HBARUSDT 4H Chart Analysis |Volume & Fibonacci Reaction in FocusHBARUSDT 4H Chart Analysis | Volume & Fibonacci Reaction in Focus
🔍 Let’s break down the latest HBAR/USDT setup, highlighting a clear technical reaction and a new opportunity on the horizon.
⏳ 4-Hour Overview
HBAR has completed a strong impulsive leg after breaking above the RR2 of the key reversal trendline, supported by notable volume confirmation. This impressive surge was then followed by a corrective leg—a healthy sign for bulls, especially for those who missed the initial breakout.
📉 Corrective Phase & Fibonacci Support
- The current corrective leg is characterized by decreasing volume, suggesting profit-taking rather than heavy selling pressure.
- Notably, price has reacted firmly at the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, aligning with classic pullback zones for continuation setups.
- This volume pattern shows traders are waiting for the next major move rather than exiting positions.
🔺 Bullish Continuation Setup
- A strong candle close above the $0.255 level on either the 1H or 4H timeframe will serve as a clear bullish confirmation.
- Such a breakout may pave the way for another impulsive leg upward, with the first upside target identified near $0.30—roughly 19% higher from the recent candle close.
📊 Key Highlights:
- The prior trend reversal was validated by surge in volume and momentum.
- Volume decline during the correction favors further upside rather than distribution.
- Price is respecting key Fibonacci levels, hinting at trend continuity.
- A confirmed close above $0.255 unlocks the next target at $0.30, marking a potential 19% move.
🚨 Conclusion:
HBAR is showing textbook trend continuation signals. For those sidelined after the initial move, the current consolidation offers a safer re-entry point, with actionable confirmation above $0.255. Stay alert for a strong candle close and keep the $0.30 target in view as bullish momentum builds.
Fibonacci
Gold what is next ?!!TVC:GOLD timeframe 1 day
is forming a potential triangle pattern, which could lead to a bearish setup.
The MACD and RSI indicators are positive, supporting this outlook. A close above 3400 would further confirm the idea.
Targets:
- T1: 3600
- T2: 3730–3800
Stop loss: 3100
Support: 3300–3260
Consider opening a long position now, with confirmation above 3400.
Disclaimer: This is not investment advice, only an analysis based on chart data. Consult your account manager before making any decisions. Good luck.
The Most Accurate Gold Forecast on the MarketThis is a continuation of sorts of my educational article that received an "Editor's Pick" from TradingView and a large number of positive reactions from this amazing trading community. However, unlike that post, this is a trade idea that outlines clear entry conditions for when the price reaches a relevant manipulation zone and shows a reversal reaction. If you don't want to get into the details and trace the entire chain of events through which large capital brought the price to its current levels, feel free to skip the intro and go straight to the 4H chart with the long setup conditions.
To better understand the logic of "smart money," let's revisit the Gold daily timeframe from my educational article:
We will approach this analysis like detectives, following the facts and footprints in the style of Sherlock Holmes and Hercule Poirot.
So, let's begin our investigation. On the daily structure, we see a clear order flow confirming the intention of large capital to lead the price in continuation of the uptrend. After the latest impulse that began on February 28th and ended on April 3rd, the price corrected and mitigated the DEMAND1 manipulation zone. The "Whale" refueled with liquidity, eliminated some competitors, closed its losing short positions used for the manipulation, and gained energy for the next impulse that set a new ATH. The correction that mitigated the DEMAND1 zone was nothing other than the next manipulation, also in the form of a DEMAND zone, within which there is a still-valid daily order block. How can we assert that DEMAND 2 is a manipulation and not just a correction?
Firstly, the sharp nature of the move swept liquidity from the March 21st low. Secondly, the sharp upward impulse accompanied by a series of FVGs showed the Whale's true intention. And thirdly, the reversal from this DEMAND 2 zone, combined with the 61.8% Fib retracement level, resulted in the formation of the next manipulation in the form of the OB 1 order block. Further, we see the continuation of the order flow on this daily structure; the price reacts to OB1, forming another order block, OB2 . The impulse from OB2 sweeps liquidity from the May 6th high. Many might have expected a continuation of the impulse and a new ATH instead of a sweep of this high, but as often happens when too many participants pile into one direction, the price sharply reverses and liquidates their positions. This intense decline after sweeping the high looked something like a local trend change from bullish to bearish, but the sharp recovery after sweeping the liquidity from the June 9th low and forming a new order block, OB 3 , finally revealed what was really happening: it turned out to be a range . It's impossible to identify a range until it is fully formed. A range is another type of manipulation where internal and external liquidity is swept from both sides. In our case, there was first a deviation above (Deviation 1 on the chart), then a deviation below (Deviation 2), after which the price swept some internal liquidity and got stuck exactly in the middle of the range.
