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EURUSD

Which Way to GoHello students and traders, let us jump into a quick top down analysis of the EURUSD. On the Monthly, we see that price is in a down swing. We have seen price recently go bullish, all the way into the Monthly zone, from where it has begun to reverse bearish. We expect price to hold bearish and continue to melt towards our Monthly liquidity target. Weekly & Daily: On the weekly and daily Time frames, we have a bullish setup. This bullish setup is what has helped in driving prices all the way up and into the Monthly refined reversal zone. The weekly timeframe is curently seeing a bearish reversal. With the price hitting the monthly zone, there is a low likelihood of price continuing bullish. The bearishness might just continue for a while. 4 hour and 1 Hour On the smaler timeframes of the 1 and 4 hour timeframe, market is in a bearish swing. We see prices making lower highs and lower lows, a clear sign of a downtrend. We expect this bearishness to hold. Where that happens, we will see market in the longrun and on the lower time frames experience bearish reversals, with price untimately targetting the Monthly liquidity target.
Short
by PanzyPips
EURUSD - OPPORTUNITY TO PLAY BOTH SIDES OF DESCENDING CHANNEL CMCMARKETS:EURUSD TRADING IDEA - EURUSD MOVES WITHIN A DESCENDING CHANNEL - OPPORTUNITY TO PLAY BOTH SIDES EURUSD has been trading within a descending channel since the beginning of the month. Nearby the upper border of the channel there is SMA200 on a 30-m timeframe, pushing on the pair. Generally speaking, all major moving averages are pushing on the EURUSD, the short-term bearish trend continues, so I decided to open 🔽 a market sell order at 1.16688 with ❌a stop loss at 1.16985 and 🤑a take profit at 1.16324 Later I expect a rebound from the lower border with a potential uprise towards upper border of the descending channel.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 14, 2025 EURUSDThe euro remains under pressure: on Monday the pair slipped to 1.16750 after the European Commission extended its pause on retaliatory tariffs against the United States until 1 August. With no resolution in sight, the trade dispute keeps European exporters on edge and turns the dollar into a safe-haven choice for investors looking to limit risk. Additional support for the greenback comes from rising real yields. The 10-year U.S. Treasury rate is holding above 4.40 %, locking in a wide spread over German Bunds. That has led futures traders to price in just one 25 bp Federal Reserve rate cut for the rest of the year, reducing the euro’s relative appeal. Macro data from the euro area offer little relief. German industrial production rose only 0.2 % m/m in May, while the July ZEW expectations index slid back into negative territory. With the ECB having already delivered a June cut and projecting lower inflation ahead, inward capital flows to the eurozone remain subdued. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.16750, SL 1.17050, TP 1.16200
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD Holding Support — Watching for Bullish ReactionHi Everyone, Since our last update, EUR/USD continues to range near the 1.16680 support level. We’re watching for buying interest to emerge above the key 1.16450 zone, which has acted as a critical level for the broader structure. Should price manage to stabilise and form a base here, there’s potential for a move back towards the highlighted resistance area around 1.17450. A clear reaction from support could confirm renewed buying interest and set the stage for a retest of last week’s highs. Our broader outlook remains unchanged: as long as price holds above 1.16450, we continue to look for the pair to build momentum for another move higher in the coming sessions. A decisive break above last week’s high could attract fresh buying interest, paving the way for a push towards the 1.19290 area and ultimately 1.20000. We'll be watching closely to see if this recovery gains traction and whether buyers can sustain the move above resistance. The longer-term view remains bullish, provided price continues to respect the key support zone. We’ll keep updating you through the week as the structure unfolds and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we really appreciate the support! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Sells from 1.17200 back downWeekly Outlook: EUR/USD (EU) This week, my bias on EUR/USD is similar to GBP/USD, as both pairs have been following a consistent bearish trend. Based on this structure, I’ll be watching to see if price begins a retracement back into an area of supply. I’ve marked out the 8-hour supply zone, which sits at a premium level and was responsible for the last break of structure to the downside. If price retraces into this zone, I’ll look for potential sell confirmations on the lower time frames. If price doesn’t tap into the supply zone first, I’ll then shift my focus to the 8-hour demand zone below. In that case, I’ll watch closely for signs of accumulation and a bullish reaction from this level, which could signal the start of a rally. Confluences for EUR/USD Sells: ✅ Bearish trend has been consistent for the past few weeks. ✅ Breaks of structure have formed new supply zones to trade from. ✅ Liquidity exists below current price, which may be targeted first. ✅ The lower demand zone remains unmitigated, suggesting further downside movement. 📌 On the way down toward demand, I expect price to form another break of structure to the downside. The plan is to ride the sells down into demand, then look for potential buy opportunities if price begins to accumulate and react. Let’s stay sharp and disciplined — have a solid trading week, everyone! 📊
Short
by Hassan_fx
Bullish continuation?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.1589 1st Support: 1.1448 1st Resistance: 1.1815 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci support and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1632 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.1582 Why we like it: There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.1738 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD: focus on inflationThis week was calm when it comes to currently important US macro data. The most important event was related to the release of the FOMC meeting minutes from the June session. There was no new information revealed in the Minutes, which has not already been communicated with the public. The Fed is aimed to maintain flexibility around future rate cuts. They will most probably remain on hold until the economic data more clearly supports a slowdown. Analysts continue to be of the opinion that the Fed will most probably make the next rate cut somewhere in late 2025 and into 2026. Such opinion is supported with ongoing risks of both rising inflation and unemployment due to introduced trade tariffs, putting challenge to Fed officials. Industrial Production in Germany during May increased by 1,2% for the month, which was much better from estimated 0%. Retail Sales in the Euro Zone dropped in May by -0,7%, bringing the indicator to the yearly level of 1,8%. Balance of Trade in Germany in May reached euro 18,4B, better from expected euro 15,5B. Inflation rate in Germany, final for June, was standing at the level of 0% for the month and 2% for the year. Both figures were in line with market expectations. Wholesale prices in Germany in June were higher by 0,2% and 0,9% on a yearly basis. Markets favored US Dollar during the previous week, where the eurusd was traded within a range from 1,1790 down to 1,1670. The RSI moved from the overbought market side, ending the week at the level of 57. As long as the indicator is holding above the level of 50, there will be no indication that the market has started to clearly eye the oversold market side. At the same time, the MA50 continues to strongly diverge from MA200, within an indication of a potential slowdown in the coming period, as well as potential crossovers. Although this week was a relatively calm one, the week ahead brings some important US macro data, including June inflation, PPI and University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data. Considering current market sensitivity on any negative movements in inflation figures, the week ahead might bring some increased volatility on financial markets. As per current charts, eurusd has some space for a further move toward the downside, at least till the level of 1,1650. There is also potential for a short term reversal indicated on charts, with some potential that 1,1750 might be tested during the week. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Industrial Production in the Euro Zone in May, ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in July in the EuroZone and Germany, USD: Inflation Rate in June, Producers Price Index in June, Retail Sales in June, Building Permits preliminary for June, Housing Starts in June, Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for July.
by XBTFX
Two Brains, One Trade: Why You Freeze Under PressureBy MJTrading: In trading, your biggest opponent isn’t volatility. It’s your own neural wiring. Every trader operates with two main systems: 🧠 System 2 – Rational, deliberate, planning (Prefrontal Cortex) 🧠 System 1 – Emotional, instinctive, fast (Amygdala & Limbic Brain) Before entry, System 2 is in control. You feel calm, logical. But the moment money is at risk—especially in drawdown or after a missed TP—System 1 takes over. 💥 Stress hormones spike 💥 Focus narrows 💥 Long-term thinking disappears 💥 You freeze, or act impulsively You knew what to do. But you didn’t do it. Because in that moment, your rational mind wasn’t driving anymore. ⚖️ Set & Forget vs. Floating Managers Different trading personalities react differently under pressure: 🔹 Set & Forget Traders Rely on automation or predefined exits to bypass emotional hijack. They reduce cognitive load, but often feel regret when price goes “a little more.” 🔹 Floating Management Traders Rely on intuition and live feeling. They stay with the chart, adjusting based on flow. When calm and trained, they shine. But under pressure, they’re more vulnerable to emotional loops: – hesitation – premature exits – revenge tweaks – system betrayal 🧘‍♂️ What can you do? ✔️ Pre-plan decisions Make the hard calls before emotions kick in. ✔️ Mental rehearsal Visualize trade management scenarios—yes, like athletes do. ✔️ Create fallback protocols So if you freeze, your system still knows what to do. 🧠 For Those Who Want to Go Deeper: “Thinking, Fast and Slow” by Daniel Kahneman Understand System 1 & 2 thinking—and how cognitive bias shapes all decisions, not just trades. “The Hour Between Dog and Wolf” by John Coates A stunning look at how biology, hormones, and risk-taking collide in traders' brains. 🔓 Final Thought: If your strategy works in theory, but breaks in real-time— It’s time to work on your neural execution layer. Because in trading, you don’t rise to your level of analysis— you fall to your level of emotional wiring. — MJTrading #NeuroTrading #TraderTypes #TradingPsychology #SetAndForget #FloatingManagement #MindOverMarkets #EURUSD #MJTrading Previous psychology Ideas:
Education
by MJElahifx
2
EURO - Price will rise a little and then drop to $1.1500 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Price earlier carved out a pennant pattern after a strong rally, with price oscillating between converging trendlines and indecision mounting near $1.1550 resistance. After several weeks in consolidation, sellers finally broke down below the pennant base, sending price back toward the support area and trapping late buyers. Buyers regrouped and launched a new advance, driving EUR into a well-defined rising channel. During this channel run, two notable breakouts above interim highs were quickly followed by exits at the upper trendline. Price now sits in a tight consolidation just under the rising channel’s ceiling near $1.1700, forming small corrective swings on lighter volume. I expect one more shallow rally toward $1.1750 before sellers overwhelm buyers again, pushing Euro down through $1.1550 and toward the $1.1500 points. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by WalterMoon
26
EURUSD - Still Orderflow remains bearishLooking at EU. The 1H Orderflow is still maintaining that bearish intent. My area is set now for where i want to take a potential sell to the downside seeing as everything else is pretty much mitigated. The only issue with this potential sell of is that we never really had a sweep of liquidity before we rolled over and moved to the downside. We do have a level of inducement before our POI but i think in an ideal world i would love to see us build up a bit more liquidity before the POI just to induce the early sellers before making that move to the downside. For now. On the lower TF's i will be looking to take short term long positions back up to our POI before looking for the longer terms short. to our 4H POI in which i will be looking to get long once again. Any questions feel free to give me a message
by BenFxLDN
EURUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1689 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.1748 My Stop Loss - 1.1659 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD H4 RISES 🔄 Disrupted EUR/USD Analysis (4H) 📉 Current Structure: Price is hovering around 1.17298, showing hesitation at the resistance of a potential bearish flag. While the chart labels this zone as “bullish,” there are signs of market indecision, possibly a fakeout trap. ⚠️ Key Disruptions: 1. Bullish Trap Risk: The price formed a short-term M-pattern (double top inside the orange circle), indicating bearish exhaustion rather than continuation. The expected breakout to the upside may fail if bulls don’t sustain volume. 2. Support Area Weakness: The support zone around 1.17000 has been tested multiple times. If it breaks, it could turn into a strong resistance, flipping the sentiment. 3. Macro Influence: Upcoming EUR and USD economic events (noted by icons) could cause high volatility and break structure unexpectedly. A strong USD report could reverse bullish momentum, sending EUR/USD toward 1.16500 or lower. 4. Bearish Continuation Scenario: If the market breaks down from the current consolidation, expect targets at:
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
1
EUR/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! Previous week’s green candle means that for us the EUR/USD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.133. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
Soybeans Loading a Bounce? Demand Zone + COT1. Price Action & Technical Structure Price has bounced off a strong daily demand zone (1011–969). Today’s daily candle shows a clear rejection wick from the low, and RSI is signaling a potential reversal. The market is trading inside a falling channel, currently near the lower boundary — setting up a possible breakout move. Technical Targets: • First upside target: 1039–1049 Invalidation: daily close below 990, which would confirm structural breakdown. 2. COT Report – Soybeans Futures (as of July 9, 2025) • Non-Commercials:  +11,539 spreads | +7,017 shorts | –7,520 longs → Slight bearish pressure, though spreads suggest growing speculative complexity. • Commercials:  +7,876 longs | –9,084 shorts → Moderate commercial bullish bias. • Open Interest:  +8,076 contracts → Market activity increasing. Overall COT positioning is neutral to slightly bullish, with growing signs of accumulation around the 1000 level. 3. Seasonality – MarketBulls Historically, July is one of the weakest months for Soybeans: • –44.82 (20Y avg) • –36.86 (15Y avg) • –34.74 (10Y avg) However, early August shows signs of seasonal recovery, and price action is already diverging from typical seasonal behavior. This makes a deeper breakdown less likely — we could be nearing the end of the seasonal weakness. Operational Takeaway Current Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish Confluence of signals supports the idea of a technical rebound: ✅ Bullish reaction candle in demand ✅ Fibonacci support + lower trendline touch ✅ COT data stabilizing with rising open interest ✅ Seasonal weakness possibly exhausted
CBOT:ZS1!Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
4
EURJPY Hits Supply | Pullback Is ComingPrice has entered the daily supply zone (red area) between 170.80 and 171.80, showing immediate rejection with a long upper wick — a signal of potential short-term bearish reaction. The RSI is turning lower, indicating loss of momentum, although it hasn’t reached extreme levels yet. The current map suggests a technical pullback toward the 169.40–168.50 zone (FVG + dynamic support) before any potential bullish continuation toward 174+. The overall structure remains bullish, but a correction looks likely due to technical exhaustion and retail positioning. 📊 2. COT Report (JPY Futures – as of 2025-07-01) Non-Commercials (speculators) reduced long positions on the JPY by -7,779 contracts, and also slightly trimmed shorts → clear sign of position reduction. Net positioning remains strongly negative (JPY weakness), but it's starting to recover slightly. Commercials added both longs (+2,830) and shorts (+5,977), indicating indecision but growing interest. Open interest slightly decreased (–516), though it remains elevated. 👉 The market has not yet reversed, but the JPY downtrend may be approaching exhaustion. 🧠 3. Retail Sentiment 86% of retail traders are short EUR/JPY — a strong contrarian bullish signal. Average retail short entry: 166.27, while current price is 171.55 → retail traders are trapped and under pressure. A short squeeze is likely underway or already completed, increasing the risk of a technical correction after distribution. 📅 4. Seasonality July is historically weak for EUR/JPY: 20Y: -0.35 15Y: -0.49 10Y: -0.18 August tends to be even worse from a seasonal perspective. This supports the idea of a potential pullback in the coming days or weeks. Trading Conclusion Current Bias: Short-term Neutral–Bearish, Medium-term Bullish. ✳️ Potential pullback from 172.30 toward 169.40–168.50 🎯 If price holds and builds clean bullish structure, expect continuation toward 174.00–175.00 ❌ Invalidation on daily close below 167.80
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
EUR/USD Reversal Ahead? COT + DXY Strength Signal Price has broken below the ascending channel that started in mid-May. The current candle is rejecting the weekly supply zone (1.17566–1.18319), leaving a significant upper wick. Daily RSI is losing strength but has not yet reached extreme levels. A key daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies between 1.1600 and 1.1480, with the first potential downside target at 1.14802, which aligns with support and the FVG zone. A deeper bearish continuation could push price towards 1.1350, but only if the FVG lows are clearly broken. 📊 COT Data (CME - Euro FX & USD Index) Euro FX Net long: +15,334 Commercials increased both longs (+13,550) and shorts (+9,913) → mild divergence. Non-Commercials (speculators) increased shorts (+4,786) more than longs (+1,188) → speculative bias tilting bearish. USD Index Strong net long accumulation across all trader types: +4,597 net. Non-Commercials added +3,590 longs, with only a minor increase in shorts. → USD strength continues, reinforcing potential weakness in EUR/USD. 🧠 Retail Sentiment 67% of retail traders are short EUR/USD → typically a contrarian bullish signal. However, the price is already showing distribution, not accumulation, so we may see price push lower first to trap remaining retail longs, invalidating the contrarian signal in the short term. 📅 Seasonality July is historically bullish, especially on the 2Y (+0.0142) and 10Y (+0.0106) averages. However, the 15Y and 20Y averages show a much more moderate performance (+0.007 / +0.0025). Based on current price action, the seasonal rally may have already played out with the run-up to 1.1830. A correction now seems likely, even if the broader macro remains supportive mid-term. 🧩 Conclusion Despite historically bullish seasonality for July, both price action and COT data indicate distribution with early signs of reversal. Retail sentiment is too skewed short for a major breakdown just yet, but the technicals support a short-term pullback toward more balanced levels. USD strength from COT and DXY structure reinforces a corrective short bias for now.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
11
EURUSD – Breakout Confirms Bullish ContinuationEURUSD has just successfully broken out of a corrective triangle pattern, confirming that the bullish structure remains intact. The price reacted well to the support zone around 1.1660 and bounced back, opening the way toward the 1.1820 target in the short term. On the news front, the euro is gaining support as the Eurozone’s July CPI held steady at 2.6%, indicating that inflationary pressures have not fully eased—this may prompt the ECB to maintain a tighter policy for longer. Meanwhile, the USD is under mild correction pressure after U.S. CPI came in higher than expected but not strong enough to reignite rate hike expectations from the Fed. Given the current technical setup and news backdrop, EURUSD could continue rising in the coming sessions as long as it holds above the trendline support.
Long
by Rocky_trade_