Ethereum - Finally new all time highs!🔬Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) will break out now:
🔎Analysis summary:
For more than four years, Ethereum has overall been moving sideways. However now Ethereum is once again retesting previous all time highs and preparing a bullish breakout. Multiple retests are generally considered bullish so the breakout is very likely to happen any time soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$4.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
SwingTraderPhil
Ethereumforecast
Ethereum: Overbought Conditions Persist Near $3,746ETH is testing the volume point of interest at $3,417.0, while strong resistance and an order block reside at $3,746.0. Indicators remain in overbought territory, signaling short-term overpricing.
With little resistance shown in the volume profile, ETH is expected to fall back and retest the $3,404.0 support level. Traders and investors should monitor this zone closely for a potential bullish setup.
ETH/USD Setup | Thief Trading Blueprint for Profit.🔥🚨THE ETHEREUM HEIST PLAN: Thief-Style Trading Blueprint for Maximum Gains🚨🔥
💰Thief Mode: Activated | Time to Rob the Bulls 💰
📢🌍 Hello Money Makers, Crypto Crooks & Chart-Breaking Bandits! 🐱👤🤑💸
Welcome to the “Thief Trading Style” breakdown — a high-stakes, high-reward crypto market blueprint built on deep technical & fundamental intel. This isn’t your average strategy… it’s a full-blown heist on the ETH/USD market!
🧠 THE MASTER PLAN (ETH/USD – Day & Swing Trade)
🔎 Based on our Thief Mode analysis — blending market sentiment, trend psychology, and price action — Ethereum is ripe for a bullish robbery. We’re setting up shop at high-risk liquidity traps and targeting bearish overconfidence.
💥ENTRY STRATEGY – "The Vault Is Open, Time to Strike!" 💥
🟢 Go Long:
Swipe in on bullish momentum.
🕒 Set Buy Limit Orders at key pullback zones (swing highs/lows from 15m or 30m timeframes).
💼 Use DCA (Layered Orders) for multiple precision entries. The more layers, the stronger the loot stack.
🛑STOP LOSS – "Thief Rule: Don’t Get Caught"
📍Place SLs at logical swing highs/lows using the 1H timeframe
💡 Adjust according to lot size & how many entries you're stacking
Risk smart, steal smarter!
🎯TARGET – "Make the Escape at 2850.0 or Jump Early if Cops Close In!"
📌Set TP at 2960.0, or
📌Exit early if the market starts turning shady (exit before reversal signs appear)
⚔️SCALPER'S CODE – "Fast Hands Only!"
🧲Only scalp Long-side plays
🧠Use trailing SLs to protect stolen profits
💼Big wallets? Front-run the move
🪙Smaller bags? Team up with swing traders and follow the blueprint.
🚨MARKET CONTEXT – Why This Heist is Bulletproof
💥ETH/USD is showing bullish energy due to:
Macro & Fundamental Drivers
On-Chain Metrics showing accumulation
Sentiment Analysis leaning toward over-leveraged bears
Intermarket Correlation signaling rotation into altcoins
🔗Stay sharp, keep updated with: COT Reports, Macro Calendar, Crypto News Feeds
⚠️NEWS RELEASE WARNING – "Robbers Hate Surprises"
📛Avoid new entries during major news releases
📈Use Trailing Stop Losses to lock in profits
⛔Don’t leave positions unmanaged during volatility spikes
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🎯Tap the 🔥 Boost Button 🔥 and show support for the Thief Trading Style!
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✍️DISCLAIMERS
📌This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
📌Always trade within your own risk management rules.
📌Market conditions change fast — adapt, evolve, and don’t trade blindfolded.
🚀Stick around for more blueprints — the next heist is always just around the corner.
Until then… Lock. Load. Loot. 🐱👤🤑💰
ETH/USD ROBBERY IN PROGRESS! Long Now, Exit Before Bears Attack!🚨 ETH/USD HEIST ALERT: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! 🚨
Thief Trading Style: Steal Profits & Escape Before the Cops Arrive!
🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates & Profit Bandits! 🌟
(Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!)
