EURUSD analysis – 1H OB Setup
✅ Green zones = 1H Buy Order Blocks
Clean plan:
Wait for price to reach the green circle zone (1.1600 – 1.1650 OB).
Once there:
✅ Drop to LTF (5M / 3M) and wait for:
Price reaction to the OB zone
BOS / CHoCH structure confirmation
Strong bullish candle for clean entry
Then, enter with stop below the OB zone.
🎯 Targets:
First TP: 1.1690 – 1.1700
Second TP: higher previous highs if momentum continues
⚠️ Let price enter your zone, get your LTF confirmations, and then take your entry with discipline.
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
Eurusdupdate
#EURUSD: Last Bullish Price Extension! Get Ready! EURUSD is approaching our buying zone, a key level, which suggests a smooth bullish reversal. As this is a swing trade, we advise keeping stop losses larger. There are two targets to keep an eye on. Remember, this is not a guaranteed move, and this is just our overview. Good luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx_
EU's Wild Drop: A Sneaky Trap or Reversal Time?Hey Fellow Traders! 😎
What a ride yesterday, right? The EUR/USD took a massive plunge, smashing through the descending channel like a wrecking ball and sweeping up all that liquidity. 💥 But hold up—was that just a clever market manipulation to shake out the bulls? I think so! 🧠
Right now, the price is chilling in a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), and I’m expecting some serious action here. This could be the perfect setup for a reversal! The market makers pulled a fast one—tricking bullish traders into flipping bearish after that dramatic drop. But guess what? That’s the trap! 🕸️ Don’t fall for it.
I’m eyeing a long entry right at this level. Here’s the plan:
Entry: Right now—let’s catch this wave! 🌊
Stop Loss: Set it tight around 1.15360 to keep risk in check.
Take Profit: Aiming for those juicy highs (check the chart I shared in my last post for the exact levels). 📈
This setup is screaming opportunity, so let’s talk about it! 💬 What’s your take—are we reversing or is the market still playing games? Drop your thoughts below, smash that Like button if you’re with me, and Follow for more trade ideas! 🚀 Let’s keep the community buzzing. 🐝
#Trading #EURUSD #MarketAnalysis #ReversalSetup
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Pares GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Pares Gains
EUR/USD declined from the 1.1750 resistance and traded below 1.1650.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a fresh decline after a strong surge above the 1.1720 zone.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1660 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair rallied above the 1.1720 resistance zone before the bears appeared, as discussed in the previous analysis. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.1660 support zone against the US Dollar.
The pair declined below 1.1620 and tested 1.1590. A low was formed near 1.1592 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.1610 level.
EUR/USD is now trading below the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, it is now facing resistance near the 1.1630 level. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1749 swing high to the 1.1592 low.
The next key resistance is at 1.1660 and the 50% Fib retracement level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1660.
The main resistance is near the 1.1690 level. A clear move above it could send the pair toward the 1.1720 resistance. An upside break above 1.1720 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1750.
If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1590. The next key support is at 1.1550. If there is a downside break below 1.1550, the pair could drop toward 1.1520. The next support is near 1.1485, below which the pair could start a major decline.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD : US Dollar Strengthens Following Inflation ReportEUR/USD Analysis: US Dollar Strengthens Following Inflation Report
Yesterday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was released, showing an increase in consumer prices. According to Forex Factory, annual CPI rose from 2.4% to 2.7%, exceeding analysts' expectations of a 2.6% rise.
As reported by Reuters, the data supports the stance of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who has repeatedly stated that the anticipated inflationary pressure—driven in part by tariffs—is a reason to refrain from further interest rate cuts.
However, President Donald Trump interpreted the data differently. On his Truth Social platform, he posted that consumer prices remain low and called for an immediate rate cut.
The market responded with a stronger US dollar—indicating that participants believe interest rates are likely to remain at current levels in the near term. Notably, the EUR/USD exchange rate fell to the 1.1600 level for the first time since late June (as indicated by the arrow).
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
Analysing the EUR/USD chart as of 7 July, we identified:
→ A long-term ascending channel
→ A potential downward trajectory (marked by red lines)
Since then, the pair has followed the outlined path and declined by more than 1%.
It is worth noting that today, the EUR/USD price is near the lower boundary of a key trend channel, which may offer significant support — traders may look for a technical rebound from this level.
Additionally, attention should be paid to the upcoming release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) at 15:30 GMT+3. These figures carry particular weight in light of potential renewed inflationary pressures. This and other upcoming data may prove decisive for the near-term direction of EUR/USD.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD Holding Support — Watching for Bullish ReactionHi Everyone,
Since our last update, EUR/USD continues to range near the 1.16680 support level. We’re watching for buying interest to emerge above the key 1.16450 zone, which has acted as a critical level for the broader structure.
