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Fomcnews

How to trade the Fed's interest rate decision!In nearly an hour, the Fed will announce the Fed's interest rate decision and a summary of economic expectations; In nearly an hour and a half, Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference. If the Fed's policy statement or the latest forecast shows a dovish tendency, it may resume the downward trend of the US dollar, thereby supporting the upward trend of gold; and the recent mild inflation and weak employment data in the United States may prompt the Fed to soften its previous assessment, thereby strengthening expectations of interest rate cuts and providing support for gold prices. From the current technical structure, gold maintains a volatile and anxious market during the day, and there is no clear direction in the short term, but gold is currently always below 3400, and the overall market is still in a weak trend; but gold has repeatedly touched the 3375-3365 area and can quickly recover, proving that there is still strong buying support below; in fact, it stands to reason that if gold is really weak, it should have continued to fall and touched the 3360-3350 area, but gold did not touch the area as expected, but used sideways trading to exchange time and space, and there was no sign of any downward breakthrough, so gold is likely to choose an upward direction. In addition, the Middle East geopolitical crisis, global economic uncertainty, intensified trade frictions and rising inflation expectations will all provide structural support for gold. So if gold does not fall below the 3365-3355 area today, we will be bullish on gold first; but if gold cannot break through the 3410-3420 area in one fell swoop during the rise, then we need to be careful of the trend of gold rising and then falling. As for how to trade the news next: the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The above are my trading ideas and opinions, you can read them carefully and use them as a reference! If you still want to trade news after careful consideration, please be sure to set SL during the transaction to protect your account to the greatest extent!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
BTC Update 4 Hour/ FOMC Day March 19, 2025, GAME PLAN!🚨 FOMC Day Update – March 19, 2025 🚨 BTC at ~$83,244 (+0.28%–1%) as markets stay cautious. Fear & Greed at 23, RSI at 44.05 = neutral momentum. While BTC is trading below all significant EMs, 50 100 and 200, It has broken above the 21EMA which is bullish for the short term. Fed likely to hold rates at 4.25%–4.50% (99% odds) – a surprise cut could ignite a BTC rally. Whale accumulation signals potential upside. Sentiment data and whale accumulation hint towards a possible upside but only if FED surprises with a rate cut. The current pump in the market will be short-lived if there's no change in the rates which is very likely. So be careful with your longs and shorts. Volatility will kill both bears and bulls. You need to keep an eye on Powell’s 2:30 PM EST speech. Inflation & liquidity outlook will shape BTC’s next move. Stay sharp! I'll keep you updated. Let me know what you think in the comments and do hit that like button if you like this post. Thank you #PEACE
by Cryptorphic
7
Bearish Scenario If FOMC News Favors BearsFOMC interest rate news is due in less than 2hours . I Stayed out of the market waiting since last Thursday just to wait for FOMC news because the market will almost always goes into consolidation days before this news due to its significant impact. So its usually a good idea to avoid getting chopped in the sideways action unless you like donating money to the market instead of waiting for a new trend to emerge or a continuation of the on-going trend. After todays fomc news, we will know if we will resume dumping everything, or we'll evaluate potential short term bullish scenarios. For now, my recent BTC short analysis is still intact. I already took profit on all 8 short positions i was in on various coins i shorted along side BTC. If the FOMC news favors the bears, i'll be looking to re-enter shorts in the range 86.4k to 91k.
Short
by ExoProtocol
Gold is on Fire—But Can Bulls Hold the Line?Gold has been surging, and while I expected it to hit $3,000 this year, I definitely didn’t anticipate it happening in the first semester... So, let’s address the big question: Can the bulls maintain this level? Looking at the chart, since early March, TRADENATION:XAUUSD has climbed 2,000 pips (around 7%), but what stands out is that 1,500 of those pips (5%) came in just one week. No matter how strong the bullish momentum and fundamentals are, I believe this kind of rally is unsustainable. Technical Outlook After pulling back from its all-time high of 2,950, gold made a false breakout, followed by an almost vertical move upward, briefly interrupted by two consolidation phases. Fundamental Factors The FOMC meeting is today, and while rates are expected to remain unchanged, the real market mover will be Jerome Powell’s press conference. His comments could trigger significant price action. My Take I expect gold to start correcting after the press conference, regardless of what Powell says. However, this is a highly risky trade, so I’ll stay on the sidelines until I see a clear reversal signal. Final Thoughts At the time of writing, gold is consolidating within another rectangular range, with resistance at 3,040. If we see a spike above and then a drop back to around 3,030, that would signal ( for me ) that gold has topped—at least for now. In that case, I’ll be looking to short with a target of at least 500 pips. Until then, my approach is simple: wait and see. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
13
GOLD / XAUUSD UPDATE !!!!www.tradingview.com The gold market is currently in a holding pattern, with traders reluctant to make premature decisions due to upcoming significant news. A consolidation below the level of 2315 is observed. A false break of support has led the price to retest the 2310-2315 range, after which traders are pausing before the news release. All attention is focused on the forthcoming major events, namely the CPI and the Fed meeting. The key US CPI data will influence the Fed's stance on interest rates, which will, in turn, significantly affect the value of the US dollar and gold prices in the short term. The market anticipates neutral data (no change), which would likely maintain the same fundamental backdrop. However, the actual data is highly anticipated, especially after last Friday's unexpectedly high NFP. Any initial reaction to the US CPI data might be short-lived as gold traders will soon turn their attention to the FOMC & Fed meeting. Resistance levels are identified at 2315, 2325, and 2354, while support levels are found at 2305, 2291, and 2267. From both a technical and fundamental perspective, gold appears weak at the moment. Amidst high volatility, the price may attempt to breach 2325 and test the liquidity zone of 2335-2345, then transition to a decline phase if the fundamental backdrop is conducive. The risk of further decline remains substantial, but the upcoming news could either exacerbate this decline or disrupt the market structure.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by Goldxking
EUR/USD Analysis Summary:Price & Pattern: EUR/USD at 1.08397. 4H chart shows double top rejection, followed by resistance breakout—bearish indication. Technical Implications: Pattern suggests potential bearish reversal, favoring sellers. Demand Zone: Approaching demand zone, but bearish bias persists. FOMC Impact: Pending FOMC news could strengthen USD (DXY index)—further downside pressure on EUR/USD likely. Anticipated Movement: Downside risk prevails, especially post-FOMC, aiming for bearish targets. If you like my idea please boost comment and follow for more informative ideas thanks for support
by Alexview009
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCThe KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. On Sundays report we said we had 3 levels in mind for the week ahead. 2010-12, 2030-35 and extension level 2045-50. It’s this level here we were expecting a move into for a potential tap and bounce, however, on Monday we activated long and took our trades from the 2018 completing another Excalibur target today around 2043. We’re still within the plan on the KOG Report, but FOMC is likely to throw us some curve balls, so we’ll have to play the cards we’re dealt for the rest of the week! So, for todays move we’re still looking at extreme levels, not only due to FOMC, which may already be priced in, but also for NFP. We’re going to highlight the above resistance level as 2060-5 as a potential target level from support regions below, that’s if the price level is not touched during the rest of the week. This now turns 2030-35 into support on the flip which could be a level they dip into on the move, to then continue the move to the upside, before we then see a reaction in price. Pre-event plan, we’re going to stick with one scenario, if we get it we’re in, if not, we’re happy to sit and wait for the right set up. If you’ve taken enough from the market already, please also do the same. We’ll be looking for price to push up into the 2060-65 region and hold, this level we feel holds an opportunity to short the market back down into the 2050-45 price point, and then below that 2030-35. Price will need to break below the 2030 level to complete the move to the downside, as we initially wanted in the KOG report on Sunday targeting the break of 2000! Price breaks above 2060-65, we’ll sit and wait for tomorrow and let Excalibur activate. KOG’s bias for the event: Bullish above 2030 with targets above 2060 and above that 2065 Bearish on break of 2030 with target below 2010 Please use this as a guide, FOMC is most likely priced in. It’s the press conference 30mins into the hour where the market will be looking for clues to future economic news. We may see some late sessions movement across the markets, so please make sure you have a strict risk model in place, if you’re going to try and trade it. Otherwise, sit it out, wait for them to move the market to where they want to, then look for the right set up at the right time. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
EUR/USD: Trends Amidst Fed Caution and Technical AnalysisThe foreign exchange market, a dynamic arena where currencies engage in a perpetual dance, is currently witnessing notable shifts in the EUR/USD pair. This analysis delves into the intricate interplay of both fundamental and technical factors influencing the Euro against the US Dollar. Against the backdrop of the Federal Reserve's cautious approach to monetary policy and recent technical developments, we explore the potential for a downtrend in EUR/USD. The aim is to provide a comprehensive understanding of the market dynamics, linking the Fed's commitment to interest rate management, the impact of slowing US inflation, and the technical chart patterns that may shape the future trajectory of this critical currency pair. Join us in dissecting the nuances that contribute to the potential downward movement of EUR/USD, with an ultimate target set at 1.05719 by the year's end. Fundamental Analysis: Cautious Fed Monetary Policy: In its recent meeting, the Federal Reserve (Fed) reiterated its cautious approach to interest rate management, choosing not to raise rates. This decision reflects a policy focused on economic stability and vigilance against potential negative impacts. Impact of Slowing US Inflation: The Fed's commitment to raising interest rates only when necessary, particularly in relation to inflation control, indicates a concern for the balance between economic growth and price stability. A slowdown in US inflation could alleviate pressure for interest rate hikes. Euro Strength Amid Dollar Decline: The Euro has strengthened against the US Dollar, partly due to market concerns about a potential decline in the value of the Dollar. Investors may be seeking alternative investments in the Eurozone deemed more attractive. Technical Analysis: Resistance at the November 21 Pivot Point: On November 21, EUR/USD encountered resistance at the pivot point of 1.09594, which represents the highest level in the past three months. Failure to surpass this level can be interpreted as a rejection by the market to push prices higher. Potential Bearish Reversal: Failure to breach the pivot point resistance could signal a potential bearish reversal, especially if followed by further price declines. This may indicate buyer fatigue and seller strength, potentially leading to further declines. Target Price of 1.05719: Aligned with fundamental analysis, the potential decline in EUR/USD could be a response to tighter US monetary policy and the increasing allure of the Dollar. The target price of 1.05719 is considered a realistic level given market conditions and supporting fundamentals. Conclusion: Fundamental analysis indicates that the Fed's cautious monetary policy and the decline in US inflation could provide additional support for Dollar strength. Meanwhile, technical analysis, with the pivot point at 1.09594 as the highest in three months, highlights resistance and the potential for a bearish reversal. This combination of factors forms the basis for considering a short position on EUR/USD, with a target price aimed at 1.05719 by year-end. Monitoring both fundamental and technical developments is crucial for risk management and making informed trading decisions.
