NZDCHF Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.475.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.472.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Forex
GOLD Is Going Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 3,363.11.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 3,342.15 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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XAUUSD 16/07 – Temporary Rebound or Trap Before the Next Drop?XAUUSD 16/07 – Temporary Rebound or Trap Before the Next Drop?
🌍 Macro View – Calm Before the Volatility?
Gold is currently hovering around $3,334/oz after an aggressive sell-off earlier this week. While June's Core CPI data from the US came in lower than expected — easing immediate inflation concerns — the broader macro landscape remains far from stable:
New US tariffs are beginning to ripple through consumer prices.
Sectors like appliances and electronics are seeing early signs of inflation.
Shrinking inventories may lead to direct price pressures on consumers soon.
🔎 As the market digests these signals, gold remains a defensive play — but today's PPI release could flip sentiment quickly.
📉 Technical Outlook – Setup for a Deeper Pullback?
After CPI, gold retraced sharply and filled liquidity around 332x.
A clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed on the H1 chart, alongside a potential Continuation Pattern (CP) near 3347–3349.
Price action is likely to revisit the 334x–336x resistance zone, providing ideal short setups if rejection is confirmed.
🎯 Below lies a deep liquidity zone (FVG) near 3294, which could serve as the magnet for the next bearish move.
📊 Key Trade Zones to Watch
🔵 Buy Zone – Deep Liquidity Support: 3,296 – 3,294
SL: 3,290
TP: 3,300 → 3,304 → 3,308 → 3,312 → 3,316 → 3,320 → 3,330
🔴 Sell Scalp – CP Pattern Rejection: 3,347 – 3,349
SL: 3,353
TP: 3,343 → 3,340 → 3,336 → 3,330 → 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,310 → 3,300
🚨 Sell Zone – VPOC Level Resistance: 3,358 – 3,360
SL: 3,364
TP: 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,346 → 3,340 → 3,330 → 3,320 → 3,300
⚠️ What to Expect Today
All eyes are on the US PPI data, which could shake markets later in the session.
Look for a bullish fake-out during London or New York hours, especially toward 334x–336x zones.
Ideal strategy: wait for H1 candle confirmation before entering, and manage risk with clean TP/SL levels.
💬 Your Take?
Will gold revisit 329x this week, or are we setting up for a bullish reversal?
👇 Drop your thoughts in the comments and follow @MMFlowTrading for high-probability setups and macro insights — daily!
AUD/USD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the AUD/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 0.652 level.
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SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,798.3
Target Level: 3,513.8
Stop Loss: 3,986.9
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
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GBP/NZD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on GBP/NZD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 2.240 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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GBP/AUD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s red candle means that for us the GBP/AUD pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 2.102.
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EURGBP: Bullish Move From Support Confirmed?! 🇪🇺🇬🇧
There is a high chance that EURGBP will bounce
from a key intraday horizontal support cluster.
The market looks bullish after UK CPI release this morning.
Goal - 0.8684
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BITCOIN NEXT TARGET 1205001. Professional & Direct:
BTC Long in Play – Eyes on 120,500 🔥
Momentum building strong. Stay in the trend — next target: 120.5K.
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2. TradingView Style (Engaging):
Bitcoin Bulls Gaining Strength 🚀
Long position active. Targeting next major level at $120,500 — hold tight!
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3. VIP Signal Tone:
BTC BUY Signal Active ✅
We’re riding the wave to $120,500. Strong confirmation on higher timeframes.
USDZAR Bullish ideaAs we can see this is our USDZAR quarterly shift idea were we are anticipating price to rally to the upside toward our draw on liquidity objectives. We had a weekly volume imbalance and monthly mean threshold order block show us support after we took out major liquidity points. We also showed more support on our daily FVG and a market shift taking place after a displacement. We are anticipating a rally for USDZAR and will be looking to see how price plays out.
USDZAR is an exotic pair that is part of the emerging markets and emerging markets/exotic pairs can usually lead ahead of major forex pair or lag between major forex pairs so this can also help us with our intermarket analysis of forex pairs when determining our dollar strength against other basket currencies.
EURUSD Bearish ideaWe are in a weekly fair value gap that we have balance and potentially collected orders to prepare for a potential drop in price. We are anticipating a quarterly shift for the month of July were we could be targeting downside liquidity that is in open float.
* Fundamentals:
-Interest rate differentials shows us that USD interest rate of 4.5 is higher than the interest rate EUR 2.15 which lead to the longer fundamental frame work of price correcting to the higher dollar rate to the euro.
-The COT report also indicates to us that there is huge buying of Dollar by the commercials and a huge amount of selling of the EUR by commercials which can lead us to assume potential weaker dollar.
*Targeting:
-We are looking for the low of last month (June) to be taken out as well as even potentially reaching to the implied weekly fair value gap.
Trend Line Tested Twice Is AUD/USD Ready to Rally?📈 AUD/USD Market Insight – Potential Bullish Breakout Ahead?
The AUD/USD pair has respected a key trend line, bouncing off it for the second time — a sign of potential strength. If the price revisits and successfully retests this trend line, we could see a bullish momentum (a pump) play out.
On the flip side, if the pair maintains its current trajectory without pulling back, focus shifts to the 0.65415–0.65455 resistance zone. A clean breakout above this range could open the doors for a move higher — potentially targeting swing highs and key liquidity zones.
🚀 Watch closely — the next move could be significant.
🔎 Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research). This is not financial advice.
US30Y Bullish ideaThis is a potential idea of the 30 year bond yield potentially having movement to the upside. We have already reached into a daily volume imbalance and weekly volume imbalance. We also have a monthly order block that is acting as support combined with our volume imbalance levels. We also have relative strength with the US30Y against the US10Y and US5Y. Could be a potential idea to look for bullish ideas with the the fact that we are in a potential point were we could have a Quarterly shift.
*Targeting
A move to the upside were we have buyside liquidity and the 4H fair value gap.
Gold has bounced back after tapping into the Fair Value Gap.📈 Gold Market Daily Outlook 💰
Gold has bounced back after tapping into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and clearing liquidity below recent lows.
🔥 Price is now heading into a key bearish FVG zone on the 4H chart.
📊 Key Level to Watch:
If $3339 breaks with strong bullish momentum, we could see a further push towards $3350 and beyond.
⚠️ Reminder:
This is not financial advice — always DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
GOLD in narrow range, after sharp drop on US CPI dataOANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply on Tuesday (July 15) as the US Dollar TVC:DXY gained significantly after the US CPI report was released. As of now (July 16), gold is trading at 3,326 USD/oz, equivalent to an increase of only 2 USD in the day.
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) in June was in line with expectations but higher than the previous value. The surge in the Dollar after the US released the June CPI is the main reason for the pressure on gold prices so far.
• Data released by the US on Tuesday showed that the US CPI increased by 2.7% compared to the same period last year in June, in line with expectations, but higher than the 2.4% in May.
• The US CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month in June, in line with market expectations but up from a 0.1% increase, the largest increase since January this year.
• In addition, the US core CPI rose 2.9% year-on-year in June, up from 2.8% in May, while the core CPI in June rose 0.2% month-on-month.
The market generally believes that US President Trump's tariff policies have increased price pressures, prompting the Federal Reserve to wait and see what further action to take. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell previously said he expected prices to rise in the summer.
The market is still expecting the first rate cut in September. Investors are looking ahead to Wednesday's U.S. producer price index data for more information on the Federal Reserve's move.
Since gold does not yield interest, it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments, whereas high-interest-rate environments or expectations of future rate hikes put pressure on gold prices.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is trading in a fairly narrow range after 2 sessions of downward adjustment, but the specific trend is still unclear, as sent to readers throughout last week, the technical conditions mainly show a sideways accumulation movement. After testing the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, gold was unable to overcome this resistance, and the decline from this position brought the gold price close to the support of 3,310 USD and then the area of the original price point of 3,300 USD with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
With the technical conditions not giving a specific trend as they are now, for gold to be able to have a new bullish cycle it needs to move the price action above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target would be around $3,400 in the short term, more than $3,430. On the other hand, if gold falls below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level again, it could be a good signal for an expectation of a bullish cycle, then the target would be around $3,246 in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
The relative strength index is hovering around 50, indicating that the market is hesitant in terms of momentum and is not leaning towards a specific trend.
During the day, with the current sideways accumulation, gold will be noticed by the following technical levels.
Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,240 – 3,250 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3383 - 3381⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3387
→Take Profit 1 3375
↨
→Take Profit 2 3369
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3306⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3300
→Take Profit 1 3312
↨
→Take Profit 2 3318
GBPJPY – Eyeing new highs as bullish structure holdsGBPJPY continues to trade within a steady ascending channel and has recently bounced from short-term support around 198.200. If price breaks above 199.400, bullish momentum could strengthen, targeting the previous high near 200.800 — a key resistance zone that has been rejected before.
From a fundamental perspective, expectations that the Bank of England will maintain high interest rates to combat inflation are supporting the pound. Meanwhile, investor sentiment remains cautious toward the yen following dovish signals from the Bank of Japan. If upcoming UK economic data is positive, GBPJPY may continue climbing in the sessions ahead.
AUDUSD – Mild rebound, downside risk aheadAUDUSD is approaching a key trendline resistance after a short-term recovery. However, repeated rejections at this level in the past suggest a potential reversal is forming. The current structure mirrors previous setups – a mild rally into the trendline followed by weakness.
On the news front, recent U.S. economic data has supported the dollar, particularly stable job numbers and consumer confidence. Meanwhile, the market is awaiting the upcoming FOMC meeting minutes and Australia’s CPI report. Without a surprise boost from AUD fundamentals, the pair could face renewed downward pressure in the coming sessions.
Gold set to surge? XAUUSD is holding firmly within a clear ascending channel on the H1 chart. After a strong rally, price is showing signs of a minor pullback toward the trendline support – potentially the last chance for buyers before gold accelerates toward the upper resistance zone.
On the news front, lower-than-expected U.S. producer inflation data has weakened the dollar, increasing gold’s appeal as a safe haven. In the coming days, key economic events like retail sales and comments from the Fed could serve as catalysts for the next bullish leg.
EURUSD – Bullish Momentum ReturnsEURUSD is gradually breaking free from downward pressure as it breaches the short-term accumulation structure, aiming for the resistance zone around 1.1720. On the chart, a clear bullish trend is emerging, supported by FVG signals reinforcing the recovery.
On the news front, expectations are rising that the European Central Bank will maintain a tighter policy stance for longer, as core inflation in the Eurozone remains elevated. Meanwhile, the USD is under corrective pressure following last week’s lower-than-expected U.S. CPI data. Upcoming statements from ECB and Fed officials today will be key in determining the next move for this currency pair.
Unless a surprise arises from the U.S. side, EURUSD is likely to sustain its short-term upward momentum and test the next technical resistance area.
XAU/USD: Technical and News Signals Align for a Bullish Move💬 "When technicals and news align, traders can't ignore it."
Gold (XAU/USD) is at a critical juncture where both technical analysis and macroeconomic news are showing clear bullish signals. If you're waiting for a breakout, this might be the moment!
📊 Key Technical Analysis:
Gold bounced from a strong support zone at 3,339 – 3,329 (Fibo 0.618 & 0.5), confirming buying pressure.
EMA 34 crosses above EMA 89, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Breakout from the downtrend line opens up a target of 3,428 (Fibo extension 1.618).
Nearest resistance: 3,395 – if broken, a strong rally is likely.
🌐 Macroeconomic News Supporting the Bullish Trend:
The Fed may cut rates earlier than expected – USD weakens, benefiting gold.
Geopolitical tensions and financial instability in Europe increase demand for safe-haven assets.
US inflation cooling – market anticipates looser monetary policy.
Personal View:
If price breaks 3,395 with strong volume → long position, targeting 3,4xx.
Be cautious around resistance zones – short-term profit-taking could occur.
What do you think?
👉 Leave a comment, share your perspective or strategy – let’s ride the market wave together!
Gold 30-Min OB Analysis – Bounce or Drop..?Gold is showing a break of structure after a big sell-off 🔻. We have marked a 30-Minute Order Block (OB) 📍 which can act as a possible reaction zone.
📌 Two Scenarios We Are Watching:
✅ Scenario 1 (Bullish):
If price taps into the 30M OB and shows bullish rejection 🟢, we can look for buy opportunities, targeting the previous highs near 3335-3340 🎯.
❌ Scenario 2 (Bearish):
If price fails to hold the OB, we will watch for a liquidity sweep (marked with $$$) and expect price to move lower towards the next demand zone near 3285 📉.
⚠️ Key Notes:
Always wait for confirmation before entry.
Patience is the key 🧘♂️ — let the market come to us.
GBP/USD Drop: Something Big BrewingGBP/USD is cratering, hitting 1.3550 as weak UK economic data and a soaring dollar dominate. Markets look grim with supports shattered. A liquidity drop could trigger wild swings and wider spreads. Global news adds heat: Trump’s 35% tariff threats on Canada and BRICS nations stir trade war fears, crushing GBP. Stay alert, tighten risk.