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Fairvaluearea

Fair Value for S&P 500, Price Targets for the next 12 monthsGoing into next week I calculate fair value for the S&P 500 to be between 5,400 and 4,800 with an average target of 5,100 over the next 12 months. The low end of the range factors in any chance that we see the economy creep to a stagnant point over the next 12 months. If by some miracle the economy should continue to experience above average GDP growth, the S&P 500 could go as high as 6,300 in the year ahead Investors should be cautious about making any large stock purchases if we continue to see unemployment rise and GDP growth slow. Holding off for better buying opportunities is for the best with the S&P 500 above the 5,400 level. The market is likely to continue to see downward pressure. Right now, earnings growth projections are lofty and likely to be revised downward over the next 6 months.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by D1Finance
Practice Labeling Initiative and Responsive Price Action.Rounding out Chapter 1 of the book "Price Action Breakdown..." I am asked to label moves as initiative and responsive based on how the author has described initiative and responsive. From his perspective initiative is when buyers/sellers decide that price is no longer agreeable and take the initiative to move it up or down, hence the name initiative. Responsive is when price pokes out of a Value Area only to come back into it abruptly (see excess price/tails). Another way to think of this would be trend continuation moves vs movement back towards control point. This lesson didn't really hit home for me. I still think the point of control is the most valuable bit of information I have gleaned from this book so far, but I am waiting to hear how the author will work initiative vs responsive into the context they are building. I can definitely see why traders are comfortable in the value area. Trading the initiative moves makes me feel like I'm about to get on a terrifying carnival ride and there's nothing to hang on to. That'll do it for today.
CBOT:ZSK2021Long
by emehoke