6E1!: Rebound at Weekly Supply Sparks Potential ReversalThe EURUSD (6E1! futures) experienced a rebound from a weekly supply zone * and now appears to be approaching a potential reversal toward a demand area. The overall picture is clear: we already capitalized on the rebound off the previous weekly supply zone, and at this point, we're simply observing the price as it approaches another key area of interest. It may be too late to initiate new short positions at this stage, but traders still holding shorts could potentially benefit from a continued move downward.
From a fundamental perspective, our Friday analysis of the DXY ** indicated the possibility of a bullish impulse, and today the US Dollar opened the session with a 0.58% gain. Currently, both commercial and non-commercial traders are aligned with the prevailing scenario. The most optimistic outlook suggests the price could decline to around 1.14030 over the coming weeks.
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Previous analysis on EURUSD 6E1!
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DXY Analysis
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Eurusd-4
EURUSD: A New Possibility On The Horizon!!Following my previous post just a few minutes ago, I’ve observed that price may retrace deeper into the 4H supply zone, which could invalidate our earlier bearish setup. This shift is due to visible signs of uncollected liquidity still resting above the current price.
If price continues its rally to the upside, we’ll shift bias and look for potential opportunities to ride the bullish move instead. Losses are part of the game, guys—but no worries, my sell entries are already secured✌️😂.
Stay sharp and stay active, traders. Let’s see how price unfolds from here. Follow for more updates. See you on the next one. ⚔️📊
EURUSD Supply Rejection – Bearish Move ExpectedOn the 1-hour chart, EURUSD tapped into the 4hr Supply + OB zone 🟧 and failed to hold above previous structure.
- BoS (Break of Structure) shows weakness at highs
- ChoCh (Change of Character) confirms bearish shift
- Price rejected from 0.236 Fib level (1.17400) and is moving lower
Plan:
- Expecting price to move toward 1.16200 (≈ 120 pips from current level) 🎯
- Bearish momentum remains valid as long as price stays below supply zone
- Confirmation candles & retests strengthen short bias
Reasoning:
- Supply zone rejection + failed breakout
- Clear structure shift (ChoCh) toward lower lows
- Fib retracement confluence (0.5 – 0.618 zone) aligning with sell pressure
(Not financial advice – only a personal observation)
Bullish momentum to extend?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance, which has been identified as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 1.1588
1st Support: 1.1447
1st Resistance: 1.1817
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SMT in EU and GU + Targeting Liquidity voidI did not expect the GBPUSD to fall with all this force, but the EURUSD’s refusal to fall with it all these points indicates the strength of the current Low from which it rebounded, and it is expected that this bottom will hold
It is clear that GBPUSD was looking for more liquidity and that is why it dropped all these points. With this drop, it created a liquidity void that allowed it to rise and take all these pips back.
EUR/USD H4 DOWNWARD 🔄 Disrupted EUR/USD 4H Analysis
🟢 Current Context:
Price is currently at 1.17375, slightly below the resistance area (1.17400–1.17500).
Market shows a recent bullish impulse, followed by consolidation within the marked resistance zone.
Projection in the image suggests a double-top pattern forming at resistance, followed by a bearish reversal toward the target demand area (~1.15800–1.16000).
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⚠️ Disruption Points:
1️⃣ Failed Double Top Scenario
Disruption Hypothesis: Instead of forming a clean double top and reversing, price may break above the resistance zone at 1.17500.
Reasoning: Strong bullish momentum and recent higher highs indicate potential for bullish continuation, invalidating the bearish target.
Disrupted Path: Price could break out → retest the resistance as new support → continue toward 1.18000–1.18300 zone.
2️⃣ Mid-Range Liquidity Trap
The current range may act as a liquidity trap:
Smart money could push the price slightly below support (fake breakdown), attract sellers, then reverse sharply upwards.
This would trap retail sellers targeting the 1.15800 zone.
EUR/USD – The Cleanest Buy Setup EUR/USD – The Cleanest Buy Setup This Quarter (Wave E Targeting New Highs)
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📄 TradingView explanation
📊 EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis
The pair has beautifully respected the corrective channel from Wave C to D and is now preparing for the final leg — Wave E.
🟦 Key Highlights:
🔹 Price bouncing off demand zone
🔹 Tight consolidation near mid-channel = accumulation
🔹 Next targets: 1.1900 / 1.2050
🔹 Bullish continuation expected after liquidity sweep
🎯 The cleanest and most technically sound buy opportunity this quarter — align your longs with the trend before the breakout happens.
💬 Let them call it a bubble — we call it precision and patience. 🧠💸
#ElliottWave #EURUSD #ForexSetups #SmartMoneyMoves
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Euro may reach resistance level, break it and continue to growHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
For an extended period, the price was dictated by a descending channel, with each rally attempt failing at its upper boundary.
The downward trend culminated in a test of the crucial support level at $1.1635, where sellers were unable to secure a foothold, signaling a potential momentum shift.
This shift was confirmed when buyers took control, launching an upward impulse that decisively breached the long-standing resistance of the channel's upper trendline.
After the breakout, the price established a new local support base above the former channel, solidifying the change in market structure.
The subsequent rally carried the asset's price to the significant horizontal resistance zone around $1.1755, where the upward advance has temporarily stalled.
I expect that after a brief consolidation, bullish pressure will resume, enabling the price to break the $1.1755 barrier and continue towards the $1.1820 target.
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EURUSD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.17201 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.17348.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAU/USD | Gold Holding Strong – Watching for Next Bullish Move!By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, when the price dropped to around $3357, it faced strong buying pressure and rallied up to $3377. After that, it corrected again, pulling back to $3338 so far, and is currently trading around $3341. If gold manages to hold above $3337, we can expect another bullish move, with potential targets at $3347, $3354, $3364, and $3374.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD at Make-or-Break Zone: Time to Short?EURUSD – Key Data Out Today, Short Setup Confirmed?
Today, several important economic indexes were released for both the Euro(EUR) and the Dollar(USD) . Let’s break them down in a simple way:
Eurozone PMI Data: Mixed to Weak
France:
Manufacturing PMI: 48.4 (slightly lower than forecast)
Services PMI : 49.7 (flat, but below 50 = contraction)
Germany:
Manufacturing PMI: 49.2 (weaker than expected)
Services PMI : 50.1(slightly expansionary)
Eurozone Overall:
Manufacturing PMI: 49.8 (still below 50)
Services PMI : 51.2 (slightly stronger than forecast)
ECB left the Main Refinancing Rate unchanged at 2.15% , which was widely expected.
U.S. Data( TVC:DXY ): Strong and Surprising
Unemployment Claims: 217K (better than expected 227K)
Manufacturing PMI: 49.5 (below forecast of 52.7 – a negative surprise)
Services PMI: 55.2 (well above forecast and previous – bullish for USD)
Interpretation :
The Eurozone's growth remains sluggish, especially in France and Germany.
Despite a drop in U.S. manufacturing, the services sector remains strong, and unemployment data confirms labor market resilience.
This mixed picture slightly tilts the balance in favor of the U.S. dollar, especially as the ECB remains on hold while the Fed may still consider being restrictive.
Bias: Short EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD )
Fundamentals support a Short position in EURUSD, in line with the current technical setup.
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Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour time frame to find the best Short position .
EURUSD is currently trading in an Ascending Channel and at a Heavy Resistance zone($1.1845-$1.1602) .
Also, in terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD is completing a microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
One of the most important supports ahead for EURUSD could be the 100_SMA(4-hour TF) .
If the currently 4-hour candlestick forms a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern , it is a better sign for EURUSD to fall .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect EURUSD to decline to at least $1.169 AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel .
Second Target: Support zone($1.1642-$1.158) and Monthly Pivot Point.
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $1.1850
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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EURUSD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
EURUSD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy EURUSD
Entry - 1.1724
Stop - 1.1714
Take - 1.1743
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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DXY: USD Flexes Muscle - Pairs SlideFriday, July 25, 2025
The foreign exchange markets are experiencing a pronounced USD bullish session this morning, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) showing robust gains of +0.35% while simultaneously pressuring all major currency pairs into negative territory. The Japanese Yen (JPY) is bearing the brunt of this dollar strength, currently registering losses between -0.4% to -0.66% across JPY pairs. This market behavior suggests traders should pay particularly close attention to DXY dynamics, as its movements will likely dictate price action across all major currency pairs in today's session.
Technical Perspective: DXY at Critical Inflection Point
A detailed examination of the Dollar Index reveals several compelling technical factors that market participants should consider:
1. Weekly Demand Zone Reaction
- The DXY has demonstrated a strong rejection from a significant weekly demand area
- The subsequent bullish spike indicates potential continuation of upward momentum
- This price action suggests institutional buyers are defending this key level
2. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights
Non-commercial traders (typically hedge funds and speculators) have increased their positions from a bottom level not seen since June 2021 meanwhile the Commercial traders (often corporations hedging FX exposure) show opposing extreme positioning. This stark divergence between trader categories often precedes significant market moves
3. Seasonal Patterns Favor USD Strength
- Historical seasonal analysis indicates the current period typically supports dollar appreciation
- The combination of technical and seasonal factors creates a potentially powerful bullish setup
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EUR/USD | Correction Near Key Demand – Watching for Rebound!By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after the last analysis, the price started a correction and is currently trading around 1.17150. I expect that once it enters the 1.16780–1.17100 zone, we could see a rebound from this key demand area. If the price holds above this zone, the next bullish targets will be 1.17370 as the first target and 1.17730 as the second.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD | Time For A Pullback?The week kicked off with strong impulsive moves to the upside, leaving no room for deeper correction. Then slowly from Wednesday, we started to see a decline in strength in the bullish run.
