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Fibonacci

NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/18/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23262.75 - PR Low: 23245.25 - NZ Spread: 39.0 No key scheduled economic events Pushing ATH through overnight hours Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 7/18) - Session Open ATR: 272.56 - Volume: 18K - Open Int: 286K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -0.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23811 - Mid: 22096 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
Fibonacci Retracement: The Hidden Key to Better EntriesIf you’ve ever wondered how professional traders predict where price might pull back before continuing... the secret lies in Fibonacci Retracement. In this post, you’ll learn: What Fibonacci retracement is Why it works How to use it on your charts (step-by-step) Pro tips to increase accuracy in the market 🧠 What Is Fibonacci Retracement?: Fibonacci Retracement is a technical analysis tool that helps traders identify potential support or resistance zones where price is likely to pause or reverse during a pullback. It’s based on a mathematical sequence called the Fibonacci Sequence, found everywhere in nature — from galaxies to sunflowers — and yes, even in the markets. The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting with 0 and 1. The sequence typically begins with 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, and so on. This pattern can be expressed as a formula: F(n) = F(n-1) + F(n-2), where F(n) is the nth Fibonacci number. The key Fibonacci levels traders use are: 23.6% 38.2% 50% 61.8% 78.6% These levels represent percentages of a previous price move, and they give us reference points for where price might pull back before resuming its trend and where we can anticipate price to move before showing support or resistance to the trend you are following. 💡Breakdown of Each Fib Level: 💎 0.236 (23.6%) – Shallow Pullback What it indicates: Weak retracement, often signals strong trend momentum. Buyers/sellers are aggressively holding the trend. Best action: Aggressive entry zone for continuation traders. Look for momentum signals (break of minor structure, bullish/bearish candles). Stay out of the market until you see more confirmation. 💎 0.382 (38.2%) – First Strong Area of Interest What it indicates: Healthy pullback in a trending market. Seen as a key area for trend followers to step in. Best action: Look for entry confirmation: bullish/bearish engulfing, pin bars, Elliott Waves, or break/retest setups. Ideal for setting up trend continuation trades. Stop Loss 0.618 Level 💎 0.500 (50.0%) – Neutral Ground What it indicates: Often marks the midpoint of a significant price move. Market is undecided, can go either way. Best action: Wait for additional confirmation before entering. Combine with support/resistance or a confluence zone. Useful for re-entry on strong trends with good risk/reward. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Levels 💎 0.618 (61.8%) – The “Golden Ratio” What it indicates: Deep pullback, often seen as the last line of defense before trend reversal. High-probability area for big players to enter or add to positions. Best action: Look for strong reversal patterns (double bottoms/tops, engulfing candles). Excellent area for entering swing trades with tight risk and high reward. Use confluence (structure zones, moving averages, psychological levels, Elliott Waves). Wait for close above or below depending on the momentum of the market. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Level 💎 0.786 (78.6%) – Deep Correction Zone What it indicates: Very deep retracement. Often a final “trap” zone before price reverses. Risk of trend failure is higher. Best action: Only trade if there's strong reversal evidence. Use smaller position size or avoid unless other confluences are aligned. Can act as an entry for counter-trend trades in weaker markets. Stop Loss around 1.1 and 1.2 Fib Levels ⏱️Best Timeframe to Use Fibs for Day Traders and Swing Traders: Day trading: Day traders, focused on capturing short-term price movements and making quick decisions within a single day, typically utilize shorter timeframes for Fibonacci retracement analysis, such as 15-minute through hourly charts. They may also use tighter Fibonacci levels (like 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50%) to identify more frequent signals and exploit short-term fluctuations. Combining Fibonacci levels with other indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD, and focusing on shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute charts) can enhance signal confirmation for day traders. However, relying on very short timeframes for Fibonacci can lead to less reliable retracement levels due to increased volatility and potential for false signals. Swing trading: Swing traders aim to capture intermediate trends, which necessitates giving trades more room to fluctuate over several days or weeks. They typically prefer utilizing broader Fibonacci levels (like 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%) to identify significant retracement points for entering and exiting trades. Swing traders often focus on 4-hour and daily charts for their analysis, and may even consult weekly charts for a broader market perspective. 