Should price manage to stabilise and form a base here, there’s potential for a move back towards the highlighted resistance area around 1.17450. A clear reaction from support could confirm renewed buying interest and set the stage for a retest of last week’s highs.
Our broader outlook remains unchanged: as long as price holds above 1.16450, we continue to look for the pair to build momentum for another move higher in the coming sessions. A decisive break above last week’s high could attract fresh buying interest, paving the way for a push towards the 1.19290 area and ultimately 1.20000.
We'll be watching closely to see if this recovery gains traction and whether buyers can sustain the move above resistance. The longer-term view remains bullish, provided price continues to respect the key support zone.
We’ll keep updating you through the week as the structure unfolds and share how we’re managing our active positions.
Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we really appreciate the support!
All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Sells from 1.17200 back downWeekly Outlook: EUR/USD (EU)
This week, my bias on EUR/USD is similar to GBP/USD, as both pairs have been following a consistent bearish trend. Based on this structure, I’ll be watching to see if price begins a retracement back into an area of supply.
I’ve marked out the 8-hour supply zone, which sits at a premium level and was responsible for the last break of structure to the downside. If price retraces into this zone, I’ll look for potential sell confirmations on the lower time frames.
If price doesn’t tap into the supply zone first, I’ll then shift my focus to the 8-hour demand zone below. In that case, I’ll watch closely for signs of accumulation and a bullish reaction from this level, which could signal the start of a rally.
Confluences for EUR/USD Sells:
✅ Bearish trend has been consistent for the past few weeks.
✅ Breaks of structure have formed new supply zones to trade from.
✅ Liquidity exists below current price, which may be targeted first.
✅ The lower demand zone remains unmitigated, suggesting further downside movement.
📌 On the way down toward demand, I expect price to form another break of structure to the downside. The plan is to ride the sells down into demand, then look for potential buy opportunities if price begins to accumulate and react.
Let’s stay sharp and disciplined — have a solid trading week, everyone! 📊
EUR/USD Testing Support — Will Buyers Step In Again?Hi Everyone,
Since our last update, EUR/USD is currently testing the 1.16680 support level. We’re watching for buying interest to emerge above the key 1.16450 zone; if price can stabilise here, we could see a retest of the highlighted resistance area around 1.17450.
Our broader outlook remains unchanged: as long as price holds above 1.16450, we continue to look for the pair to build momentum for another move higher in the coming sessions. A decisive break above last week’s high could attract fresh buying interest, paving the way for a push towards the 1.19290 area and ultimately 1.20000.
We'll be watching closely to see if this recovery gains traction and whether buyers can sustain the move above resistance. The longer-term view remains bullish, provided price continues to respect the key support zone.
We’ll keep updating you through the week as the structure unfolds and share how we’re managing our active positions.
Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we really appreciate the support!
All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EURUSD Bearish SMC Setup | Premium Supply Rejection + CHoCH +FVGPair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Price reacted strongly from a Premium Selling Zone, forming multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations.
🔻 Red Zones indicate strong institutional selling
🔺 Weak High is now likely to remain protected
Market structure has shifted bearish, and price is targeting imbalances (IMB) and Fair Value Gaps (FVG) below.
⸻
✅ Entry: Taken from the premium supply rejection
🎯 Target 1: 1.16000 – Minor imbalance fill
🎯 Target 2: 1.15000 – Mid-level demand
🎯 Final Target: 1.14500 – Major liquidity zone
❌ Invalidation: Clean break above 1.18000
⸻
📉 Smart Money Confirmation Setup:
• Premium Supply
• CHoCH
• BOS
• FVG & IMB below
🔄 Missed the entry? Wait for a pullback into lower OB or supply zone.
#EURUSD #SmartMoney #SMC #CHoCH #BOS #FVG #OrderBlock #Forex #LiquiditySweep #SupplyDemand
EURUSD Will Keep Growing!
HI,Traders !
#EURUSD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair broke
The key horizontal level
Of 1.16370 and the breakout
Is confirmed so after a potential
Retest of the support cluster
Of the rising and horizontal
Support lines below we will
Be expecting a bullish continuation !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
EurUsd - This is the deadly breakout!EurUsd - FX:EURUSD - is about to fly:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
EurUsd has been rallying about +15% over the past couple of months. Additionally the breakout at the current resistance trendline is about to be confirmed. Subsequently EurUsd is setting up for another major move higher, which will be painful for all European traders.
Levels to watch: $1.23, $1.11
Keep your long term vision🙏🙏
Philip (BasicTrading)
EUR/USD Pulls Back from Yearly HighsThe EUR/USD pair has depreciated by nearly 0.5% over the past three trading sessions, favoring the U.S. dollar. At the moment, this appears to be the prevailing short-term trend, marking a new and steady bearish bias that has started to weigh on the euro. The current selling pressure has remained consistent, as the U.S. dollar shows renewed strength. The DXY index, which measures dollar performance, has been rising toward the 98 level, showing a solid recovery that could further intensify downward pressure on EUR/USD.
Sustained Uptrend
In recent weeks, the euro has shown consistent bullish momentum, maintaining a dominant uptrend on the long-term chart. So far, the recent bearish corrections haven’t been strong enough to break the structure, making it the key technical formation to watch in EUR/USD. However, the dollar’s current recovery appears to be gaining traction, and if that trend continues, it could put the existing uptrend at risk.
Technical Indicators
MACD: The MACD histogram is oscillating near the neutral zero line, suggesting that momentum from the moving averages remains balanced. If this continues, price action could consolidate into a more defined neutral range in upcoming sessions.
ADX: The ADX line remains above the 20 threshold but is starting to slope downward, which, if sustained, may lead to a more neutral price structure in the near term.
Key Levels to Watch:
1.18068 – Key resistance: This level marks the yearly high for EUR/USD. A breakout above this point could reinforce the current bullish trend.
1.15299 – Nearby support: A recent neutral zone. A breakdown here could trigger a stronger bearish bias and threaten the prevailing uptrend.
1.13177 – Distant support: Corresponds to a consolidation zone formed in May. If price drops to this level, it may activate a fresh and meaningful bearish trend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
EUR/USD Update: Breakout Potential Above Recent HighsHi Everyone,
Monday played out as expected; a bounce off the highlighted support area appears to have provided enough momentum for a retest of the 1.18000 level. Price could briefly dip below the 1.16680 support; however, our outlook will remain unchanged as long as we hold above the 1.16450 level.
We maintain the view that a decisive break above last week’s high could attract additional buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 level and ultimately the 1.20000 level.
We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this key resistance.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Analysis: US Dollar Strengthens at the Start of the WeekEUR/USD Analysis: US Dollar Strengthens at the Start of the Week
On 2 July, on the EUR/USD chart, we noted that the rally—during which the pair had gained more than 6% since mid-May—was under threat, citing several technical signals, including:
→ proximity of the price to the upper boundary of the ascending channel;
→ overbought conditions on the RSI indicator;
→ nearby resistance from the Fibonacci Extension levels, around 1.18500.
Trading at the start of the week points to renewed US dollar strength. This became particularly evident with the opening of the European session, which triggered a decline in EUR/USD to the 1.17500 area.
It is reasonable to assume that the dollar’s strength against the euro is linked to early-week positioning by traders, who are anticipating news regarding US trade agreements.
According to Reuters, the United States is close to finalising several trade deals in the coming days and is expected to notify 12 other countries today about higher tariffs.
EUR/USD Technical Chart Analysis
The ascending channel established last week remains in play, with the following developments:
→ a dashed midline within the upper half of the channel has been breached by bearish pressure (as indicated by the arrow);
→ a series of lower highs in recent sessions suggests the formation of a downward trajectory, within which the price could move towards the channel median—or potentially test its lower boundary.
P.S. In the longer term, analysts at Morgan Stanley maintain a bullish outlook, forecasting that EUR/USD could rise to 1.2700 by the end of 2027.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD Rally Pauses Near 1.18000 – Higher Targets in SightHi Everyone,
Last week, price action delivered the 1.18000 level we had been calling for, and as expected, dynamic resistance around that area proved to be significant.
Looking ahead, we anticipate EUR/USD will continue to test the 1.18000 level this week while holding above the 1.16680 support zone. A strong break above last week’s high could attract further buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 and ultimately the 1.20000 levels. We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EUR/USD breakout awaiting EUR/USD has not provided a clear structure over the past week or two. The pair appears to be in consolidation, building liquidity on both sides of the current range. At the moment, I’m waiting for a decisive breakout, ideally followed by distribution within the monthly supply zone, although that zone is still some distance away.
This week, my focus will be on whether a new supply zone forms, closer to current price. If price sweeps the nearby equal highs and then shows signs of reversal, this could give us a fresh supply area to work from. Alternatively, if price moves lower, I’ll be looking at the 8-hour demand zone around 1.16000 for a possible long setup.
Confluences for EUR/USD:
- Although price has been slightly bullish, the current consolidation phase suggests a potential reversal could be on the horizon.
- Liquidity is building on both sides of the range, making a reaction from the monthly supply zone increasingly probable.
- There’s significant downside liquidity still untapped, such as Asia session lows, which could serve as short-term targets.
- For clearer confirmation, we still need a decisive break in market structure to the downside.
P.S. If price sweeps the lower liquidity and moves into the 8-hour demand zone near 1.16000, I will be watching for accumulation to form and signs of bullish intent from there.
EUR/USD Rallies on Broad Dollar WeaknessEUR/USD Rallies on Broad Dollar Weakness
EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.1750 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a decent increase from the 1.1600 zone against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1770 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.1600 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.1650 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar.
The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1750. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1830 resistance. A high was formed near 1.1829 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1590 swing low to the 1.1830 high.
Immediate support on the downside is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.1770. The next major support is the 1.1710 level. A downside break below the 1.1710 support could send the pair toward the 1.1680 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1590 swing low to the 1.1830 high.
Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.1645. Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.1830 zone. The first major resistance is near the 1.1850 level. An upside break above the 1.1850 level might send the pair toward the 1.1920 resistance.
The next major resistance is near the 1.1950 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.2000 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD BULISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURUSD has been playing out exactly as forecasted, now trading confidently above the key 1.17 handle. Price action has respected prior structure levels perfectly, with the recent bullish impulse forming clean higher highs and higher lows. After a minor corrective move and successful retest of the previous breakout zone, we’re now seeing continuation momentum build toward the 1.21 target. This pattern is a textbook bullish flag followed by a clean breakout and retest, confirming the strength behind this current upside leg.
Fundamentally, the euro has gained strength due to growing divergence between the ECB and the Fed. With inflation in the Eurozone stabilizing and recent data indicating a modest recovery in manufacturing and services PMI, there's increasing speculation the ECB may hold rates longer, while the Fed is seen leaning toward eventual rate cuts as US labor data softens. The June NFP miss and downward revisions in prior data have weakened the USD’s position, creating a favorable environment for EURUSD bulls.
The technical confluence with macro fundamentals is striking. Risk sentiment is improving across global markets as inflation fears ease and rate clarity emerges. The euro remains supported by strong capital inflows and demand for yield stability. Additionally, EURUSD has cleared multi-month resistance zones with conviction, signaling institutional interest and momentum-based positioning. The recent candle formations suggest buyers are in firm control.
We remain on track for the 1.21 level, which aligns with prior swing highs and a key Fibonacci extension target. Any pullback toward the 1.16–1.1650 region should be viewed as a high-probability buying opportunity. With the DXY under pressure and euro zone resilience improving, EURUSD continues to be one of the top-performing major pairs heading into Q3. Stay patient and ride the wave—this move has more room to run.
EUR/USD Analysis: Rally May Be Under ThreatEUR/USD Analysis: Rally May Be Under Threat
The euro has appreciated by approximately 15% against the US dollar this year, as confidence in the United States continues to wane. As ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane noted in an interview at CNBC: “There is a degree of reorientation by global investors towards the euro.”
At the same time, officials at the European Central Bank have expressed concern that the rapid strengthening of the euro could undermine efforts to stabilise inflation at 2%. They warn that a move above $1.20 may pose risks for inflation and the competitiveness of export-oriented firms — an issue raised during the ECB’s ongoing ECB Forum on Central Banking in Portugal.
Could EUR/USD Reach the $1.20 Level?
From a technical analysis perspective, EUR/USD is showing bearish signals:
→ If the early April rally (coinciding with Trump’s announcement of new tariffs) is taken as the initial impulse wave A→B, and the May low is interpreted as the end of the B→C corrective move, then, according to Fibonacci Extensions, the pair has now risen to a key resistance zone around 1.1850 (as indicated by the arrow on the chart).
→ In addition, the RSI indicator signals strong overbought conditions, while the price is hovering near the upper boundary of the ascending channel — a level that typically acts as resistance.
Given these factors, we could assume that EUR/USD may be in a vulnerable position, potentially facing a short-term correction — possibly towards the lower boundary of the channel, reinforced by support at the 1.1620 level. However, this does not negate the longer-term bullish outlook for the euro amid prevailing fundamental conditions.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#EURUSD: +770 Pips Swing Move, DXY to Plumment! EURUSD is extremely bullish and is on track to cross the 1.21 area in our long-term swing plan. Based on recent price action, we have set two targets. As DXY continues to drop, the price is likely to remain bullish in the coming days or weeks. Please use accurate risk management while trading and consider this analysis.
Good luck and trade safely!
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Team Setupsfx_
#EURUSD:Expecting A Strong Bull Move, Two Entries | Two TargetsIn our previous analysis, we clearly stated that the price would remain bullish as the DXY had to plummet, and it did exactly that, rising by 450 pips from our last entry. Currently, we have two areas from which we can see the price reversing. The first one is nearby and has a higher risk compared to our second entry, which may be safer for some traders. We need a strong confirmation before making any significant decisions.
Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best in your trading journey.
Team Setupsfx_