Eurnokdaily
I get NOKed down.. but I get up again...You're never gonna keep me down,
I get NOKed down, but I get up again,
You're never gonna keep me down!
Now that you all hopefully have the song stuck as much into your head as I have ;) we can go straight to the facts:
It is true that over the past two years, the Norwegian krone has all too often been one of the big losers in the FX market.
Not only has it embarrassingly been constantly beaten up against the EUR and traded at an all-time low, but it has even brought up the rear of ALL G10 currencies since November 2022.
This was hardly surprising as almost all fundamental factors spoke against the NOK.
However, the tide will turn dramatically in 2024, especially in the EURNOK:
NOK positive:
➡️ Energy prices appear to have bottomed out and could rise again.
➡️ The oil price appears to be stabilising at the USD 60-70 mark and could rise if necessary in the event of a soft landing
➡️ January and February are seasonally positive for the NOK
➡️ Norges Bank surprised EVERYONE in December by raising interest rates again
➡️ Norges Bank enters 2024 as one of the hawkishest of the G10 central banks
➡️ A further rate hike by Norges Bank in early 2024 cannot be ruled out
➡️ It would raise interest rates while virtually all other central banks would be in rate-cutting mode
➡️ Norges Bank will drastically reduce its NOK purchases from January (as previously announced by me in the NOKSEK Tradeidee) , see here:
My CHFNOK Short should also be a sure winner in 2024:
EUR/NOK : Trade Setup !!EUR/NOK , SELL at Current Price or After Breakdown .
You Can Also Set own Risk Reward ratio .
Let see what Will be Next Move.
Warning- I m Not a Financial Advisor this idea Only For Educational Purpose Only.
Thank You !!
EU Losing MomentumEU have had a good run lately, but it seems over, for now at least. EURNOK is a bit special to me. Won a lot, lost a bit, yet, I keep fixating on it because of the large swings and very clear formations it makes. Finally it has come to a point when it is either breaking out short or consolidating. Looking at the past six days, it couldn't make new tops, it's sliding downwards. To add on that, short-term MACD, RSI and mid-term Stochastic seems to agree on most charts, that it's going downwards.
EURNOK New BreakoutA breakout just happened on this pair. I'm only in for a small amount, because EUR has released strong numbers and volume isn't strong. It have been building up cash for over a weak now. But it's a solid breakout, with an exhausted candle yesterday. There is always the chance it might pull back a bit, in US market open, so you could wait. If RSI is diving under 25.0000 I might add to my short position.
EURNOK ReboundIt's rebounding on the fan. EUR is not having a good morning, so a nice add for those that jumped in the last time I had this pair up. For new comers it might be a small entry for you. We are below all ema/ma's, rsi can't make new high. I believe a few coins can me made on this trade.
EURNOK Breakout 3TAPWaited for this to happen for some time now. Hopefully patients will pay off. I have a pretty aggressive short position. Be aware of my stop loss. It is large, but it needs to be over the breakout line so I do not get stopped out if/when stop loss hunt begins. Profit could be bigger than I show, but currently I limit it around 8.83730 which is the last time 200MA had a consolidation. (Zoom out on the chart to see)
