LTCUSD - Bottom in, starting wave 3In green we see the levels to be taken out as a corrective wave, but the structure is very much impulsive, so we aim fot the impulsive fib targets of 1.6 and 2.3.
Let's go!!
Fibonacci
Is Gold Ready to Rally, Elliott Wave 5 at Key Trending SupportGold is sitting right at a critical ascending trendline support—this could be the make-or-break level between wave continuation and deeper retracement.
I have identified this as the potential end of sub-wave 2 of the final Wave 5. This makes the current support zone a high-probability long entry—as long as it holds.
📈 Bullish Scenario: Sub-wave 3 Kickoff
If support holds, we likely begin Wave 3 of 5, which is typically the strongest and fastest-moving wave.
Look for:
Breakout above the previous minor high to confirm impulse.
Increasing momentum / bullish RSI divergence.
Volume confirmation, if available.
Target: A move past recent highs, potentially up toward $2,475–$2,500, depending on wave length projections.
📉 Bearish Scenario: Breakdown to Fib Retracements
If the trendline breaks decisively:
Expect a retest of the 0.5 to 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the previous major swing low to the recent high.
This would align with Wave 2 or a complex correction structure.
Key Support Zones:
0.5 Fib ≈ ~$2,285
0.618 Fib ≈ ~$2,250
Watch for price action behavior and wick rejections in that area—those will give you clues for a potential bullish reversal.
🌐 Fundamental + Intermarket Thoughts
You're thinking very well here with capital rotation logic:
S&P 500 (ES) is likely in a Wave 5: If true, a correction in equities could free up capital and drive risk-off inflows into gold.
Two likely macro triggers:
ES reversal after ATH retest → Hedges start shifting to gold.
Immediate correction in ES → Faster rotation into safe havens like gold.
Watch the DXY and 10Y yields—if they weaken, that could also fuel gold's breakout.
My trading plan:
Long Entry - Price holds support and starts bouncing with strength Below trendline (tight SL ~$2,300) ~$2,475–$2,500
Wait/Short Bias - Trendline breaks cleanly, closes below on 4H/Daily — Look for long setup at $2,285–$2,250 zone
October remains the targetA parabolic move to 200k or higher by October is far from unlikely — we’ve seen it play out before.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/26/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22488.25
- PR Low: 22450.25
- NZ Spread: 85.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
GDP
Durable Goods Orders
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 6/26)
- Session Open ATR: 358.17
- Volume: 20K
- Open Int: 252K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -1.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Gold may continue to rebound to 3350-3360If gold can stand above 3330 today, it will stimulate long trading behavior to a certain extent, especially the self-rescue behavior of trapped longs. Gold may continue to rebound and is expected to reach the 3345-3355 area. So there is no need to risk shorting gold near 3330 for the time being; although gold may continue to rebound, it is still under pressure in the 3350-3360-3370 area; and gold is still weak overall, so we can consider shorting gold in the 3350-3360 area and look at the target area of 3325-3315.
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GOOGL on WatchLooking to buy GOOGL above $171 if it holds.
Why:
Broke through .50 fib resistance and held the retest (orange circle)
Relative strength compares to SPY
EMAs are nearby and may act as support if it breaks through them
Stop loss under .50 fib.
Taking profit just under swing high
$SOFI looks like its forming a bearish Gartley Noticed this potential #Gartley #Harmonic on #SOFI the other day. I hope my 14c calls do get blessed with its completion.
I expect a retrace to 13.30 then 11.55 of the completion.
AMD Wave Analysis – 25 June 2025
- AMD rose above the resistance level 136.16
- Likely to rise to resistance level 150.00
AMD recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 136.16 (former strong support from 2024) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from last October.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 3, which belongs to the multi-month upward impulse sequence (3) from the start of April.
AMD can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 150.00, former monthly high from November and the target for the completion of the active wave (3).
BTC/USD 1D Chart📊 1. Technical formation: Downtrend channel marked with orange lines
Upper trend line (resistance): ~108,200 – 110,000 USD
Lower trend line (support): ~98,455 – 97,000 USD
➡️ Such a formation usually ends with a breakout. The direction of the breakout will be key – currently, the price is testing the upper resistance line.
💵 2. Support and resistance levels
📈 Resistance:
108.202 – currently tested
112.037 – psychological level
114.816 – local top
📉 Support:
105.300 – SMA 50 + local support
103.424 – local lows
100.510 – key psychological support
98.455 – lower edge of the triangle
📉 3. Moving averages (SMA)
SMA 50 (green): currently as dynamic support (~105.300)
SMA 200 (blue): far below the price (~96.000), inactive in the short term
SMA 20 (red): price broke through it upwards – a signal of bullish strength
➡️ A bullish crossover took place between SMA 20 and SMA 50 → bullish signal.
