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Fear

VIX | Nov 19, 2025 Call Options | Strike $21TVC:VIX , the great "fear" index, has two looming price gaps on the daily chart. Every gap has always been filled in the history of the $TVC:VIX. Given the 90-day tariff pauses and forever world turmoil, there will (undoubtedly), be a spike in the TVC:VIX to close these open gaps. It's just a matter of timing... I've chosen to go 6 months out on the option date (November 19, 2025) as a hedge to my portfolio ($3.45 per contract). I plan to add more contracts if the TVC:VIX dips into the 13-14 area, too. I truly dislike timing the market, but such a position could be a nice 3x gainer of the TVC:VIX spikes to $36 in short time. Or... totally worthless if we are in a constant bullish market for the next 6 months. Time will tell.
TVC:VIXLong
by WorthlessViews
The last 4 previous Stockmarket Fear spikes were great buys...for Bitcoin, allowing investors to enhance their long-term holdings. Purchasing risk assets when the #VIX exceeds 50 and over 20% of stocks fall below their 200-day moving average has consistently yielded positive returns, with a success rate of one hundred percent when evaluated one week, one month, and three months later. This particular scenario has only happened 11 times in the history of the S&P 500, and the reading from Monday, April 7th, marked one of those rare instances. #BTFD
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by BallaJi
2
Why this strategy works so well (Ticker Pulse Meter + Fear EKG) Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. I am not a financial advisor, and this is not financial advice. Consult a professional before investing real money. I strongly encourage paper trading to test any strategy. The Ticker Pulse + Fear EKG Strategy is a long-term, dip-buying investment approach that balances market momentum with emotional sentiment. It integrates two key components: Ticker Pulse: Tracks momentum using dual-range metrics to pinpoint precise entry and exit points. Fear EKG: Identifies spikes in market fear to highlight potential reversal opportunities. Optimized for the daily timeframe, this strategy also performs well on weekly or monthly charts, making it ideal for dollar-cost averaging or trend-following with confidence. Visual cues—such as green and orange dots, heatmap backgrounds, and SMA/Bollinger Bands—provide clear signals and context. The strategy’s default settings are user-friendly, requiring minimal adjustments. Green dots indicate high-confidence entry signals and do not repaint. Orange dots (Fear EKG entries), paired with a red “fear” heatmap background, signal opportunities to accumulate shares during peak fear and market sell-offs. Now on the the educational part that is most fascinating. Load XLK on your chart and add a secondary line by plotting the following on a secondary axis: INDEX:SKFI + INDEX:SKTH / 2 Now, you should see something like this: Focus on the INDEX:SKFI + INDEX:SKTH / 2 line, noting its dips and spikes. Compare these movements to XLK’s price action and the corresponding dot signals: Green and Orange Dots: Opportunities to scale into long positions. Red Dots: Opportunities to start scaling out of positions. This concept applies not only to XLK but also to major stocks within a sector, such as AAPL, a significant component of XLK. Chart AAPL against INDEX:SKFI + INDEX:SKTH / 2 to observe how stock and sector indices influence each other. Now, you should see something like this: Long-Term Investing Considerations By default, the strategy suggests exiting 50% of open positions at each red dot. However, as long-term investors, there’s no need to follow this rule strictly. Instead, consider holding positions until they are profitable, especially when dollar-cost averaging for future retirement. In prolonged bear markets, such as 2022, stocks like META experienced significant declines. Selling 50% of positions on early red dots may have locked in losses. For disciplined long-term investors, holding all open positions through market recoveries can lead to profitable outcomes. The Importance of Context Successful trading hinges on context. For example, using a long-term Linear Regression Channel (LRC) and buying green or orange dots below the channel’s point-of-control (red line) significantly improves the likelihood of success. Compare this to buying dots above the point-of-control, where outcomes are less favorable. Why This Strategy Works The Ticker Pulse + Fear EKG Strategy excels at identifying market dips and tops by combining momentum and sentiment analysis. I hope this explanation clarifies its value and empowers you to explore its potential through paper trading. Anyway, I thought I would make a post to help explain why the strategy is so good at identifying the dips and the tops. Hope you found this write up as educational. The strategy: The Companion Indicator:
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by chuckaschultz
Buying The Dip / Dollar Cost AveragingI recently published my first script and felt now would be a good time to share something I feel could help some people out. I have been trading since 2021 and it has been an amazing journey. Anyhow, I would consider myself a value based investor and in it for the long term. So as the market takes a dip - now is certainly the time to be buying the dip or dollar cost averaging. The way I see it, if you are going to DCA/Buy The Dip, it might be handy to have access to a tool that is slightly better than just regularly timed investments. Take a look at my indicator and let me know your thoughts. Comment, Like and Follow if you enjoy the strategy and companion indicator.
AMEX:VTILong
by chuckaschultz
4
A Practical Framework for Overcoming Fear in Trading“Fear is not real. The only place that fear can exist is in our thoughts of the future. It is a product of our imagination, causing us to fear things that do not at present and may not ever exist. Do not misunderstand me, danger is very real, but fear is a choice.” - Will Smith, After Earth Although I firmly agree with this statement, I also have to acknowledge that while fear is a choice, it’s also a biological response to perceived threats like uncertainty, lack of control, and experience. When faced with these threats the brain activates the amygdala which triggers the fight or flight response releasing hormones like cortisol and adrenaline, preparing the body to respond quickly and instinctively. If left alone, traders consumed with fear will either seek to take vengeance against the markets, typically referred to as “Revenge Trading” or they’ll hesitate when taking the next position fearing that it would be a repeat of the last. Either way, it never ends well. In today’s article we’re going to be breaking down fear both figuratively and literally, by gaining a deeper understanding on how it works and what steps we should take to overcome it. Three Types of Fears in Trading: Now I’m sure most of you reading this article are familiar with the three types of fears related to trading, so I’ll go through these quite briefly but for those of you who might not be that familiar I’ll leave a short explanation for each of the fears highlighted. Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): The apprehension of missing profitable opportunities leads traders to enter trades impulsively without proper analysis, often resulting in poor outcomes. Traders experiencing FOMO generally find themselves in trading signal groups or rely on social media for direction, see my previous article on Trading Vs. Social Media Fear of Losing Money: The anxiety associated with potential financial loss can cause traders to exit positions prematurely or avoid taking necessary risks. This fear is closely linked to loss aversion, where the pain of losing is felt more intensely than the pleasure of equivalent gains. Fear of Being Wrong: The discomfort of making incorrect decisions can deter traders from executing trades or cause them to hold onto losing positions in an attempt to prove their initial decision was right. In many respects, traders try to deal with these fears directly but usually without much success. This is because they’re treating the symptom but not the cause. In order to deal with any of these fears either independently or collectively you’d need to first learn to become comfortable in three very specific areas. Uncertainty - At its core, trading is a game of probabilities, not certainties. Certainty in trading comes only when you’re able to shift your focus from the outcome of any one trade to your ability to take any one trade regardless of the outcome. Remember, it's not your job to predict the future, rather you should prepare for it. Past Losses - The outcome of one trade has absolutely no impact on the outcome of the next, and the best way to deal with past losses is to embrace the lessons that came with it. Lack of Control - Although we cannot control the outcome of a trade, we do control the type of trade we take. We can control when we enter, exit, and how much we risk, which when examined closely carries far more significance than merely seeking to control the outcome. Debunking The Biggest Myth In Trading If you won then you were right, if you lost then you were wrong. This is the biggest myth in trading today and one of the main reasons why so many traders chose being right over being profitable. Instead of accepting a loss, they’ll remove whatever stop loss they had in place in the hope that the market will eventually turn in their favor, refusing to accept that they may have been wrong. There are very good reasons for this type of behaviour which is tied directly to our identity, social belonging and self-worth. When we’re faced with the possibility of being wrong our intellect, competency and self-image is challenged. In order to protect ourselves from this challenge, we begin to resist any new information that could conflict or even threaten our existing belief, creating discomfort even when the evidence is clear. This can trigger emotions like anxiety and avoidance behaviour which can show up in the form of hesitation, overthinking, or avoiding placing trades altogether. However, I’m about to share a framework with you that will help you overcome the fear of being wrong and instead of avoiding it, if you follow this framework, you’ll begin to embrace it. 3 Step Process To Profit From Being Wrong In trading Losses are inevitable. In fact, some of the most successful traders lose far more times than they actually win, and yet they’re still able to make money. This is because you don’t need to be a winning trader in order to be a profitable one. It’s under this principle that you’ll apply the 3 step process to profit from being wrong. 1. Reframe “Wrong” as “Feedback” Generally being wrong comes with consequences, in trading those consequences comes in the form of losses. However, you determine how much you’re willing to lose on any given trade. This means that because you control how much you’re willing to lose, you ultimately control the consequences. The market is a nearly endless pool of trade opportunities and no one trade can determine the outcome of the next. Therefore, a losing trade cannot mean you were wrong, because as long as you still have capital to trade there is another opportunity lining up. Instead, what the losing trade does uncover is the market conditions in relation to your plan. It’s at this point where you review your initial analysis and see if anything has changed. If nothing changed, then it's likely you may have gotten in a bit too early and you’d just have to wait for the next setup. However, upon your review, you discover the market conditions have changed, and you now have to re-evaluate your approach, then this is the feedback the market is giving you. This is what it means to take feedback from the markets and this is what it takes to be profitable instead of being right. 2. Separate Identity From Outcome The mistake many trades tend to make is measuring their success on the outcome of a trade. This is a recipe for disaster because in order for them to feel successful they’d have to win every single time. This of course is impossible, instead I’d encourage you to separate yourself from the outcome of the trade and focus on just trading. There are only one of three outcomes you can experience in a trade. 1. Loss, 2. Win, 3. Breakeven. When you’re able to accept 1. Loss then you don’t have to worry about numbers 2,3. Because you control how much you’re willing to lose you should be able to accept what you’re willing to lose, and by accepting what you're willing to lose you’ve then separated yourself from the outcome of the trade and you can now focus on just trading. To keep you in check with this step here is a very simple but highly effective practice: ✅ Practice saying: “This was a good trade with a bad outcome — and that’s okay.” 3. Celebrate The Process, Not Perfection “That which gets rewarded gets repeated” If you’re only rewarding yourself when you close a winning trade then you’re simply reinforcing the notion of viewing the markets through the lens of right and wrong. As we’ve already discovered this view is detrimental to your longevity as a trader and so I would argue that instead of celebrating a winning trade, celebrate your process. Reward yourself every time you follow your plan regardless if the trade resulted in a win, loss or breakeven. This approach will help you improve your process which in turn will improve your overall returns and performance. Conclusion 📣 You are not here to be perfect. You’re here to grow, to learn, and to keep showing up — fear and all. The market rewards the trader who is calm under pressure, humble in defeat and focused on the long game. Go into this week knowing that fear may still show up — but you’re more prepared than ever to handle it. Let fear be a signal, not a stop sign. You've got this. 🚀
Education
by DeanMuller
Fighting Emotions: Overcoming Greed and Fear in the MarketThere are moments in life that remain etched in memory forever, dividing it into "before" and "after." For me, that pivotal moment was the fateful day I lost an enormous sum of money—enough to live comfortably for 3–5 years. This loss was not just a financial blow but a deep personal crisis, through which I found the true meaning of trading and life. When I first embarked on the trading path, success came quickly. My initial trades were profitable, charts followed my forecasts, and my account grew at an incredible pace. Greed subtly crept into my heart, whispering, "Raise the stakes, take more risks—the world is yours." I succumbed to these temptations, ignoring risks and warnings. It felt as if this success would last forever. But the market is a force of nature that doesn’t tolerate overconfidence. On what seemed like an ordinary day, everything changed. Unexpected news rocked the market, and my positions quickly went into the red. Panic consumed me, and instead of stopping and accepting the losses, I decided to recover them. That mistake cost me everything. In just a few hours, I lost an amount that could have secured my life for years. I stared at the screen, unable to believe my eyes. My heart was crushed with pain and despair. In that moment, I realized that greed had brought me to the brink of ruin. After that crash, I was left in an emotional void. Fear became my constant companion. I was afraid to open new positions, afraid even to look at the charts. Every thought about trading filled me with anxiety and regret. I began doubting myself, my abilities, and my chosen path. But it was in that silence that I started asking myself important questions: How did I end up here? What was driving me? I realized that greed and a lack of discipline were the reasons for my downfall. Understanding my mistakes, I decided not to give up. I knew I had to change my approach not just to trading but to life as well. I began studying risk management, trading psychology, reading books, and talking to experienced traders. Key Lessons I Learned: Acceptance of Responsibility : I stopped blaming the market or external circumstances and took full responsibility for my decisions. Establishing Clear Rules : I developed a strict trading plan with clear entry and exit criteria. Emotional Control : I began practicing meditation and relaxation techniques to manage my emotions. Gradually, I returned to the market, but with a new mindset. Trading was no longer a gambling game for me. I learned to accept losses as part of the process, focusing on long-term stability rather than quick profits. Risk Diversification : I spread my capital across different instruments and strategies. Continuous Learning : I invested time in improving my skills and studying new analytical methods. Community and Support : I found like-minded people with whom I could share experiences and get advice. That day when I lost everything became the most valuable lesson of my life. I realized that true value lies not in the amount of money in your account but in the wisdom and experience you gain. Greed and fear will always be with us, but we can manage them if we stay mindful and disciplined. Takeaways for Traders : Don’t Let Greed Cloud You r Judgment: Set realistic goals and celebrate every step forward. Fear is a Signal : Use it as an opportunity to reassess your actions and strengthen your strategy. Risk Management is Your Best Friend : Always control risks and protect your capital. My journey was filled with pain and suffering, but it was these hardships that made me stronger and wiser. If you are going through difficult times or standing at a crossroads, remember: every failure is an opportunity to start over, armed with experience and knowledge. Don’t give up. Invest in yourself, learn from your mistakes, and move forward with confidence. Let your path be challenging, for it is through overcoming obstacles that we achieve true success and inner harmony. Your success begins with you. If you enjoyed this story, send it a rocket 🚀 and follow to help us build our trading community together.
Education
by VctMid
1
FEAR: Your Biggest Trading EnemyFear is a natural emotion that affects all traders, whether beginners or experienced professionals. In trading, fear often stems from uncertainty, the potential for losses, and the volatility of financial markets. Left unchecked, fear can lead to poor decision-making, impulsive actions, and even significant financial losses. However, by understanding fear and learning how to manage it effectively, traders can improve their performance and build confidence over time. Steps to Overcome Fear in Trading Develop a Trading Plan Having a well-structured trading plan provides clarity and reduces fear. A plan should include specific rules for entry and exit, risk management strategies, and profit targets. When you follow a plan, you take emotions out of decision-making and rely on data-driven strategies. Stick to your plan: Trusting your trading strategy can reduce emotional decision-making, especially during times of market volatility or uncertainty. Use Risk Management Effective risk management can alleviate fear because it limits the potential downside of any trade. Traders should: Set a stop-loss: Predetermine the maximum amount you are willing to lose on any trade. This not only limits losses but also takes the emotional pressure off monitoring trades. Control position sizing: By using small position sizes relative to your account balance, you minimize the impact of any one trade, which can reduce fear and emotional stress. Focus on Process, Not Outcomes Instead of focusing on whether an individual trade is profitable, concentrate on executing trades according to your plan. Understand that losses are part of trading and that a single trade doesn't define your overall success. Avoid emotional attachment to trades: Treat trading as a probabilistic game where losses and gains balance out over time if your strategy is sound. Build Confidence with Knowledge Fear often stems from uncertainty. The more knowledge and experience you gain, the more confident you’ll feel in your trading decisions. Spend time improving your understanding of: Technical analysis: Learn to read charts, patterns, and indicators to make informed decisions. Fundamental analysis: Understand the economic factors that drive market movements. Regularly review your past trades, both successful and unsuccessful, to learn from mistakes and build confidence in your abilities. Practice Patience and Discipline Patience is crucial to avoid overtrading or jumping into trades impulsively. Fear can push you into making quick decisions, but staying disciplined ensures you wait for the right setups. Discipline in following your trading plan and sticking to risk management rules can help control the emotional swings that come with fear. Staying patient allows trades to develop fully and increases the chances of success. Accept Losses as Part of the Process No trader wins 100% of the time, and understanding that losses are a natural part of trading can help reduce the fear of losing. Treat each loss as a learning experience rather than a failure. Reframe your mindset from avoiding losses to managing losses. When you accept that losses will happen but you can limit their impact, fear becomes easier to handle. Control Emotional Reactions Mindfulness techniques: Practices like deep breathing, meditation, or taking regular breaks can help traders stay calm during high-pressure situations. Avoid overreacting: If you experience a significant loss, avoid the temptation to enter a "revenge trade" to recover quickly. Emotional decisions can compound losses. Take a step back, review your plan, and re-enter the market with a clear mind. Use a Trading Journal Keeping a trading journal helps track your emotions, thought processes, and decision-making patterns. Over time, this can help identify fear-based behaviors and allow you to adjust accordingly. By reviewing your journal regularly, you can improve self-awareness and make better decisions. Fear is a natural part of trading, but it doesn't have to control your actions. By developing a solid trading plan, practicing effective risk management, and building knowledge and discipline, traders can overcome fear and make more rational decisions. Over time, learning to accept losses and focusing on long-term strategies will help you manage fear and improve your overall trading success. Remember, the key to overcoming fear is consistent practice, self-awareness, and developing confidence in your abilities as a trader.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by HexaTrades
#VIX fear index and what it means with all its dates#VIX 1M chart; The VIX (Volatility Index) is an indicator that measures the expected volatility of the market and is often referred to as the " fear index ". In short, low values indicate a calm market, while high values indicate a tense market with higher stress levels. By the way, this chart is mainly used by those who trade in the options market. So what's it going to do for us? Let's see. The VIX is usually inversely correlated with the S&P 500 index. In other words, it is negatively correlated. When is the VIX chart triggered? * Financial crises and economic uncertainty. * Major corporate bankruptcies or scandals. * Geopolitical tensions and war threats. * Large-scale events such as natural disasters or pandemics. * Major central bank decisions and interest rate changes. The dates and events I have indicated in the chart; * October 1998 : Russian debt crisis and the collapse of the Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) hedge fund. * July 2002 : Dot-com bubble burst and accounting scandals (Enron, WorldCom). * October 2008 : Global financial crisis, bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers. * May 2010 : Flash Crash - a sudden and massive drop in the US stock market. * August 2011 : US credit rating downgraded. * August 2015 : China's economic slowdown and market volatility. * February 2018 : Inflation fears in the US and a sudden drop in stocks. * March 2020 : The shock of the COVID-19 pandemic on global markets. * August 2024 : Bank of Japan's first rate hike in many years. Here are the details of what two of the above terms mean and why they may have an impact on the markets; What is a Flash Crash? On May 6, 2010, an extraordinary event occurred on the US stock markets that lasted only minutes, but caused severe price fluctuations and sudden drops in market values. During this event, the Dow Jones Index fell by about 1000 points in a few minutes and recovered shortly afterwards. It became clear how unprepared the markets were for such an extraordinary event. This continued the domino effect. Who is Lehman Brothers? Why would its bankruptcy have an impact on the markets? Lehman Brothers was considered one of the most prestigious investment banks on Wall Street, with a huge influence around the world. Therefore, we can say that such a bankruptcy during the 2008 real estate crisis had the effect of throwing fire on the global markets. If you have read this far, you can like and share to support us.
TVC:VIX
by ugurtash
The Fear Index and Geopolitical TensionsIn an era marked by geopolitical tensions and economic volatility, the fear index emerges as a crucial tool for traders seeking to navigate turbulent markets. This article delves into the historical significance of the fear index, exploring pivotal moments like the Cuban Missile Crisis, the 1973 Oil Crisis, and the 2008 Financial Crisis. By understanding how investor psychology and market sentiment intertwine with the fear index, traders can gain a competitive edge. In today's world, marked by unprecedented geopolitical tensions, understanding the fear index has never been more crucial. As global conflicts escalate, the fear index provides essential insights into market sentiment and helps risk managers navigate through these turbulent times. A Geopolitical Powder Keg We are witnessing a convergence of significant geopolitical events: Russo-Ukrainian Conflict: Ongoing hostilities have far-reaching implications for global stability. Middle Eastern Volatility: Potential for a full-scale war involving major powers like Israel, the U.S., and Iran. Sino-Taiwanese Tensions: Threats of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan with severe repercussions for the semiconductor industry and global economy. Pro-Palestinian Protests: These could escalate into widespread violence, further destabilizing the political and economic landscape. The Role of the Fear Index The fear index, often measured by market volatility, acts as a barometer of investor sentiment in the face of these geopolitical risks. By closely monitoring the fear index, risk managers can gain early warnings of market disruptions and develop strategies to mitigate potential crises. Historical Context Historical precedents show how the fear index responds to geopolitical tensions: Cuban Missile Crisis (1962): Stock markets plummeted due to heightened anxiety, underscoring the impact of geopolitical events on market sentiment. 1973 Oil Crisis: The Arab-Israeli War and subsequent oil embargo led to global economic downturns, reflecting the fear index's potential spike during such crises. 9/11 Attacks: The fear index surged as markets reacted to the unprecedented nature of the terrorist attacks. 2008 Financial Crisis: Global financial instability caused a dramatic increase in the fear index, providing early warnings of the impending market collapse. COVID-19 Pandemic: The pandemic's economic halt saw the fear index spike, signaling early disruptions. Methodologies for Calculation Understanding how the fear index is calculated enhances its utility: Volatility Indexes (e.g., VIX): Measure implied market volatility. Sentiment Analysis: Assess sentiment through news and social media. Investor Behavior Metrics: Analyze options trading and margin debt levels. Combining these approaches offers a comprehensive view of market fear in response to geopolitical tensions. The Psychological Impact Investor behavior during geopolitical crises is influenced by: Loss Aversion: Heightened sensitivity to potential losses. Herd Mentality: Following the crowd amplifies reactions. Availability Heuristic: Overestimating the probability of easily recalled events. Strategic Applications Risk managers must adopt a holistic approach, integrating the fear index with geopolitical and economic data to develop robust contingency plans. While the fear index can't predict crises' exact timing or magnitude, it provides valuable early warnings to prepare for potential disruptions. Conclusion The fear index is indispensable for navigating today's geopolitically charged environment. By monitoring market sentiment and identifying emerging trends, you can protect your investments from unforeseen events and build resilience. Embrace the insights offered by the fear index to stay ahead in these volatile times.
CBOE:VIXLong
by MorMedia
VIX Remains Rangebound ....for nowThe VIX remains rangebound and in very good territory all things considering geopolitically and globally. No one can predict the future with 100% certainty but as long as there isn’t any earth-shattering news, fear will probably remain low, given the exception of U.S. election shenanigans coming up. Be aware here that my prediction is that at the last second (and really when it is far too late) they will pull Biden out of the race. Many will not be expecting this (though, I am astounded at how they will not) and it will cause massive volatility in our markets again before settling down. But we have all summer and into the fall before we begin to see some of this occur.
TVC:VIX
by stewdamus
Dollar, VIX, Gold & Silver are Spiking! What Could This IndicateTraders, In this video I'll cover the spikes we are witnessing in the dollar, fear, and precious metals (specifically gold). We'll discuss what this might indicate to us from a geo-political/macro-economic perspective. Inflation continues to tick up. The SEC continues to attack big players (tokens/coins) in the crypto space without providing rules for how to play fairly. We'll track the current progress on stocks pulling back. Bitcoin dominance had done something it has never done before. Meanwhile, Bitcoin continues to track sideways while altcoins continue their deeper pullback. Plus, I'll analyze Ethereum Classic and at the end of the video I have some news from my followers. P.S. - Minutes after producing the video, I read that Iran plans to attack Israel. The charts were telling us something. Is this it?
TVC:VIXShort
by stewdamus
BTC & ETH - Keep It Simple 📚Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, ~ When in doubt, zoom out! 📰 With all the fundamental news and choppy price action, it is always a good practice to take a break, relax, and look at the big picture. Last week, both BTC and ETH rejected the upper bound of the channel and resistance zones. 📈 For the bulls to remain in control and take over from a macro perspective in this bull run, we need a weekly candle close above 50k and 3k zones for BTC and ETH, respectively. 📉 Until then, bearish pressure may persist from a medium-term perspective and might initiate a deep correction phase, leading to the lower bound of the channels, at 35k and 2k, respectively, for BTC and ETH. ⏱ Remember: You Are Getting Paid; To Wait! 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
20
FTM :Lessons from July 2021 & the Power of Fear 🚀📉Let's rewind to July 2021 when Fantom (FTM) orchestrated a remarkable fakeout, inducing fear in the market participants. Fast forward to the present, where FTM has taken a different route, yet showcasing notable growth. Here's a closer look at the dynamics and a lesson on how fear might just expedite the delivery of price movements. 🔄💹 July 2021: Fear-Induced Fakeout Strategic Fear Tactics: FTM initiated a bold fakeout in July 2021, deliberately spiking fear among bullish traders. The market sentiment was manipulated to create uncertainty and shake out weak hands. Unexpected Outcome: Despite the orchestrated fear, FTM ultimately surged by an astounding 1680%, catching many off guard. The lesson: Fear, when strategically employed, can set the stage for substantial bullish moves. Present Scenario: Fear Takes a Backseat Different Approach: Notably, in the recent period, FTM opted for a less fear-driven strategy. The growth of 160% over a slightly shorter timeframe suggests a more organic market sentiment. Lesson Learned: The comparative growth indicates that fear might not always be a prerequisite for significant price movements. Market dynamics evolve, and strategies adapt. Key Takeaway: FTM's journey teaches us that while fear can be a potent catalyst for price action, its role in the market is not absolute. Traders and investors should remain vigilant, recognizing that market dynamics are multifaceted and ever-changing. Stay informed, stay resilient ❗️Unlock my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE! Link below 🔑
F
by AlexWhale
Lets make a BottomBounceIndicator today=Step by step annotated= Today, I am going to try something different. Let's make a Bottom Bounce Indicator. What is a bottom bounce? Bottom Bounce is a move I saw when analyzing a massive drop. The move caught my eye and has become a staple in how I find and catch a falling Knife. I have my weaknesses and demons just like anyone else. I am severely impatient and extremely an emotional creature by nature. **Fun Fact** There are two (technically three if you combine them and care about people in general) but for our purposes there are two ways to make a decision in life. Logical: Everyone has done this before: You want to buy a new car(substitute with whatever gets the juices flowing). You go online, you do your research and you come up with these things that are going to be absolute in your buying decision: Year, Make , Model of vehicle you want Color, style, package, interior Must have features as an absolute! Like Sunroof Dealership you will purchase from (normally closets one because people are lazy and like getting taken advantage of) Price you will pay.(if they knew the invoice it would be that because people don't need to make profits on things that cost $20k+) “oh, you guys will make it back on someone else” (Because everyone believes they are that one person that is above everyone else and deserves things for free) I=( Trade value you won't take a penny less for. (because for some reason everyone believes their car is in Great Condition and showcase ready) Bank they will get their money from or Cash they have to spend(Usually if its cash it's some absurd perfect trade and absolute negative deal that makes the amount of money they have just right.) ;: ) Interest rate they will get Amount of money they will put down Years they will finance **I think that covers most of it*** (boy im really going deep into this scenario….) Here is where reality sets in… You show up to the dealership and you tell the sales person you are just looking around. (Because you love being tortured by salesmen and you felt, “ hey I don’t get much free time let's go to the dealership and be harassed by salesman” (sounds about right) Finally, you grace the salesman with the right to show you a vehicle. You tell them everything above about the car you want. 2024 Lexus RC350 f package White with Red interior $54,072 +++ Emotional Decision: While on your much deserved test drive you start to take ownership of this finely crafted out of the most premium of premium hand stitched leather seats and steering wheel, wait what's that the shifter also has the same leather on it. And look at that dash it moves when I start the car! Push button Start, and the LEDS! Sunroof, Navi, Surround Sound, and OMG the seats are like Hugging me! Who cares about Covid and being isolated from people when I can be hugged by this seat! Heated and AC, WHAT! Of course my Honda has it but not like this! The steering wheel doesn’t even shake at like 100 mph, ok the salesman is scared….let me get a hold of myself. Trade Details: Trade: 2020 Honda Accord EXL Black with gray interior 55k miles regular maintenance (obvs right before the major 60k mile checkup) tires have been changed once. No Wrecks one owner. New was around $32-34k 4 years old 15k miles ish/yr The decision: Location: Local Lexus Dealership inside sitting down looking at numbers… The mood: Serious During the test drive you: Fell in love hard for the vehicle Fun fact: you can't see the outside from the inside. Lexus doesn't make cheap interiors so it doesn't matter the color as it looks way better than the “Cord”. While Driving you started thinking: You know I got that bonus and haven’t touched it, I could put that down as well. I mean I could pay another $100 a month for this. I didn’t think I would like the Blue but I actually love it! Black is so hot but really they are all hot! As far as interiors go. If I could finance this through them, maybe I’ll get a rebate or something and then just refinance it with my bank so I don't have to wait and I can drive home today! Emotional Decisions: replace all logic and throw it out the window, think of it like an extremely efficient Moving company with a crew of like 15 jacked dudes and pull up in an envoy that is reminiscent of a Military Convoy. And literally toss everything you have out the door and windows and load up, take off in less than 15 mins. Then what happens next is they bring in the Decor team which is made up of like every reality show Fix it and ditch it Home Renovation Show put together and within the next 5 mins they fill your home full of new IDEAS! YAY! Back at negotiations: You stand Firm and You tell him with a serious VOICE that you will buy it for 84 months $ 690 with $5k down and that you will take $18k for your trade and not a penny less! Finance through them for the rebate but really so you can drive home today. Interest Rate: 7.99% All for the Vehicle you test drove: 2024 Lexus RC350 f package Blue with black interior $53,761++ After a few hours you finally walk out to see your brand New Car and get handed the 3 C’s = See your Car See your Keys See you Later! And that my friends is how emotion will destroy your logic every time! By iCantw84it 10.30.23 In 2 days its my bday give me a Bday Gift I love Boosts! Plus they are free, if you found this somewhat entertaining, and educational pls like follow and BOOST! Thanks! *** btw if you want to know the 3rd way just shoot me a message and a *** btw if you want to know the 3rd way just shoot me a message and I’ll let you know.
by iCantw84it
The Mind of an Ego Trader – 10 ActionsWe always hear of the two most dangerous states of trading. Fear and greed. But I think there is one more state, that really drives a trader to financial collapse. EGO. Ego is thinking you’re always right where you ignore risk and caution. It’s the voice in your head that tells you to make risky choices because you believe you know better. To overcome being an ego trader, we need to go inside the mind of one. Let’s start… Ego traders overtrade One of the most common pitfalls of ego trading is overtrading. This is the act of buying and selling markets way more than you should. They believe that the more they trade, the more profits they will make. Solution: Adopt a well-defined trading strategy and stick to it. You need to know how and where to enter your trades with strict risk management. Remember, quality should always be prioritized over quantity. Ego traders like to revenge Trade Ego traders refuse to be wrong. They’ll take a trade in one direction, bank a loss. And then immediately get in again, but in the opposite direction – to make up for losses. Their goal is not to trade well but to recoup any losses ASAP. This behaviour is often driven by the ego’s inability to accept a loss. And this will drive them crazy until they blow a big portion of their account. Solution: Acceptance is key. Every trader is going to take losses. You need to take the loss (see it as the cost of trading), and come back the next day. Take a step back, analyse the situation objectively, and stick to your trading plan. Ego traders ignore risk management Egotistical traders think like this. “I want to grow rich quickly and refuse to only bank 3% to 4% of my portfolio per trade”. They instead risk 5%, 10% and sometimes go full port. They have this invincibility complex, that the more money they risk the more likely they’ll build their account quickly. But this is reckless and your portfolio won’t last long. This will often lead to disproportionate losses. Solution: I sound like a parrot by now. Always adhere to your risk management rules. Determine your risk tolerance, set risk-reward ratios for your trades, and never risk more than you’re willing to lose on a single trade. You know this! Dismiss Market Analysis Ego traders are emotional. They mainly trust their feelings, their jiminy cricket voices and their instincts over solid and proven market analysis. This will obviously lead to discretionary trading decisions, which will eventually lead them with no strategy, no discipline, no rules, and no portfolio. Solution: Become a trading machine. Think like a robot and always base your decisions on thorough market analysis. This includes both technical analysis (price trends, indicators, etc.) and fundamental analysis (economic, financial, and other qualitative and quantitative factors). Ego traders blame everything Ego traders often blame the market, their broker, their children, the media, or unexpected news for their losses. You need to grow up and take on the mature approach. Every financial decision and action you make, is solely your responsibility. Solution: Take responsibility for your actions. Understand that the market is unpredictable and losses are a part of trading. Don’t trade if you’re feeling distracted, Don’t trade if you’re feeling you’ll blame something or someone. Learn from your mistakes and learn to humble yourself before the market does. Ego trader are trend top and bottom pickers These are the guys that literally try to ‘predict’ bottoms or tops. They go against the current trend, and instead guess that the price will turn from here. They give you every reason why the market will turn. They know privy info that no one else does (even though all info is in the public domain). They know strategies and indicators that make these predictions (even though all indicators are based on past data). They see and feel out of their asses about change in trends. And when they’re wrong (which most times they are), they find every reason, news event and indicator to guess when the market will turn. This usually results in entering at a bad price and subsequently facing a huge loss. Solution: Leave the tops and bottoms. Seriously, ignore the first 10% of the bottom. Leave 10% of the top. Claim the 80% market move when the trend has confirmed and is showing strong momentum. Enjoy going with the trend not against it. Ego traders over leverage It confounds me that traders want more leverage. They show off about 20 times, 50 times up to 500 times. You know what that means right? You can lose 20, 50 or 500 times the money you put in. Leverage is a double-edged sword. You desire the big wins and only think of the big wins. When then you are wrong (and you will be), you end up losing a colossal amount. Solution: Use leverage responsibly. Lower the leverage, the better you can manage your risk and reward management. Ego traders disregard stop losses Stop losses are designed to limit a trader’s loss on a position. However, there are two types of ego traders. The ones that trade naked (without a stop loss) and the trade goes heavily against them where they lose their hat. Then there are the ones that put in their stop loss. But then they move their stop loss FURTHER away where they can risk more. Once this happens, they marry into their trade. And they’ll keep moving the stop loss away again and again and again and then BOOK. Gone. Solution: First rule – Always set a stop loss. Second rule – NEVER move your stop loss where you can risk more. Super important. Ego traders dismiss discipline They have major commitment issues. They choose their days and times. They trade now and then when they feel like it. And this dismisses the discipline of taking every trade, one needs to take to build a consistent portfolio. Solution: See trading as a business. See trading as a job. See your trading strategy as your boss. Work accordingly like your life and livelihood depends on it. Discipline is key in trading. Maintain your discipline and eventually it’ll turn into integration. Then you’re sorted. Ego traders fail to adapt The market is constantly changing. There are always new markets. There are always new platforms. There are always new brokers. There are always new innovations and features. And yet ego traders, stay put. You need to learn to adapt to market changes. You need to constantly update yourself as a trader, your strategy, your watchlist and stay with the times. With discipline, a clear plan, and a bit of humility, traders can better navigate the markets and improve their chances of success. Let’s sum up the Mind of an Ego trader so you know how to overcome it. Ego traders overtrade Ego traders like to revenge Trade Ego traders ignore risk management Dismiss Market Analysis Ego traders blame everything Ego trader are trend top and bottom pickers Ego traders over leverage Ego traders disregard stop losses Ego traders dismiss discipline Ego traders fail to adapt
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
3 Dangerous States of a Trader“To err is human” It comes from Alexander Pope’s poem, “An Essay on Criticism.” This popular saying reminds us that making mistakes and feeling emotions are a common part of the human experience. In the high-stakes arena of financial trading, most people run their trading through three main emotional states. You might not be able to eradicate them completely but we can learn to keep them in check for superior trading performance. Let’s go through these three powerful states. State #1: Fear in Trading Fear is the emotional state that: Stops traders from actioning trades. Letting losses run (as they refuse to take a loss) Cutting winners too short (as they don’t want to lose their profits) When fear dominates, traders may freeze, act too soon, act too late or not act at all. How to Overcome Fear in Trading A well-structured trading plan is a trader’s best defense against fear. You need to think like the market. You need to trade like the market. You need to remove fear from your actions. That’s why you need to limit your risks per trade, where the loss does not affect you emotionally. You need to be strict with your trading plan, to avoid any discretionary and impulse trading decisions. And it’s important to start thinking with a more mechanical and rational approach rather than fear-driven ones. Practice mindfulness and stress management techniques can also keep your fear under control. State #2: Greed in Trading Greed drives traders to chase profits. This often compels them to take on excessive risk for the chance at bigger returns. They either increase their risk per trade, knowing that the reward will be bigger. Or because they want more, they will hold onto positions for too long. Having greed overtake the mind, will also result in overtrading and using up too much of their portfolios per position. How to Keep Greed at Bay in Trading Understand that trading is a long-term game. Consistency with small gains will build up a portfolio. Be content with 3% – 4% winners. Keep to this and greed will fall away and you’ll have a better chance of longevity when trading. State #3: Ego in Trading Ego is one state I never see anyone talk about. All you hear is fear and greed and greed and fear. But EGO. Ego is probably the most stubborn enemy. “Ego gets you inches but it doesn’t get you impact.” – Cameron Sinclair It convinces traders that they’re right, even when the market says otherwise. An inflated ego can lead to overconfidence, over trading, revenge trading and it can cause traders to disregard their strategy, risk and they’ll end up making irrational and dangerous trading decisions. How to Check Ego in Trading Even the most successful traders suffer losses. So you need to humble yourself and adopt amore mindful approach to realistic trading. Each small loss is a contribution and a trading cost to one step to success. You’ll also learn more from your losses than your gains. Which will give you an opportunity to learn and improve. So go back to your trading journal and review, monitor and analyse the true essence of what it takes to build your portfolio. This will help keep your ego in check. Conclusion Fear, greed, and ego are integral parts of the human experience. But there is NO need and use for it to succeed as a trader. When you learn to recognise these states and, you’ll be able to manage them better. And this will drastically improve your trading performance. Remember, successful trading is less about conquering the market and more about mastering your emotions.
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso