Fibonacci
ETH/USDT 1W Chart📊 Trend structure (Price Action)
Downtrend (historical):
A series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) — a classic downtrend.
Confirmed by the orange downtrend line.
A change in structure — a possible beginning of an uptrend:
A Higher Low (HL) has recently been formed after a Lower Low (LL).
Suggests a possible end to the downtrend and an attempt to break out upwards.
Currently:
The price is testing the upper downtrend line.
A breakout above the orange line may confirm a trend change.
🟢 Key Resistance Levels (Green Lines):
Level Meaning
3.058 USDT Potential target after a breakout from consolidation
2.767 USDT Nearest strong resistance - currently being tested
3.427 USDT Deep resistance level from the previous high (HH)
🔴 Key Support Levels (Red Lines):
Level Meaning
2.234 USDT Nearest support - previous breakout
1.883 USDT Early 2023 support
1.507 USDT Local bottom
1.204 USDT Historical support - LL extreme
📉 Stochastic RSI (Momentum Indicator):
Currently in the overbought zone.
This may suggest a short-term correction before an actual breakout.
However, in a strong uptrend, the indicator may "hang out" in the overbought zone for a long time.
📈 Potential scenario:
If the breakout above 2.767 and the orange trendline holds:
A possible move to 3.058 USDT as the first target.
Extended target: 3.427 USDT (HH).
If the breakout fails:
Correction to 2.234 USDT or lower.
There is a risk of returning to a downtrend.
✅ Bullish signals:
Higher Low (HL) formation after Lower Low (LL).
Testing the upper downtrend line with an attempt to breakout.
Volume is increasing (based on candles).
⚠️ Bearish threats:
Stochastic RSI in the overbought zone.
Breakout not confirmed by 100% (needs a weekly closing candle above 2.767).
Resistance at 3,058 could halt the move.
📌 Conclusion:
Ethereum (ETH) could be on the cusp of a new uptrend, but a breakout above 2,767 USDT is needed for confirmation. If it does, a move to 3,058 and then 3,427 is possible. However, the current overbought level on the Stochastic RSI could signal a short-term correction before the trend gains strength.
30M Insight: EURUSD Buy Limit ReadyGood Mornıng Traders;☀️
Based on a 30-minute analysis, I’ve identified a shift in EURUSD market structure. I’ll be waiting for price to reach my level with a buy limit order.
📥 BUY LIMIT ORDER: 1.17180
🛑 STOP LOSS: 1.16946
🎯 TP1: 1.17275
🎯 TP2: 1.17412
🎯 TP3: 1.17649
📊 Risk / Reward Ratio: 2.00
Patience meets precision. Let the market come to you.
🧠 Master your mindset with iron discipline.
Never fear the trade—let the trade fear you.
Keep your motivation high and your focus sharper than ever.
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Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
$30 easy by 2026I'm holding the 1/16/26 25C those are the highest and furthest out options you can get on hood. Bought at 1.55 on 7/2 now worth 3.30 good entries if eth pulls back would be 12 and 10 best case. I see this running quick I will sell atleast half at 30. They hold and are staking over 500M worth of eth largest amount for any publicly traded company, yeild will be great for them but they are obviously selling shares to purchase eth so there's plenty of risk company only has 5 employees according to hood still under 1B last time I checked. 50ma is around 16 should be a clear path to 30 maybe psychological resistance at 20.
AEHR watch $15.99-16.27: Major Resistance may give a Dip BuyAEHR has been flying high with the general market.
Approaching a significant resistance into $16 round.
$15.99-16.27 is the exact zone of concern up here.
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Previous analysis that caught the BreakOut:
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GBPCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermM15 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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GBP/USD – Bearish Shift Confirmed | Structure Breakout + AO DiveThe market just gave us a textbook setup on GBP/USD!
🔍 Analysis Overview:
A clear bearish divergence has formed between price and the AO (Awesome Oscillator), signaling potential trend exhaustion at the top.
