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ETSY

ETSY Trade Idea ETSY is trading at a 50% discount to its fair value estimate. Wide moat with Standard capital allocation Down 80% from its all time high. Technicals look very attractive. That said, ETSY currently ranks poorly on my screens, so this is purely a technical/contrarian trade idea. GreenBlue Rank: 1845 Company Description: Etsy operates a top-10 e-commerce marketplace operator in the U.S. and the U.K., with sizable operations in Germany, France, Australia, and Canada. The firm dominates an interesting niche, connecting buyers and sellers through its online market to exchange vintage and craft goods. With $13.2 billion in 2023 consolidated gross merchandise volume, Etsy has cemented itself as one of the largest players in a quickly growing space, generating revenue from listing fees, commissions on sold items, advertising services, payment processing, and shipping labels. As of the end of 2023, the firm connected more than 96 million buyers and 9 million sellers on its marketplace properties: Etsy, Reverb (musical equipment), and Depop (clothing resale).
NASDAQ:ETSYLong
by RHTrading
Etsy Faces Uphill Battle Amidst Shifting Consumer TrendsThe recent analysis of Etsy's ( NASDAQ:ETSY ) stock performance reveals a sobering reality: the platform's forecast for the first quarter paints a picture of subdued demand, signaling potential trouble ahead. The Handcrafted Conundrum Etsy Inc.'s., ( NASDAQ:ETSY ) cautionary outlook stems from a confluence of factors, chief among them being the waning appetite for handcrafted goods and personalized gifts, long considered the lifeblood of its marketplace. In an era marked by economic uncertainty and tightened purse strings, consumers are exercising restraint, gravitating towards essentials over indulgences. The discretionary spending squeeze in the United States serves as a stark reminder of the shifting dynamics in consumer behavior. Market Response and Competition Intensifies Unsurprisingly, investors reacted to Etsy's ( NASDAQ:ETSY ) projections with a discernible unease, with the company's shares witnessing a 8% dip in extended trading. Compounding the issue is the intensified competition from both traditional retailers and emerging e-commerce players, all vying for a slice of the consumer pie. Deep discounts and promotional blitzes have become the norm, amplifying the challenge for Etsy ( NASDAQ:ETSY ) and its sellers to stand out amidst the noise. Strategic Adjustments Amidst Headwinds In response to the evolving landscape, Etsy ( NASDAQ:ETSY ) has embarked on a multifaceted strategy aimed at bolstering its market position and supporting its community of sellers. Efforts to enhance marketing support and experimentation with promotional initiatives underscore the company's commitment to adaptability. However, these measures have come at a cost, with margins taking a hit in the fourth quarter, reflecting the inherent trade-offs in a fiercely competitive environment. Navigating Uncertainty with Resilience As Etsy ( NASDAQ:ETSY ) grapples with the repercussions of soft demand and heightened competition, questions loom over its ability to weather the storm. The recent workforce reduction initiative and emphasis on cost reduction reflect a proactive stance toward mitigating the impact of market headwinds. Yet, the path forward remains fraught with challenges, necessitating agility and innovation to stay afloat in an ever-evolving marketplace. Conclusion: Etsy's ( NASDAQ:ETSY ) journey stands as a testament to the enduring complexities of the e-commerce landscape. While the road ahead may be fraught with obstacles, the company's resilience and adaptability offer glimmers of hope amidst uncertainty. As it navigates the tumultuous seas of shifting consumer trends and intensified competition, Etsy ( NASDAQ:ETSY ) remains a beacon for creators and artisans, forging ahead with determination in pursuit of its vision.
