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Eurusdtradeidea

Shorting Optimism: EUR/USD Rally vs RealityAfter the spike to 1.1640 driven by temporary ceasefire news and USD weakness, I’ve taken a short position on EUR/USD. The market priced in too much optimism too fast, and I see limited upside beyond this zone in the current macro landscape. I’m positioned for a controlled retracement back toward the 1.1460–1.1520 region. The play? Fade the overextension, follow structure, and manage from strength. Technicals: • The pair ran into a strong supply zone near 1.1640, which aligns with a previous liquidity sweep. • Momentum has slowed visibly on lower timeframes, with candles rejecting highs and wicks printing upper tails. • Daily and 4H SMAs are overstretched. The 20 SMA on H4 is accelerating upward, but RSI is near overbought and flattening. • My short entry was taken with a stop above 1.1745 and first target at 1.1540, second at 1.1500. • A potential retest of the 1.1660 zone could offer additional entries if invalidation remains intact. Fundamentals: • ECB vs Fed Divergence: The Fed holds firm on rates amid sticky inflation, while the ECB is under pressure to ease further due to weak growth. • EU Struggles: PMI data remains in contraction territory; HICP cooling to 1.7% YoY suggests little reason for tightening. • Political Instability: Germany and France both facing internal political crises — risk premia rising. • Ceasefire Priced In: EUR rally on Middle East headlines lacks depth — conflict paused, not resolved. • USD Resilience: Weak recent data aside, the USD remains a safe haven. Fed’s Powell reiterated that cuts aren’t imminent. ⚠️ Bias: Bearish as long as price trades below 1.1640. Watching how the market reacts to Fed testimony and ECB rhetoric this week. 🧠 Reminder: Don’t get emotional after vertical rallies. When everyone gets excited, I look for exhaustion. That’s where trades begin. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Short
by AR33_
EURUSD Trade Plan: Retracement Into Key Fibo Zone POI.I’m currently watching EURUSD closely 👀. On the daily timeframe, it’s clearly broken structure and is now in a bullish trend 📈. Dropping down to the lower timeframes 🕒, price appears overextended and is now trading into a previous resistance level 🚧. I’m anticipating a retracement into equilibrium — specifically the 50% level of the current swing, and ideally into the 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone 🔁. If price pulls back into that range, I’ll be watching for a bullish market structure shift 🔄. I don’t want to see it push below the bullish imbalance 📉—I want that zone to hold as support so price can continue north 🔼. If this plays out, my ideal entry would be around the imbalance and the 50% Fib level, with a stop loss just below the imbalance, and targets set at the current swing high and previous swing high, as detailed in the video 🎯. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Please do your own analysis or consult a licensed financial advisor.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
1
EURUSD Breaks Structure: Bullish Continuation Opportunity💶 EUR/USD Analysis – Bullish Momentum Builds 📈 Taking a look at the EUR/USD on the daily chart, it’s clear the pair is currently in a strong bullish trend 🚀. Momentum has been building consistently, reflecting underlying euro strength and continued USD weakness. 🕓 On the 4H timeframe, we’ve now seen a clear shift in market structure to the upside, confirming bullish intent. Look for a continuation entry after a retracement back into equilibrium — ideally around the 50% level of the current price swing 🔄📐. 🎯 Trade Plan Idea: Wait for price to pull back into equilibrium 🌀 Entry: Long from the discounted zone 🟩 Stop loss: Just below the recent swing low 🔻 Target: Previous high as a logical take-profit zone 🎯📊 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📚💼
Long
by fxtraderanthony
EUR/USD - Upside Bias Continues Amid Market EventsHi Everyone, As outlined in our analysis last week, we continue to expect EUR/USD to advance further to the upside. A successful retest of the 1.15240 level provides support for the move. This promises to be an eventful week as markets navigate geopolitical tensions and upcoming central bank decisions. As long as price holds above 1.14483, we anticipate a continuation higher toward the 1.16564 level, which would further reinforce our long-term bullish outlook. A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance. We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Breakout Retest StrategyEUR/USD Breakout Retest Strategy 🟢📈 📊 Technical Analysis Summary: The chart illustrates a bullish breakout from a consolidation range with a well-defined support near 1.12500 and resistance between 1.16500–1.17000. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔸 Triple Rejection Zone: Price faced rejection 3 times (highlighted with orange circles) near the same level before the breakout — classic liquidity sweep above resistance. 🔸 Strong Support Bounce: Each time price reached the green support zone, it showed strong bullish reaction (green arrows) signaling solid buying interest. 🔸 Break and Retest Formation: Price broke the previous highs and now seems to be retesting the breakout zone (around 1.15250–1.15300). A successful retest could confirm bullish continuation. 🔸 Projected Bullish Move: If the retest holds, we may see price pushing up toward the 1.17000 resistance zone as marked. 📌 Trading Plan: ✅ Bullish Bias above 1.15250 ✅ Look for bullish candlestick confirmation or breakout structure 🚫 Avoid trades if price drops below 1.15000 with momentum 📈 Target Zone: 1.16500 – 1.17000 🛑 Stop Loss suggestion: Below 1.14750 🧠 Keep patience during the retest — smart money often tests emotions before real moves! 💰📉📈
Long
by MrStellanSight
EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Bearish SetupA new SELL signal has emerged on the EUR/USD chart, signaling potential downward movement. SELL Signal: Activated at 1.16500 after price tapped into a supply zone and rejected from a weak high, indicating a potential short-term reversal. TP Zones: TP1: 1.14881 TP2: 1.14284 Final TP: 1.13688 This setup offers a potential profit range of 160 to 280 pips. Market Structure: Price is reacting strongly from the supply area and failing to break the weak high. With bearish momentum building, price may continue down toward the imbalance and demand zones. Remember to manage your trades carefully and ensure this setup fits your overall strategy. Stay sharp and trade responsibly!
Short
by TradersJourneys
EURUSD Setup | CPI Fades, Fed Focus & Gold Leads Dollar ReboundEURUSD is showing signs of exhaustion after soft US CPI failed to extend the rally beyond 1.1495. While markets initially priced in a dovish Fed response, recent commentary and gold’s rejection from its highs suggest the dollar may be gearing up for a short-term recovery. With Gold pulling back and yields stabilizing, EURUSD could now follow suit lower into key support levels—especially if the Fed maintains a patient tone at this week’s meeting. 🔹 EURUSD (4H) Analysis 📉 Bias: Bearish 💡 Context: EURUSD stalled just below 1.1500 after the CPI miss and now sits at a high-liquidity reversal zone. With DXY stabilizing and gold already rolling over, EURUSD may lag behind but eventually follow the same path. If the Fed leans hawkish or even neutral (ignoring political pressure), it could catalyze a drop toward 1.1268 and below. 📊 Technical Levels: Resistance Zone: 1.1495–1.1530 Target 1: 1.1268 Target 2: 1.1086 Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1530 (or strong bullish follow-through after FOMC) 🪙 Leading Asset Clue: Gold has already rejected major resistance (3,390–3,403) and is now pulling lower. Historically, EURUSD tends to follow when metals stall—especially if driven by real yields and Fed dynamics. ⚠️ Fundamentals to Watch: 🏦 FOMC Rate Decision & Dot Plot (June 12) 📈 US PPI + Jobless Claims (June 13) 💬 Fed Chair Powell's Press Conference 📰 Any shift in ECB or Fed rate cut timelines 🧠 Risk Factors: Fed surprise dovish shift due to CPI softness Market overreacts to rate cut expectations Geopolitical risk-off flows favoring EUR ✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EURUSD Bearish Fed holding firm vs. ECB easing bias Fed turning dovish post-CPI (Top Risk) FOMC Rate Decision, PPI, Powell 📌 Final Note: Gold is leading the turn as dollar strength resurfaces. EURUSD may lag initially but the macro context favors downside from this key resistance zone. Watch the Fed for confirmation—positioning into 1.1268 and 1.1086 looks attractive if the dollar gains traction post-FOMC.
Short
by ultreosforex
12
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅4 hour order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EUR/USD Potential buys from current zone or 1.12800My outlook for EU this week closely aligns with GU — both pairs are showing similar structure and direction. Price continues to form higher highs and higher lows, maintaining its bullish momentum. Following the most recent break of structure to the upside, EU has now entered a 9H demand zone, where I’ll be watching for signs of accumulation and potential entry as the market opens on Monday. If this current zone fails to hold, there’s a more discounted 9H demand zone just below, which could offer a cleaner long opportunity. Either way, both scenarios follow the pro trend, which adds conviction to the buy idea. Confluences for EU Buys: Price has broken structure to the upside and entered a clean 9H demand zone There’s another refined 9H demand zone just below for additional confirmation Plenty of upside liquidity remains untouched Structure remains bullish on the higher timeframes, making this a pro trend setup P.S. If price reacts well and continues pushing higher, I’ll be keeping an eye on the 7H supply zone above for any possible short-term bearish reaction. Wishing everyone a successful and disciplined trading week ahead!
Long
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD - Look for Short (SWING) 1:2.5!Price has formed an ascending channel on the higher time frame, currently consolidating before potentially entering a distribution phase. A breakout could occur in either direction, but if the chart pattern plays out as expected, we may see a break below the key support level. Let’s aim for at least TP1. Disclaimer: This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
Short
by S-Fx_
EUR/USD Awaits ECB Decision Near 1.1400 Amid Rate Cut BetsCMCMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD EUR/USD is consolidating above the 1.1400 psychological level as markets brace for the European Central Bank’s monetary policy announcement. The ECB is widely expected to cut its Deposit Facility Rate by 25bps to 2.00%, marking its seventh consecutive rate cut since June 2024. Technically, the pair continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, reflecting a broader bullish structure. Current price action is facing a minor resistance near 1.1421, which is the top of the short-term range and also a key trendline rejection zone. A clean breakout above this area could expose the monthly resistance near 1.1557. However, if OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD fails to breach this level initially, a pullback toward 1.1366 (channel base support) is possible before bulls regain control. The bullish setup remains valid as long as price holds above this support zone. Traders should monitor the ECB press conference for signals on whether the central bank may pause further easing later this year. Resistance : 1.1421 , 1.1557 Support : 1.1366 , 1.1250
Long
by ATFX_Global
EUR/USD Bearish Reversal Setup Analysis EUR/USD Bearish Reversal Setup Analysis 🧠💼 The chart presents a clear bearish outlook on EUR/USD, with well-defined resistance and support zones, along with a projected short-term price trajectory. Here's a professional breakdown: 🔍 Key Technical Highlights 🔵 Resistance Zone (~1.1400 - 1.1430) Price recently tested this resistance area and formed multiple wicks, signaling strong seller presence. A bullish liquidity grab is evident in the highlighted cyan box, suggesting a fake breakout before reversal. 🟡 Supply Zone / Order Block The yellow box marks a previous consolidation area (potential order block), which was revisited and rejected — reinforcing bearish intent. 🔽 Current Price Action Price is trading around 1.1378, having broken structure and failed to maintain momentum above the resistance. Sharp rejections and bearish engulfing candles imply strong selling pressure. 🟢 Support Zone (~1.1230 - 1.1260) This is a previous demand area where price rallied strongly. The large blue projection box and arrow suggest a bearish continuation targeting this support region. 📉 Bias: Bearish Structure: Lower highs forming after liquidity grab. Price Action: Bearish engulfing after resistance rejection. Market Sentiment: Sellers appear in control after failing bullish breakout attempt. 🎯 Trade Idea Entry: After confirmed rejection from resistance (~1.1370–1.1385) TP: Around 1.1240 (support zone) SL: Above recent highs (~1.1420) Risk/Reward: Favorable R:R as the setup targets a large swing down.
Short
by MrStellanSight
1
EURUSD Trade Setup: Heres My Trade Plan!📈 EUR/USD Trade Outlook: Bullish Trend in Focus 🇪🇺💵 I'm currently watching EUR/USD, and it’s holding a strong bullish trend — with clear higher highs and higher lows across the board 🔁. On the 4-hour timeframe, price has pulled back into equilibrium, and I’m eyeing a potential buy opportunity if the structure continues to hold 🛒. 📚 Looking at historical price action, this setup has played out reliably in the past. That said, it's important to acknowledge that deeper pullbacks can occur — often sweeping liquidity below previous lows before resuming the trend 💧. ⚠️ This is a real risk, so consider conservative position sizing and always manage your risk appropriately. 💬 Drop a comment below if you're watching this setup too — I’d love to hear your take! ❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only. Please do your own analysis and trade responsibly.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
Euro Pulls Back – Eyes on ECB and Tariff TurmoilCMCMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD EUR/USD pulled back from a six-week high of 1.1454 to trade near 1.1379, down 0.52% on Tuesday, as strong U.S. labor market data and revived trade tensions lifted the dollar. April JOLTS job openings rose to 7.39M, beating expectations, signaling a resilient U.S. economy despite a 3.7% drop in factory orders. In parallel, Trump’s announcement to double tariffs on steel and aluminum has reignited trade war concerns. Markets are also watching for a potential Trump–Xi call later this week. Meanwhile, the Euro lost ground after May HICP inflation in the Eurozone fell to 1.9%, below the ECB’s 2% target. With core inflation slowing as well, markets have priced in a 25 bps rate cut at Thursday’s ECB meeting. Technically, OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD is still trading within a rising channel but rejected key minor resistance zone just below the descending trendline. A confirmed breakout above this area could open the path toward monthly resistance near 1.1559. On the downside, Support Zone 1 (around 1.1375) must hold to maintain the bullish bias; further weakness may expose Support Zone 2 (around 1.1338) Resistance : 1.1445 , 1.1559 Support ： 1.1375 , 1.1338
Long
by ATFX_Global
EURUSD - OPPORTUNITY HAS ARRIVEDTeam, I hardly trade EURUSD but the last time, we went long EURUSD when it was 1.03-1.04 - properly 2 months ago. Now we decide to short, please follow the strategy given out in the chart. Today, we have successfully hit target on SHORTING GOLD, you can check it yourself yesterday post. We do LIVE trading SHORT UK hit both target, Yesterday we went LONG USDCHF- you can check my post, target hit today as well. and 15 minutes ago, we do LIVE trading and our soft target for EURUSD hit again.\ Now, we are reshort the EURUSD, please make sure follow the chart accordingly. Once it hits the 1st target, bring stop loss to BE. REMEMBER always care about how much you are taking the risk on each of your trade.
Short
by ActiveTraderRoom