GBPCHF - Continuation Setup towards 1.0770GBPCHF recently descended with strength, and I’ve been watching to see how price reacts here.
Price now hovers above and this is a great indication for us to use for possible continuation move, that could send price into the 1.0770 level.
But if price breaks above with momentum, then I’ll back off the bearish bias and reassess, and I’d consider the continuation idea invalidated, with potential for further upside.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
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Forex
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's trading session, as expected, the Euro continued its decline, reaching our Mean Support level of 1.168. Recent analyses suggest that the Euro is likely to experience a further downward trend, with the next target set at the Mean Support level of 1.160. However, it's essential to consider the possibility of a rebound toward the Key Resistance level of 1.181, which could lead to the completion of an Outer Currency Rally reaching 1.187.
USDCHF Will Grow! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.796.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.804 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURNZD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.945.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.943 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Sector Rotation Strategy🌐 Sector Rotation Strategy: A Smart Way to Stay Ahead in the Stock Market
What Is Sector Rotation?
Imagine you're playing cricket. Some players shine in certain conditions — like a fast bowler on a bouncy pitch or a spinner on a turning track. The same idea applies to stock market sectors.
Sector Rotation is the process of shifting your money from one sector to another based on the market cycle, economic trends, or changing investor sentiment.
In simple words:
"You’re moving your money where the action is."
First, What Are Sectors?
The stock market is divided into different sectors, like:
Banking/Financials – HDFC Bank, Kotak Bank, SBI
IT– Infosys, TCS, Wipro
FMCG – HUL, Nestle, Dabur
Auto – Maruti, Tata Motors
Pharma – Sun Pharma, Cipla
Capital Goods/Infra – L&T, Siemens
PSU – BEL, BHEL, HAL
Real Estate, Metals, Energy, Telecom, etc.
Each sector behaves differently at various stages of the economy.
Why Is Sector Rotation Important?
Because all sectors don’t perform well all the time.
For example:
In a bull market, sectors like Auto, Capital Goods, and Infra usually lead.
During slowdowns, investors run to safe havens like FMCG and Pharma.
When inflation or crude oil rises, energy stocks tend to do better.
When interest rates drop, banking and real estate might shine.
So, instead of holding poor-performing sectors, smart investors rotate into the hot ones.
How Does Sector Rotation Work?
Let’s say you are an investor or trader.
Step-by-step guide:
Track the economy and markets
Is GDP growing fast? = Economy expanding
Are interest rates high? = Tight liquidity
Is inflation cooling down? = Growth opportunity
Observe sectoral indices
Check Nifty IT, Nifty Bank, Nifty FMCG, Nifty Pharma, etc.
See which are outperforming or lagging.
Watch for news flow
Budget announcements, RBI policy, global cues, crude oil prices, etc.
E.g., Defence orders boost PSU stocks like BEL or HAL.
Move your capital accordingly
If Infra and Capital Goods are breaking out, reduce exposure in IT or FMCG and rotate into Infra-heavy stocks.
Real Example (India, 2024–2025)
Example: Rotation from IT to PSU & Infra
In late 2023, IT stocks underperformed due to global slowdown and US recession fears.
Meanwhile, PSU and Infra stocks rallied big time because:
Government increased capital expenditure.
Defence contracts awarded.
Railway budget saw record allocations.
So, many smart investors rotated out of IT and into:
PSU Stocks: RVNL, BEL, HAL, BHEL
Capital Goods/Infra: L&T, Siemens, ABB
Railway Stocks: IRFC, IRCTC, Titagarh Wagons
This sector rotation gave 30%–100% returns in a few months for many stocks.
Tools You Can Use
Sectoral Charts on TradingView / Chartink / NSE
Use indicators like RSI, MACD, EMA crossover.
Compare sectors using “Relative Strength” vs Nifty.
Economic Calendar
Track RBI policy, inflation data, IIP, GDP, etc.
News Portals
Moneycontrol, Bloomberg, ET Markets, CNBC.
FIIs/DII Activity
Where the big money is going – this matters!
Sector Rotation Heatmaps
Some platforms show weekly/monthly performance of sectors.
📈 Sector Rotation Strategy for Traders
For short-term traders (swing/intraday):
Rotate into sectors showing strength in volumes, price action, breakouts.
Use tools like Open Interest (OI) for sector-based option strategies.
Example:
On expiry weeks, if Bank Nifty is showing strength with rising OI and volume, rotate capital into banking-related trades (Axis, ICICI, SBI).
Sector Rotation for Long-Term Investors
For investors, sector rotation can be used:
To reduce drawdowns.
To book profits and re-enter at better levels.
To ride economic trends.
Example:
If you had exited IT in late 2022 after a rally, and entered PSU stocks in early 2023, your portfolio would’ve seen better growth.
Pros of Sector Rotation
Better returns compared to static investing
Helps avoid underperforming sectors
Takes advantage of macro trends
Works in both bull and bear markets
Cons or Risks
Requires monitoring and active management
Timing the rotation is difficult
Wrong rotation = underperformance
May incur tax if frequent buying/selling (for investors)
Pro Tips
Don't rotate too fast; let the trend confirm.
Use SIPs or staggered entry in new sectors.
Avoid “hot tips”; follow actual price and volume.
Blend sector rotation with strong stock selection (don’t just chase sector).
Conclusion
The Sector Rotation Strategy is one of the smartest, most practical tools used by both traders and investors. You don’t need to be a pro to use it — just stay alert to the market mood, economic cycles, and where the money is moving.
Think of it as dancing with the market:
“When the music changes, you change your steps.”
Keep rotating. Keep growing.
USOIL SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 68.66
Target Level: 67.34
Stop Loss: 69.53
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
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GBP/USD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go long on GBP/USD right now from the support line below with the target of 1.361 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general uptrend on the previous 1W candle and the oversold situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the lower BB band.
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EUR/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the EUR/USD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.133.
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EURAUD Breakdown Incoming? Price + COT + Seasonality🧠 MACRO & INSTITUTIONAL FLOWS (COT)
EURO (EUR)
Strong increase in net long positions by non-commercials: +16,146
Commercials also added long exposure: +25,799
Bias: moderately bullish
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR (AUD)
Non-commercials remain heavily net short (long/short ratio: 15% vs 63.6%)
Slight increase in commercial longs: +2,629
Bias: still bearish, but showing early signs of positioning exhaustion
COT Conclusion: EUR remains strong, AUD remains weak — but the recent extension calls for caution on fresh EURAUD longs.
📊 SEASONALITY (JULY)
EUR shows historically positive July performance across 2Y, 5Y, and 10Y averages
AUD also shows mild strength, but less consistent
🔎 Net differential: No strong seasonal edge on EURAUD in July
📈 RETAIL SENTIMENT
54% of retail traders are short EURAUD, 46% long
Slight contrarian bullish bias, but not extreme yet → neutral to slightly long
📉 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE – MULTI-TIMEFRAME
1. Weekly Chart
Strong bearish engulfing candle after 4 weeks of upside
RSI dropped below 50 → clear momentum shift
1.7960–1.8100 is now a liquidity zone that’s been tapped
2. Daily Chart
Confirmed break of the ascending channel formed since May
Price reacted from demand zone around 1.7460–1.7720, signaling potential pullback
Watch for rejection around 1.7910 (50% body of the weekly engulfing candle)
3. Entry Setup
Key area for short entries: 1.7910–1.7940
This zone aligns with:
✅ Former support now turned resistance
✅ Inside a valid bearish order block
✅ Ideal retracement level (50% engulfing body)
🎯 OPERATIONAL CONCLUSION
While the macro context still favors a stronger EUR against AUD, price action tells another story.
The weekly engulfing candle is a strong technical reversal signal, and the daily structure confirms the break.
→ Shorting the pullback into 1.7910–1.7940 could offer an excellent R/R trade setup.
Bias: Short-term bearish – Targeting 1.7700, 1.7550, and potentially 1.7315
Invalidation: Daily close above 1.8040
EURUSD – Breakout Confirms Bullish ContinuationEURUSD has just successfully broken out of a corrective triangle pattern, confirming that the bullish structure remains intact. The price reacted well to the support zone around 1.1660 and bounced back, opening the way toward the 1.1820 target in the short term.
On the news front, the euro is gaining support as the Eurozone’s July CPI held steady at 2.6%, indicating that inflationary pressures have not fully eased—this may prompt the ECB to maintain a tighter policy for longer. Meanwhile, the USD is under mild correction pressure after U.S. CPI came in higher than expected but not strong enough to reignite rate hike expectations from the Fed.
Given the current technical setup and news backdrop, EURUSD could continue rising in the coming sessions as long as it holds above the trendline support.
EUR_NZD RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅EUR_NZD has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 1.9500
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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USD-JPY Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY keeps growing but
A strong horizontal resistance
Is ahead around 148.500
So after the retest we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish correction on Monday!
Sell!
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GBP-USD Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is trading in a
Long-term uptrend along
The rising support support
Line and the pair will soon
Hit it and from there we will
Be expecting a bullish
Rebound on Monday
Buy!
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EUR_USD STRONG UPTREND|LONG|
✅EUR_USD is trading in an uptrend
With the pair set to retest
The rising support line
From where I think the growth will continue
LONG🚀
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CAD_JPY BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅CAD_JPY broke the key
Structure level of 107.400
While trading in a strong uptrend
Which makes me bullish biased
And I think that after the retest of
The broken level is complete
A rebound and bullish continuation will follow
LONG🚀
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AUD-CHF Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.5221 which is now a
Support and the pair is going down
To retest the level from where
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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EURGBP Perfect Channel Up giving one more buy opportunity.Last time we looked at the EURGBP pair (May 30, see chart below) we gave the most timely buy signal right at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Bullish Megaphone, and the price is only a few candles away from the 0.87400 Target:
If we look at the price action from a 4H perspective we can see that it is a Channel Up that has been driving the pair upwards since the May 28 bottom and today's rebound is taking place after a direct hit on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
This is the start of the new Bullish Leg. Since the previous two have increased by +1.90%, this rally has the potential to even exceed our 0.87400 Target marginally. Still, this is a perfect bullish set-up.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GBP_AUD LONG FROM SUPPORT|
✅GBP_AUD fell down sharply
But a strong support level was hit at 2.0500
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 2.0580
LONG🚀
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EUR-JPY Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair already
Made a bullish rebound from
The rising support so we are
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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GBPUSD: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
GBPUSD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GBPUSD
Entry - 1.3503
Stop - 1.3453
Take - 1.3608
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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HelenP. I Euro will drop more, breaking the support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After analyzing the current structure of the EURUSD chart, I noticed a strong break of the ascending trend line, which had been respected for a long period. The price has now returned to test the broken trend line from below, aligning with the resistance zone between 1.1665 and 1.1700 points. This area used to serve as solid support, but after the breakout, it turned into resistance. The retest from below could become the final confirmation before the pair continues its downward movement. Right now, EUR is trading just inside this resistance zone. There is a small chance the price might move slightly higher to touch the upper boundary of the zone, but overall, the pressure looks bearish. I expect that after a minor bounce, EUR will decline again, breaking below the local support at 1.1665. Once that happens, a larger impulse down could be triggered, targeting even 1.1525 points, which is my main goal for this setup. This bearish scenario is supported by the failed attempts to recover above the trend line and the fact that previous support has already flipped to resistance. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
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EURUSD: Long Trading Opportunity
EURUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.1685
Stop Loss - 1.1664
Take Profit - 1.1728
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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