Now, with price edging toward the next swing low for a possible bearish change of character, is this a good way to ride the stream to the downside?
Keep your A-game on as we watch price unfold, and trade reactively to price movement.
Do not forget to guard your capitals with risk management.
Good luck traders. 👍
Follow me for more and more of these analyses.
See you on the next one. 🫡
EURUSD | Symmetrical Wedge Breakdown
TF: 15m |
🎯 Setup Insight:
The market doesn’t move in straight lines — it coils.
What you're seeing is an ABCDE corrective wedge, playing out its final phase.
Wave E completed, and liquidity is built right above.
We expect a trap in the purple premium zone (1.1740–1.1757) — then a drop toward 1.1695.
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🧠 Strategy:
Sell Zone: 1.17410 – 1.17574
Target: 1.16958
Invalidation Above: 1.17600
Wedge ✅
Liquidity ✅
Confluence ✅
Only one move left — the snap.
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🗝️ Notes:
The market may spike into the OB zone to trap late buyers before the real move unfolds.
The mini-diagram on the right explains it all: "Trap them high, exit them low.✓
EURUSD Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.173.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.184 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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BTC - Last Push: Consolidation, Manipulation & DistributionMarket Context
After a strong upward impulse, Bitcoin has entered a mid-term consolidation phase just below its all-time high. This kind of price action is typical as the market digests recent gains and larger participants prepare for the next move. These pauses in momentum often precede either trend continuation or a reversal — and the structure here suggests we might be witnessing the former, but not without a final shakeout.
Phase 1: Consolidation Around the All-Time High
The first phase is defined by a tight range just beneath the all-time high, where price moves sideways in a balanced struggle between buyers and sellers. This is often where retail participants become overly bullish, anticipating a breakout. However, the lack of a sustained move higher indicates that smart money may be waiting for better entries — or preparing to engineer liquidity to fuel the next move.
Phase 2: Manipulation Into the Fair Value Gap and Golden Pocket
Directly below the range lies a clean Fair Value Gap, with a Golden Pocket retracement nestled inside it. This zone represents a strong area of interest. A sharp move into this area would likely sweep late long positions and trigger stop-losses from range traders — a classic manipulation pattern. This phase serves two purposes: collect liquidity and offer favorable pricing for larger players looking to position themselves before expansion. Watch for signs of absorption or reversal as price enters this zone.
Phase 3: Expansion – The Last Push of the Bull Market?
Following the liquidity sweep and reaction from the Fair Value Gap and Golden Pocket zone, we could see a renewed expansion toward higher highs. This is the phase where volume returns, sentiment shifts, and price accelerates. If this plays out, it could mark the final leg of this bull cycle — potentially driving Bitcoin to new all-time highs with strength.
Execution Thoughts
If you're looking to participate, it's wise to wait for a confirmation signal on a lower timeframe — like the 5-minute or 15-minute chart — once price enters the Fair Value Gap and Golden Pocket zone. Watch for a strong bullish reaction, break of structure, or shift in order flow to signal that buyers are stepping back in.
Final Thoughts
Let the market come to your level and don’t chase moves without context. These three phases — consolidation, manipulation, and expansion — are timeless patterns seen across all markets. Stay patient, stay objective, and react with clarity.
If this breakdown helped you see the setup more clearly, a like would mean a lot — and I’d love to hear your thoughts in the comments! Are you watching the same zone, or do you see something different?
EURUSD HOLDS BULLISH MOMENTUMEURUSD HOLDS BULLISH MOMENTUM📈
24 July I wrote about bearish divergence in EURUSD. Now we see that this resulted into decline towards sma200 on 30-m chart. Currently the price is rebounding from this moving average.
What is the sma200?
The sma200 is a technical indicator that calculates the average closing price of a forex pair or crypto over the past 200 trading periods. It’s used to identify long-term trends, smooth out short-term price fluctuations, and determine potential support or resistance levels.
There is high possibility that the price will continue its way towards local resistance of 1.18300.