🔥 The Ethereum vault is WIDE OPEN! Time to execute the Thief Trading Strategy—bullish momentum is primed for a heist. Long entries only! Target the highs, then vanish before the overbought trap snaps shut.
🔑 Heist Plan (Day/Swing Trade)
🎯 Entry: "The vault is unguarded—swipe bullish loot at any price!"
Pro Tip: Use buy limits within 15-30min for pullback entries (recent swing lows/highs).
🛑 Stop Loss:
Thief SL (4H): 2240.0 (Nearest swing low)
Adjust SL based on risk, lot size & multiple orders.
🏴☠️ Target: 2800.0 (or escape earlier if bears ambush!)
⚡ Scalpers’ Quick Loot:
Only scalp LONG!
Big wallets? Charge in! Small wallets? Join swing traders & rob smart.
Trailing SL = Your Escape Rope!
📢 Why Ethereum?
🐂 Bullish momentum + strong fundamentals = Perfect heist conditions!
(Check COT reports, macro trends & sentiment— check 👉🔗!)
⚠️ WARNING: Cops (Bears) Are Setting Traps!
Avoid fresh trades during news!
Trailing SL = Lock profits & run!
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🚀 Daily robberies = Easy money!
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Ethereum Stalls at $3,101.0FenzoFx—Ethereum broke past $2,880.0 but stalled near a bearish fair value gap. The daily chart shows a longwick bearish candlestick, signaling increased selling pressure.
With Stochastic at 90.0, ETH is short-term overbought. Resistance is at $3,101.0—if it holds, ETH may retreat to $2,880.0 or $2,638.0.
A close above $3,101.0 would invalidate the bearish outlook and pave the way toward $3,330.0.
Trend Resumes: Ethereum Breaks Consolidation, Eyes $4050Market Structure Overview:
Markets typically move in two major phases:
🔹 Trend Phase (directional movement)
🔹 Consolidation Phase (sideways movement or accumulation/distribution)
These phases repeat as: Trend → Consolidation → Trend → Consolidation
Ethereum Price Action Breakdown (Daily Timeframe):
Mid-December to End-April: Clear downtrend phase.
May to Early July: Entered a consolidation zone, forming a tight range.
Current Status (July):
🔹 Ethereum has broken out of the consolidation range.
🔹 Currently trading around $3000, confirming strength.
🔹 This breakout may potentially signal the start of Altcoin Season.
Trade Setup – Long Position Idea:
Entry (Buy Zone): Around $2850 (retest of breakout resistance).
Target:
🔹 Primary Target: $4050
🔹 This aligns with a major resistance and Fibonacci extension zone.
Stop Loss: $2600 (below key structure support).
Technical Confluences:
* Breakout above multi-week range.
* Retest of resistance turned support at \$2850.
* Psychological round level near \$3000 acting as a magnet.
* Volume confirmation on breakout (optional to mention if on chart).
Risk Note:
⚠️ Caution: The Market may turn volatile due to unexpected geopolitical or macroeconomic news. Always follow risk management and avoid overleveraging.
Conclusion:
Ethereum’s breakout from a multi-month consolidation phase indicates a potential shift in momentum. If retest levels hold, this could be the beginning of a strong upside rally, possibly leading to a broader Altcoin Season. Traders can position themselves accordingly with a well-defined risk-reward setup.
Ethereum Approaches $2,908 as Bullish Momentum FadesEthereum remains bullish, trading near $2,796 and approaching monthly resistance at $2,908. Stochastic shows an overbought reading of 81.0, suggesting short-term buying exhaustion.
Bearish Scenario : A pullback toward $2,651 is likely if $2,908 holds. Extended selling pressure could lead to a test of the anchored VWAP near $2,500.
Bullish scenario : A confirmed breakout above $2,908 would likely extend the rally toward $3,260.
Ethereum Analysis – Vitalik’s Gas Cap Proposal Adds PressureToday, I want to show you the possible moves for Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ) this week.
Please stay with me .
Let’s first take a look at the important news that has come for Ethereum in the last 24 hours :
Ethereum’s Gas Cap Proposal Sparks Concerns
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin recently proposed EIP-7983 , introducing a gas limit cap to prevent potential DoS (Denial of Service) attacks on the network.
