GOLD MELTDOWN INCOMING? THE ONLY BREAKDOWN YOU NEED!Welcome back, traders! Mr. Blue Ocean FX here, breaking down the latest price action on gold (XAUUSD) . Let’s dive straight into the technicals and see what the market is telling us.
Market Overview
Gold has been on a strong bullish run since December 30th, surging from the 2620 area all the way to 2942, marking an aggressive impulse move. However, last week, we saw signs of exhaustion, particularly with a rejection wick forming on February 10th, signaling potential downside pressure.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, price action printed a double top around 2929, followed by a strong bearish engulfing candle that closed on Friday. This indicates a potential momentum shift from buyers to sellers. We also placed a key level at 2881, marking the recent wick low. This level is crucial because if price breaks below it, it would confirm sellers stepping in with conviction.
H4 Timeframe Analysis
Scaling down to the 4-hour (H4) chart, we can see a clearer structure:
• Price spiked high, retraced, and formed a higher low before another push up.
• The latest move shows a break and retest pattern, where price broke structure and is now testing previous support as resistance.
• While the H4 candle looks promising, we are waiting for a solid close to confirm the momentum shift before executing a trade.
H1 Timeframe Execution Plan
On the 1-hour (H1) chart, here’s our trade setup:
1. Waiting for a pullback after the breakdown.
2. Looking for price to form a lower high at 2896.
3. Entry confirmation comes with strong bearish volume and a small retest.
4. Short position at 2896, with a stop loss just above the 2906.55 wick high.
5. First target: Recent lows near 2881 for a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio (RRR).
6. If price breaks below the daily low, we could see further downside continuation.
Final Thoughts
This setup is in play, and we are watching how price reacts at key levels. If the market confirms our bias, this could be a solid high-probability short trade.
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Gold Uptrend is Breaking Don’t Miss This High Probability ShortGold has been on an incredible 49-day bullish run, but signs are emerging that the momentum is fading. Is the reversal finally here? In this analysis, I break down why I believe gold is setting up for a potential short opportunity and how I plan to execute it.
Starting from the weekly timeframe, we identify a key rejection at $2943, signaling potential exhaustion after an extended bullish trend. On the daily timeframe, price has failed to hold above $2897, forming a critical rejection zone that could lead to further downside.
Diving deeper into the H4 and H1 timeframes, we observe a key structure break around $2900, followed by price failing to create a new high. This shift in market structure suggests a weakening bullish trend, increasing the probability of a bearish follow-through.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Break & Retest Setup: Waiting for a clean break below $2881 (yesterday’s daily low), followed by a retest to confirm the sell-side momentum.
🔹 Bearish Target Zones: Liquidity levels at $2854, $2788, and $2747, with a final downside objective near $2746.
🔹 Risk Management: Stops will be determined based on price action confirmation, ensuring a controlled approach to the trade.
With buyers struggling to push higher and multiple liquidity pockets below, we could see a sharp pullback before any further upside continuation. This is not a long-term bearish call on gold but rather a short-term high-probability short setup to capitalize on potential downside movement.
📉 Will gold break lower, or will buyers regain control? Watch the full analysis, boost this idea, and share it with fellow traders so you don’t miss the next big move! 🚀💰
Gold upward trend soonThe chart shows XAUUSD (Gold) in an upward trend within a channel. The price is currently at 2,861.250, and the next key resistance is at 2,900.592. Potential support levels are at 2,787.548 (Support 2) and 2,831.691 (Support 1). If the price retraces, it could test these support levels before moving higher. Watch for upward momentum toward the 2,900 level
Market Analysis for US30 (Sell)US30 has broken through the fair value gap, confirming a strong bearish momentum and aligning perfectly with our trading strategy. This setup indicates a market imbalance correction, creating an optimal sell opportunity. With price action showing rejection from key resistance levels, we anticipate further downside movement. Stops are placed above the FVG for risk control, and targets are set at the next support zone. This is a textbook example of our strategic approach to capitalizing on market inefficiencies.
EUR/GBP at Critical Resistance – Major Move Incoming?What’s great everyone!? Mr. Blue Ocean FX here, breaking down EUR/GBP with an in-depth analysis you don’t want to miss.
Starting from the higher timeframes, we’ve identified a major trendline resistance dating back to January 2023, which has been tested multiple times and is now being challenged again. After a massive impulse move from the 0.8275 area in late December, price has surged to the current levels around 0.8472, but signs of weakness are starting to emerge.
Looking closer at the daily timeframe, we’ve seen a clear rejection off the trendline with significant bearish volume stepping in yesterday—indicating strong selling pressure after a liquidity grab above 0.8444. With a confirmed daily close below 0.8434, we’re now eyeing potential downside targets.
Dropping down to the H1 timeframe, we’re observing a lower high formation, which could signal a continuation lower. I’ve already entered this trade with a high-risk, high-reward approach, placing stops above the recent high and targeting multiple liquidity areas below.
Key levels to watch:
• First target: 0.8433, sweeping liquidity.
• Next: 0.8413 (double bottom) and ultimately 0.8335 if momentum continues.
If we break below key support at 0.8410, this could trigger a much larger drop into untested levels from past price action, potentially targeting the 0.8146 area.
The next few candles will be crucial—will EUR/GBP hold this level or melt down further? Stay tuned and let’s see how it plays out!
If you’re finding value in these breakdowns, make sure to boost, share, and comment with your thoughts. Let’s make some moves!
US30 BUY ANALYSIS US30 BUY ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis:
1. Ascending Channel:
• The price is trading within a well-defined ascending channel. The current position of the price is at the lower boundary of the channel, which typically acts as a strong support zone.
• Buying near the lower trendline is a strategic move, as the expectation is for the price to move back up towards the upper boundary of the channel, following the trend.
2. Support and Risk Management:
• The lower channel boundary aligns with a previous key support level, increasing the probability of a bounce. This provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with a clear stop-loss below the channel.
• The trade setup targets a move to the upper channel boundary, offering a potential upside while keeping risks managed.
3. Bullish Momentum:
• The overall structure remains bullish, with the price making higher highs and higher lows within the channel. This indicates that the broader uptrend is intact, making a buy position at support more attractive.
Conclusion:
The decision to buy US30 here is based on the current position within the ascending channel, taking advantage of the support provided by the lower trendline and targeting a potential move back towards the channel’s upper boundary for profitable opportunities.
US30 Market Analysis (Sell Bias):US30 Market Analysis (Sell Bias):
We are selling US30 due to key technical indicators pointing towards a potential downside move. The price is currently at strong resistance levels, where past price action has shown difficulty in breaking higher. In addition, the trend lines indicate a downward trajectory, and pivot points are aligning with this resistance, reinforcing the sell signal.
The stochastic oscillator is also showing overbought conditions, suggesting the index is overextended and due for a pullback. With these factors in play, a sell position aligns well with the current technical setup.
Gold fell sharply after no news from the fedThe positive economic data recently released has caused investors to take profits on gold, shifting their investments to profitable assets such as stocks. Investors are also selling gold because today, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release the minutes of last month's meeting.
The employment report and positive economic data, investors expect the report will also have a positive assessment of the economy, as well as the interest rate policy may remain unchanged so that the Federal Reserve can maintain the conditions to bring inflation to the target of 2%.
Gold prices fell sharply below 2,640Gold prices were volatile last week. After the US employment data was released at 7:30 p.m. on Friday, gold prices fell sharply below $2,640/oz, but then at 10:00 p.m. the same day, gold prices rebounded, reaching $2,670/oz but immediately fell back to $2,642/oz at 11:30 p.m. Currently, gold prices are little changed around $2,650/oz. The decline in the precious metal was limited by increased safe-haven demand due to concerns about escalating tensions in the Middle East.
There are several important data releases this week. The biggest risk for gold is the US consumer price index for September. According to Economists, the market will be eager to see whether inflationary pressures continue to ease, which will support the US Central Bank's easing cycle. Markets will also get the minutes of the Fed's most recent monetary policy meeting.
#XAUUSD 1HBased on the 1-hour analysis, I’m watching for a selling opportunity around the key resistance levels of 2673.00 and 2671.00.
Targets: 2662.00 / 2640.00 / 2625.00
However, with the major NFP event coming up today, there's potential for an upward spike. Avoid placing advance orders for now and wait for solid bearish confirmation before entering.
#XAUUSD
#XAUUSD 4HBased on the current 4-hour analysis, the price is hovering near the resistance zone. If the ongoing candle closes below 2655.00, it could signal renewed selling pressure, and we might see the price drop to 2625.00 or even 2600.00.
However, if the price closes above 2672.00, it could indicate momentum towards a new all-time high.
#XAUUSD
#EURJPY 1 DAYEURJPY (Euro / Japanese Yen)
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Pattern: Downtrend
The daily chart of EURJPY reveals a pronounced downtrend, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows. This pattern indicates that sellers have maintained control over the market, leading to consistent price declines over time. The downtrend reflects a bearish sentiment among traders, as the currency pair struggles to regain upward momentum.
Forecast: Sell
Given the established downtrend, the forecast suggests a selling opportunity. The likelihood of continued bearish movement remains strong, as the pair has not shown any significant signs of reversal or stabilization at this point.
Technical Outlook:
Resistance Level: The recent lower high points, which may serve as potential entry points for sellers.
Support Level: Key support zones below the current price, where a breakdown could trigger further selling pressure.
Key Levels to Watch: A sustained move below recent support levels would reinforce the bearish outlook, potentially leading to further declines.
Traders should be vigilant for confirmation signals, such as bearish candlestick formations or increased volume during price drops, to validate their entry strategies.
Keep an eye on economic news and geopolitical factors that could influence the Euro and Japanese Yen, as these may impact price dynamics in this pair.
#NZDCHF 1DAYNZD/CHF (1D) Buy Opportunity:
The NZD/CHF pair is showing bullish potential on the daily chart. The price has bounced off a key support level and is forming higher lows, signaling upward momentum. A bullish crossover in the moving averages and a strong RSI above 50 add further confirmation. Fundamental factors, including New Zealand's economic strength and weakening Swiss Franc due to global risk sentiment, support this view.
Trade Idea: Consider buying near the support level with a stop loss below it. Target recent resistance levels for take-profit.
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100)If the Federal Reserve decides to implement a 50 basis point cut, it can often lead to a positive market reaction, particularly in technology-focused indices like the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100). However, predicting the exact magnitude of the movement is challenging as it can vary based on various factors, including:1. **Market Sentiment**: If the market perceives the rate cut as a strong signal of support for economic growth, NAS100 could see a notable rally.
2. **Investor Reactions**: Traders might react differently based on their expectations before the announcement. If the cut was anticipated, the immediate reaction might be muted, as much of the effect could have already been priced in.
3. **Additional Factors**: Other influences such as earnings reports from tech companies, inflation data, or global economic conditions can also affect how NAS100 responds post-announcement.
In general, historically, significant rate cuts have led to positive movements in indices like the NAS100, potentially allowing for gains in the range of 1-3% on the day of the announcement. However, actual outcomes will depend on the factors mentioned above and cannot be guaranteed. It’s always wise to consider volatility and other market conditions when investing.
#SUSHIUSD 1 DAYSUSHIUSD 1-Day Analysis: Uptrend & Buy Opportunity
The SUSHIUSD pair is currently showing a robust upward trend on the daily chart, indicating strong bullish momentum. Recent price action suggests a solid support level has formed, providing a favorable entry point for potential buyers. Key indicators, including moving averages and RSI, further reinforce the uptrend, signaling increasing buying interest.
Market sentiment appears positive, driven by recent developments in the DeFi space and increased user engagement on the SushiSwap platform. This favorable environment presents a compelling buy opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on potential price appreciation.
As always, it’s crucial to consider risk management strategies and stay updated on market news to make informed decisions.
#EURCHF 4HEUR/CHF 4-Hour Chart Analysis: Buy Opportunity
Overview
The EUR/CHF currency pair has recently experienced a significant technical event on the 4-hour chart: a trendline break. This development presents a potential buying opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on the shift in market dynamics.
Key Observations:
Trendline Break: The pair has breached a key descending trendline that had been guiding the price movement lower. This break suggests a potential reversal or at least a pause in the downtrend, opening up possibilities for upward movement.
Market Sentiment: The trendline break often indicates a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This can attract buying interest and result in upward price momentum.
Confirmation: For a more reliable trade signal, look for confirmation through increased trading volume or additional technical indicators such as RSI or moving averages that support the bullish scenario.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Consider entering a buy position around the current price level or on a slight pullback to the broken trendline, which might now act as a support zone.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss order below the recent swing low or the trendline to manage risk in case the market does not follow through on the bullish signal.
Target Levels: Identify potential resistance levels or use technical tools to set profit targets. The next significant resistance might be found at previous highs or psychological levels.
Conclusion
The break of the 4-hour trendline in the EUR/CHF pair indicates a potential buying opportunity. Traders should watch for additional confirmation signals and manage their risk accordingly. Keep an eye on market conditions and news that might impact the EUR/CHF pair to adjust your strategy as needed.
#EURAUD 1DAYEUR/AUD 1-Day Chart: Sell Opportunity
Sell Level: 1.66200
Target Levels: 1.64800, 1.63800, 1.63000, 1.61500
Description:
We are observing a potential sell opportunity in the EUR/AUD currency pair based on the daily chart. The pair is currently trading around the sell level of 1.66200. Here’s a breakdown of the trade setup:
Entry Point:
Sell Level: 1.66200
Consider initiating a sell position if the price reaches or slightly exceeds this level. This is where the market shows signs of resistance and a potential reversal.
Target Levels:
1.64800: The first support level where the price might encounter some buying interest.
1.63800: A deeper support zone where the downtrend could potentially accelerate.
1.63000: A key psychological level that may offer significant resistance or a bounce.
1.61500: The final target, which represents a substantial retracement and a critical support zone for the pair.
Trade Rationale:
Technical Indicators: A bearish signal is suggested by recent price action, technical patterns, or indicators that show overbought conditions at the current levels.
- **Market Sentiment:** Look for any recent news or economic data that could support a downward movement in EUR/AUD.
Risk Management:
- Ensure to set appropriate stop-loss orders to manage risk in case the market moves against your position. A stop-loss above the sell level or a specified percentage away from the entry point could help mitigate potential losses.
Note: Always consider conducting your own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it's crucial to stay informed about economic events that may impact currency movements.
Gold moving up to Take Daily Highs!Looking for Impulse Up.
Gold movign to daily top to get those Stops!. It's important to have your own rules on RR and adhere to them. This trading idea is intended to assist you and enhance your knowledge. If you have any questions, please ask me in the comments.
Learn & Earn!
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