the market at every level. If there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern. TV does not allow publishing timeframes smaller than M15.Reactions to levels and the search for entry points are more convenient to look at M5-M1. Don’t forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!!
BINANCE:ETHUSD
by Forex_Hoby
1
AIQ ETF: Artificial Intelligence - Is The New One Bitcoin!?Everyone was talking about ChatGPT in the last quarter. Investors were trading on a rush. Thanks to launch of the bot, well-known stocks, such as NVIDIA shares, have shown the highest profitability among all stocks - components of the S&P500 and Nasdaq-100 indices since the beginning of the year. Previously low-profile AI stocks like MobilEyE Global , Ambarella , C3.ai have become more popular. OpenAI introduced ChatGPT on November 30th, and since then it has demonstrated the ability to perform a number of tasks such as writing stock articles, firing emails, and even messaging on dating apps. ChatGPT is a conversational AI chatbot developed by OpenAI that supports natural language queries. The buzz exploded and blew the roof off when it was reported OpenAI is to receive a $10 billion investment from Microsoft . Undoubtedly, the launch of ChatGPT has become one of the most disruptive topics in the financial markets in Q1 2023. And now, at the beginning of a new quarter, here is a publication that was fully created by ChatGPT Artificial Intelligence, under request to tell a 1200-word Fantastic story Artificial intelligence Becomes The Next Bitcoin. Good or bad, y'all be the judge. But here's what ChatGPT said... n the year 2040, the world had seen incredible advancements in technology. The most talked-about topic was artificial intelligence (AI). AI had become a ubiquitous part of daily life; from self-driving cars to chatbots, AI was everywhere. But there was something different about this AI. It was not just a tool to make our lives easier; it was a valuable asset that people could invest in. The AI market had become the next big thing, and some even compared it to the early days of Bitcoin. A young man named Jack had always been fascinated by AI. He had studied computer science in college and had been working at a tech company for a few years. Jack was always looking for the next big thing, and when he heard about the AI market, he knew he had to get involved. At first, Jack was hesitant to invest his money in something that seemed so new and untested. But as he researched more and more, he became convinced that AI was the future. He decided to take the plunge and invested all of his savings into an AI startup called Mindworks. The startup had a revolutionary new product that used AI to predict market trends. It was unlike anything else on the market, and investors were taking notice. The company's stock began to rise, and soon Jack's investment was worth ten times what he had put in. Jack was thrilled with his investment, but he knew that the market was volatile. He had seen what had happened with Bitcoin; it had soared to incredible heights before crashing down. He didn't want to make the same mistake. As he watched the market closely, he noticed that there were other startups popping up all over the place. Some were using AI to create better healthcare solutions, while others were developing AI-powered robots that could do jobs humans couldn't. Jack realized that the AI market was growing fast, and he needed to stay on top of things if he wanted to continue to make money. He decided to start a blog where he could share his insights into the AI market and offer advice to other investors. The blog quickly became popular, and Jack was soon seen as an expert in the field. He was invited to speak at conferences and was even featured on news programs. He was living the dream, making money from something he loved and helping others do the same. But as the AI market continued to grow, so did the competition. The startups that had once been small and unknown were now getting funding from big-name investors. The market was becoming saturated, and it was becoming harder and harder to stand out. Jack knew that he needed to do something to differentiate himself from the competition. He decided to create an AI-powered platform that could analyze the market data in real-time and make investment recommendations. It took months of hard work, but Jack finally launched his platform. It was an instant success, and investors were lining up to use it. Jack's platform was unlike anything else on the market, and it quickly became the go-to tool for AI investors. As the market continued to grow, so did Jack's wealth. He had become a millionaire, thanks to his investments in the AI market. But he never forgot his roots and continued to offer advice to other investors through his blog. The AI market had become the next big thing, and Jack had been there from the beginning. He had seen the potential of AI and had taken a chance on something new and untested. And now, he was reaping the rewards. As he looked back on his journey, he realized that he had become a part of something much bigger than himself. The AI market was changing the world, and he had played a small part in making that happen. Jack knew that there would be ups and downs in the market, but he was confident that AI was here to stay. It was the future, and he was excited to see where it would take us. The end. The main chart illustrates that the Bearish Trend in AIQ ETF - Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF is also - the end 😊
NASDAQ:AIQ
by PandorraResearch
4
ETH1! Will Go Down! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for ETH1!. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1847.5. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1600.0 level soon. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CME:ETH1!Short
by SignalProvider
5
ETH Open Long (eng)Hello Friends. Unfortunately, the final way down did not wait A big player closed his short position and managed to get a long position during the flat. Yesterday before the stock market closing I fixed the volume impulse, which finally indicated a trend reversal, at least the local one. Closed my previous position from 11.08.2022 from the price 1505. it appeared +15.5% Opened Long from 1273 From 06.01.2023 time 20:12 (GMT) The arrow points in the direction of the open trade only, without the final target Thus I got encouraging statistics 11 positive deals and 0 negative ones during the time period since 08.07.2021 up to now What confirms the correctness of analysis and approach 418.2% profit for a specified period of time using the leverage of x1 Thank you all for your attention and have a nice trade in the New Year!
CME:ETH1!Long
by mr_Plusoviu
2
9-22 ethereum update + crypto theories.good evening, i've decided to give you a guys a bit of history leading up to today, and my overall reasoning for changing my bias on the market a few months ago. i'm going to include a vast array of posts, and plot-twists which i've published over the years, feel free to check them out if you're following along with me. --- there was a time long ago when i called the btc+ethereum tops; my first call out was on may 16th 2021 - around the time when btc had hit 60k for the first time. my only basis at the time was a completed 5 wave impulse. 👇 --- that summer after the initial crash, our proprietary indicator called out a weekly buy for the first time since the covid low, and my peoples and i pounced on the opportunity. our indicator turned out to be correct, but at the time i was only looking for a B wave from the summer of 2021 lows, as things looked like they had come down in 5 waves from ath. 👇 --- btc ended up over-extending, and i actually didn't catch the second part of that particular rally, but i did call out the next top successfully on spy, qqq, eth, btc. 👇 --- at the time, i was still looking at this whole correction as one massive wave 4, with a bottom to be made between 40~30k through some kind of flat pattern. but shortly after hitting 40k... btc did not give me the reaction i was looking for. so i re-analyzed my overall theory, and came up with a few flaws in my overall count with the new data which was provided to me by this marvelous market. i figured there could be a chance we could go a lot lower... so we shorted it, because why not right? 👇 --- the same thing happened in that 30k range. was hoping for a bottom to be created, but the same kind of move presented itself as it did in the 40k range - a total trap. so we shorted it again, and again, and again. --- i still have no idea if this whole move down is part of that wave 4 which i've discussed over the last few years - it sure could be, but i doubt it at this point. feel like it's taking a bit longer than it should, and the overall market kinda seems wonky with all of the recent events. --- so my current bias, is the one which you see in this post. 👇 👇 basically an even larger wave 4 than i initially imagined, one of a much higher degree which dates back an entire decade. this particular pattern is prevalent across many markets, in various parts of the world. --- spx500 + nasdaq both are displaying bullish signals yet again & our indicators are starting to call out these wild buys which are pretty rare. it looks like everything is lining up for another pretty large move up in the months ahead, but i think that move is yet again another bull trap, before another major descension into next year. --- nobody knows what comes next, we can only really theorize - but what we do know is, we've gotta be very strategic in this market, and use all of the resources we currently have access to at all times. stay nimble, and humble, be vigilant and top of your toes - expect the unexpected, and bear with me while we get through this wicked market together 😎 cheers 🥂
Long
by notoriousbids
9
🔥🔥 Futures on ETH: The roof, the roof, the roof is on fireBitcoin, Ethereum and most other cryptocurrencies fell on Tuesday 08-11-2022 following Binance's announcement of its intention to acquire FTX, heightening concerns about liquidity in the industry. According to TradingView, the Total Market Cap - the global value of the entire crypto sector was down 15% on the past day, reaching $813 billion. Bitcoin lost 12%, Ethereum lost 17.5% and Dogecoin lost 25%. The FTX token crashed 84% and Binance's BNB also reversed a sharp previous 17% gain and turned negative, falling 6%. “To protect users, we have signed a non-binding Letter of Intent, planning to fully acquire FTX.com and help manage the liquidity crisis,” Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao tweeted. Zhao added that the deal is pending confirmation of his firm's ability to conduct due diligence on the FTX purchase and the exchange itself. A liquidity crisis plagued the FTX exchange at the beginning of the week amid a sharp decline in FTX Token. A CoinDesk report last week suggested that FTX-owned Alameda Research's balance sheet is heavily dependent on FTT, raising concerns that the two parts of the Bankman-Fried e mpire depend on illiquid cryptocurrencies rather than cash or other liquid assets. The liquidity problems of the crypto sector arose after the crash at the beginning of the year, which erased $340 billion of market capitalization and lowered ETH from $3,900 to $2,200, followed by the collapse of the “stable” Terra UST coin, forming a steady series of crashes in the industry, following behind the increase in interest rates of the Federal Reserve against the backdrop of its fight against "indomitable inflation". The technical picture in ETH futures points to potentially increased risks of further erosion and disruption of the crypto market as the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate cycle nears its climax and logical conclusion before the end of 2022. The left scale shows market expectations for a Fed rate by the end of Q1'23. That is well above 10-year US Government Treasuries yield.
