EURO - Price can continue to move up inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
The price action of price reversed its course after breaking out from a previous falling channel formation.
Since then, the asset has been trading within the clear boundaries of a well-defined rising channel.
The price has made several rotations within this structure, consistently finding support near the lower trendline.
Most recently, the pair successfully tested the horizontal support area around $11600, which aligns with the channel's support.
A clear upward bounce occurred from this confluence of support, and the price is currently consolidating from that move.
I expect that after a minor pullback to re-test support, the price will continue its ascent within the channel structure towards the $11935 level.
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EURUSD-2
EURUSD: Buyers Like the New Trade Deals With The US!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 28 - Aug 1st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
EURUSD
Buyers reacting positively to the announcements of trade deals with the US.
Longs are the play until we see a bearish break of significant structure.
FOMC and NFP looming, so be careful the markets don't reverse on your trades!
Wait patiently for buy setups.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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EURUSD: Detailed Support Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest support & resistance analysis for EURUSD
for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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HelenP. I Euro can reach resistance zone and then dropHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart, we can observe a mature uptrend that has been supported by a major ascending trend line for an extended period. However, the momentum of this trend appears to be waning, as evidenced by the price's recent failure to establish new highs. The asset is currently trading below the critical resistance zone of 1.1770 - 1.1800, an area that has proven to be a significant barrier for buyers. My analysis for a short position is based on the condition of a final retest of this resistance zone. I believe the price will make another attempt to rally into this area, and a forceful rejection from this zone would serve as the confirmation that sellers are taking definitive control of the market. Such a rejection would likely initiate a strong downward impulse with sufficient momentum to break the long-standing ascending trend line, a pivotal event that would shift the market structure. Therefore, the primary goal for this bearish scenario is set at the 1.1600 level, a logical target for the price to reach after such a significant structural break. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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EURUSD: FOMC, PCE, NFP, JOLTs - busy week guaranteedThe ECB meeting was one of the major events during the previous week, when it comes to macro data. As it was widely expected, the ECB left rates unchanged, amid uncertainties related to trade tariffs with the U.S.. The ECB maintains its previous macro outlook, viewing the Euro Zone economy as resilient but facing downside risks. President Lagarde highlighted global trade tensions, geopolitical instability and negative shifts in market sentiment as key risks to further growth. At the same time, Lagarde dismissed concerns about the stronger euro, reiterating that the ECB does not target the exchange rate directly. With the inflation level of 2% and deposit rate of 2%, the ECB is in the position to take a wait-and-see stance on further rate cuts, although some analysts are mentioning the possibility of another 25bps cut in September.
Other macro data for the Euro Zone and Germany include the HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash for July, which stood at 49,8 for the Euro Zone and 49,2 for Germany. Both indicators were standing in line with market expectations. The Ifo business Climate in Germany in July reached 88,6, in line with market forecast.
The previous week was relatively weak when it comes to currently important macro data for the U.S. economy. Posted data include Existing Home Sales in June, which reached 3,93M and were a bit lower from forecasted 4,0M. The indicator dropped by 2,7% compared to the previous month. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI flash for July reached 49,5 a bit lower from market forecast of 52,6. At the same time the S&P Global Services PMI flash for July beat market expectation with the level of 55,2. The durable Goods Orders in June dropped by -9,3% compared to the previous month, which was a bit lower from -10,8% expected by the market.
The ECB meeting left its mark on the parity of eurusd currency pair during the previous week. The euro strengthened till the level of 1,1786, but eased as of the end of the week, closing it at 1,1742. The currency pair was testing the 1,17 support line on Friday's trading session. The RSI continues to move at levels above the 50 line, ending the week modestly below the level of 60. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication of a potential cross in the near term period.
The week ahead is an important one from the perspective of macro data. A bunch of currently closely watched data for the U.S. will be posted, including PCE, NFP, JOLTs, Unemployment rate in July. In addition to data, the FOMC meeting will be held on Wednesday, July 30th, where the Fed will decide on interest rates. Current market expectation is that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at this meeting. However, the final decision is with the Fed, in which case, any surprises might significantly move the currency pair toward one side. Also, in case of surprises with any of the above mentioned macro data the market reaction could bring higher volatility. Precaution in trading with eurusd in the week ahead is highly advisable. As per current charts, there is a high probability that the currency pair will move to the downside to test the 1,17 support level for one more time. Levels around the 1,1650 might also be shortly tested. In case that the market decides for a higher ground, there is some probability for the level of 1,18, as the next resistance level to be tested shortly.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: GDP Growth Rate for Q2 for both Germany and the Euro Zone, Unemployment rate in Germany in July, Inflation rate in Germany and the Euro Zone preliminary for July,
USD: JOLTs Job Openings in June, GDP Growth Rate for Q2, Pending Home Sales in June, the FOMC meeting and Fed interest rate decision will be held on Wednesday, July 30th, PCE Price Index for June will be posted on Thursday, July 31st, Non-farm Payrolls for July, Unemployment rate in July, ISM Manufacturing PMI in July, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for July.