🎯 Why Does Fibonacci Work?: Fibonacci levels work because of: Mass psychology – many traders use them Natural rhythm – markets move in waves, not straight lines Institutional footprint – smart money often scales in around key retracement zones It's not magic — it's structure, and it's surprisingly reliable when used correctly. 🛠 How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement (Step-by-Step): Let’s say you want to trade XAU/USD (Gold), and price just had a strong bullish run. ✏️ Follow These Steps: Identify the swing low (start of move) Identify the swing high (end of move) Use your Fibonacci tool to draw from low to high (for a bullish move) The tool will automatically mark levels like 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc. These levels act as pullback zones, and your job is to look for entry confirmation around them. 🔁 For bearish moves, draw from high to low. (I will show a bearish example later) Now let’s throw some examples and pictures into play to get a better understanding. 📈 XAU/USD BULLISH Example: 1.First we Identify the direction of the market: 2.Now we set our fibs by looking for confirmations to get possible entry point: Lets zoom in a bit: Now that we have a break of the trendline we wait for confirmation and look for confluence: Now we set our fibs from the last low to the last high: This will act as our entry point for the trade. 3. Now we can look for our stop loss and take profit levels: Stop Loss: For the stop loss I like to use the fib levels 1.1 and 1.2 when I make an entry based upon the 0.618 level. These levels to me typically indicate that the trade idea is invalid once crossed because it will usually violate the prior confirmations Take Profit: For the take profit I like to use the Fib levels 0.236, 0, -0.27, and -0.618. This is based upon your personal risk tolerance and overall analysis. You can use 0.236 and 0 level as areas to take partial profits. Re-Entry Point Using Elliott Waves as Confluence Example: This is an example of how I used Elliott Waves to enter the trade again from the prior entry point. If you don’t know what Elliott Waves are I will link my other educational post so you can read up on it and have a better understanding my explanation to follow. After seeing all of our prior confirmations I am now confident that our trend is still strongly bullish so I will mark my Waves and look for an entry point. As we can see price dipped into the 0.38-0.5 Fib level and rejected it nicely which is also in confluence with the Elliott Wave Theory for the creation of wave 5 which is the last impulse leg before correction. 🔻 In a downtrend: Same steps, but reverse the direction — draw from high to low and look to short the pullback. XAU/USD Example: As you can see the same basic principles applied for bearish movement as well. ⚠️ Pro Tips for Accuracy: ✅ Always use Fib in confluence with: Market structure (higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows) Key support/resistance zones Volume or momentum indicators Candle Patterns Elliott Waves, etc. ❌ Don’t trade Fib levels blindly — they are zones, not guarantees. 📊 Use higher timeframes for cleaner levels (4H, Daily) 💡 Final Thought Fibonacci retracement doesn’t predict the future — it reveals probability zones where price is likely to react. When combined with structure and confirmation, it becomes one of the most reliable tools for new and experienced traders alike. 🔥 Drop a comment if this helped — or if you want a Part 2 where I break down Fibonacci Extensions and how to use them for take-profit targets. 💬 Tag or share with a beginner who needs to see this!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by WrightWayInvestments
Coca-Cola Wave Analysis – 17 July 2025- Coca-Cola reversed from the support area - Likely to rise to resistance level 72.00 Coca-Cola recently reversed from the support area between the key support level 68.55 (which has been reversing the price from May), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse (1) from January. The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous minor ABC correction (ii). Coca-Cola can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 72.00 (which stopped the earlier waves B, 1 and i).
NYSE:KOLong
by FxProGlobal
ETEL - strong fundamentals.EGX:ETEL 1-hour timeframe: A potential bearish Gartley pattern targets 41.50. If prices reach 41.55 (without breaking 37.00), it becomes a sell point with targets at 39.73 and 38.60. Conversely, if prices continue rising and close above 42.70, rebuy what was sold at 41.50, targeting 52.00. This setup is both strategic and supported by strong fundamentals. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, only our analysis based on chart data. Consult your account manager before investing.
EGX:ETELLong
by tfcgeorge
AUDCAD - Short Term Sell IdeaH1 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by VladimirRibakov
ELSH - old player EGX:ELSH timeframe: 1 hour. A triangle pattern was identified, targeting 8.20. No new entry is recommended for shareholders, but if prices retest the triangle pattern at 7.65–7.60, it could present a low-risk entry opportunity. This may also form a potential bearish Gartley pattern with targets: - T1: 7.93 - T2: 8.12 - T3: 8.30 (sell point) Stop loss: 7.50. If prices continue rising and close above 8.47, consider rebuying what was sold at 8.30. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, only our analysis based on chart data. Consult your account manager before investing. Good luck!
EGX:ELSHLong
by tfcgeorge
Germany 40 – Preparing For A Short Term Range BreakoutTariff worries, including new comments from President Trump stating that he is likely to impose fresh import charges on pharmaceuticals, have continued to dominate the thinking of Germany 40 traders this week. This has lead to some choppy price action for the index, which after opening on Monday at 24140, has bounced between a Tuesday high of 24293 and a Wednesday low of 23923, before settling back into the middle of that range. Throw into the mix, the start of Q2 earnings season for European corporates and an upcoming ECB interest rate decision in a week's time and you can see how price action could become increasingly volatile moving forward into the end of July. Earnings season has so far got off to a slow start in Europe and Germany 40 traders may have to wait until SAP, the company carrying the highest market capitalisation ($352 billion) and index weighting (14.5%), reports its results next Tuesday (after the close) for further insight into where prices may move next. In terms of the ECB rate decision next Thursday (July 24th), market expectations may currently be indicating that another rate cut is unlikely, although it could be a close call. Traders seem to be focusing on recent commentary from policymakers which suggests the balance of power for the time being has shifted to the more hawkish committee members, who have stated that with inflation sitting on the central bank's target of 2% there is no need to cut rates further. Choosing instead to wait for more clarity on the outcome of trade negotiations with the US, which could decide whether a trade war between the world's first and third biggest economies may be something they need to navigate. Technical Update: Assessing Current Pirce Action Having posted a new all-time high at 24639 on July 9th the Germany 40 index has entered a corrective period in price. However, while much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends, traders may well be asking, whether current price declines can develop into a more extended phase of weakness, or if the downside move could be limited as buyers return once again. Time will tell, but in the meantime, technical analysis may help pinpoint potential support and resistance levels which can aid traders in establishing the next possible trends and directional risks. Potential Support Levels: Having recently posted a new all-time high at 24639, it might be argued this is still a positive price trend, especially as the Bollinger mid-average is currently rising. The mid-average stands at 23954, so may mark the first support focus for traders over coming sessions. However, if closing breaks of this 23954 level materialise, it might lead towards a further phase of price weakness towards 23013, the June 19th session low, even 22406, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to July 2025 price strength. Potential Resistance Levels: If the 23954 mid-average successfully holds the current price setback, it could prompt further attempts to extend recent strength. The first resistance might then stand at 24282, which is equal to half of the latest weakness, with successful closing breaks above this level possibly opening scope back to the 24639 all-time high and maybe further, if this in turn gives way. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by tv1lsqiw
Germany 40 – Preparing For A Short Term Range BreakoutTariff worries, including new comments from President Trump stating that he is likely to impose fresh import charges on pharmaceuticals, have continued to dominate the thinking of Germany 40 traders this week, leading to some choppy price action for the index, which after opening on Monday at 24084, has bounced between a Tuesday high of 24293 and a Wednesday low of 23925, before settling back into the middle of that range. Throw into the mix, the start of Q2 earnings season for European corporates and an upcoming ECB interest rate decision in a week's time and you can see how price action could become increasingly volatile moving forward into the end of July. Earnings season has so far got off to a slow start in Europe and Germany 40 traders may have to wait until SAP, the company carrying the highest market capitalisation ($352 billion) and index weighting (14.5%), reports its results next Tuesday (after the close) for further insight into where prices may move next. In terms of the ECB rate decision next Thursday (July 24th), market expectations may currently be indicating that another rate cut is unlikely, although it could be a close call. Traders seem to be focusing on recent commentary from policymakers which suggests the balance of power for the time being has shifted to the more hawkish committee members, who have stated that with inflation sitting on the central bank's target of 2% there is no need to cut rates further. Choosing instead to wait for more clarity on the outcome of trade negotiations with the US, which could decide whether a trade war between the world's first and third biggest economies may be something they need to navigate. Technical Update: Having posted a new all-time high at 24639 on July 9th the German 40 index has entered a corrective period in price. However, while much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends, traders may well be asking, if current price declines can develop into a more extended phase of weakness, or if downside is just a limited move before buyers return to extend price strength. Time will tell, but in the meantime, technical analysis may help pinpoint potential support and resistance levels, aiding in establishing next possible trends and directional risks. Potential Support: Having recently posted a new all-time high at 24639, it might be argued this is still a positive price trend, especially as the Bollinger mid-average is currently rising. This for Thursday stands at 23954, so may mark the first support focus for traders over coming sessions. If closing breaks of this 23954 level materialise, it might lead towards a further phase of price weakness towards 23013, the June 19th session low, even 22406, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to July 2025 price strength. Potential Resistance: If the 23954 mid-average successfully holds the current price setback, it could possibly prompt further attempts to extend recent strength. First resistance might then stand at 24282, equal to half latest weakness, with successful closing breaks possibly then opening scope back to the 24639 all-time high and maybe further, if this in turn gives way. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by tv1lsqiw
Elliott Wave View: XAUUSD (Gold) Should Continue RallyElliott Wave sequence in XAUUSD (GOLD) suggest bullish view against September-2022 low in weekly. In daily, it should remain supported in 3, 7 or 11 swings to continue rally to extend higher. In daily, it ended ((4)) correction in 7 swings sequence at 3120.20 low in 5.15.2025 low against April-2025 peak. Above May-2025 low, it should continue rally targeting 3589 or higher levels, while pullback stays above 3246.55 low. In 4-hour, it placed 1 at 3452.5 low in proposed diagonal sequence. Within 1, it ended ((i)) at 3252.05 high, ((ii)) at 3245.20 low, ((iii)) at 3365.93 high, ((iv)) at 3245.20 low & finally ((v)) ended at 3452.50 high. It ended 2 in 7 swings correction at 3246.55 low in 6.29.2025. Within 2 pullback, it ended ((w)) at 3340.18 low, ((x)) at 3398.35 high & ((y)) at 3246.55 low in extreme area. It provided short term buying opportunity in extreme area, corrected 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of 1. Above 2 low, it is showing nest in 1-hour sequence expecting further rally. It needs to break above 6.15.2025 high of 3452.5 to confirm the upside to extend daily sequence. Short term, it placed ((i)) of 3 at 3365.70 high, ((ii)) at 3282.43 low, (i) of ((iii)) at 3374.96 high & (ii) of ((iii)) at 3319.50 low. It is showing higher high since 2 low in 5 swings, which can be nest or a diagonal sequence, if breaks below 7.09.2025 low before rally higher above 6.29.2025 low. In (i), it ended i at 3330.32 high, ii at 3309.91 low, iii at 3374.02 high, iv at 3353.43 low & v at 3374.96 high. In (ii) pullback, it placed a at 3340.76 low, b at 3366.38 high & c as diagonal at 3319.50 low. It already broke above (i) high, confirmed upside can be possible as long as it stays above 3319.50 low. Currently, it favors pullback in ii of (iii), while placed i at 3377.48 high. It expects pullback in 3 swings to hold above 3319.50 low before rally continue in iii of (iii). The further upside confirms when it breaks above 3452.50 high. Five swings rally from 6.29.2025 low, suggests more upside should be unfold. The next leg higher expects to erase the momentum divergence in 1-hour to be (iii) of ((iii)). Alternatively, if it breaks below 7.09.2025 low, it can be pullback against 6.29.2025 low, while ended ((i)) in diagonal at 3377.48 high. Gold is choppy after April-2025 peak. It can even do double correction, if breaks below 6.29.2025 low, correcting against May-2025 low before rally continue. We like to buy the pullback in 3, 7, or 11 swings pullback as it is bullish in weekly sequence.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Trip Wave Analysis – 16 July 2025- Trip reversed from resistance area - Likely to fall to support level 16.00 Trip recently reversed down from the resistance area located at the intersection of the strong resistance level 18.00, upper weekly Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the weekly downtrend from 2024. The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the earlier weekly impulse waves i and C. Given the strength of the resistance level 18.00 and the overbought weekly Stochastic, Trip can be expected to fall to the next support level 16.00.
NASDAQ:TRIPShort
by FxProGlobal
Germany 40 – Preparing For A Short Term Range BreakoutTariff worries, including new comments from President Trump stating that he is likely to impose fresh import charges on pharmaceuticals, have continued to dominate the thinking of Germany 40 traders this week, leading to some choppy price action for the index, which after opening on Monday at 24084, has bounced between a Tuesday high of 24293 and a Wednesday low of 23925, before settling back into the middle of that range. Throw into the mix, the start of Q2 earnings season for European corporates and an upcoming ECB interest rate decision in a week's time and you can see how price action could become increasingly volatile moving forward into the end of July. Earnings season has so far got off to a slow start in Europe and Germany 40 traders may have to wait until SAP, the company carrying the highest market capitalisation ($352 billion) and index weighting (14.5%), reports its results next Tuesday (after the close) for further insight into where prices may move next. In terms of the ECB rate decision next Thursday (July 24th), market expectations may currently be indicating that another rate cut is unlikely, although it could be a close call. Traders seem to be focusing on recent commentary from policymakers which suggests the balance of power for the time being has shifted to the more hawkish committee members, who have stated that with inflation sitting on the central bank's target of 2% there is no need to cut rates further. Choosing instead to wait for more clarity on the outcome of trade negotiations with the US, which could decide whether a trade war between the world's first and third biggest economies may be something they need to navigate. Technical Update: Having posted a new all-time high at 24639 on July 9th the German 40 index has entered a corrective period. However, while much will depend on future unknow market sentiment and price trends, traders may well be asking, if current price weakness can develop into a more extended phase of weakness, or if downside is just a limited move before buyers return to extend price strength. Time will tell, but in the meantime, technical analysis may help pinpoint potential support and resistance levels, aiding us establish next potential trends and directional risks. Potential Support: Having recently posted a new all-time high at 24639, it might be argued this is still a possible positive trend, especially as the Bollinger mid-average is currently rising. This for Thursday stands at 23897, so may mark the first support focus for traders over coming sessions. If closing breaks of this 23965 level materialise, it might lead towards a further phase of price weakness towards 23013, the June 19th session low, even 22406, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to July 2025 price strength. Potential Resistance: If the 23965 mid-average successfully holds the current price setback, it could possibly prompt further attempts to extend recent strength. First resistance might then stand at 24282, equal to half latest weakness, with successful closing breaks possibly then opening scope back to the 24639 all-time high and maybe further, if this in turn gives way. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by tv1lsqiw
GBP/USD Plunges to Make-or-Break SupportSterling is poised to mark a third consecutive weekly decline after turning from resistance at multi-year highs. The decline takes price into critical support at the yearly trendline- this is a make-or-break level for the bulls. GBP/USD is testing confluent support today at 1.3372/90- a region defined by the 2024 high-week close (HWC) and the 23.6% retracement of the yearly range. Looking for a reaction off this mark with a weekly close below the April HWC / median-line at 1.3270 ultimately needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / invalidate the yearly uptrend. Subsequent support rests with the 2023 HWC / 38.2% retracement at 1.3091-1.3143 and the 52-week moving average, currently near ~1.2980. Weekly resistance now eyed at the yearly high-week reversal close at 1.3648 with a breach / close above the 2022 high at 1.3749 still needed to mark resumption of the broader Sterling up trend. Subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 61.8% extension of the 2022 advance at 1.4003 and the 2021 HWC at 1.4158. Bottom line: Sterling is attempting to break below the yearly uptrend and the focus is on the weekly close with respect to 1.3372/90- risk for price inflection here. From a trading standpoint, a good zone to reduce portions of short-exposure / lower protective stops- rallies should be limited to 1.3648 IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a close below 1.3270 needed to suggest a reversal is underway. -MB
by FOREXcom
14