Bearish Takeaways:
This proposal reveals a current vulnerability in Ethereum’s infrastructure. If gas limits grow unchecked, nodes may fail to sync, leading to possible network instability.
Imposing a gas cap could temporarily reduce transaction throughput, affecting DeFi protocols and NFT platforms that rely on Ethereum’s scalability.
The market tends to react cautiously to core protocol changes, and this uncertainty could trigger short-term selling pressure.
Bullish Counterpoints:
The cap aims to strengthen the network’s long-term stability against spam and DoS attacks.
It’s still in the proposal stage, with no immediate impact on users or network performance.
Conclusion:
While the long-term impact may be positive, the short-term uncertainty and exposed risks provide a bearish narrative for Ethereum, especially amid growing competition from alternative chains.
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Now let's take a look at the Ethereum chart on the 4-hour time frame .
Ethereum is currently trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($2,929-$2,652) and Resistance lines , and is also trying to break the Support line .
In terms of the Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Ethereum has completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , so we can expect the next bearish wave .
I expect Ethereum to fall to at least $2,433 AFTER breaking the Support line, and if the Support zone($2,491-$2,323) is broken, we should expect further declines.
Second Target: $2,374
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $2,689= Worst Stop Loss(SL)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Ethereum Analyze (ETHUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Ethereum Bullish Bias Pauses After Reaching Weekly HighF enzo F x—Ethereum rose from $2,539.5, backed by VWAP and volume profile, but momentum eased after hitting the $2,651.0 weekly high. Stochastic signals overbought conditions at 87.0, hinting at possible consolidation or downside pressure.
Bullish scenario : The bullish trend remains intact above $2,500, with upside potential toward the bearish FVG at $2,741.0.
Bearish scenario : A close below $2,500 would shift focus to the $2,383 support zone.
Ethereum: Eyeing New Highs?Ethereum has surged recently and continues rising in turquoise wave B. The next target is a break above the June high, with potential upside to resistance at $4,107. A direct breakout above this level (27% probability) would suggest green wave alt. ended in April. However, our main scenario expects a reversal below $4,107, with turquoise wave C likely dragging ETH into the Long Target Zone between $935.82 and $494.15 to complete wave .
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
ETH Momentum Builds Above Key SupportFenzoFx—Ethereum bounced from the $2,397.0 support and swept liquidity below the level, backed by a bullish FVG on the 4-hour chart. ETH is currently testing resistance at $2,500.0, and a breakout could lead to a retest of $2,539.0.
The bullish setup remains valid above $2,397.0; below that, $2,317.0 becomes the next support.
Ethereum Faces Resistance at $2,539.0Ethereum was rejected at the $2,539.0 resistance, a high-volume supply zone. If this level holds, ETH could drop toward $2,397.0, and a break below it may trigger further downside toward $2,192.0.
The bearish outlook is invalidated if ETH/USD closes above $2,539.0.
Inverse Head and Shoulders on Ethereum: Short Opportunity ETH?I'm currently watching Ethereum , and things are starting to look interesting.
We’re seeing early signs of a potential break in structure to the downside, and I’m closely monitoring a bearish inverse head and shoulders pattern. On the 30-minute timeframe, I’m waiting for a clear break of market structure within the current range before considering a short entry.
Stop loss would be placed above the range, with the target outlined in the video.
This is not financial advice—please trade responsibly and always manage your risk.
Bearish Wave Builds Below Key ETH Supply ZoneFenzoFx—Ethereum failed to break above $2,813.0 and is now trading around $2,430 after trimming nearly 5.0% of recent losses.
The $2,687.0 area, backed by the 50-period SMA, acts as a premium supply zone. A bearish wave could follow, targeting $1,779.0, supported by prior monthly lows and RSI divergence.
The bearish outlook is invalidated if ETH/USD closes above $2,813.0.
Ethereum Price Reversal ? $2100 Support & Altcoin Season OutlookAfter an extended period of consolidation, Ethereum (ETH) has finally retested the critical support level of $2,100, which aligns closely with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the bullish trend that began in April. This confluence of technical factors strengthens the validity of this level as a strong demand zone.
The price action suggests that ETH may be gearing up for a bullish reversal, as it respects both horizontal support and key Fibonacci structure. Historically, the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone acts as a high-probability reversal area in trending markets, particularly when accompanied by volume stabilization and long-tailed candles on the daily chart.
Trade Plan: Spot and Futures Positions
Given the current structure, this presents a favorable opportunity to accumulate ETH on spot for the anticipated altcoin season. In addition, leveraged long positions in futures can be considered with clearly defined risk parameters.
Entry Zone: Around \$2,100
Stop Loss: \$2,000 (below key support)
Target Levels:
Primary Target: $2,500 (previous resistance / psychological level)
Secondary Target: $2,600 (major structure high)
The risk-to-reward ratio remains attractive, particularly if the broader crypto market continues its uptrend and Bitcoin maintains stability.
Market Context
Broader macro sentiment and the dominance cycle suggest capital rotation into altcoins could be near. With Ethereum leading major Layer 1s, a recovery from this level could catalyze a wider altcoin rally**, making this an important zone to watch for both intraday traders and swing investors.
⚠️ Note: Due to ongoing geopolitical tensions between Israel, Iran, and the United States, global financial markets—including crypto—may experience heightened volatility. Traders are advised to manage risk carefully and avoid overleveraging during uncertain macro conditions.
ETH: Hardly Any Volatility Not much has happened for Ethereum since yesterday. According to our primary scenario, wave B in turquoise should imminently push higher, theoretically up to resistance at $4,107. Once these corrective rises conclude, wave C should take over, driving ETH down to complete the large green wave in the Target Zone below ($935.82 – $494.15). The low of this multi-year correction should lay the foundation for subsequent wave increases, likely causing new record highs above the $10,000 mark, as the weekly chart suggests. In our alternative scenario, ETH would embark on this bullish journey earlier. Currently at 27% probability, this alternative assumes the corrective low was already established at $1,385, which would imply a direct breakout above $4,107.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Ethereum at PRZ: Bullish Setup _ Short termEthereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ) reacted from the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) around the confluence of key Fibonacci levels , the Important Support line and 50_SMA(Daily) .
From an Elliott Wave point of view , we can identify a Expanding Flat (ABC/3-3-5) structure ending right above the Support zone ($2,474-2,437) .
The structure also hints at the formation of a new upward leg , potentially leading ETH toward the Resistance zone ($2,564-$2,524) and the upper line of the Ascending Channel .
I expect Ethereum to test the 38.2%($2,531=First Target) - 50%($2,561) Fibonacci retracement levels on the way to a potential retest of the previous swing highs .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $2,451= Worst Stop Loss(SL)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Ethereum Analyze (ETHUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Ethereum Rejected By Strong Resistance, A Bearish OutlookFenzoFx—Ethereum is consolidating around $2,525 after being rejected by the $2,813.0 resistance, a strong supply zone. Immediate support lies at $2,446.0. If ETH closes below this level, a move toward $2,080 is likely.
The bearish outlook is invalidated if ETH stabilizes above $2,813.0.
Ethereum’s 19-Day ETF Inflow Streak: What Really HappenedEthereum’s 19-Day ETF Inflow Streak: What Really Happened to Price, Structure, and Sentiment
Table of Contents
1. Executive Summary
2. ETF Backdrop: How the 19-Day Inflow Wave Took Shape
3. Chronology of Price: Day-by-Day Performance
4. Weekly Chart Anatomy: The “Pre-Tower Top” Signal Explained
5. Intraday Technicals: From $2,450 Low to the $2,620 Hurdle
6. On-Chain & Derivatives Lens: Funding, OI, CEX Balances
7. Fundamental Undercurrents: Dencun Afterglow, L2 Fees, Staking Yields
8. Risks & Catalysts: ETH vs. Macro, vs. BTC Dominance, vs. SEC Noise
9. Playbooks for Traders and Long-Term Allocators
10. Conclusion: A Pause, Not a Peak—If Key Levels Hold
________________________________________
1. Executive Summary
• Ethereum received 19 consecutive days of net inflows into spot-linked exchange-traded products (ETPs) totaling $1.37 billion, the longest positive streak since the 2021 bull-run.
• Over the same period ETH/USD rose 18.4 %, printing a local high at $2,750, but has since pulled back to $2,575 amid broad crypto risk-off and Middle-East tensions.
• The latest weekly candle morphs into a “pre-tower top” pattern—two tall green candles followed by a small-bodied doji—often a harbinger of heavy distribution if confirmed by another red week.
• Short-term structure improved Monday: price pierced a contracting-triangle ceiling at $2,550, reclaimed the 100-hour SMA, and now eyes $2,620 as the gatekeeper to renewed upside.
• Funding rates flipped neutral, exchange reserves hit a 7-year low, and staking deposits outpace withdrawals 1.7 : 1—on-chain signs that the sell-off is more leverage shakeout than top formation.
________________________________________
2. ETF Backdrop: How the 19-Day Inflow Wave Took Shape
2.1. The Players
Unlike Bitcoin’s mammoth U.S. spot ETFs, Ethereum’s inflow streak drew from Europe and Canada, where physically backed ETPs have traded since 2021. The three biggest contributors:
Product Country 19-Day Net Flow AUM Growth
21Shares Ethereum ETP (AETH) Switzerland +$502 m +38 %
CI Galaxy Ethereum ETF (ETHX) Canada +$458 m +29 %
WisdomTree Physical Ethereum EU +$227 m +24 %
Rumors of an SEC approval window “after the U.S. election” sparked pre-positioning; asset managers figured it was cheaper to accumulate now than chase later once liquidity explodes on Wall Street.
2.2. Flow Mechanics
When an ETP issues new shares, it must buy spot ETH or tap an AP that can supply coins—direct demand unmatched by equivalent selling pressure. Over the 19-day window, the net 396 k ETH of creation equaled 57 % of all new issuance from block rewards post-Dencun, creating a measurable supply squeeze.
2.3. Historical Context
The only longer stretch was January–February 2021 (27 days), which culminated in ETH exploding from $1,400 to $2,000. The key difference today: market cap is six times larger, so identical inflows exert a milder percentage impact, explaining why price “only” added ~18 %.
________________________________________
3. Chronology of Price: Day-by-Day Performance
Day Date ETF Net Flow Price Close % Δ vs. Prior Day
1 Mar 18 +$58 m $2,110 —
5 Mar 22 +$73 m $2,265 +7.3 %
10 Mar 27 +$94 m $2,430 +2.4 %
15 Apr 1 +$125 m $2,690 +3.8 %
19 Apr 5 +$81 m $2,750 +0.9 %
Across the stretch, realized volatility rose from 32 % to 46 %, but skew stayed positive, showing call demand outpaced puts until the very end, when geopolitical headlines flipped sentiment.
________________________________________
4. Weekly Chart Anatomy: The “Pre-Tower Top” Signal Explained
4.1. What Is a Tower Top?
In candlestick lore, a tower top comprises:
1. A tall green candle (strong breakout)
2. Another tall green candle (exhaustion)
3. A narrow doji or spinning top (equilibrium)
4. A large red candle (breakdown confirmation)
We currently have the first three pieces: the last two weeks of March delivered back-to-back 10 % advances; the first week of April closed as a +0.6 % doji. The pattern is not confirmed until a decisive red week engulfs the doji body (< $2,540).
4.2. Indicators
• RSI (weekly): 59 → ticking down from 68 high; still shy of overbought.
• MACD histogram: Positive but flattening.
• Bollinger bands: Price mid-point of upper band, room for one more expansion.
Conclusion: the candle warns of fatigue, but momentum hasn’t rolled over—yet.
________________________________________
5. Intraday Technicals: From $2,450 Low to the $2,620 Hurdle
5.1. Hourly Chart (Kraken Feed)
• Triangle Breakout: Price sliced through descending trend-line at $2,550, tagging $2,590.
• Moving Averages: ETH trades marginally above the 100-hour SMA ($2,575) but below the 200-hour ($2,610).