CME:ETH1!Short
by PandorraResearch
Ethereum - Due to drift lower In August 2022, we stated a bullish narrative regarding Ethereum's “merge” is absolute nonsense that will be proved wrong as time progresses. Then over the coming weeks, we also expressed our worries about the FED meeting in September 2022. Indeed, just hours before the FOMC, we speculated that Ethereum could have experienced a short-lived bounce, followed by a sharp drop. Our assessment proved to be correct, and Ethereum bounced up after the FED decision and then fell with the rest of the market. Because of that, combined with fundamental and technical factors, we continue to be bearish on Ethereum. Accordingly, we stick to our price targets of 1000 USD and 900 USD. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows simple support/resistance levels for ETHUSD. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by Tradersweekly
20
SPX vs. NASDAQ vs. BTC1! vs. ETH1!: filling the gapsWe are in for a big week with the Fed's announcement on potential interest hikes and further tapering of their bond buying program. Are they already priced in? Let's have a look... We have seen the typical panic across the board for the Fed's announcement (we knew this since last July!), the expectations are increased interest rates and potentially more than 4 hikes this year. Obviously, this is needed because of the record inflation numbers. However the Fed also wants to prevent heavy corrections in the market. Since the March 2020 lows, both stocks and crypto have been flying on monetary expansion and inflation creating a buy the rumor, and - when inflation numbers hit the market - sell the news. We have seen a strong correction in Bitcoin, the S&P500 and the Nasdaq. Does this means interest hikes are priced in and this is the bottom? Maybe. But I still lean towards; no. There are many factors at play here, the most obvious one are the futures and options on Bitcoin, the S&P500 and the Nasdaq. With increasingly bearish action and bearish puts or shorts, market makers had to respond with a squeeze. Most obviously in Bitcoin, where a few hundred million of short liquidations were within reach. I also posted about a potential squeeze on Friday - even though price dipped further - a squeeze was expected and therefor always take profits before you get wiped out. The ball is now with the Fed and I assume market makers already know the outcome of their new policy or have a clue. This defines also my trading strategy: what would I do if I was the market maker. Now, puts and shorts have been favor for the last week, creating reason for a squeeze, however, net gamm is still long and institutions have taken a hit with bullish calls on BTC. In the last 24 hours has seen a total of 300M liquidations (on all coins) and there is still liquidity to take out to the upside but offset that with immense call volume above 40K uptill 100K+ there is room for downside as well. With a relatively big options expiration on Friday, further downside towards the 30K zone could be favored even though max pain is at 42K. This is also seen in the higher volume in at the money options traded by the market makers to hedge against lower prices. Furthermore, puts at the 30K zone could be consumed by the market maker to create liquidity for a short squeeze in February - unless see a rally on Wednesday already if the Fed announces mild policies. Short conclusion is: the market maker is neutral at this point having hedged against the recent drops and now awaits the reaction to the Fed on Wednesday. Mind you, they will know it much earlier than you so they will start to act before the news is out. We can not trade any direction at this point and you're not missing out on anything if you're in cash right now. Risk / return wise cash is the place to be and it has been ever since my first warning in early December. Sentiment around Bitcoin is becoming increasingly bearish and Ethereum increasingly bullish; something that I expected for a while now and a full story on that later. All gaps to the upside are filled here and there are only gaps left to the downside, a direction that market makers have been preparing and retail has not considered. Short term we can expect a choppy market again, long term I do expect further continuation of the trend especially if we can not reclaim the weekly 50 EMA. First, lets wait for Wednesday. IMPORTANT: this is not financial advice, trade or invest based on your own risk and research.
CME:ETH1!
by cryptobullethbtcxlm
1