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EURUSD

EURUSD bullish breakout supported at 1.1640The EURUSD currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a sideways consolidation breakout, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend. Key Technical Level: 1.1640 This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 1.1640 followed by a bullish rejection would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at: 1.1830 – Near-term resistance 1.1900 – Minor swing high 1.1940 – Longer-term bullish objective On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 1.1640 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward: 1.1590 – Initial support 1.1530 – Key downside target Conclusion: As long as 1.1640 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favoring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The EUR & the USD. Events that can affect the move this weekThis week we are monitoring EUR and USD carefully, as we could see some interesting moves, due to some events on the economic calendar. Let's dig in. FX_IDC:EURUSD MARKETSCOM:EURUSD TVC:DXY MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 22, 2025 EURUSDThe euro is trading near 1.1700, having retreated from an intraday high of 1.1720 after the release of the final June U.S. CPI figures, which confirmed a slowdown in inflation to 2.7% y/y and 0.1% m/m while keeping the core reading steady at 3.1%. The brief rise in risk appetite quickly gave way to stronger demand for the dollar as the probability of the Fed’s first rate cut in September fell from 65% to 55%. Additional pressure on the euro comes from the yield differential: 10-year U.S. Treasuries hover around 4.45%, while German Bunds yield only 2.30%. The gap of more than 215 bp encourages capital to flow from the eurozone into dollar assets, supporting USD demand. Fundamentally, risks for the euro remain tilted to the downside: after June’s rate cut the ECB said further moves depend on price dynamics, and the eurozone composite PMI dropped to 50.1 – the brink of stagnation. Against the backdrop of weak continental activity and moderate yet persistent U.S. inflation, the pair may test support at 1.1615 in the coming sessions, especially if U.S. durable-goods orders exceed forecasts. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1700, SL 1.1720, TP 1.1615
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD AccumulationOn the 5-minute timeframe, buying activity initiates, signaling the potential end of the downtrend. The first indication of upward momentum appears following the formation of a range and a subsequent liquidity sweep. Price then retests the prior low with diminished volume but fails to break below it, suggesting that selling pressure is being absorbed by buyers. This behavior reflects accumulation by informed participants positioning for a move higher. As demand begins to outweigh supply, clear signs of strength emerge Entry: 1.15765 Take Profit: 1.16279 Stop Loss: 1.15621
Long
by richard925
DXY was looking for More Liquidity to sweepIt appears that the DXY was searching for more liquidity before continuing its decline. There are good buying areas for the EURUSD, as the liquidity swept to the bottom, and the immediate rebound indicates the strength of this area and can be considered a buying zone. This area coincides with the 61 Fibonacci support line, confirming the possibility of an upside move. The GBPUSD was targeting the bottom to trigger a liquidity sweep on the weekly timeframe. This is also an SMT signal, but it is somewhat weak, but it confirms the complete vision of the analysis.
Long
by Mr_Liquidity1
EURUSD Is Weaker vs USD. Look For Sells!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 21-25th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: EURUSD Expecting the USD to continue to push higher, which would further drag the EURO down. Look to take advantage of this dynamic and wait for sell setups! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
7
GBPAUD: Weekly Reversal | COT & Seasonality Support Bullish📊 Technical Outlook Price strongly reacted from a key weekly demand zone between 2.0400 and 2.0500, showing clear absorption of bearish pressure. The RSI is rebounding from the 30 area, signaling early reversal potential. The next technical target lies between 2.08900 and 2.10000, within a well-defined supply zone. An early bullish reversal is in progress, with potential for a swing move toward the red zone. 🧠 Commitment of Traders (COT Report – 08/07/2025) GBP: Non-commercial traders are net long, with positioning growing across the board: +869 longs / -926 shorts. Commercials reduce shorts and increase longs → Bullish bias. AUD: Non-commercials are clearly short (-2,267 longs / +1,957 shorts). Commercials are increasing long exposure (+2,629), but still in the minority → Bearish bias. ➡️ The COT spread confirms a GBP long vs AUD short bias. 📅 Seasonality (July) GBP: Historically strong in July, with average monthly gains across all timeframes (especially the 2Y window). AUD: Less favorable seasonal profile in July; flat to slightly negative across all time horizons. ➡️ Seasonality supports GBP strength. 📉 Retail Sentiment 58% Long / 42% Short on GBPAUD ➡️ Retail traders are still heavily long → a shakeout of weak long hands is possible before the real rally begins. 🎯 Strategic Conclusion GBP shows bullish convergence across technical, COT, and seasonal factors. AUD presents clear weakness. The current price zone offers a clean entry point for longs, targeting the 2.08900–2.10000 supply zone.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
10
EURJPY Hits Major Weekly Supply | Is the Bull Run Over?EUR/JPY – Institutional Macro Context (COT) EUR (Euro) Non-commercials net longs increased by +16,146 → strong buying. Commercials added +25,799 long positions. ✅ Bias: Moderately bullish. JPY (Japanese Yen) Non-commercials decreased longs by -4,432. Commercials cut -20,405 long contracts. ❌ Bias: Bearish pressure remains on JPY. Conclusion (COT): EUR remains fundamentally strong, JPY structurally weak. Institutional flows favor long EUR/JPY, but positioning is stretched. Seasonality (July) EURJPY shows strong bullish seasonality in July, especially over the 2Y and 5Y averages (+1.03% and +0.66% respectively). ✅ Seasonality bias: Bullish. Retail Sentiment 89% of traders are short on EUR/JPY. Contrarian bias = bullish confirmation. Technical Analysis (Weekly View) Price is pushing into a major weekly supply zone around 172.50–173.00. RSI still elevated but showing signs of weakening momentum. Potential double top structure forming in confluence with liquidity grab. First downside target sits around 169.50 (daily demand zone). Awaiting a reaction in supply and confirmation for short. Trading Plan (Top-Down) Wait for price to reject the 172.50–173.00 area Watch for bearish confirmation on Daily (engulfing or lower high) Target: 169.50 zone Risk: tight above 173.20 (invalidating supply zone)
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
11
Smart Money Reloading: Will EUR/USD Explode from Demand Zone?📊 Technical Context (Daily) EUR/USD is currently in a corrective phase following the strong June rebound from the 1.1450 area, which culminated in a high near the 1.1850 supply zone. The recent bearish move has pushed the pair back into a key demand area between 1.1450 and 1.1550, a zone that has acted as support multiple times in the past. The latest weekly candle shows a potential bullish exhaustion signal (long lower wick), with the RSI hovering in oversold territory. 📌 Primary scenario: Possible consolidation above 1.1550 followed by a bullish continuation toward 1.1750–1.1800. 📌 Alternative scenario: Break of the recent lows could lead to a deeper retest of the 1.1350 zone. 📈 COT (Commitment of Traders) Non-commercial positioning shows growing bullish interest in the euro: EUR: +971 new longs, -6,654 shorts → strong increase in net long exposure. USD Index: -267 longs, +92 spreads → signs of institutional indecision on the dollar. This suggests a favorable shift toward the euro by smart money. 💡 Retail Sentiment Retail traders remain heavily short on EUR/USD (63% short) with an average entry price of 1.1579. This reinforces the contrarian bullish case, as retail traders are trapped short in a potential reversal zone. 📆 Seasonality Historically, July has been a bullish month for EUR/USD: ➕ 2Y average return: +0.0287 ➕ 5Y average return: +0.0166 This supports a seasonal bullish bias aligning with the current technical setup. ✅ Operational Outlook EUR/USD is trading at a technically and macroeconomically significant area. The confluence of: Weekly demand zone being tested RSI in oversold conditions COT positioning favoring the euro Retail sentiment skewed short Bullish seasonality …makes a bullish bounce plausible in the coming weeks, with a first target at 1.1750. Invalidation level below 1.1450. 📌 Bias: Moderately Bullish 📍 Technical Activation Zone: Above 1.1550 with confirmed bullish price action
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
EURUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W30 | Y25📊 EURUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W30 | Y25 Weekly Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FRGNT FOREX ANALYSIS 📊
Long
by JCFRGNT
XAU/USD | First LONG to $3345, Then a Potential DROP Below $3300By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that last night the price first tapped into the $3340 level, showing an initial push up to $3352. However, the drop intensified soon after, breaking the $3340 resistance and, according to the second scenario, falling to $3310. Upon reaching this key demand level, buying pressure kicked in, pushing the price back up to $3325. Now, the key question is whether gold can hold the $3310 support. If this level holds, we can expect a rise toward $3331 as the first target and $3345 as the second. After this move, a rejection from the $3345 area could trigger another drop, possibly pushing gold below $3300. So, first LONG, then SHORT! THE LATEST VIDEO ANALYSIS : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
47
HelenP. I Euro will reach resistance level and then start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. For an extended period, the euro was trading within a clearly defined downward channel, consistently respecting its boundaries and moving under bearish pressure. Recently, however, the price staged an aggressive breakout from this structure, pushing above the upper trend line with a strong impulse. This move signaled a potential shift in momentum, as buyers appeared to take control and drive the price away from the major support zone near the 1.1600 level. Currently, following this upward breakout, the price is approaching a critical test at resistance 1. This area, centered around the 1.1700 level, is significant as it previously acted as a key pivot point and support inside the downward channel. The current price action is a classic scenario where old support is being retested as new resistance, which will determine the validity of the recent bullish move. Despite the recent breakout, I expect the upward momentum to fail as the price challenges the resistance zone 1 around 1.1700. I anticipate a rejection from this level, which would confirm the breakout as a false move and re-establish the dominant bearish trend. The primary target for the subsequent decline is the major support level at 1.1600. For this reason, my goal is set at the 1.1600 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by FirstNameHelen
2
EUR/USD – Bearish Setup as Wave C Unfolds Toward 1.1523📉 EUR/USD – Bearish Setup as Wave C Unfolds Toward 1.1523 Price has retraced into the key 78.6% fib zone after completing Wave B. With clear rejection from the supply area and lower highs forming, Wave C is now in play. Expecting bearish continuation with potential downside targets around 1.1523. 🔻 SHORT BIAS (Wave C in Play) 📍 Entry Zone: 1.16530–1.16945 🎯 Target: 1.15285 ⛔ Invalidation: Above 1.17023 📊 Timeframe: 4H 📈 Pattern: ABC Zig-Zag Correction 📌 Updated Analysis by: @greenfire_forex 🧠 Note: Wait for confirmation before entering. Risk management is key. #EURUSD #ElliottWave #BearishSetup #ABCPattern #WaveC #PriceAction #ForexAnalysis #TradingView --- Let me know if any correction , would like to suggest
Short
by Greenfireforex
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1663 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.1632 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
3
EURUSD: Bears Are Winning! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16557 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.16419..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
EUR/USD Forecast – Bears in Control Ahead of US Jobless DataEUR/USD Forecast – Bears in Control Ahead of US Jobless Data 🌐 Macro View: Dollar Regains Strength Amid Uncertainty EUR/USD remains under selling pressure as the greenback finds renewed strength following midweek weakness. The market is bracing for fresh U.S. jobless claims data, expected to show a slight rise to 235K. A print below 220K could reignite USD demand, while a surprise above 240K may offer a temporary lifeline for the euro. Amid geopolitical and economic turbulence, the euro continues to underperform as investors shift to the dollar for safety and yield advantage. 📉 Technical Outlook – MMF & Smart Money Perspective The recent breakdown below 1.1600 confirms the bearish momentum. Based on the MMF (Market Momentum Flow) methodology, price action is currently moving within a controlled distribution structure, suggesting further downside potential. Key zones identified from H1 structure: OBS + FVG High Zone (1.1662 – 1.1687): Strong supply zone + volume imbalance. 1.1637: Mid-key level and possible liquidity magnet. 1.1616 – 1.1573: Ideal area for sweeping sell-side liquidity before any sustainable bounce. If price reclaims 1.1662, intraday bullish correction may be in play. However, as long as 1.1687 holds, bears remain in control. 🧭 Trade Plan for Today 🔴 SELL ZONE: 1.1662 – 1.1687 (FVG + OBS Volume Zone) SL: 1.1710 TP: 1.1637 → 1.1616 → 1.1590 → 1.1573 ✅ Preferred entry zone aligned with high-volume imbalance & MMF rejection pattern. 🟢 BUY ZONE (Scalp Only): 1.1575 – 1.1580 (Sell-side Liquidity Zone) SL: 1.1550 TP: 1.1612 → 1.1630 → 1.1645 ⚠️ Use with caution — only upon clear price reaction at lower liquidity sweep area. 🔍 Strategy Insight This is a classic scenario of a controlled pullback within a larger bearish structure. Patience is key — let price tap into imbalanced zones before executing. Given today's U.S. data, volatility may spike during the New York session, so risk management is crucial. 💬 What’s Your Take? Do you expect EUR/USD to retest the 1.1550s zone, or could a surprise from U.S. job data flip the narrative? 👇 Drop your analysis below & follow for more MMF-based setups.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
1
EUR/USD Flexing Strength- Is the Next Big Coming? EUR/USD Market Update – Bullish Setup at 1.16440 EUR/USD is trading around 1.16440, maintaining its bullish momentum in the current uptrend. 🔹 Current Price: 1.16440 🔹 Support Zone: 1.1600 – 1.1620 🔹 Resistance Zone: 1.1680 – 1.1700 🔹 Trend: Strong bullish structure with clear upward momentum The pair is holding above key support and aiming for the next resistance at 1.1700. A breakout above this level could open the door to further upside. Traders watching for a retest near support or breakout entry above resistance. 🎯 Trading Plan: Buy on dips above 1.1620 or wait for a confirmed breakout above 1.1680 with volume. #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #BullishSetup #ResistanceSupport #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TrendTrading #SmartTrader #FXSignals
Long
by SadarExplore
32