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EURUSD

USD/JPY : Get Ready for another Fall ! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the USDJPY chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our last daily timeframe analysis, the price started its rally from the 144 zone and, as expected, hit all three targets at 145.5, 147.35, and 148.65, delivering over 500 pips in returns — even reaching as high as 149.2! Once the price broke above 148.65 and swept the liquidity above this level, it faced selling pressure and dropped to 146.9. Currently trading around 148.65, if USDJPY manages to hold below the supply zone between 148.65 and 149.2, we can expect further downside movement. This analysis will be updated with your support! THE DAILY ANALYSIS : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
12
DeGRAM | EURUSD moving in an ascending channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Bulls punched through the 11-day descending trend-line (circled “breakout”) and immediately based on it, keeping the rising 30-min channel of higher-lows intact. ● The next confluence lies at 1.1665 where the channel mid-line meets the prior swing top; clearance unlocks the upper band / July supply at 1.1692-1.1700. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Friday’s slide in US 2-yr yields after soft existing-home-sales and mixed Fed speak trims dollar carry, while pre-ECB-meeting sources stress “data-dependent patience,” limiting euro downside. ✨ Summary Long 1.1635-1.1650; hold above 1.1665 targets 1.1692 → 1.1700. Bias void on an H1 close below 1.1615. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
9
EURUSD Will Go Up! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 1.166. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.170 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
EUR/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT Hello, Friends! EUR/USD is making a bullish rebound on the 1H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.160level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
2
EUR/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT Hello, Friends! EUR/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 17H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.160 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
BTC - Consolidation, Manipulation & DistributionMarket Context After a strong impulsive rally, Bitcoin is currently consolidating just beneath its All-Time High (ATH). This type of consolidation following an extended move higher often indicates indecision in the market — a pause that either leads to continuation or reversal. The current structure suggests that price is building energy for the next leg. Consolidation and Liquidity Above ATH The price action is tight and sideways around the ATH, which likely means liquidity is building above. Many stop-losses and breakout orders are sitting just overhead — classic conditions for a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep. This range may serve as a trap for early breakout traders, providing an opportunity for smart money to manipulate price lower before taking it higher. Fair Value Gap Retest Scenario Below the current range, we see a Daily Fair Value Gap that aligns with prior bullish imbalances. A move down into this Gap would represent a manipulation phase — shaking out weak longs before rebounding. The Gap also acts as a potential support level where buyers might be waiting. If price reaches into this zone and reacts strongly, it may offer a high-probability long setup. Distribution or Reaccumulation? While this could be interpreted as distribution beneath resistance, it’s equally valid to consider it a reaccumulation phase — a temporary markdown into demand before a fresh expansion. If the market dips into the Gap and quickly reclaims the range, it opens the door for a clean breakout above the ATH and continuation toward the 124,000–126,000 region. Final Thoughts Price rarely moves in a straight line. It pauses, retraces, and often tricks participants before making the real move. This type of consolidation presents opportunity — but also demands patience and clarity. If you found this breakdown insightful, a like would be much appreciated! And I’d love to hear your thoughts in the comments — are we about to sweep down into demand, or is the rocket already on the launchpad?
Long
by Louigi_24
99
EURUSD: the ECB weekThe focus of the previous week was on US inflation figures. Posted data showed relatively stable figures for June, as inflation was standing at 0,3% for the month and 2,7% on a yearly basis. Both figures were in line with market expectations. Core inflation remained elevated and reached 0,2% for June and 2,9% y/y. At the same time, core inflation was by 0,1pp lower from market forecasts. The Producers Price Index in June was standing at 0%, same as core PPI. Compared to the year before, PPI was increased by 2,3%, while core PPI was higher by 2,6%. Retail sales in June were higher by 0,6%, and were better from market estimates of 0,1%. Building permits preliminary for June reached 1,397M and housing starts were standing at 1,321M in line with market expectations. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for June was at the level of 61,8 in line with forecasts. Five year inflation expectations cooled a bit to 3,6%, from previous 4%. This year inflation expectations also eased to 4,4% from previous 5%. The Industrial Production in the Euro Zone in May was higher by 1,7% for the month, bringing the indicator to the level of 3,7% on a yearly basis. Both figures were much higher from market forecasts of 0,9% for the month and 2,4% for the year. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in July for Germany reached the level of 52,7 a bit higher from forecasted. The final CPI in the Euro Zone in June was 2,3% y/y and core CPI at 2,3%, without change from the previous estimates. For the second week in a row markets favored the US Dollar, which strengthened to the level of 1,1570 against euro. The currency pair ended the week at the level of 1,1626. The RSI continues to move around the level of 50 and is still not ready for a move toward the oversold market side. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication of a potential change in course in a near term period. With a move toward the 1,1560, the eurusd tested the short term support line. At this level, the currency pair peaked in April this year. Charts are pointing to a potential for the short term reversal in the coming period. In this sense, levels modestly above the 1,17 resistance could be shortly tested. On the opposite side, 1,1560 might be tested for one more time at the start of the week, before the move toward upside. It should be considered that the ECB meeting will be held in a week ahead, where ECB members will draw the interest rate decision. A pause in rate cuts is overwhelmingly expected by market participants. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: GfK Consumer Confidence in august in Germany, HCOB manufacturing PMI flash for July for both Germany and Euro Zone, ECB meeting and interest rate decision will be held on Thursday, July 24th, Ifo Business Climate in July in Germany, USD: Existing Home Sales in June, Durable Goods Orders in June.
by XBTFX
EURUSD FOUND SUPPORT, READY TO BREAK THE CHANNELEURUSD FOUND SUPPORT, READY TO BREAK THE CHANNEL🔥 EURUSD has been trading within the descending channel since the beginning of the descending channel. Recently the price reached the major trendline, graph started to show the bullish divergence on the RSI . What is a bullish divergence? A technical analysis pattern where the price makes lower lows, but a momentum indicator (e.g., RSI, MACD) forms higher lows, signaling weakening bearish momentum and a potential trend reversal upward. So, another hike in this pair is expected. Possible direction: spike towards the SMA200, minor pullback and a further development of the bullish impulse.
Long
by ProfessorSingapore
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis ● EUR/USD has reclaimed the inner resistance of the 8-day descending channel after a V-shaped rebound from the lower rail; candles are now riding a fresh micro up-sloper. ● A 30 min close above 1.1666 (channel roof / prior pivot) confirms trend reversal and projects the measured move to the higher congestion band at 1.1690-1.1700. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Yesterday’s dip in US 2-yr yields after weaker Philly-Fed new-orders and higher jobless claims softens dollar demand, while ECB minutes signalled no rush to ease further, supporting the euro. ✨ Summary Long 1.1630-1.1650; break of 1.1666 targets 1.1690 → 1.1700. Invalidate on an H1 close below 1.1585. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2
3-Year Euro Uptrend — An Absurdity Amid a Weak EconomyCMCMARKETS:EURUSD The euro is climbing, hitting its highest levels since late 2021 near $1.18. This surge is driven by diverging central bank policies—with the ECB holding rates steady while the Fed leans dovish—amid global tensions that push gold higher and rattle markets, weakening the dollar even though the eurozone economy remains fragile. 📉 1️⃣ Dollar Weakness Takes Center Stage Since its January 2025 peak, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen by over 11% 📉—one of its worst starts in decades, comparable to the slumps of 1986 and 1989. As inflation cools, markets are betting on Fed rate cuts, pulling U.S. Treasury yields lower. Coupled with monetary policy divergence and tariff drama, the dollar’s usual safe-haven appeal is fading, even amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. 📊 2️⃣ Fed–ECB Policy Divergence While the ECB has signaled the possibility of one or two cuts this year, markets are pricing in a milder path. By contrast, the Fed is tilting dovish, with swaps markets expecting a rate cut in September and another by December 🗓️. This widening yield differential supports EUR/USD, even though eurozone growth remains soft. ⚖️ 3️⃣ Trump Tariff Risks and Sentiment Shift Uncertainty around U.S. trade policy—especially the threat of renewed tariffs—has weighed more heavily on USD sentiment than on eurozone currencies. Markets view these tariffs as inflationary and damaging to U.S. growth prospects. Speculative positioning data confirms record bearish sentiment on the dollar, with funds underweight USD for the first time in 20 years 💼. 💶 4️⃣ Eurozone’s Fiscal Shift Germany has begun spending and borrowing, marking a dramatic pivot from years of fiscal restraint. This has raised hopes for an investment-driven recovery across the eurozone. Meanwhile, ECB President Christine Lagarde is avoiding signaling aggressive cuts, stabilizing market expectations and maintaining a sense of monetary calm—for now 🛡️. 🛡️ 5️⃣ Safe-Haven Flows Shifting Traditionally, geopolitical stress boosts the USD as a safe haven. This cycle is different: investors are increasingly turning to gold, the Swiss franc, and the yen as defensive assets, indirectly supporting the euro. In April, when Trump delayed tariff plans, safe-haven USD flows unwound further, fueling euro gains 💰. ⚠️ Risks Ahead for EUR/USD: 💔 Weak Eurozone Fundamentals: The eurozone economy is not booming. The IMF projects just 0.9% growth for 2025, with Germany, France, and Italy struggling to regain momentum. The ECB’s Financial Stability Review flags worsening credit conditions, weak private investment, and deteriorating balance sheets, none of which support sustained euro appreciation 📉. 🚢 A Strong Euro Hurts Exports: Eurozone exporters in machinery, chemicals, and autos are already facing squeezed margins from rising input costs and global protectionism. A stronger euro makes exports less competitive, shrinking the eurozone’s current account surplus, which dropped sharply from €50.9 billion in March to €19.8 billion in April, according to the ECB 📊. ⚡ Political Risks Looming: Fragile coalitions in Germany, budget battles in France, and rising anti-EU sentiment in Italy and the Netherlands could swiftly unwind euro gains if tensions escalate. Should the ECB turn dovish to support a weakening labor market, the euro’s rally could reverse quickly 🗳️. 📈 7️⃣ Technical Picture: Overextension Warning In addition to the macro drivers, EUR/USD is now technically overextended. The pair has already retraced exactly 78.6% of its major bearish trend that started in January 2021 and ended in September of that year. Ahead lies a strong resistance zone at 1.18000–1.20000, which will be difficult to break without a significant catalyst. Notably, the daily chart shows bearish RSI divergence, indicating fading momentum beneath the surface of this rally. A pullback toward the 1.13000 level would not be surprising, even as near-term momentum remains strong. This technical setup calls for caution while the pair tests these critical levels. 📈 Technical Outlook: EUR/USD Showing Signs of Overextension Beyond macroeconomic factors, EUR/USD is currently technically overextended. The pair has retraced exactly 78.6% of its major bearish trend that began in January 2021 and concluded in September the same year. It is now approaching the upper boundary of a 3-year ascending channel, facing a significant resistance zone between 1.18000 and 1.20000—a hurdle unlikely to be crossed without a strong catalyst. Additionally, the weekly chart reveals a bearish RSI divergence, signaling that underlying momentum is weakening despite the recent rally. Given this, a pullback toward the 1.13000 level is plausible, even as short-term momentum remains robust. This technical setup advises caution as the pair navigates these critical resistance levels.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
1
EURUSD Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25 📊EURUSD Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FRGNT 📊
Long
by JCFRGNT
Bullish momentum to extend?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.1584 1st Support: 1.1448 1st Resistance: 1.1809 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
GOLD-XAUUSD vs. The FED: Technicals or Fundamentals?Good Morning Traders, Let’s break down what gold is showing us on the 1-day chart: - **Resistance:** 3,378 - **Support:** 3,282 - There’s a noticeable **head and shoulders pattern** on the chart. Under normal conditions, gold’s target sits at **3,170**. Gold is highly sensitive to fundamental factors. Sudden war news or events like last week’s rumors about Trump firing the Fed Chair can trigger serious volatility. That’s why I always combine **technical and fundamental analysis** in my approach. For gold to reach the 3,170 target, the **3,282 support level must first be broken**. Since that hasn't happened yet, we can't confirm a bearish move—fundamentals play a key role here. Keep in mind: this is a **swing trade** setup based on a 1-day chart. Reaching the target could take time. I want to sincerely thank everyone who’s been supporting my analyses with likes—your support is my biggest source of motivation when it comes to sharing content. Much love and respect to you all.💛
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by TraderTilki
EURUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15 chart, the price could rise toward our sell entry level at 1.1641, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 1.1604, a pullback support that aligns closely with the 62.8% Fib retracement. The stop loss is set at 1.1670, an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
NZDUSD - Elliott Wave: High-Probability Reversal Zone Ahead!NZDUSD – Elliott Wave Roadmap 3Day Chart Every move has been unfolding with precision — true to Elliott Wave Theory. We're in the final leg of a massive A-B-C correction: - Wave A and the complex Wave B (WXY) are complete. - Wave C is now in play, targeting the highs of Wave A. We’ve just seen a clean 5-wave advance (wave 1 leading diagonal). Now expecting a classic ABC correction for wave 2, into our reversal zone (38.2–61.8% Fib). 🔍 Once price enters this zone, we’ll drop to lower timeframes and: - Look for bullish confirmations (BOS, trendline break) - Set entries with stops below corrective lows - Targets: 0.63 (500 pips) and 0.65 (700 pips) 📌 Why is the buy zone so big? It’s a higher timeframe zone. Once price enters, we zoom into lower timeframes for precise entries. The zone simply tells us when to focus, not where to blindly buy. This is the Wave 3 generation point — and that’s where the real move begins. Plan your trade. Watch for the setup. Execute with confidence. Goodluck and as always, Trade Safe! NZDUSD 12H Chart - Looking for this ABC correction for wave 2
by WicktatorFX
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our tale profit. Entry: 1.1667 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.1736 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.1535 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
2
DXY was looking for More Liquidity to sweepIt appears that the DXY was searching for more liquidity before continuing its decline. There are good buying areas for the EURUSD, as the liquidity swept to the bottom, and the immediate rebound indicates the strength of this area and can be considered a buying zone. This area coincides with the 61 Fibonacci support line, confirming the possibility of an upside move. The GBPUSD was targeting the bottom to trigger a liquidity sweep on the weekly timeframe. This is also an SMT signal, but it is somewhat weak, but it confirms the complete vision of the analysis.
Long
by Mr_Liquidity1