Euraud daily timeframe
"Hello friends, focusing on EUR/AUD on the daily time frame, the price is currently in a bullish trend and appears to have completed its pullback to a critical level on the daily chart. In the 4-hour timeframe, there are indications of upward momentum.
After observing the price behavior this week, I believe that higher prices are more likely. However, it is important to note that if the price closes below the 1.7100 level on the 4-hour chart, this analysis may prove incorrect."
If you have any more details to add or need further assistance, please let me know!
GER40 in Motion: This Setup Speaks Volumes 🌅 Good morning, my friends,
I’ve put together a fresh GER40 analysis just for you. Even if the 1-hour timeframe shows some upward momentum, I fully expect the price to reach my target level of **24,050**.
I'm holding firm until that level is hit.
Every single like from you is a massive source of motivation for me to keep sharing analysis. Huge thanks to everyone supporting with a tap!
EURUSD: A Bearish Continuation?From my previous analysis, we anticipated a short-term decline on the EURUSD for a Daily bearish pullback. Price respected our zone and made a even stronger sweep before plummeting as forecasted.
Currently, price has returned to mitigate that liquidity sweep. Given the prior impulsive bearish move—which this current bullish correction stems from—we expect another drop, targeting the weak structure below for a potential liquidity grab or continuation.
We'll continue to monitor how price behaves around the current levels, but unless there's a significant shift in momentum, our bearish outlook remains valid. ✅
Follow us for more updates. 🔔
See you on the next one. 🫡
Premarket Analysis - Will Price Head Lower?Hello everybody!
We’re looking at three key areas on the chart.
Price has been rejected from a supply zone.
The clean upward trendline has been broken, and we expect the price to move lower this week.
If the drop continues, we’ll look to sell and aim for the more likely target around 1.16400.
Then we’ll see whether this first demand/support area holds or not.
Have a good trading week ahead!
Bullish bounce off 38.2% Fibonacci support?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 1.1693
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1656
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1806
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
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6E1!: Rebound at Weekly Supply Sparks Potential ReversalThe EURUSD (6E1! futures) experienced a rebound from a weekly supply zone * and now appears to be approaching a potential reversal toward a demand area. The overall picture is clear: we already capitalized on the rebound off the previous weekly supply zone, and at this point, we're simply observing the price as it approaches another key area of interest. It may be too late to initiate new short positions at this stage, but traders still holding shorts could potentially benefit from a continued move downward.
From a fundamental perspective, our Friday analysis of the DXY ** indicated the possibility of a bullish impulse, and today the US Dollar opened the session with a 0.58% gain. Currently, both commercial and non-commercial traders are aligned with the prevailing scenario. The most optimistic outlook suggests the price could decline to around 1.14030 over the coming weeks.
*
Previous analysis on EURUSD 6E1!
**
DXY Analysis
✅ Please share your thoughts about 6E1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
EURUSD Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.166.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.159.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1665 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1728
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
DeGRAM | EURUSD breakout📊 Technical Analysis
● Two successive rejections at the upper-channel/long-term trend-cap (red arrows) printed bearish engulfings; price has slipped back under 1.1687 minor support, breaking the July micro up-trend.
● Momentum now points to the channel mid-line ≈1.1650; clearing it exposes the lower rail / May pivot 1.1594, in line with the projected swing depth.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Hot US Q2-GDP and an upside surprise in core-PCE lifted 2-yr Treasury yields, reviving dollar demand, while ECB sources signalled no urgency to hike further after soft July PMIs.
✨ Summary
Short 1.1680-1.1700; hold below 1.1687 targets 1.1650 ▶ 1.1595. Invalidate on a 4 h close above 1.1750.
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EURUSD | Faces Continued Downside, Reversal Above 1.1745EURUSD | Faces Continued Downside Risk; Reversal Only Confirmed Above 1.1747
The price initiated a bearish trend from the resistance level at 1.1747 and continues to decline. As long as it remains below the pivot level at 1.1685, further downside pressure is expected, with potential targets at 1.1632 and 1.1559. A confirmed break below this zone would reinforce the more bearish momentum.
However, if the price reverses and moves back above the pivot line, it may first reach 1.1747 before resuming the downward trend again.
The bullish trend confirmation will start above 1.1747.
Key Levels:
• Pivot line: 1.1685
• Resistance: 1.1747, 1.1894.
• Support: 1.1632, 1.15993, 1.1559.
EURUSD: Buy or Sell?Dear friends!
On our 1D chart, after careful observation, we can see that a wedge pattern is forming. After EURUSD breaks out of the previous trend and completes the correction phase, a new downtrend is likely to be established.
Adam's target is to break above the 1.16000 support level and head towards the lower support level of 1.140000, which is where the pine attracts a large amount of buyers.
And you, do you think the price will go up or down? What is the target for your thinking?
EURUSD Did Not Like the EU–US DealThe heavily one-sided EU–US deal has put negative pressure on EURUSD. Ahead of a crucial week filled with major events, including GDP data from both the Eurozone and the US, the PCE report, payrolls, and meetings from the FOMC and BOJ, EURUSD has broken a short-term head and shoulders formation. The pattern's target is near 1.1610.
A retest of the broken support is possible and could even extend to 1.1725. However, unless sentiment changes due to some news, this move may offer only a selling opportunity. The downward trend could also continue without pause.
Options market activity suggests that the 1.16 to 1.18 range is viewed as a "safe zone," with large players likely aiming to keep EURUSD within this band for the week. If the head and shoulders target is reached, EURUSD might stabilize and bounce around the 1.16 level.
DeGRAM | EURUSD is correcting from the channel boundary📊 Technical Analysis
● A second rejection at the upper channel/1.1780 supply (red arrows) signals overextension; price is retracing toward the mid-July demand cluster where the rising-channel floor and prior swing base intersect near 1.1600.
● Momentum remains positive on higher-time-frame: each pull-back since May has held the channel support, and the current decline is unfolding as a corrective ABC that projects into 1.1585-1.1620 — a historically bid zone.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US Q2-GDP deflator cooled 2-yr yields, while July Euro-area CPI flash is expected to stay sticky, trimming the Fed–ECB policy gap and limiting EUR downside.
✨ Summary
Buy 1.1585-1.1620; hold above 1.1594 targets 1.1687 → 1.1780. Long view invalidated on an H4 close below 1.1530.
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EURUSD Supply Rejection – Bearish Move ExpectedOn the 1-hour chart, EURUSD tapped into the 4hr Supply + OB zone 🟧 and failed to hold above previous structure.
- BoS (Break of Structure) shows weakness at highs
- ChoCh (Change of Character) confirms bearish shift
- Price rejected from 0.236 Fib level (1.17400) and is moving lower
Plan:
- Expecting price to move toward 1.16200 (≈ 120 pips from current level) 🎯
- Bearish momentum remains valid as long as price stays below supply zone
- Confirmation candles & retests strengthen short bias
Reasoning:
- Supply zone rejection + failed breakout
- Clear structure shift (ChoCh) toward lower lows
- Fib retracement confluence (0.5 – 0.618 zone) aligning with sell pressure
(Not financial advice – only a personal observation)
EUR/USD Technical Analysis📈 EUR/USD Technical Analysis
🔍 1. Market Structure
⚙ Trend Context
• The overall trend since mid-July has been bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming after a bounce from a key demand zone (around 1.15380).
• However, recent candles show indecision and a potential reversal, suggesting weakening momentum.
⸻
🧱 2. Volume Profile Insight (VRVP)
• High Volume Nodes (HVNs):
• Significant trading activity occurred between 1.172–1.176, now acting as resistance.
• Low Volume Gaps:
• Thin liquidity zones exist between 1.165–1.158, which could result in swift price movement if selling pressure increases.
📘 Educational Insight: Thin volume areas on a profile typically allow for faster price transitions due to lack of order density.
⸻
📊 3. Envelope Indicator – Nadaraya-Watson (8,3)
• A mean-reversion tool estimating dynamic overbought and oversold areas.
• Price recently rejected the upper boundary, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
• The lower envelope, around 1.158–1.160, aligns with the projected bearish target.
⸻
🟫 4. Demand Zone Analysis
• Labeled “DEMAND ZONE” at 1.15380–1.15830
• Previously caused a strong bullish reversal, marking it as an area of institutional interest.
• A re-test of this zone may attract buyers once again, presenting a key support area.
📘 Educational Insight: Demand zones reflect