We saw a rising wedge break to the downside, with a structure breakout confirming a shift in momentum.
Price decisively broke below the 1.36109 support level, indicating bearish control.
📊 Technical Confluence:
AO shows bearish divergence, confirming weakening bullish momentum.
Structure breakout from the wedge pattern aligns with AO signals.
Fibonacci retracement and extension levels give a clear target zone:
🎯 TP1 area: 1.35805 – 1.35895 (Fib 1.618–1.786 extensions)
⏳ What I'm Watching:
I'm now waiting for a pullback to retest the broken structure (possibly around the 0.382–0.618 Fib levels: 1.36242–1.36323). A bearish reaction here could provide a high-probability reentry opportunity.
💡Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Signal: Divergence + Structure Break
TP Zone: 1.35805 – 1.35895
Watch for: Pullback to retest broken structure before continuation
📈 Stay alert and manage your risk wisely!
GOLD → Correction for confirmation before growthFX:XAUUSD is recovering due to increased demand as a safe-haven asset. After breaking through local trend resistance, an upward channel is beginning to form on the chart.
On Monday, gold tested the 3295-3300 zone (liquidity zone) and, against the backdrop of incoming economic data, is buying back the decline, forming a rather interesting pattern that could lead to continued growth, but there is a but!
Investors are reacting to President Trump's threats to impose tariffs on imports from a dozen countries starting August 1. In addition, the main question is the Fed's interest rate decision. The regulator is likely to leave the rate unchanged due to inflation risks.
Uncertainty surrounding tariffs is supporting interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. The market is awaiting further news and the publication of the Fed minutes on Wednesday.
Resistance levels: 3345, 3357, 3396
Support levels: 3320, 3311, 3295
A correction to support is forming. If the bulls hold their ground within the upward channel and above the key areas of interest, the focus will shift to 3345, a resistance level that could hold the market back from a possible rise. A breakout of this zone would trigger a rise to 3357-3396.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/8/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22853.50
- PR Low: 22808.50
- NZ Spread: 100.5
No key scheduled economic events
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/8)
- Session Open ATR: 318.85
- Volume: 24K
- Open Int: 269K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23239
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
SPY July 7th 2025SPY July 7th 2025
Day 1 of journaling my day trades on SPY. I am going to start journaling my ideas every night if possible in order to fine tune my setup and to analyze my wins and losses. I will be using Renko (Traditional, 2 box size, 1m) as my main chart, Range Bars (50R, 100R, 200R, or 500R), and candle sticks (various timeframes) to identify supply/demand, price ranges, and trends - placing a high emphasis on volume as it applies to the Wyckoff Method. I will also occasionally refer to real time options charts and VIX, however I will primarily use those for my entries during the day.
Each day I will provide setups for a bullish and bearish bias, which should help minimize instances where the price moves against me - with slow reactions leading to holding losing trades and hesitating to enter a trade on the side of the new trend. I’ll try to come up with a consistent format as time goes on. For today, I will go down the list of my indicators and provide notes that fit the bias of each trading strategy.
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Bullish Analysis
Renko: Strong breakout from ascending channel on June 30. Fisher Transform is signaling continuation. A retest of the top of the channel would take the price back to ~$618.
100R ($1) Chart: Price is in an uptrend being supported by high volume. 34VWMA (purple) is above 200MA (green). The bounce on July 2nd (around $616) was supported by a high volume node, indicating genuine interest pushing the price higher.
30m Chart: Price closed on July 3rd at the top of an ascending channel inside of a larger ascending channel. Since the larger ascending channel is one of strength, it can be assumed that the smaller one is a sign of strength as well. A break too far below the lower end of this smaller channel would be a sign of weakness, which does not seem to fit the current market structure after last week’s breakouts, but it is still possible that the trend fails. Fisher transform is forming a “hook” pattern that can signal continuation.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Bearish Analysis
On a smaller scale, the price appears due for a pullback, which can fit both the bullish and bearish trading ideas depending on where the market opens.
Renko: The price closed at the top of an ascending channel on July 2nd and will find more buyers upon a test of the lower band and the anchored VWAP.
50R (50¢) Chart: If the price pulls back to the bottom of the channel (around $620) this would coincide with a retracement of 0.618 - which is a key fib level. A break below the 1.00 extension ($616) could signal a break of the uptrend - a $9+ drop if an entry can be found near the top of the channel, not too bad.
5m Chart: The price left a gap down to $620 on July 3rd. Filling this gap could provide important liquidity to propel the price higher. Additionally, The high volume at the start and end of Thursday’s flat trading day (with low volume in between) could be a sign of accumulation or lack of sellers.
1DTE ATM Put, 2m: If a more prolonged (and profitable) downward move is expected from smart money, we should see volume increase for ATM puts during the session. Depending on where things open, we could see a potential spring/false bearish breakout (below $2.20), or a true bullish breakout (above $2.80). Using an options calculator, $623.75 on AMEX:SPY would set up the Spring and a drop below $622.50 could confirm the put breakout.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Targets
Calls: Enter $618-$620, Target $625-$628, Stop Loss $617.75
Puts: Enter $623-$625, Target $620, Stop Loss $626.25
To conclude, overnight action on CME_MINI:ES1! and the gap up on TVC:VIX shows that the price is already retracing. The top of the wedge for VIX would be just above $20 - a key level to watch for a reversal. Unless the upper part of the channel on SPY is tested and rejected again after the open, I will sit out and wait to hit the bullish targets. We are still in a strong uptrend after last week’s breakouts, so going short is the riskier bet anyway, as buyers could step in at any time.
Looking at ATM calls and puts side by side (bottom two charts), it is clear that calls were not heading into today with a good setup. It would be worth taking a chance on puts if a Spring forms (below $2.20), which, again, would correlate with AMEX:SPY hitting $623.75 during the session - and not much higher.
My main idea for the start of this week is to look for a good pullback for calls, so I will be patient and will try not to force anything. If smart money has a bullish sentiment, there will still need to be a short accumulation phase for calls so I will watch to see what the chart is doing for ATM calls around $620.
NVIDIA (NVDA)-Trade PlanNVDA, After an explosive run powered by GenAI infrastructure and bullish earnings, the chart is setting up for either a bullish continuation or a healthy pullback.
With volatility tightening and volume compressing, this is a great moment to prepare for either breakout or breakdown scenarios.
🎯 Trade Plan – Tiered Long Setup
📌 Entry Zones (Tiered Buying):
🔹 $150
🔸 $140
🔻 $120
📈 Profit Targets:
TP1: $160
TP2: $175
TP3: $200+ – Long-term continuation play if AI macro momentum persists
📌 DISCLAIMER: This idea is for educational purposes only. Always use proper risk management and assess your own strategy
TSLA: Triangle PatternResearching the market through structural lens, particularly the topology of trapped liquidity buildup and compression of volatility, that leads to a proportionally heavier move once a breakout occurs.
Raw compression area derived from waves of higher degrees (2nd, 3rd)
The longer price consolidates within boundaries of a triangular formation, the more significant the breakout tends to be.
EURUSD OUTLOOK 8 - 11 JULYNFP and unemployment rate came out bullish for the dollar which caused that big push to the down side. The job market is still holding well thus we are less likely to see the FED cut rates.
Other economic data is still showing that the dollar is weaker against the euro so I'm not going to change my direction bias just yet. Technical analysis also clearly shows that we are still bullish on EURUSD.
We don't have much fundamental data coming out this week so I'm anticipating price to continue lower to give a deeper pullback off of last weeks data, Then next week depending how CPI, PPI and Retails sales go we will get a clearer picture on how to trade the pair.
Last week's 4H outlook is still valid and is more useful when looking to execute trades. This daily Analysis just gives the bigger picture for more of a swing setup analysis