• Fibonacci Zones: $2,620 aligns with 0.5 retrace of the $2,750→$2,450 fall—classic reversal pivot.
A clean hourly close >$2,620 opens the door to $2,680 (0.618 Fib) and psychological $2,700. Failure rejects to $2,520 support cluster.
5.2. Order-Book Heat Map
Coinbase Pro data shows 1,300 ETH ask wall at $2,620 and a thinner 890 ETH bid at $2,520. Liquidity skew favors dip-buying, but bulls need market orders >1 k ETH to smash the ask block.
________________________________________
6. On-Chain & Derivatives Lens
6.1. Exchange Reserves
Centralized exchanges now hold 12.9 million ETH, lowest since July 2017. The 19-day ETF harvest accelerated an already extant down-trend of roughly 60 k ETH/week outflows, mostly into staking contracts and L2 bridges.
6.2. Staking Flows
• Beacon deposit contract: +188 k in April’s first week.
• Withdrawal queue: 11 k ETH—tiny relative to deposits.
• Effective deposit APR after Dencun: 3.2 %, still beating U.S. 2-year T-notes post-tax for many investors.
6.3. Perpetual Funding & OI
• Funding normalized to 0.007 %/8 h (≈ 3.2 % APR), down from 9 % at March highs—spec longs flushed.
• Open Interest shed $420 m in the two-day dip—liquidations, not fresh shorts, drove the wash-out.
6.4. Options Skew
• 25-delta risk reversal (1-month): flipped to –4 % (puts pricier than calls) for first time since January—hedging demand but nowhere near panic-level (–12 % in 2022 bear).
________________________________________
7. Fundamental Undercurrents
7.1. Dencun Afterglow & L2 Fees
Proto-danksharding (EIP-4844) slashed L2 data costs by 85 %, pushing average Arbitrum and Optimism transaction fees under $0.02. Cheaper blockspace fuels on-chain activity:
Metric Pre-Dencun Post-Dencun Δ
Daily L2 Txns 2.4 m 4.1 m +71 %
Bridged ETH to L2s 6.8 m 7.9 m +16 %
More usage → more gas burned → structural tailwind to ETH as a fee-burn asset.
7.2. DeFi TVL
Total value locked rebounded to $61 billion, led by EigenLayer and restaking hype. ETH comprises 68 % of TVL collateral—every lending loop pins additional demand.
7.3. Competing Narratives
• Solana season siphoned retail mind-share; SOL/ETH ratio popped 42 % YTD.
• Bitcoin L2s (Stacks, Rootstock) attempt to mirror Ethereum’s smart-contract moat, but dev tooling remains nascent.
•
Net: Ethereum retains developer supremacy (70 % of new GitHub commits among smart-contract chains) and therefore garners institutional comfort.
________________________________________
8. Risks & Catalysts
Factor Bearish Angle Bullish Rebuttal
Macro Sticky U.S. CPI halts Fed cuts → higher real yields weigh on non-yielders ETH staking yield + MEV is real cash-flow; Dencun lowers L2 costs → adoption offset
SEC Spot ETF Delay past Jan 2026 or outright denial kills U.S. inflow dream 19-day streak proves ex-U.S. capital is hungry; approval >0 is all it takes for supply shock
BTC Dominance Halving FOMO may keep Bitcoin’s share >55 %, starve ETH rotation Historical pattern: ETH rips 6-10 weeks post-halving as beta plays catch-up
Tower-Top Pattern Weekly confirmation could spark drop to $2,200 support Pattern fails if bulls recapture $2,750 quickly, turning doji into bullish flag
________________________________________
9. Playbooks for Traders and Long-Term Allocators
9.1. Short-Term Momentum (0–7 days)
• Bias: Range-trade $2,520–$2,620 until breakout.
• Instruments: ETH-perp on Bybit/Deribit, 3× leveraged tokens for reduced funding bleed.
• Trigger: 15-minute candle above $2,620 with ≥ $50 m aggregated CVD buys.
• Stop: $2,560 (triangle retest).
• Target: $2,680 then $2,700.
9.2. Swing (1–8 weeks)
• Bias: Accumulate dips as long as weekly stays >$2,350 (0.382 Fib of Oct→Mar leg).
• Tools: 1-month $2,500-$2,800 call spreads; spot with 25 % collar protection.
• Catalysts: SEC commentary May 23, FOMC June 18.
9.3. Position (6–18 months)
• Bias: Dollar-cost average into staking nodes; carry 4 % ETH on portfolio NAV.
• Thesis: EIP-4844 usage boom + probable U.S. ETF = $4–5 k fair value by 2026.
• Risk Control: Hedge 25 % notional via BTC-perp short if BTC.D >58 %.
________________________________________
10. Conclusion: A Pause, Not a Peak—If Key Levels Hold
The 19-day ETF inflow streak proves that institutional demand for Ethereum exists even without a U.S. spot vehicle. Price responded vigorously but not parabolically, reflecting the asset’s growing market-cap gravity. The nascent “pre-tower-top” weekly candle warns of exhaustion; confirmation, however, requires another bearish week that cracks $2,540 support.
Short-term order-flow shows willing dip buyers, staking metrics scream supply sink, and the macro backdrop—while shaky—fails to dent ETH’s relative value proposition versus fiat yields. Translation: Ethereum is vulnerable to headline-driven squalls but structurally sound.
If bulls recapture $2,620, the path to retest $2,750 and ultimately $3,000 reopens. Lose $2,450 and the tower top will complete, sending ETH toward $2,200 where ETF inflow buyers likely reload. For now, the balance of evidence favors consolidation with an upward skew—tower construction, perhaps, but no wrecking ball yet.
ETH Bullish Setup: Pullback to 200_SMA(D) May Launch Next Rally Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ) seems to have finally managed to break the Resistance lines and the 200_SMA(Daily) in the fifth attack . However, the number of Resistance lines inside the Heavy Resistance zone($2,929_$2,652) is high, and Ethereum will find it difficult to break through them.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Ethereum is completing microwave 4 , and we should wait for this wave to complete. Microwave 4 could act as a pullback to the resistance lines and 200_SMA(Daily) .
I expect Ethereum to start rising from the Support zone($2,745_$2,650) again and rise to at least the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Note: If Ethereum touches $2,537 , we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Ethereum Analyze (ETHUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
ETH Just Broke Out — Here’s Why $3,445 and $3,995 Are TPsEthereum is showing a strong bullish structure on the daily chart, having recently broken out of a month-long consolidation channel. After spending over 35 days trading in a narrow sideways range between approximately $2,345 and $2,780, ETH has now pushed through the upper boundary of that zone, signaling a shift in momentum.
This breakout from the accumulation zone is significant. The highlighted box on the chart indicates a period of low volatility and tight price compression—often a precursor to a sharp directional move. The breakout candle was decisive and supported by rising volume, as confirmed by the PVT (Price Volume Trend) indicator, which shows a clear uptick in accumulation. This suggests that institutional and smart money may be positioning for further upside.
The reclaimed level around $2,503, previously acting as major support, is now serving as a strong base. If ETH continues to close daily candles above this threshold, the bullish momentum is likely to continue. The immediate resistance lies around $3,445, marking the first target zone (TP1), followed by a more ambitious extension toward $3,995, which aligns with Resistance Level 2 (TP2). These targets represent gains of approximately 21% and 41% from current levels, respectively.
A measured trade setup from the current zone offers a solid risk-reward ratio of 2.4. The stop loss is reasonably placed just below the breakout structure at $2,344. If ETH falls back below this level and closes inside the previous channel, the breakout would be invalidated, and bulls would need to reassess.
This setup aligns with a classic trend continuation pattern—breakout from consolidation, volume confirmation, and a potential retest of the breakout level. As long as price remains above $2,503, bulls remain in control, and the medium-term outlook remains favorable.
In conclusion, Ethereum appears poised for a bullish continuation on the daily timeframe. The channel breakout, rising accumulation pressure, and clean technical structure support the idea that ETH may soon challenge higher resistance zones. However, price must hold above key support to maintain this bias. Traders and investors may view current levels as a favorable risk-entry opportunity with eyes on $3,445 and $3,995 as major profit zones.