📉 4. MACD (Momentum)
MACD line is approaching the intersection with the signal line from below.
The histogram is becoming less and less red → a potential intersection and a bullish crossover signal may occur any day now.
📉 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Currently: 57.19
RSI is rising and approaching the overbought zone (70), but it is not overheated yet.
Exceeding 60 would be a signal of further bullish strength.
🔍 6. Volume and context
There is no volume marking on the candles, but:
The current bullish candle is strong and breaks through the key averages (SMA 20, 50).
This indicates buyer activity with technical support.
🟢 Bullish scenario (if a breakout occurs up)
A breakout above 108.200 with a close of the daily candle could open the way to:
112.037 (next resistance)
then even 114.816
🔴 Bearish scenario (false breakout)
A rejection from 108.200 and a drop below 105.300 → a possible return to:
103.424 or even 98.455 (lower triangle line)
USD/CAD Battlelines Drawn at Former SupportUSD/CAD briefly registered in intraday low at 1.3540 last week before mounting a massive outside-weekly reversal off the yearly lows. The subsequent rally extended more than 1.9% off the low with the advance exhausting into resistance this week at 1.3795-1.3836- a region defined by the 61.8% retracement of the late-2023 advance, the April low-close, and the 23.6% retracement of the yearly range. Looking for inflection off this mark to offer guidance with the immediate recovery vulnerable while below.
Initial weekly support rests with the 61.8% retracement of the June range at 1.3639 with key support steady at the 1.618% extension of the February decline / 78.6% retracement at 1.3504/23- look for a larger reaction there If reached with a close below needed to mark resumption of the yearly downtrend. Subsequent support objectives rest with the 2024 low-week clow (LWC) at 1.3360 and the 2023 LWC at 1.3218.
A topside breach / close above the 2022 trendline (red) is needed to suggest a more significant low is in place / a larger recovery is underway with the next major technical consideration eyed at 1.3963-1.4018- a region defined by the 52-week moving average, the 2022 swing high and the 38.2% retracement. A weekly close above this key pivot zone is ultimately needed to invalidate the yearly downtrend in USD/CAD.
Bottom line: A rebound off the yearly channel is now approaching initial resistance at former support- looking for possible price inflection off the 1.3795-1.3835 zone into the monthly cross. From a trading standpoint, rallies would need to be limited to the 2022 trendline IF price is heading lower on this stretch / to validate a break of the multi-year uptrend with a close below 1.3504 still needed to mark resumption.
-MB
Technical Analysis of CRCL (4H Timeframe): A Test of Key SupThis 4-hour chart for CRCL illustrates a classic "impulse and correction" pattern within a powerful uptrend. After a parabolic surge to a peak near $300, the asset is now in a healthy pullback, seeking to establish a new level of support before its next potential move. The key question for traders is whether this correction is a pause or a reversal, and the chart provides critical levels to watch.
The Bullish Thesis:
A Confluence of Support
The primary area of interest is the $160 to $170 zone. This is not just a random level; it represents a powerful confluence of four distinct technical indicators, making it the most critical support zone to watch:
1. Previous Breakout Level: This zone was a clear area of prior resistance. Following the principle of "resistance becomes support," the price is now retesting this level from above, which is a classic bullish confirmation pattern.
2. Fibonacci Golden Pocket: The retracement from the recent high finds the 0.618 Fibonacci level—often called the "golden pocket" and a prime target for buying in an uptrend—located at approximately $153. The 160−170 zone sits just above this, making it the logical area for buyers to step in.
3. Ascending Trend Channel: The price action is contained within a well-defined ascending channel. The lower boundary of this channel, which has provided support throughout the uptrend, is currently intersecting with this key price zone.
4. Anchored VWAP: The light blue line, an Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (AVWAP) starting from the beginning of the rally, is also trending directly into this support zone. Price holding above the AVWAP signifies that the average buyer from the start of the move is still in profit, which is a strong sign of underlying trend health.
The "Last Stand" Support
Should the primary support fail, the chart highlights a secondary, more significant demand zone at $110 to $120. This is identified as the Point of Control (POC) from the volume profile on the left. The POC represents the price level where the most trading volume has occurred, signifying it as an area of "fair value" and a magnet for price. A drop to this level would represent a much deeper correction but would likely be met with significant buying pressure.
Conclusion and Key Scenarios
Bullish Scenario : The most immediate bullish outcome is for the price to find a bottom within the 160−170 support zone. A strong bounce from this area, confirmed by bullish candlestick patterns and increasing volume, would signal the end of the correction and a likely continuation of the primary uptrend, with the previous high near $300 as the next logical target.
Bearish Scenario : A decisive break and close below the $160 level on the 4-hour chart would be a significant warning sign. This would invalidate the immediate bullish structure and open the door for a deeper retrace towards the Point of Control at 110−120.
In summary, CRCL is at a critical juncture. The chart is constructively poised for a continuation of its uptrend, but traders should watch the 160−170 confluence zone as the definitive line in the sand.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Start going long on goldAlthough gold is under pressure and weak at present, gold still rebounded near 3295 under the influence of yesterday's major negative news, proving that there is still a large amount of buying funds below, limiting the retracement space of gold; and from 3295 to 3335, there is still a rebound space of $40, proving that gold is not extremely weak. Moreover, there is a gap left above, and there is a technical need to rebound to fill the gap;
In addition, yesterday gold fell sharply due to news, and there should be many longs trapped in the market. If gold is relatively stable, there may be self-rescue behavior of the trapped longs, so gold longs still have the opportunity to rebound to 3340-3350. At present, the main focus is on the short-term support area of 3315-3305, and we can moderately consider going long on gold in this area.
COINBASE (COIN) – Smart Money Accumulation Confirmed | Eyes on $The structure has shifted decisively.
🔹 Smart Money Concepts in Action
Price has reclaimed equilibrium, flipped BOS zones, and left behind a weak high in premium territory. Current PA suggests institutional accumulation with a clear intent to drive price towards inefficiency above $400, targeting the historical supply near $470.76.
🔹 Key Zones
Equilibrium: ~$240
Discount Zone (Demand): $154.13 - $200
Premium Zone (Supply): >$348
Volume Surge confirms conviction behind the breakout.
📌 Expect a reaction near $380–400, but if momentum holds, the liquidity vacuum toward $470 may get filled faster than most expect. Watch for continuation signals and manage risk accordingly.
💡 This is not financial advice – just tracking footprints of capital.
#COIN #Coinbase #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMP #VolumeProfile #VWAP #LiquidityGrab #TradingView #SMC #Equilibrium #BreakOfStructure #CryptoStocks #WaverVanir
Aptos APT price analysis💰 We will soon find out whether the price of #APT has finally begun to recover, or whether this is just a rebound before a further decline.
📈 For growth to continue, it is important that buyers manage to keep the price of OKX:APTUSDT above $4
◆ Next, the price will exit the falling channel and move towards the strong mirror level of $8
◆ And only after the #APTOS price consolidates above this level will it be possible to talk about an ambitious uptrend.
🐻 Well, the negative scenario is a lackluster fall from $4 to $3, or maybe even lower...
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Short only after 21,197 on 1H TG - USTECH100IG:NASDAQ There is an order block on the 1H TF that needs to be breached to confirm a retracement. Once the candle settles below 21,197 then look for the Fib retracement as per the chart. No need to short until then given the highly bullish sentiment
ETH Retracement 50% FibHi there, I think there will be a retrace at ETH to 50% fib. My new buy zone will be 2300 and I am short at the moment to 2300. Hope this helps you out. Do your research and this is no financial advice, just an idea. Oh and by the way, I got my SL just above the current high (~2490).
Let me know what your thoughts are in the comment below!
GBPUSD - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Strong bullish momentum followed by a pullback.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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SOLUSDT | T.A.P.E. Method Breakdown: Has Solana Bottomed Or Not?Let’s walk through the T.A.P.E. Method I use to read every chart. This isn’t about price alone — it’s about structure, behavior, pressure, and clarity. Solana is at a critical decision point. I’ll explain what smart money is likely seeing, and how I’m approaching this chart with logic — not guesses.
T — Territory (Know the Zone Before You Clone)
I started with the Fibonacci retracement from the all-time low to all-time high. It’s clear SOL is reacting near the golden pocket zone — a historically strong area for reversals.
We also saw strong support at the 2618 extension after the first major leg down. This alone gave an 87% rally. That’s how clean setups work — clarity beats complexity.
Market structure remains bullish on higher timeframes. Yes, we’ve had a wick below prior lows, but no clean break — structure still holds for now.
A — Activity (Price Behavior Over Indicators)
I don’t use RSI or crossovers. I look at behavior.
From the local low to the swing high, the retracement again held the 618 zone, showing buyer defense.
However, on a second leg down, SOL broke below the 2618 level — a key difference. This shift in behavior is what I’m watching closely. Price pushed past 236 on the retrace — that can hint at a stronger bullish leg forming.
But...
P — Pressure (Pain Points and Traps)
Here’s where most traders get caught.
Early longs that entered during the last local rally are underwater. Especially those who bought around the value area high — they are likely hoping to exit break-even, adding sell pressure.
This is classic: a liquidity zone stacked with pain.
That pressure zone sits just above the current range, near $153–$164. If we get a strong move into that zone without structure, I’ll be watching for short setups — not breakouts.
E — Execution (No Setup Is Complete Without a Plan)
Here’s how I’m structuring it:
No-trade zone: Where we are now. No edge here.
Short area 1: $153 — trendline + resistance
Short area 2: $164 — invalidation just above
Target: Sweep lows + retest $138/$128
Invalidation: Clean breakout above $164 with structure
Support zones to watch:
$138 (value area low)
$128 (786 Fib)
$122 (old structure pivot)
If price forms structure and pushes through the golden pocket cleanly, then I shift bias. But for now — pressure remains to the downside.
Summary & Context:
This T.A.P.E. breakdown keeps me from chasing noise and protects capital. Too many early longs, weak structure, and clean resistance zones make this a potential short setup — not a long.
If price flips those resistance zones into support with structure, I’ll adapt. Until then: Plan the move. Let the market prove.
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. All opinions are my own, based on chart behavior and analysis. Do your own research. This is a paper money breakdown shared for educational purposes only.
STAR Health: Building Strength Quietly?STAR Health has shown a clear Wave (2) bottom and now appears to be in early stages of Wave (3). Price recently bounced from the 50–61.8% Fibonacci zone, retesting volume-supported levels around ₹425–₹430.
If this impulse unfolds cleanly, bullish targets lie ahead:
• Short-term: 506
• Extension: 562 (1.618 Fib)
Volume support + structure suggests institutional interest is active.
Fundamentals:
• Market Cap: ~₹25,000 Cr
• ROE: ~20%, Solvency Ratio: ~2.1x
• P/E: ~45x | P/B: ~9.2x (Premium valuation due to sector position)
• Promoter Holding: 58.28% (No pledging)
• Strong DII & FII interest, rising institutional exposure
STAR is India’s leading standalone health insurer with over 8 lakh agents, expanding presence, and structural demand tailwinds post-COVID. Long-term fundamentals support technical recovery.
Keep on radar: Break and close above 440–₹445 can ignite further momentum.
NOTE: This post is for educational purposes only not a buy/sell recommendation.
USD/CHF – Rejection at Key Fib Confluence, Bearish Continuation We’re seeing a beautiful textbook rejection off the 0.79Fib zone (0.8200), precisely where price tapped into a previous structure break and minor supply block. Price surged into the red zone, wicked just above the 200 EMA, and was instantly met with heavy sell-side pressure — a strong signal of institutional distribution.
📌 Technical Confluences at Play:
Price failed to break the 200 EMA cleanly — acting as dynamic resistance.
0.79 Fib levels aligning with prior supply.
Rising wedge structure broken to the downside.
Entry candle printing a solid engulfing rejection — institutional footprint.
📉 Target Zone:
Primary TP sits at the 0.236 Fib level (0.8101), but the full measured move of this wedge gives us a final downside target near 0.8038, with intermediate stops at key Fibs. Invalidation above 0.82294
🧠 Trader’s Insight:
“Patience is power. You don’t chase moves, you position for moments.”
Let the market come to your zone of interest, validate your thesis, and then strike with precision. The best trades come from areas where multiple confirmations stack in your favor.
📉 Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.81933 rejection zone
TP1: 0.8130
TP2: 0.8101
Final TP: 0.8038
SL: Above 0.82294 (tight invalidation)
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
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XAUUSD 1H Analysis – Golden Point in SightPrice is currently making its way toward the Golden Point zone at 3365.120, aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement from the recent bearish leg. This area also coincides with a descending trendline, adding confluence for a potential reversal setup.
📍 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance: 3365.120 (Golden Point / 0.786 Fib)
🔹 Support: 3302.571 (Target zone)
🔹 Swing High: 3393.776
🔹 Swing Low: 3295.200
🎯 Trade Idea:
Watching for a potential rejection from the 3365 zone to catch a short down to the 3302.571 area. Bearish confirmation required around the Golden Point before entry.
📌 This setup follows the HurricaneFx Signature Strategy.
