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Forexkei

GBP/USD: The weakness of the US dollar fuels the British poundToday GBP/USD continued Friday's rally and hit its highest level in 5 weeks at 1.2250.As investors reassess the possibility of the US Federal Reserve keeping policy interest rates unchanged at its upcoming meeting, the broad weakness of the US dollar helps GBP/USD maintain its advantage. Risk sentiment dominated the market in early Asian trading hours as the market reacted to the news that UBS Group agreed to acquire Credit Suisse Group.More importantly, the Federal Reserve has resumed daily swaps with the Bank of Canada (BoC), the Bank of Japan (BoJ), the Swiss National Bank (SNB), and the European Central Bank (ECB) to provide additional liquidity when needed. The positive impact of these developments on market sentiment is still short-lived.The sharp decline in U.S. Treasury yields shows that investors are repricing the Fed's policy outlook.According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday has fallen to less than 50%. The British FTSE 100 index fell more than 1% at the beginning of the session, and U.S. stock index futures fell 0.4% to 0.8%, reflecting a risk-averse atmosphere. Nevertheless, in the current environment, the dollar seems to have lost its attractiveness as a safe harbor.As investors become more and more worried about the deepening of the global financial crisis, they avoid betting on the Fed's active policy tightening, which will lead to a weakening of the dollar, which will lead to a strengthening of GBP/USD. In the trend of GBP/USD, the effectiveness of breaking through the downward channel has been established, and a new upward trend is being re-established. In order to determine the effectiveness of the uptrend channel, GBP/USD will also step back in the short term while maintaining a good upward trend.While GBP/USD maintains its advantage, the effectiveness of the support at the top and bottom conversion position of the 1.220 line below can be determined. Therefore, the current support below is at the 1.220 line, while the initial resistance above is at the 1.227 position, and the strong resistance is at the 1.230 position. In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Long
by Short-term-king
2
USDJPY broke the resistance levelComment: USDJPY broke the resistance level of 145.9 where BOJ intervened, and showing continuous uptrend. Ichimoku trend Analysis (KTS): - Kumo (Senko span A and B) up - Kijun sen up - Tenkan sen up - Chiko span above candles Next Scenario: - Market can go up to 147.7 which is the resistance way back in Aug 1998. - Once it breaks, possible to go up to 150 level. - BOJ might intervene again, especially when it gets closer to 150 level. - Watch out US CPI
Long
by ForexKei-Official
2
EURUSD is bearish but may retraceComment: EURUSD both Weekly and Daily timeframes show the market is downtrending. Ichimoku Trend Analysis (KTS) on Daily timeframe: - Kumo (Senko span A and B) down - Kijun sen down - Tenkan sen down - Chiko span below candles Next Scenario: The market has been resisted by Weekly descending trend line. However market may reverse for the next couple of days because - Kumo is thin on a Daily timeframe - Currently forming a Pin bar on Daily timeframe So better to wait for a breakout of 0.9554.
Short
by ForexKei-Official