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EURUSD

EUR/USD : Another Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently breaking through the 1.16–1.158 zone. If it manages to hold below 1.159, we can expect further downside movement. The next targets for EURUSD are 1.15580, 1.154, and 1.148. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
15
EUR/USD - Daily Chart (Wedge Breakout) (16.07.2025) The EUR/USD Pair on the D1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0956 2nd Support – 1.0625 💡 Fundamental & Sentiment Context Euro under pressure amid renewed concerns over EU‑US trade friction . The USD is strengthening, supported by safe‑haven flows amid tariff uncertainties. 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
32
EURUSD Under Pressure as Macro Divergence WidensEURUSD is facing renewed downward pressure after rallying from 1.02 to 1.18 in a strong multi-month move. However, diverging inflation expectations between the EU and the U.S. are now weighing heavily on the pair. One major signal comes from real yields. The Germany–U.S. 10-year real yield spread currently sits at -1.1182, the same level seen during the 2024 top near 1.11 and the 2023 top near 1.10. By that measure, EURUSD appears expensive. Over the past five years, 69% of EURUSD’s moves can be statistically explained by this real yield spread, making it a key macro indicator. Inflation expectations are also diverging. The U.S. 5y5y inflation swap is trending upward, while the EU’s equivalent has remained flat. This suggests the Fed may keep rates elevated for longer than initially expected. Beyond bond market dynamics, the August 1 tariff deadline is approaching with no deal in sight. In fact, tensions are rising, as the EU prepares possible countermeasures targeting $84 billion worth of U.S. goods. Adding to the pressure, political risk in France is building due to ongoing budget negotiations. Technically, the recent break of both the uptrend (yellow) and the downtrend channel was significant. Euro bulls now need to reclaim and hold above 1.1660 to avoid deeper losses. If they fail, 1.1445 could become the next key support level, with further downside possible depending on how the news develops.
Short
by ftdsystem
EUR/USD Retracement Into Demand ZoneHello guys! EUR/USD is currently undergoing a healthy retracement after an extended bullish trend within the ascending channel. The price is now approaching a key demand zone, which aligns perfectly with the mid-line of the channel structure. This zone previously acted as a strong resistance area and is now expected to serve as support, confirming a classic flip in market structure. The reaction around the 1.16288 - 1.15774 area will be crucial. If buyers step in here, the bullish momentum is likely to resume with the next major target being the upper resistance zone near 1.20000 , as projected by the upward arrow. The overall structure remains bullish as long as the price holds above the channel support and doesn't close below the last demand zone.
Long
by melikatrader94
11
DeGRAM | EURUSD rebound from the trend line📊 Technical Analysis ● Price printed a hammer and bullish RSI divergence on the lower rail of the 3-week descending channel (green arrow 1.1598), breaking the inner wedge that guided last leg down. ● First resistance is the channel mid-line / prior pivot 1.1632; a move through it exposes the upper band near 1.1692, where July supply and the larger bearish trend-line converge. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Softer US retail-sales control-group and Daly’s “more evidence needed” remarks cooled 2-yr yields, trimming dollar support, while ECB’s Knot said additional cuts “are not imminent,” limiting euro downside. ✨ Summary Long 1.1600-1.1620; hold above 1.1632 targets 1.1690. Long view void on an H1 close below 1.1580. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
3
EURUSD Will Go Down! Short! Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD. Time Frame: 15m Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.161. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.159 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed under the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis ● Price is stalling against the upper band of a three-month rising channel (≈ 1.1790) after producing a false break and quick rejection—marking a potential bull-trap at trend resistance. ● Bearish divergence on the 4 h RSI and the first lower-high inside a micro rising wedge suggest momentum is fading; a slide through 1.1745 should trigger profit-taking toward the mid-channel support at 1.1595. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Solid US payrolls and a hawkish tone in FOMC minutes lift two-year yields, reviving the dollar bid, while post-election coalition wrangling in France keeps a risk premium on the euro. ✨ Summary Sell 1.1785 ± 15 pips; break below 1.1745 targets 1.1595. Invalidate on a 4 h close above 1.1810. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
2
EURUSD TRIGGERED STOP LOSSTRADING IDEA UPDATE - EURUSD TRIGGERED STOP LOSS The U.S. CPI report data came out right what the market expected (2.7% vs. 2.7% annually). After this report the pair went downwards on increased volume, triggering my stop loss and found the support only on 4-h sma200 and 1.16000 level. What will be the possible scenario next? I assume that the asset will go testing the trendline at 1.16650. If the test is successful, I will consider opening a 🔽 a pending sell stop order at 1.16651 with ❌a stop loss at 1.18180 and 🤑a take profit at 1.15122 Only if the retest is successful, not earlier! Let's observe first. Additionally, today is the U.S. PPI report coming out at 12:30 p.m. UTC, so got to be careful around this time
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
July 15 2025 -Sell Limit ActivatedGood day, folks! Just sharing another learning from my ideas here: EURUSD has been in a bearish structure since July 14, 2025 (1H Intraday). As you know, I always look for clear supply or demand validation before placing a sell or buy limit order. On the chart, you can see a valid supply zone that was generated on Monday. After that, I waited for a clear move during the Tuesday London and New York sessions, with the CPI news release acting as a catalyst for more volatility. The trade came to fruition during the New York session on Tuesday. (See chart for the complete breakdown of the movement and entry.) RR: 1:3 Another Wyckoff schematics and structure analysis.
Short
by glyrad
Eyes on 1.16300: EUR/USD Prepares for the Next Move.📉 EUR/USD Technical 📈 The pair has broken a strong support level and is now finding footing around 1.15970, forming a fresh bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) at this zone. At the moment, EUR/USD is moving within a bearish FVG. Here's what to watch next: 🔻 If the market dips from here, we could see a reversal from the lower edge of this FVG. 🔼 But if it holds and pushes higher, breaking above 1.16300 — the CE (Continuity Equation) level of the bearish FVG — that could unlock further bullish momentum. 🚨 Key Levels to Watch: Support: 1.15970 Resistance/Breakout Zone: 1.16300 📊 Stay alert — price action at these levels could define the next move. 👉 DYOR – Do Your Own Research 📌 Not financial advice.
by Peter_Wade
Dollar MoonHey, Been a while that I shared a chart here, sorry for that. I love the place where the dollar is at the moment. The easiest plays are from these long-term value areas, and this one is also stacked with a trendline making it a bit more obvious for everyone. The daily trend is broken since yesterday, shifting bullish long-term. I think a daily pullback is likely, perhaps even back to daily lows to fill up demand. But long-term, I am super bullish for the dollar. The $ has been bullish since 2008, we all see it. Time for the next leg up. Let's go! Kind regards, @ mnieveld
TVC:DXY
by newcapitalfx
EURUSD H1 I Bullish Rise Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1.1603, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 1.1641, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement. The stop loss is placed at 1.1579, an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
EURUSD – Bullish Momentum ReturnsEURUSD is gradually breaking free from downward pressure as it breaches the short-term accumulation structure, aiming for the resistance zone around 1.1720. On the chart, a clear bullish trend is emerging, supported by FVG signals reinforcing the recovery. On the news front, expectations are rising that the European Central Bank will maintain a tighter policy stance for longer, as core inflation in the Eurozone remains elevated. Meanwhile, the USD is under corrective pressure following last week’s lower-than-expected U.S. CPI data. Upcoming statements from ECB and Fed officials today will be key in determining the next move for this currency pair. Unless a surprise arises from the U.S. side, EURUSD is likely to sustain its short-term upward momentum and test the next technical resistance area.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD – From Structure to Shift 1H Technical Outlook by MJTrading EURUSD moved cleanly through a sequence of structural phases: • Previous Base • Multi-day Consolidation (potential quiet accumulation) • Transition into a well-respected Descending Channel Price has since shown repeated rejections from the upper boundary, including a decisive selloff from the 1.1750 zone, forming what we now label a "Pressure Gap" — a space where aggressive sellers overwhelmed price. 🧭 Key Scenarios Ahead: 🔻 Bearish Continuation: Breakdown below 1.1700 opens room toward: • 1.1640 (channel bottom) • 1.1600 Liquidity Zone Watch for impulsive sell candles + EMA rejection 🔁 Short-Term Bounce or Trap: Holding above 1.1700 could spark a rebound toward 1.1750 This may serve as a final test before another leg lower Only a clean break and hold above 1.1763 flips structure bullish 🔍 Bonus Confluence: 1D Chart shows broader bullish context (inset) EMAs tightening = expect volatility burst Well-defined structure gives clear invalidation and targets Every trend tells a story — from base building to breakout, and now a possible breakdown. Trade the structure, not the prediction. #EURUSD #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #DescendingChannel #LiquidityZone #SmartMoney #MJTrading
Short
by MJElahifx
2
EUR/USD Technical Outlook: Bearish Momentum Builds Below Key ResEUR/USD has broken down from its recent highs near the 1.1750 resistance area, which coincides with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The pair is now trading around the 1.1600 handle, slipping below a short-term support zone near 1.1576. This breakdown signals potential continuation of bearish pressure in the coming sessions. The 50-day SMA (1.1477) remains upward sloping, but the price action has now decisively turned lower, with a series of lower highs forming after the July peak. The MACD histogram is fading, indicating waning bullish momentum, and the RSI has dropped to 47.7—losing the bullish bias and heading toward bearish territory. If EUR/USD cannot reclaim the 1.1576–1.1600 zone quickly, a deeper pullback toward the 50-day SMA or even the 1.1450–1.1500 range may unfold. On the upside, bulls would need to push back above the 1.1750 resistance to regain control, but given the loss of momentum and structure, the near-term bias favors the bears. -MW
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD - Wedge Breakout (CPI- Today) 15.07.2025 The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.1741 2nd Resistance – 1.1766 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
35
EUR/USD drops post US CPI reportAfter gaining ground last week, the US dollar initially came under slight pressure earlier today. However, it regained momentum in the aftermath of a mixed US inflation report. Despite the nuanced inflation print, market expectations around interest rate policy remained largely unchanged. Investors continue to anticipate a slower pace of rate reductions, a sentiment that could further weigh on the EUR/USD pair—provided confidence in the Federal Reserve’s monetary approach remains intact. Mixed Signals from US Inflation Data The consumer price index for June presented a mixed picture. Headline CPI increased by 0.3% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year, surpassing both the previous 2.4% figure and the 2.6% forecast. However, core CPI (which excludes food and energy) showed a slightly softer reading, rising by only 0.2% month-on-month—below the expected 0.3%. The annual core rate stood at 2.9%, in line with expectations. This mixed data has not allayed fears that inflation could remain sticky for longer. As a result, the Fed may hold off on aggressive rate cuts, although a possible move in September remains on the table. Adding to the dollar’s bullish case, President Trump has proposed aggressive tariffs—35% on select Canadian goods and up to 30% on imports from Mexico and the EU—if no agreements are reached by August 1. These protectionist threats, combined with his expansive fiscal agenda, could drive inflation higher and bolster the dollar if market faith in US policy stays strong. Euro Zone Data Shows Resilience, But the Euro Falters Despite some encouraging macroeconomic indicators from the Eurozone, the euro slipped. Germany’s ZEW economic sentiment index rose to 52.7, outperforming both expectations (50.8) and the previous reading (47.5). Additionally, industrial production climbed 1.7% month-on-month, beating forecasts. While these positive data points reflect a degree of resilience in the euro area, trade tensions are looming. The European Union has said it will retaliate on US products—ranging from aircraft to alcohol—should trade talks collapse or fail to yield agreements by the August 1 deadline. Technical Outlook Technically, EUR/USD breached the bullish trendline established since Q1, a development that bears are watching as the session wears on. Currently, the pair is testing a key support zone between 1.1570 and 1.1630—an area that served as resistance in both April and mid-June before the rally that followed. Should prices fall decisively below this support today or in the coming days, the technical bias could shift bearish. On the upside, resistance lies at 1.1700 and 1.1750. A break above these levels would clear the way for bulls to target a fresh 2025 high above 1.1830. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom