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Forexbreakdown

Why EUR/USD Dropped: A Step-by-Step Breakdown for Learners📉 Overview: The EUR/USD has recently approached a key resistance zone near 1.17726, showing signs of a potential rejection after a bullish rally. The price is currently hovering around 1.17468, forming a short-term bearish setup that could lead to a retracement or reversal. ⸻ ⚙ Key Technical Zones: • 🔼 Resistance: 1.17500 – 1.17726 Price was strongly rejected after testing this area. This level has historically acted as a supply zone. • 🔽 Support: 1.15500 – 1.16000 This is a historically significant demand zone, where price previously consolidated and reversed. • 🎯 Target Zone: 1.16308 Marked as a potential take-profit level based on prior price structure and volume profile imbalance. ⸻ 🧠 Indicators & Tools: • Bollinger Bands: Price touched the upper band in overbought conditions, suggesting a possible mean reversion. • Volume Profile (VRVP): Indicates declining volume near resistance, pointing to weak buyer momentum. • Price Action: Bearish engulfing candle and strong rejection wick at resistance, confirming selling pressure. ⸻ 🧭 Market Bias: 📌 Short-Term Bearish A short opportunity is forming based on the rejection from resistance and overextension of price. ⸻ 🧩 Possible Scenario: 1. Breakdown below 1.17061 (mid-level support) could trigger acceleration to the downside. 2. 1.16500 and 1.16308 are ideal short targets before reevaluation for continuation or bounce. ⸻ 🛑 Risk Management Tips: • Consider SL above 1.17800 (previous high). • Monitor for confirmation before entry (e.g., bearish candle close below 1.17000). • Adjust size and risk-reward ratio appropriately.
Short
by Mentor_Michael03
"USDJPY Just Printed a Trap — Smart Money Is In. Are You?"🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Setup Alert: USDJPY | 15-Min Timeframe We’re spotting a high-probability bullish continuation setup on USDJPY backed by Smart Money logic. Let’s unpack what’s happening: 🧭 1. Liquidity Grab at the Low Notice how price created a false breakdown below prior structure — a classic liquidity hunt. Late sellers got trapped before price snapped back aggressively, triggering a Bullish Break of Structure (BOS). Smart Money needed to grab liquidity before running price higher. Textbook manipulation. 🟩 2. Refined Entry Zone: Discount + Bullish Order Flow Price has now retraced back to a discount zone, entering the premium-to-discount pullback area. Buyers are expected to defend this level, creating the potential for a bullish continuation. This entry is cleanly defined by a buy-side imbalance (light green area) which overlaps with a bullish order block and internal trendline support. 📐 3. Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Setup We’ve got an excellent R:R opportunity here: 🎯 Entry: Near 145.910 ❌ Stop Loss: Just above 146.314 (invalidate bullish bias) ✅ Take Profit Zone: 145.367 (with continuation possible beyond) This gives us roughly a 2.3R setup, highly favorable for swing entries. 🎯 4. Confluence Trendline support holding Bullish BOS confirmed Imbalance filled Liquidity grabbed Order block respected FVG forming structure for propulsion Smart Money is likely to push price back toward internal liquidity highs — and possibly sweep them for a final exit. 📊 Strategy: Wait for bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick from this discount zone to confirm entry. Trail stop as structure develops on lower timeframes. This setup can also be compounded if price forms another internal BOS. ⚠️ Risk Reminder: Don’t chase. Let price come to you. Manage risk at all times. One setup doesn’t define the day — consistency wins. 🧪 Summary: USDJPY is giving Smart Money vibes — from the liquidity grab, clean BOS, internal order block, to an excellent R:R setup. This is the kind of trade where you want to be the hunter, not the prey. 💬 Drop a 🔥 if you caught this move. 📩 Tag a trading buddy who needs to learn SMC. 📊 Stay smart. Trade with purpose.
Short
by ChartNinjas88