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BTC/USDT HIDDEN PATTERN! SM, FIB AND MORE COMFIRMED!Price Resilience Amid Geopolitical Stress Bitcoin demonstrated remarkable strength during the Israel-Iran conflict, briefly dipping to ~$98K but swiftly rebounding above $105K. This aligns with historical patterns where BTC initially sells off on geopolitical shocks but recovers aggressively within weeks, outperforming gold and equities by 15-60% post-crisis. There is a $96K-$94K "footprint" that coincided with institutional accumulation, evidenced by $1.37B in spot ETF inflows during the conflict week, led by BlackRock's IBIT ($240M single-day inflow) according to official information. This institutional backstop and many others might single-handedly prevented a deeper correction for now, remember that smart money psychology is to create cause out of thin air and buy during selling and indecisive times. Critical Levels to Watch Immediate Support: $108k area is vital. A sustained hold here maintains short-term bullish momentum. The 50-day SMA near $102.8K (tested during June 13 conflict sell-off) remains a macro support floor. Resistance & Targets: The $112K ATH is the near-term ceiling. Breaking this requires stronger spot demand—currently, net exchange inflows are negative, indicating weak retail participation or traders that are backing off for now.There's a $120K target (0.618 Fib) aligned with Standard Chartered’s $150K year-end model if ETF inflows persist. Risk Zones: A close below $108.3K risks a slide to $105K. Failure here opens path to $96K and a further break of this 92k to 96k zone could lead directly to 70k area or even lower if economical and social activities are not favorable in the near to medium future.Dominance above 55% (currently 65%) delays alt season, but a break below 60% could ignite alts in a positive way. Macro Catalysts & Market Sentiment Policy Tailwinds: Trump’s "One Big Beautiful Bill" (proposing $5T debt ceiling hike and U.S. strategic BTC reserves) could weaken the USD, boosting BTC’s "digital gold" narrative. DXY’s -9% YTD drop already correlates with BTC’s 54% post-election rally. Fed Influence: Pressure to cut rates (amid cooling employment data) may accelerate institutional rotation into BTC. ETF inflows hit $2.75B in late June, signaling renewed institutional FOMO. Geopolitical Cooling: Iran-Israel ceasefire talks reduced immediate panic, but residual volatility risk remains. Traders note BTC often rallies 20-40% within 60 days of conflict events. Structural Challenges Liquidity Fragility: Whale moves (for example: 10K BTC sell orders) now impact prices more due to ETF-driven liquidity concentration. Recent $98K flash crash exemplified this. Regulatory Overhang: MiCA compliance costs in the EU and U.S. security-reclassification proposals could pressure smaller tokens, though BTC’s status appears secure 28. Seasonal Slump: July historically sees 6.1% of annual crypto volume—low volatility may delay breakouts until August 4. Strategic Outlook A July breakout above $112K could ignite the next leg to $120K, but a retest of $107K-$105K is likely first. Altcoins remain subdued until BTC dominance breaks <55%—select projects with institutional backing (for example, ETF candidates) or real-world utility for asymmetric opportunities. Conclusion: BTC’s resilience amid chaos confirms its institutional maturity. Trade the $108.3K-$112K range aggressively, with a break above ATH targeting $120K by September. Always hedge tail risks (escalations, regulatory shocks) in this volatility-rich asset class. While this great surge in institutional inflow is good for BTC it also indicates a reduction or slower pace of other crypto currencies. This is my analysis for BTC, let me know what you think and I hope you like it!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Neldjouw
4
(ETH) ETHEREUM "Two Options" -- The Red Doorttwo options as proposed in my graph based on the movement of Ethereum. It appears Ethereum has chosen to go through the red door this time around. Or, if it was because of Bitcoin so be it. When people refer to the news and justify financial actions based on those news events I tend to see those associations as flaky at best. The price of crypto was stated based on a large indicator of the TOTAL crypto chart to have a short. When the price fell and at the same time some news was happening, as if news isn't always happening, people have the tendency to associate big news events with the story of cryptocurrency, or whatever. This time around it was some other war. Personally, in my take, Iran was using their drones to prevent further missile attacks by Israel on Palestine. By forcing Israel to defend themselves against the drone attack this wastes many of their missiles in their artillery preventing those missiles used to defend themselves to be used as attack missiles.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
Guide to Major Economic EventsKeeping a watchful eye on major economic events is crucial for investors and traders looking to navigate the dynamic landscape of cryptocurrencies, stocks, and other financial markets. By staying informed about key developments, market participants can make more informed decisions and position themselves strategically. In this article, we will provide an overview of significant economic events that can impact these markets and highlight their potential implications. 1. Economic Events Affecting Stocks : a) Central Bank Decisions : Central bank actions, such as interest rate changes, quantitative easing measures, and forward guidance, have a significant impact on stock markets. Investors should assess the rationale behind central bank decisions, analyze the potential effects on borrowing costs, market liquidity, and investor sentiment. Bullish Conclusion: Interest rate cuts or accommodative monetary policy measures can stimulate economic growth, lower borrowing costs, and potentially drive stock prices higher. Bearish Conclusion: Interest rate hikes or tighter monetary policy measures may indicate a more cautious economic outlook, potentially leading to bearish market reactions. b) Economic Indicators : Economic indicators such as GDP growth rates, inflation data, unemployment rates, and consumer sentiment reports are closely watched by stock market participants. Bullish Conclusion: Positive surprises in economic indicators, such as strong GDP growth, low unemployment rates, and high consumer confidence, can indicate a healthy economy and potentially drive stock prices higher. Bearish Conclusion: Negative surprises in economic indicators, such as weak GDP growth, high inflation, or rising unemployment rates, may signal economic weakness and potentially lead to bearish sentiments in the stock market. c) Corporate Earnings Reports : Corporate earnings reports are a critical driver of stock prices. Investors closely analyze revenue growth, earnings per share (EPS), profit margins, and forward guidance provided by companies. Bullish Conclusion: Strong earnings results, accompanied by positive forward guidance, can support bullish sentiment and drive stock prices higher. Bearish Conclusion: Disappointing earnings reports and pessimistic guidance may lead to bearish market reactions. Economic Events Affecting Cryptocurrencies : a) Regulatory Developments : Cryptocurrencies are heavily influenced by regulatory decisions and developments. Investors should closely monitor regulatory announcements and assess their potential impact on cryptocurrency adoption, trading volumes, and market values. Bullish Conclusion: Favorable regulatory developments, such as clearer guidelines and increased institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies, can generate optimism and potentially boost cryptocurrency prices. Bearish Conclusion: Stricter regulations, bans, or negative regulatory developments in the cryptocurrency sector can create uncertainty and bearish sentiments among investors. b) Technological Advancements : Technological advancements and breakthroughs in the blockchain and cryptocurrency sectors can have a substantial impact on cryptocurrency prices. Bullish Conclusion: Positive technological advancements, such as the integration of blockchain technology into various industries or improvements in scalability and security, can generate positive market sentiments. Bearish Conclusion: Technological setbacks, security vulnerabilities, or lack of progress in the implementation of blockchain solutions may result in bearish reactions in the cryptocurrency market. Economic Events Affecting All Markets : a) Trade and Geopolitical Developments : Trade tensions, international conflicts, and geopolitical events can impact both stock and cryptocurrency markets. Investors should assess the potential consequences of trade negotiations, resolutions, or escalations of conflicts on market sentiment. Bullish Conclusion: Positive trade developments or easing geopolitical tensions can drive bullish sentiments in both stock and cryptocurrency markets. Bearish Conclusion: Trade disputes or geopolitical uncertainties can create bearish market conditions across stocks and cryptocurrencies. b) Natural Disasters and Global Events : Major natural disasters, pandemics, and global events have economic repercussions that can affect both stocks and cryptocurrencies. Investors should evaluate the potential impact of these events onsupply chains, consumer behavior, and investor sentiment. Bullish Conclusion: Swift recoveries from natural disasters or positive developments in response to global events can generate bullish sentiment across stocks and cryptocurrencies. Bearish Conclusion: Economic disruptions caused by natural disasters, pandemics, or global events can lead to bearish market sentiments across both asset classes. Conclusion: Staying informed about major economic events is crucial for investors and traders aiming to navigate the complex world of cryptocurrencies, stocks, and other financial markets. By analyzing the implications of these events, investors can make more informed judgments about potential bullish or bearish market conditions. However, it's important to consider multiple factors and use additional analysis to draw conclusions about market directions. Enjoy!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by BiggWigg
7
FX + ECONOMY | EVENT - WEEKLY PREVIEW | KW04 |In today's article, we will go into all the important events, which are scheduled in the economic calendar, for the next week. > Calendar week | 04 - - - 23. January 2023 – 28. January 2023 Let's briefly discuss what the listed events mean for your personal trading. > When you want to trade a currency pair, you should always be careful that you do not accidentally get into an "event". > These events can end in random volatility, which technical analysis does not respect, and therefore a possible loss. > A strategy of "Market-Makers" is to liquidate both sides (short | long) to the event and then continue the participated direction. MONDAY > EUR | 12:45 p.m. | ECB = President Lagarde - Speak TUESDAY > EUR | 03:15 a.m. | PMI = France > EUR | 03:30 a.m. | PMI = Germany > EUR | 04:00 a.m. | PMI = Euro-Zone > GBP | 04:30 a.m. | PMI > USD | 09:45 a.m. | PMI > AUZ | 07:30 p.m.| CPI WEDNESDAY > CAD | 10:00 a.m. | Bank of Canada THURSDAY > USD | 08:30 a.m. | Advance GDP FRIDAY > USD | 08:30 a.m. | Core PCE Wednesday and Friday will certainly be the most volatile. MARKET INFLUENCE Each of these dates, leads in the respective currency pair, to high / moderate volatility. > Events that make the overall market volatile are mostly related to the USD. = This is due to the fact that the USD has a position as an indirect world currency through global acceptance and thus has significant influence on the other currency pairs / economy. To use an example to explain the influence of the USD on other currency pairs, let's look at the DXY (USD index). The DXY is composed of the pairs: EUR (57.6%), JPY (13.6%), GBP (11.9%), CAD (9.1%), SEC (4.2%) + CHF (3.6%) When a positive metric is published for the USD = its value rises. = The pressure on the currencies in the DXY basket increases. = Thus they are "negatively" valued by traders. = Sell-off In summary, the higher the country's opinion on the global economy, the greater impact it takes on the overall market. > Feel free to share in the comments, about the impact of this week's appointments. > Sharing your perspective allows each of us to improve. If this explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive a rating. Thank you and happy trading! ZIEL IST DIE AUTARKIE | THE GOAL IS SELF-SUFFICIENCY
TVC:DXY
by ZielIstDieAutarkie
2
The Importance of understanding Internal Energy of the MarketMajor world events & KL Composite Index over 44 years. Major world events such as Black Monday : Aug-Dec 1987 US Recession : Aug-Sept 1990 Mexican Financial Crisis : Jan 1994-Jan 1995 Asian Financial Crisis : Feb 1997 – Sept 1998 Dotcom Bubble : Feb 2000 – Apr 2001 Sept 11, 2001 SARS : Apr 2002 – Mar 2003 Global Financial Crisis : Jan 2008 – Oct 2008 European Debt Crisis : Jul – Sept 2011 – Oil Glut : Oct – Dec 2014 COVID : 2020-2022 Ukraine Crisis : 2022 The major world events as shown in vertical blue columns. What is of significance is that the occurrences of these major world events are in the golden uptrend channel. What is the implication? In my video training course "Buy Low Sell High", I explain that market system has its internal strength and weaknesses and its own "healing energy" to make correction to these negative events and still move forward. It is like our own human system with its built in immune system that is designed to overcome major diseases. Hence it is important to study and analyze the Internal Energy of the market system and not be derailed by overlly focus on events.
FTSEMYX:FBMKLCI
by aw360q
2
‼️ Economic calendar week 02.05-06.05 As usual, at the beginning of the month we have a busy week from a fundamental point of view, with presentations of reference rates, NFP, etc. As well, on Monday we have bank holiday on GBP and Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday on JPY, so we can see less volatility on pairs with these currencies. Seems we could see an increase rates on AUD, USD and GBP, but I think we saw bullish price action on these currencies during last weeks and I expect now a retracement. My recommendation is to avoid trading during these news events. Take care!
Education
by Snick3rSD
AUDUSD bulls attack monthly hurdle on hawkish RBAThe Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) keeping of September tapering on the table, despite covid woes at home, offered over 40 pips of immediate upside to the AUD/USD pair on the announcement. However, the quote remained below a one-month-old horizontal hurdle surrounding 0.7400–7410 and seems to ease of late. Although firmer RSI and RBA’s hawkish title favor AUD/USD bulls to cross the 0.7410 hurdle, 200-SMA near 0.7455-60 adds to the upside barriers before directing the quote to the mid-July top near the 0.7500 round figure. In a case where the quote steps back from the stated resistance, as it did the last Thursday, 0.7350 may return to the charts. However, any further weakness of the pair will be challenged by a two-week-old rising support line near 0.7330. If at all the AUD/USD bears dominate past 0.7330, the yearly bottom surrounding 0.7290 will be the key before direct the quote towards the October 2020 tops surrounding 0.7245.
Short
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD heads to 1.1880 key resistance ahead of US GDPThe post-Fed rally of EURUSD pokes a two-week-old resistance line as bulls brace for the preliminary figures of the US Q2 GDP, up for publishing later today. While the stimulus news and FOMC constitute a double whammy attack on the US dollar, suggesting the upside of the adjacent hurdle near 1.1860, bulls are likely to remain unconvinced until the quote stays below 1.1880, comprising multiple levels marked since June 22. The same 1.1880 level also forms the breakout of rounding top bullish pattern and the confirmation of the same will not hesitate to challenge the late June’s peak surrounding 1.1975. Meanwhile, pullback moves can re-test the 1.1800 threshold but the mid-July lows near 1.1770 will challenge any further weakness. Also acting as the downside filter is the monthly bottom close to 1.1750, a break of which will direct EURUSD sellers to the yearly low of 1.1704. It’s worth observing that the pair’s recovery moves reach the key levels but the RSI is also approaching the overbought territory, suggesting another pullback should the data renew USD buying.
Short
by MTradingGlobal
Gold recovery remains elusive below $1,810, focus on FedAlthough US dollar weakness ahead of the Fed’s verdict put a bid under gold prices, a confluence of 100 and 50-SMA becomes a tough nut to crack for the bulls around $1,807-08. Even if the gold buyers manage to cross the $1,808, a two-week-old downward sloping trend line near $1,810 will be another hurdle before confirming an upside to the month’s top surrounding $1,835. It’s worth noting that the MACD and RSI do favor the upside momentum but after all, it depends upon the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and his words. On the contrary, 50% Fibonacci retracement of late June to mid-July upside near $1,792 could test the metal’s intraday selling in case bears retake the controls post FOMC. Following that, the June 29 swing high near $1,765 can offer an intermediate, a break of which will be a call to the last month’s low near $1,750 and mid-April low near $1,725 to the chart. However, any further weakness past $1,725 will be challenged by the $1,700 psychological magnet before directing the sellers to the yearly low near $1,677. Overall, Fed is likely to reiterate its cautious optimism while keeping the monetary policy unchanged. Though, mentioning tapering is the key for USD bulls, who are inversely correlated to gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MTradingGlobal
Interesting events at Bitcoins high & lowsJust playing around with @TradingView Features - looking at the "all of BTC History" chart - this got me thinking. What happened in world news and events on the highs and lows? Anything significant or interesting. The one thing I didn't include was the launch of Ethereum. Which was July 30, 2015, encase your wondering. Thought this would be interesting to share. I won't paste links to each article - but used a site called "the week" to pull up historic dates & events. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Mayfair_Ventures
4
Lordstown Motors Event Play with high IVR selling for credit Selling naked put option at event Max profit: 90$ Probability of Profit: 77% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 21% Buy Power: $410 Max loss with my risk management: ~ $300 Tasty IVR: 56 Expiry: 30days Sell 2 RIDE April16' 10 PUT Selling put option for 0.45cr each Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing below $10, Safety zone at 13$ support. Take profit strategy: I'm taking at the 60% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order. (at 0.18 debit) If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh ideas follow me : @mrAnonymCrypto on tradingview anyway!
RLong
by TanukiTrade
2
[FUBO] Iron Condor - the FuboTV Inc EVENT play Another lazy trade for today, just an event play. Very risky to holding neutral positions in uptrend, so literally just for a few days on table. Event plays are usually a "trade and pray" strategy, so I'm not preferring (TastyTrader Bob and Tom like it, but I've sucked many times width them) In current case I've decided to take the risk. (1) MurreyMath distances More than 5 MurreyMath fraction distance (5/8) for break even border, current price almost the middle of it. I'm judged to secure area 2.5 fraction up, 2.5 fraction down. (2) Nearest pivot points detecting danger area Secure level upside is $54, downside: $30. Inside this I can sleep well. Outside this I'm looking for any kind of minimal profitable exit point. CONCLUSION: Iron Condor for today event Buy 1 FUBO April16' 20 put Sell 1 FUBO April16' 25 put Sell 1 FUBO April16' 60 call Buy 1 FUBO April16' 65 call Expiry: 45 days Take profit: after event at the first possible moment. Risk management: I'm closing the trade immediately - if the daily bar closing outside my strikes - and I'm cutting my loss . (no matter what I'm believing)- usually I'm losing mutch less than my max profit in this case. Danger zone check every day.
NYSE:FUBO
by TanukiTrade
2
TIME TO GET A BAG OF TOMODear Traders, As you can see in the chart above we have an oversold RSI with a bullish MACD cross. The price has formed a falling wedge structure that has been recently broken and a confirmation has been made. It's time to see an upwards movement. As you probably know there are good fundamentals for tomochain for the end of january and the beginning of february which include: The mainnet hardfork to update to the latest EVM (31/01) TomoBridge which will enable TomoChain to support ERC20 tokens (31/01) TomoP a protocol that allows anonymous transactions (31/01) LuaSwap which will make TomoChain transactions faster than Ethereum and near to 0 fees. (31/01) Halving, the rewards will decrease from 250 Tomochain/block to 125. (07/02) Targets: TP1: 0.00005604 Satoshis TP2: 0.00008824 Satoshis Stop-Loss: SL: 0.00002650 Satoshis I wish you the best of luck!
TLong
by Janpr99
4
Possible Big Move for BTC between June and early August So i took the fib timezone indicator from our ATH to our recent swing low and dragged it to the Last Swing Low before the initiation of the last bull run and it gave out some interesting results. Each Time fib managed to almost perfectly correlate with a major price action and also a change in market sentiment. I was actually quite shocked with this thought it could be a coincidence but while looking through the chart I noticed so many times this indicator managed to be right. So i noted each change for each different level and placed them on the chart for all to see. If this FIB trend continues to be correct, we should be seeing another major shift over the Summer months along with something very HUGE during the Fall. Using this indicator alone i am unable to tell you with confidence rather or not the time events will be positive or negatives but i can tell you that what ever happens will have very noticeable impacts on how the marks decides to move but I will tell you what I'm looking at right now. Currently what i'm looking at is the ascending trendline in green. This trendline is a leftover from my initial BARR chart on BTC that i will link to that chart here. In that Chart i stated that if BTC could touch that trendline and make a mini bounce off of it again that that the BARR would become invalidated and that we would continue on a slower grind upward from there. If price were to consolidate from now to the time that trendine is touched then we may be forming a large bull flag that would shoot us up towards our previous highs at $8500 and if we break through $8500 it will be a confirmed bull market the timing of all that just so happens to be near the next Fib Time Zone. So keep your eyes out for coiling price action up to the trend line and see if the market respects it and bounces. If we dip below it then we might see prices returning to $5000. This has been a fun TA and an interesting one to verify I look forward to the Summer months to see if this trend continues to validate our indicator here.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by RizeSenpai