Short
by fardycurry
2
#GBPJPY Potential upside continuation*please be sure to remember that today we have FOMC meeting and they are going to announce funds rate and their policies for coming meetings with a high possibility of a lot of movement in all pairs. since price rejected from the long term bullish channel upper line, price formed a bearish corrective structure with the possibility of upside continuation in favor of long term price movement. As it can be seen in the chart price struggling with supply area for the past few days and failed several times to break below this supportive area. more importantly today after another failed attempt to break below the support price rejected and formed strong bullish hammer candlestick pattern which can potentially shows buyers strength. Now in order to trade this pair I'm looking for price to fail to go lower than the 4H bullish hammer candle low or break above lower timeframe bearish trendline.
Long
by mohemati
#EURUSD 2 interesting areas for bearish continuation*please be sure to remember that today we have FOMC meeting and they are going to announce funds rate and their policies for coming meetings with a high possibility of a lot of movement in the pairs specially USD pairs during news and while FOMC chairman speaks. Other than that we have 2 very important area for price to turn and possible continuation of downside movement. As you can see in the chart we have clear downtrend move in action in EURUSD pair and price been forming bullish corrective move since new low was formed.
Short
by mohemati
XAUUSD - KOG REPORT - FOMCFOMC – KOG Report: This is our view for FOMC today, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. On Sunday’s KOG Report we said the report would only be applicable for the first half of the week due to FOMC today. We did well with this so will stick with some of the levels from the report for today. We’re going to keep this FOMC Report short this time as we’re not likely to be trading again until tomorrow. For those who are keen to get involved, we’ve highlighted the key levels to look for a reaction in price. The daily is showing a potential swing where a bullish move here can take it up towards testing the 2000 level and slightly above. For that reason, we’ve given the level on the break up towards 2005-8 with the initial hurdle being the 1980-85 level. On the flip, 1975-80 is another level to keep an eye on. We’re not publishing the daily bias today, but this was yesterdays bearish below level with a rejection around here potentially leading to price first attacking the 1945 region and below the 1930-35 order region which was our initial target for the short trades. Illustrated on the chart is the potential path, obviously with the swings, spikes and volatility expected please take it as a guide. We’ll only be looking for extreme levels in Camelot and that, as we said above is probably going to be in the sessions ahead. If you’re new to trading, the trade will come after the event. Please try not to get involved in the pre-event price action, it’s going to chop you in the range before they make the move. Best practice is to come back to the markets tomorrow and look for a clean set up. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
16
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/26/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023 - PR High: 15739.50 - PR Low: 15619.75 - NZ Spread: 267.25 !FOMC DAY! 08:30 – Building Permits 10:00 – New Home Sales 10:30 – Crude Oil Inventories 14:00 – FOMC Statement - Fed Interest Rate Decision 14:30 – FOMC Press Conference Huge inventory drop at session open - Extremely wide NZ spread - High vol expected indicated by cheap brokers (AMP) Evening Stats (As of 12:15 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939) - Session Open ATR: 215.64 - Volume: 35K - Open Int: 253K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From ATH: -6.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 16105 - Mid: 15533 - Short: 15247 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQU2023
by mv3trader5
Price Waiting for News Releases | Tech/Fundamental Analysis Traders, today we have those news releases for Wed, 28 Jun 2023.. Buyside liquidity then sellside liquidity.. Use these news as your trigger and most importantly, confirm your entry.. This view is linked to my previous view, please review it.. Price may reprice higher than H2 FVG and into my "sell area" marked in my previous idea.. Those are areas of "possible" reversal points, and entry should be confirmed in the proper time.. I'll keep you updated ✅
Short
by MST_Trader