NASDAQ:ETSY
by DEXWireNews
Paypal - Going Long In a Bear Market?Paypal is an antiquated business model. The problem is, the Federal Reserve just launched FedNow, which is like a bank-to-bank Central Bank Digital Currency. Most CBDCs will come in the future, and they will target retail/consumers, and Paypal will no longer be useful for transferring money. In Canada, where I am, Paypal is already primarily worthless, because the company that handles debit card payments, Interac, set up, many, many years ago, a service that allows us to send money to each other from our banks via email. Both people and businesses use it extensively. It's fast, easy, instant, and free, so why bother with Paypal? CBDCs are a problem for humanity, because they are the collar, leash, and chains that enable Party West's implementation of their favourite role model, the Chinese Communist Party, who deployed full scale social credit under the guise of "Zero COVID." The CCP and its 24-year persecution against the Falun Dafa spiritual believers launched by former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999, are something absolutely essential for mankind to reject, oppose, and eliminate. They aren't things for you to rack your brains thinking about importing so that stimmies can be collected from a central authority. If you want a future, we need to return to mankind's traditions, human, divinely imparted tradition and culture, and dispose of the garbage that is Marxism, atheism, the Theory of Evolution, and the doctrine of struggle. The fact that Paypal is being replaced by CBDCs is awful evident on monthly candles, which give you absolutely no reason to believe there's going to be any kind of Meta/Tesla/NVDIA-style reversal of fortune. But what's really notable about this stock, which I have criticized extensively on Twitter as not being a long, is the weekly bars, since April, actually indicate a long trade scalp is set up. That scalp setup has not been present for even one second, until today's post market earnings dump back to $68. The thesis is simple. Since Paypal has filled ALL of the gap, and over a long period of time, it indicates for lower prices to come, some objectives over previous highs are most likely in order. The most premium level for this to occur would be the January high at $88. But a failure swing somewhere over $84 would also be a heck of a trade. Where to long? Tomorrow's dump may be too early. The most perfect would be $65, under the flat bottom lows. But you may or may not get it. The problem is, how long does it take Paypal to mark up into the $80s? We don't have that much time to play with the JPM collar being long 4,200 SPX puts expiring September 29. And the markets are looking like they intend perhaps one more upswing before doom, which I cover here: SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg In any event, markets correcting violently and VIX pushing highs hard may put a painful and abrupt end to rallies across all classes. But it seems we may have a rally ahead. And with all the factors combining, buying Paypal between Thursday and Friday in a price range between $68 and $65 is a trade. If it doesn't go up, then the trade isn't confirmed. But you might have to wait at least a month to see if that comes true. What you don't want to and can't see is the $58 low taken out. When Paypal is done taking out short sellers who didn't take profit at $58 and want to ride to zero, I believe the next target is the $45 level. And then this thing goes the way of Bed Bath and Beyond and Blockbuster. Be careful. What lies ahead in the remainder of 2023 will be hard to navigate. And 2024 might be an entirely unpleasant experience for all.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by LordWrymouth
$ETSY: A Promising Comeback Candidate with a Bullish "W" PatternDuring the bullish run of 2020-2021, Etsy Inc. ( NASDAQ:ETSY ) emerged as a notable name in the US financial markets. However, the stock experienced some turbulence in recent times. In my opinion, Etsy is poised for a comeback this year, presenting a compelling short to medium-term trade opportunity. A Bullish W Pattern Emerging One of the key indicators supporting Etsy's potential revival is the formation of a W pattern on the price chart. The W pattern is considered a bullish reversal pattern, signifying a potential upward trend reversal. This chart pattern suggests that Etsy's downtrend may be coming to an end, setting the stage for a bullish move. The Ideal Entry Point For traders looking to capitalize on Etsy's potential rebound, the ideal entry point would be a daily close above $98. This level would confirm the completion of the W pattern and indicate a potential shift in sentiment. A decisive close above this price level would signal a bullish trend, making it an opportune time to consider long positions. Price Targets for Short to Medium-Term Trades In light of the W pattern formation and potential trend reversal, it is essential to set reasonable price targets for short to medium-term trades on Etsy. Based on technical analysis, the Price Targets for NASDAQ:ETSY are projected at $115, $122, and $128. These levels represent potential resistance points that Etsy's stock could aim to break through as it regains momentum. Risk Management As with any trade, it is essential to practice sound risk management strategies. Setting stop-loss orders at appropriate levels can help mitigate potential losses in case the trade does not play out as expected. Additionally, monitoring the stock's price action and overall market conditions can guide informed decision-making throughout the trade duration. Conclusion Etsy Inc. ( NASDAQ:ETSY ) has captured the attention of traders during its bullish run in 2020-2021. Despite facing some headwinds in recent times, the emergence of a bullish W pattern on the price chart suggests the stock may be on the verge of a comeback. For traders seeking a short to medium-term trade opportunity, a daily close above $98 could signal an ideal entry point. With Price Targets projected at $115, $122, and $128, Etsy's potential resurgence presents an exciting prospect for those seeking to capitalize on the stock's future gains. As always, diligent risk management and staying informed about market developments are crucial elements of successful trading.
NASDAQ:ETSYLong
by GodwinAlgoKK
2
ETSY Great buy opportunity on this bullish break-out.Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) pushed above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) today and is headed for the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 4 month Channel Down. That is the short-term pattern within the 1 year Triangle formation, and since yesterday was a Higher Low on its bottom, if the Channel Down breaks, we expect a strong bullish reversal. In fact the same Double Bottom and subsequent bullish break-out can be seen in late June 2022. Our target is initially the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at 115.00 and after a pull-back, the 0.786 Fibonacci at 135.00 that will form a new Lower High on the Triangle. If however we see inability (straight rejection) to break above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), we will take profits earlier, as this is the long term Resistance for the stock. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:ETSYLong
by TradingShot
2
SVB, Silvergate, Signature: 2008 Again?Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉 Ev here, committed to keep you updated on the latest major event that's taking the world by storm: The recent collapse of three major banks: Silicon Valley Bank $SIVB , Silvergate Capital Corporation $SI and now Signature Bank $SBNY . It has since came to light that many cryptocurrency companies had vested interest in thee bank including Coinbase, Circle and Ripple. Furthermore, over a dozen Chinese-based firms confirmed their exposure to SVB. Many other companies have since confirmed exposure including Roku ($487 million) , Etsy $ETSY , BlockFi and more. Most recently: 🛑 HSBC agreed to acquires UK branch of SVB for 1 pound . Yes, yes you read that correctly. 🛑 Just a few hours ago, signature Bank, a New York financial institution with a big real estate lending business that had recently made a play to win cryptocurrency deposits, closed its doors Sunday after regulators said that keeping the bank open could threaten the stability of the entire financial system. 🛑 It comes to light that SVB executives sold large portions of their shares earlier in February: - CEO George B. sells 11% on 27 Feb - General Counsil Michael Z. sells 19% 5 Feb - CFO Daniel B. sells 32% 27 Feb - CMO Michelle D. sells 25% 1 Feb Are we seeing some shocking similarities to the 2008 market crash? The global financial crisis of 2008 was caused by a complex interplay of factors, including the collapse of several major banks. Some of the notable banks that collapsed or were bailed out during the crisis: 1) Lehman Brothers: This investment bank filed for bankruptcy on September 15, 2008, after it became clear that it was heavily exposed to toxic mortgage-backed securities. 2) Bear Stearns: This investment bank was acquired by JPMorgan Chase in a government-backed bailout in March 2008, after it became clear that it was struggling to meet its financial obligations. 3) Washington Mutual: This savings and loan bank was seized by federal regulators in September 2008 and its assets were sold to JPMorgan Chase. 4) Merrill Lynch: This investment bank was acquired by Bank of America in a government-brokered deal in September 2008, after it became clear that it was heavily exposed to mortgage-backed securities. 5) Wachovia: This commercial bank was acquired by Wells Fargo in a government-brokered deal in October 2008, after it became clear that it was heavily exposed to risky mortgage assets. These are just a few of the banks that experienced significant financial difficulties during the crisis. The collapse of these institutions had a profound impact on the global economy, leading to widespread job losses, foreclosures, and economic turmoil. In case you missed the earlier updates and important facts: In the past few weeks, there have been two significant bank failures in the United States that have sent shockwaves throughout the financial world. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Bank has sparked concerns about the stability of the banking system and the future of the crypto industry. The failure of these banks highlights the fragility of the financial system and the challenges faced by institutions that operate in high-risk sectors like tech and crypto. Silicon Valley Bank ( SVB ) was closed by the FDIC on March 9 due to its heavy losses caused by the downturn in technology stocks and the U.S. Federal Reserve's aggressive plan to increase interest rates. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is an independent agency created by the US Congress in 1933 to maintain stability and public confidence in the nation's financial system. The FDIC provides deposit insurance that guarantees the safety of deposits in member banks, up to a certain limit. In the event that a member bank fails, the FDIC will step in to insure deposits, provide assistance to depositors, and liquidate the failed bank's assets. The FDIC also regulates and supervises member banks, as well as conducts research and analysis on the banking industry. Silicon Valley Bank bought bonds using customers' deposits, but the value of those investments fell as interest rates rose. This is usually not a problem for banks, but Silicon Valley Bank's customers were largely startups that needed cash. Venture capital funding was drying up, and companies were tapping their existing funds deposited with Silicon Valley Bank, which was at the center of the tech startup universe. In response to this liquidity crisis, SVB sold a $21bn bond portfolio at a loss of $1.8 billion. The bank attempted to fill the solvency hole with a combined equity offering of $2.25bn on March 8, but the attempt failed. This is the largest failure of a financial institution in the United States since Washington Mutual collapsed more than a decade ago. The closure of SVB had an immediate effect on some startups that had ties to the bank, as they scrambled to pay their workers and feared having to pause projects or lay off employees until they could access their funds. SVB , the 16th largest bank in the US, had assets of $209 billion, with more than 50% of its investments tied up in long-term securities, including exposure to the Silicon Valley tech and health startup world. The bank's sudden collapse has raised questions about its risk management practices, and the impact of its closure on its clients, who are largely startups and wealthy tech workers. The bank's large uninsured deposits and exposure to high-risk sectors like tech and crypto contributed to its downfall. But SVB isn't the only one... Silvergate Bank, which has been a significant player in the crypto world, has announced that it is closing and returning deposits. The bank's holding company, Silvergate Capital Corporation, stated that the decision was made "in light of recent industry and regulatory developments." The closure follows the loss of one billion dollars in a quarter after customers withdrew $8.1 billion, and a subsequent filing in March revealing even worse financials. The closure of Silvergate Bank is concerning for the crypto industry, as it may lead to companies turning to less regulated institutions for their banking needs, potentially making the space even riskier. Coinbase, Crypto.com, and Paxos have already started moving away from the bank. The collapse of the bank will likely draw scrutiny from lawmakers who are concerned about the crypto contagion affecting the traditional financial sector. The Silvergate Exchange Network, which allowed crypto exchanges like Coinbase, Gemini, and Kraken to move money between themselves and other institutions, has also been shut down. The bank's financial struggles have been ongoing for some time, with some of its high-profile clients like FTX and Genesis also experiencing challenges. Silvergate's collapse raises concerns about the future of the crypto industry, as companies may turn to less regulated institutions for their banking needs, potentially making the space even riskier for everyone involved. The bank's failure is also likely to draw scrutiny from lawmakers concerned about the potential contagion of the crypto industry on the traditional financial sector. Late Friday night Coinbase, a popular cryptocurrency exchange, announced that it would suspend conversions for the USDC stablecoin. This led to a rush of people trying to sell their USDC holdings, causing it to depeg from its value of $1 and trade as low as $0.87 before recovering to $0.92. Another stablecoin, Dai, also depegged and experienced a high volume of trading. Stablecoins are important in the cryptocurrency market as they provide a way for traders to move funds between different exchanges or cryptocurrencies without having to convert back to fiat currency. They are also used as a store of value by some cryptocurrency investors who prefer a more stable asset compared to the volatility of Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies. If stablecoins depeg permanently, it could lead to a loss of confidence in their stability and reliability. This could potentially cause a sell-off of stablecoins and a shift towards other assets perceived as more stable, such as traditional fiat currencies. But before we panic too hard and FUD out, it's important to note that the impact of this crisis on cryptocurrencies such as alts and Bitcoin would depend on the severity and duration of the stablecoin depegging event, as well as other market factors such as investor sentiment and regulatory actions. In the past, there have been instances of stablecoins temporarily depegging from their underlying assets without significant impact on the broader cryptocurrency market. One notable example of a stablecoin depegging in the past is the case of Tether (USDT) in 2018. Tether is a stablecoin that is pegged to the value of the US dollar , with each USDT token representing one US dollar . In October 2018, Tether's price dropped below the $1 peg on several cryptocurrency exchanges, leading to concerns about the stability of the stablecoin. The depegging was attributed to a variety of factors, including regulatory pressures, concerns about Tether's reserves, and a general market downturn. The depegging led to a sell-off of Tether and a shift towards other stablecoins such as USD Coin ( USDC ) and TrueUSD (TUSD), which saw increased demand as traders and investors sought more reliable alternatives. Despite the depegging of Tether, the broader cryptocurrency market did not experience a significant impact, with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies largely unaffected. However, the incident highlighted the potential risks and uncertainties associated with stablecoins and their reliance on centralized institutions to maintain their pegs. In terms of price action for the immediate term, the Tether (USDT) depegging event in 2018 did have some impact on the cryptocurrency market prices, although the impact was relatively limited and short-lived. Following the depegging of USDT, there was a brief sell-off of Tether and a shift towards other stablecoins such as USD Coin ( USDC ) and TrueUSD (TUSD). This led to increased demand for these stablecoins, which helped to maintain their pegs to the US dollar . However, the broader cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin , was largely unaffected by the Tether depegging. While there was some initial volatility and uncertainty, the market quickly stabilized and resumed its upward trend. 💭 Share your thoughts in the comment section and stay tuned! _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
SShort
by Crypto-Check-
29
What if Citron is right?Current market cap = 14.889b FY 22 sales = $2.57b Price to Sales ratio = 5.80 Etsy has been accused by citron research of selling counterfeit products look at the below tweet for their reasoning twitter.com Now here are the 3 big questions to be answered 1. Will ETSY face legal problems in removing all counterfeit products? 2. What % of their 2.57b revenue comes from that products? 3. How much will they have to cut on their ads spend once they deal with this potential problem? how will that affect their sales numbers in the future? I don't think Mr market likes companies in that kind of legal trouble! $12 market price = $1.48b market cap ;) P/S = 0.5-1 ??? My gain is your loss ;) it's a zero-sum game after all. Do your own research! Look first / Then Leap
NASDAQ:ETSYShort
by UnknownUnicorn274312
1
$ETSY: Monster base!I like the setup in $ETSY here, suggesting a massive bottoming pattern is active. The signal suggests a rally towards $150 to $224 by the week starting on Jan 23rd 2023 or sooner will take place as long as the stock holds up and moves steadily higher instead of going back below $101.12, nullifying the breakout from 'fair value'. Valuation is substantially lower now, with PSR reaching levels not seen since 2020 lows, and although loss making in the last quarter, ESP TTM shows the company is profitable. Revenue growth slowed down since 2019 but the trend for revenue is clearly up. Free cash flow yield of 4.5% vs market cap is not bad for such an emerging growth name. Definitely interesting here! Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:ETSYLong
by IvanLabrie
1