And finally, after all our investigations and deductions, we can say with absolute certainty, practically with 100% confidence divided by two, that ABSOLUTELY NO ONE KNOWS where the price will go from the current levels. Because the center of a range is a state of complete uncertainty. Moreover, I dare to suggest that even the Whales don't know where the price will go right now. They certainly have enormous funds to sharply move prices at the right moments to capture liquidity and conduct manipulations. At other times, they can nudge the market to create a trend and direct it like a chain reaction of falling dominoes. But the entire market is much larger, and if its sentiment changes drastically due to external factors, smart money won't waste its resources fighting it. Their goal is to make more money, nothing personal. Why else is the price stuck in the middle right now? Inflation data is coming out soon, which could push the price in an unpredictable direction. The Whales will wait to use this news-driven impulse to their advantage.
So, what have we concluded from this investigation? Was it all in vain since we can't even say with 51% probability where the price will go next? Of course not. We simply need to wait for the price to reach an area where the probability of it moving in a certain direction is significantly higher than 50% — that's all you need to be profitable in the long run. This probability will never be close to 100% because we don't know what's really happening in the depths of the market. Are the Whales accumulating positions in this range now, or are they selling off at high prices after the ATH? Unless you are one of the few direct participants in large capital, you can't know this. Moreover, you don't need to know it to make a consistent profit in the market. It is enough for us to predict the next move of smart money with high probability at certain moments, join their movement, and take our profit. It's like a weather forecast: the further from the current date, the lower the probability of it being accurate. It's the same with the market; a completely unpredictable combination of factors, news, and hidden internal processes can lead the price on a unique path, but always accompanied by smart money. It doesn't matter where the gold market goes next, whether to a new ATH or down to the next correction level. When the Whale reveals itself again by leaving a trail in the form of a manipulation, we can lie in wait near it and join its next move. Why is it generally a good idea to enter from manipulation zones? You are essentially stepping onto a field where the Whale has already cleared the liquidity, and it has returned to that place for other business — to close its losing positions. That is, a mitigated manipulation zone is a safer place to enter the market; there's a much lower chance the Whale will absorb your position. Right now, we have such a manipulation in the form of the OB 4 order block, and we can switch to the 4H timeframe to look at a potential entry zone in more detail.
4H CHART - SETUP CONDITIONS
So, we already know the general context: the price is inside a range. After the second deviation, it has already reacted to the order block formed after it, and we are waiting for the mitigation of the next one, OB 4 , which will serve as a pivot point for a potential setup. A reversal from this order block will confirm the order flow for the price to move at least to the upper boundary of the range. The presence of a manipulation zone alone is not enough to open a position; additional confirming conditions are always needed. As one such condition here, we can take the combination of mitigation with one of the Fibonacci retracement levels — 61.8% or 78.6%. Upon reaching each level, the price must hold (not be broken by the bodies of 1-4H candles) and show a reversal reaction. The final confirmation for entry will be an LTF confirm in the form of a break of structure (BOS) or the beginning of order flow on a lower timeframe. An important part of the context is that important US inflation news is coming out soon, and positions should not be opened right before it or for some time after (at least an hour).
Invalidation of the long scenario would be a break below the 78.6% level and OB 4.
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Stellar XLM price analysisToday, the price of CRYPTOCAP:XLM rose quite dramatically, doing so at a critically important moment, but trading volumes are slightly insufficient for final confirmation.
Now let's look at what we wrote for the OKX:XLMUSDT chart four months ago: “It would be ‘right’ to test $0.19-0.20 before the start of strong growth.”
👆
The minimum was $0.19976 — do we "check" and "done" that?
📈 If so, then the price of #XLM should not fall below $0.226 anymore.
And ahead lies only growth in the price of the #Stellar token to at least $0.50, or even $0.60.
🏆 Well, and about the global goal for #XLMUSD we wrote in the previous idea — read, analyze, and turn information into profit!
_____________________
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Bitcoin - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermM15 - Strong bearish move.
Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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GBPUSD – Potential Short Term Volatility Ahead This WeekSo far, the month of July has not been a good one for GBPUSD, undermined by the precarious state of the UK Labour government’s finances, a deteriorating growth backdrop, and shifting interest rate differentials back in favour of the US dollar. This has seen a liquidation of stale long positioning and a steady decline from a 40 month high of 1.3789 registered on July 1st to a low of 1.3419 seen earlier today.
Looking forward, it could be another challenging week for FX traders to navigate. There are several economic data releases in the US and UK to digest, starting with the latest US CPI release later this afternoon (1330 BST), followed by the UK CPI update tomorrow (0700 BST) and then the UK Employment release on Thursday (0700 BST). All of these may have the potential to shift trader thinking on the next interest rate moves from the Federal Reserve (Fed), who are currently expected to keep rates unchanged when they next meet on July 31st, and the Bank of England (BoE), who are expected to cut by 25bps (0.25%) on August 7th.
When the outcome of these events is combined with the uncertain backdrop for global trade as President Trump’s new tariff deadline approaches on August 1st, alongside his ability to drop market moving social media headlines on a whim, this week has the potential to be a volatile one for GBPUSD.
Technical Update: Watching Closing Defence of 38.2% Retracement Support
So far, July has seen GBPUSD enter a correction phase, as prices have sold off from the 1.3789 July 1st session high into Tuesday’s current 1.3419 low. As the chart below shows, this 2.7% decline, seen over little more than a 10 session period, is now approaching what some might class as a support focus at 1.3370.
This level is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the April 7th to July 1st phase of strength, and could be one that traders are now monitoring on a closing basis over coming sessions. While this level remains intact, some might argue there is still a positive uptrend pattern in place.
However, it is also important to consider what are the support and resistance levels on which to focus, if either 1.3370 is broken to the downside, or it continues to stem the current phase of weakness, even helps prompt fresh attempts at price strength.
Possible Support Levels:
As we’ve suggested, it could be the 1.3370 retracement level that represents the first support, with closing breaks below this level opening potential for a more extended phase of price declines.
While much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends, closes below 1.3370 may represent possibilities of further weakness towards 1.3244, which is equal to the lower 50% retracement level. This giving way, may in time result in tests of 1.3140, the May 12th session low.
Possible Resistance Levels:
While the 1.3370 retracement continues to hold current price declines, it might be successful in prompting fresh attempts at price strength.
With that in mind, if moves back higher do materialise, a resistance point to monitor on a closing basis could be 1.3586. This is the current level of the Bollinger mid-average and this giving way on a closing basis may in turn lead to further attempts at price strength to challenge 1.3789, the July 1st high again.
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GOLD → Consolidation ahead of CPI. Chances for growth?FX:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating amid a correction in the dollar ahead of important news. Consumer price index data is due later today. The market is stagnant and will not move prematurely.
On Tuesday, gold rose slightly amid profit-taking ahead of the US CPI release. Investors are waiting for a signal from inflation: weaker data could strengthen bets on a Fed rate cut and support gold, while strong inflation would strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the metal. The situation is exacerbated by Trump's new tariff threats and his criticism of the Fed chair. Let me remind you of Trump's pressure on regulators regarding inflation and interest rate cuts.
Technically, gold is trading above the previously broken “symmetrical triangle” consolidation. Bulls are trying to hold their ground above 3340-3350. Focus on the current range of 3340-3373
Resistance levels: 3373, 3394
Support levels: 3350, 3340
Favorable news for gold could boost interest in the metal, which would generally lead to growth. However, there is a factor of unpredictability, and against this backdrop, gold may test support at 3350-3340. If the bulls manage to keep the price above this zone, we may see growth in the medium term. Otherwise, the price may drop to 3310-3280.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Biocon: Heading for All-Time High?🚀 Biocon: Heading for All-Time High? 🚀
📉 CMP: ₹390
🔒 Stop Loss: ₹330
🎯 Targets: ₹428 | ₹478 | ₹560
🔍 Why Biocon Looks Promising?
✅ Weekly Rounding Bottom Breakout: Breakout triggered above ₹390
✅ Weekly Box Breakout: Confirmation above ₹398 strengthens the setup
✅ Final Confirmation: A weekly close above ₹402 will validate the breakout for a potential strong upside
💡 Strategy & Risk Management:
📈 Phased Entry: Build positions gradually post confirmation to manage risk effectively
🔒 Strict SL: Maintain stop loss at ₹330 to protect capital in case of reversal
📍 Outlook: Biocon is showing strong technical signals with an all-time high on the radar, making it a compelling positional trade setup.
📉 Disclaimer: Not SEBI-registered. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before investing.
#Biocon #PharmaStocks #TechnicalBreakout #AllTimeHigh #SwingTrading #StockMarket #InvestmentOpportunities
$XRP All Tie High After Shallow Pullback?CRYPTOCAP:XRP had a fantastic week smashing all resistances. I am looking for a shallow pull back to test the High Volume Node support at $2.7 at the .236 Fibonacci retracement before continuing to challenge the all time high.
Wave (3) of a motif wave appears complete adding confluence to a shallow retracement for wave (4).
Daily RSI is extremely overbought.
Safe trading
$RIOT Hit The Target Whats Next?NASDAQ:RIOT hit the descending orange resistance were I took partial take profits on my trade this week and it was immediately rejected as expected.
Price is now above the weekly pivot so that is the next support. This level also matches the weekly 200EMA.
Wave (II) hit the 'alt-coin' golden pocket of 0.618-0.786 Fibonacci retracement at the High Volume Node (HVN) support and descending support line which kicked off wave (III).
A breakout above the descending resistance line bring up the the next target of the HVN and previous swing high at $18-20 and $40 following a breakout above that.
Safe trading
$MARA Hits the Weekly PivotNASDAQ:MARA path has been grinding higher clearing the High Volume Node (HVN) resistance where it is sat as support.
The weekly pivot rejected price perfectly so far but if the count is correct and Bitcoin doesn't dump I expect this continue strongly towards the descending orange line resistance as my partial take profit target.
Once that line is broken i am looking at terminal bull market targets of $80 but will of course take profit at key areas along the way.
Wave 2 swung below the descending support and recovered at 0.5 Fibonacci retracement potentially kicking off wave 3.
Safe trading
$HUT Clear for Further Upside?NASDAQ:HUT is having a great time clearing resistances, the weekly 200EMA and the weekly Pivot point did not prove challenging.
It is currently sitting in a High Volume Node (HVN) where price is likely to reject and retest the weekly pivot as support before continuing upwards towards $32 and beyond in wave 3.
Wave 2 tested the 'alt-coin' golden pocket between 0.618-0.782 Fibonacci retracement giving me confidence in the count.
Safe trading
Hero MotoCorp: Reversal in Sight? 🚀 Hero MotoCorp: Reversal in Sight? 🚀
📉 CMP: ₹4438
🔒 Stop Loss: ₹4090
🎯 Targets: ₹5030 | ₹5700
🔍 Why Hero MotoCorp Looks Promising?
✅ Rounding Bottom Breakout: Weekly close above ₹4412 confirms this bullish reversal pattern
✅ Box Breakout: 8-week consolidation range of ₹4454–₹4202 broken above ₹4460, signalling strength
✅ Flag & Pole Setup: Larger range of ₹3354–₹4454 forms a flag-pole structure with breakout above ₹4460
💡 Strategic Insight:
📈 Confirmation Level: A weekly close above ₹4500 will further confirm reversal for long-term upside
🔒 Strict SL: Maintain stop loss at ₹4190 to manage downside risks effectively
📍 Outlook: Multiple technical setups indicate potential for a long-term bullish reversal with targets up to ₹5700.
📉 Disclaimer: Not SEBI-registered. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before investing.
#HeroMotoCorp #AutoSector #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrade #ReversalPattern #SwingTrading #StockMarketIndia #InvestmentOpportunity
Two Retracement Levels Converge, Creating Strong ResistanceGold is hovering near 3370 amid a wave of tariff-related headlines over the past few days. After Trump’s threats toward Mexico, Canada, and the European Union, gold has been pushing toward higher levels. The latest warning came over the weekend, targeting both the EU and Mexico with a 30% tariff unless an agreement is reached by August 1. The EU trade commissioner described the proposed tariff as “absolutely unacceptable.”
So far, markets remain calm due to ongoing delays in the actual implementation of these tariffs. However, that could change as the August deadline approaches. Trump may view it as politically damaging to issue repeated threats without following through.
Meanwhile, the EU is preparing countermeasures in case the deadline passes without an agreement and the U.S. enforces the 30% tariffs. The EU’s plan targets $84 billion worth of goods, including automobiles, aircraft, wine, bourbon, agricultural and chemical products, plastics, and electrical equipment. The outcome of U.S.-EU negotiations could be a major driver for gold in July.
Another factor to watch is the recent surge in bond yields in Japan. The rising probability that Japan’s ruling coalition may lose its majority is creating uncertainty, especially since opposition parties favor tax cuts and increased government spending. Higher Japanese yields could trigger a reversal in carry trade flows, which might also push up yields in Europe and the U.S.
Gold pushed higher, breaking out of the bearish trendline drawn from the July 13 top, and reached the 3370–3375 area. So far, this zone has provided strong short-term resistance. The 3374 is significant, as it marks both the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the May–June rally and the 61.8% retracement of the June 16–30 pullback. This confluence could make it a key pivot point for gold this week.
If this level is broken, gold could gain further momentum and move above 3400. On the downside, 3342 has been acting as a support level for now.
ETHEREUM → Correction to 2900 before growth BINANCE:ETHUSDT is entering a correction after a strong breakout of resistance. At the same time, Bitcoin is falling from 123K to 116K, triggering a pullback across the entire market...
On D1, ETH is facing strong resistance and is not yet ready to break it (it lacks strength after the rally). The most likely scenario after a false breakout is a correction to support. But the main focus is on Bitcoin — will there be a correction or a reversal of the local trend? If the flagship continues its decline, the cryptocurrency market will humbly follow suit.
ETH has a nearest zone of interest at 2913, where liquidity capture could attract buyers, but I do not rule out the possibility that the correction could go much deeper before further growth, for example to 2879-2827 (support on D1).
Resistance levels: 2992, 3041
Support levels: 2913.7, 2879, 2827
Technically, consolidation against a bullish trend. Confirmed support area 2913 - 2879. As part of the correction, the market is interested in capturing liquidity. If, against the backdrop of the current correction, the bulls manage to hold their ground above the specified support, ETH may still surprise us with its growth :)
Best regards, R. Linda!
Silver Update (XAGUSD): Eyeing the Next Move After the $39 SurgeAs mentioned in my Friday analysis, Silver ( TRADENATION:EURUSD XAGUSD) was preparing for an important breakout — and indeed, the market delivered. The clean break through resistance triggered a strong acceleration, pushing the metal up to $39, pretty close to the psychological $40 level.
Now, we’re seeing a healthy correction after this steep rise, and this could turn into a buying opportunity for the bulls.
📌 Key support zone:
The ideal area to watch is between $37.20 and $37.50 — this is the sweet spot where bulls might step back in.
But be aware:
👉 After strong breakouts, the broken resistance doesn’t always get retested — sometimes the price rebounds from higher levels.
🎯 Plan of Action:
• Monitor price action under $38
• Watch for reaction patterns and structure shifts
• Don’t force entries — let the market confirm
Silver remains strong as long as the structure holds, and this pullback might just be the market catching its breath before another leg up. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD → Consolidation. Long squeeze before growth to 3400FX:XAUUSD has broken through resistance at 3353-3357 since the session opened, and bulls are currently trying to keep the market in the buying zone. Should we expect a long squeeze before growth?
Gold is in local consolidation after breaking through a key level. The price is still in the consolidation phase formed during a week-and-a-half correction. The price reached a three-week high of $3,374 on Monday but fell after the EU's conciliatory statements. Investors are awaiting US inflation data and Chinese GDP figures as they assess the prospects for a Fed rate cut. Heightened geopolitical and trade tensions are keeping demand for safe-haven assets high.
Technically, gold has entered a local buying zone, but there is a fairly complex resistance zone above it, and consolidation is needed to break through it. Such patterns could include a retest of support and a liquidity grab before growth.
Resistance levels: 3373, 3394
Support levels: 3357, 3353, 3345
There is a possibility of a retest of eql 3353 in a long squeeze format and a return to resistance at 3373 for a breakout. I also do not rule out a retest of the key level of 3345. The global trend is bullish, with the price locally in a fairly wide range, with an emphasis on the support zone of 3345-3355. If the bulls can hold this zone overall, the market will have a good chance of rising to 3400-3450
Best regards, R. Linda!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/15/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23036.00
- PR Low: 23000.00
- NZ Spread: 80.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | CPI (Core|MoM|YoY)
Asian hours vol spike breakout swing into new ATHs
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 7/15)
- Session Open ATR: 290.39
- Volume: 42K
- Open Int: 276K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -0.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23239
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone