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FOMC FORWARD GUIDANCE SINCE 2018 w/FED SPEAKERS w/SPX The chart provided visually represents the forward guidance issued by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) alongside the performance of various key economic indicators and market indices. The FOMC forward guidance serves as a crucial tool for signaling the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance and future intentions, thereby influencing market expectations and economic behavior. By examining the interplay between FOMC forward guidance and these key economic indicators, investors, policymakers, and analysts can gain insights into the likely direction of monetary policy and its potential impact on financial markets and the broader economy. I have also included comments from various FOMC speakers to better form a picture of the past.
SP:SPX
by koyking
FOMC FORWARD GUIDANCE SINCE 2018 w/SPXThe chart provided visually represents the forward guidance issued by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) alongside the performance of various key economic indicators and market indices. The FOMC forward guidance serves as a crucial tool for signaling the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance and future intentions, thereby influencing market expectations and economic behavior. By examining the interplay between FOMC forward guidance and these key economic indicators, investors, policymakers, and analysts can gain insights into the likely direction of monetary policy and its potential impact on financial markets and the broader economy.
SP:SPX
by koyking
Asset Classes - Part 3 - For beginnersToday we prepared for you 3rd part of our paper on asset classes for beginners. Purpose of this paper is to concisely detail futures contracts, forwards, swaps and options. Asset Classes - Part 1 and 2 - For beginners Feel welcome to read part 1 and part 2 if you have not yet. Derivative Derivative is a type of financial asset which derives its value from an underlying asset or group of assets, or benchmark. Underlying assets for derivative contracts can be, for example, stocks, commodities, currencies, bonds, etc. Derivatives are traded on a stock market exchange or over-the-counter (OTC). They can be used as investment vehicles, speculative vehicles and even as hedge against the risk. Additionally, derivatives often allow for use of leverage. Most common derivatives are futures contracts, options, forwards and swaps. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily graph of gold in USD. Futures contracts Futures contract is a standardized derivative that is publicly traded on a stock market exchange. It binds two parties together which are obligated to exchange an asset at a predetermined future date and price (without regard to current value). Expiration date is used to differentiate between particular futures contracts. For example, there may be a corn futures contract with expiration in April and then another corn futures contract with expiration in May. On a day of expiry, also called delivery, the exchange of an asset between the two parties is enforced. Underlying assets for futures contracts can be stocks, commodities, indexes, etc. Forwards Forward contract is a derivative contract between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a specified price on a future date. Unlike futures contracts, forward contracts are not standardized. They are customizable and traded over-the-counter rather than at a stock market exchange. Illustration 1.02 Illustration above depicts the daily graph of continuous futures for gold. It is clearly visible that the gold chart in USD and gold continuous futures chart are resemblant. Swaps Swap is another form of derivative contract that binds two parties to exchange cash flows. There are currency swaps and interest rate swaps. Currency swap is defined as the exchange of an amount in one currency for the same amount in another currency. Interest rate swaps are defined by exchange of interest rate payments. Illustration 1.03 Picture above shows daily graph of S&P500 continuous futures. Options Option is a type of financial asset that gives a buyer the right to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price and date. Options differ from futures contracts in that they do not oblige parties to exchange an underlying asset. There are European-style options and American-style options. European-style options can be exercised only on a date of expiry while American-style options can be exercised at any time before this date. Options that give a buyer the right to buy an underlying asset are called call options. Contrary to that, the put options give a buyer the right to sell the underlying asset. Options are very complex as they involve option risk metrics, so called greeks. DISCLAIMER: This content serves solely educational purposes.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by Tradersweekly
2
Let's see if SET will choose a direction today, up or down.I am guessing that most traders believe that today will be a red day, after BoT decision over Thai banks, and who knows if other sectors will follow because have many been able to make any profits, for interim dividends and buybacks? In the graph there I don't see anything saying, up or down, but I see that a big move is too come quite soon. The day is still upwards looking, and in 30 min (shown here) is showing that it has been collected power, for a few days. Not in what direction it will go, though. If we go in the daily graph, and expects SET to follow the trend. Then go bullish today, as there will probably be good “buy low” setups you can find. Or if you believe the BoT decision will be what stopped the bullish retraction in the bigger downwards trend. Then look for good selling opportunities. Whatever you believe, it is often much smarter to wait for the market to decide for itself, so my recommendation would be to wait, at least 30-60 minutes before you make you decision.
SET:SET
by SamuiTrader
2
SET 2020 outlook, go Long until OctoberAfter SET broke out north of the bearish wedge, I have revalued my earlier future strategy and predicted where SET will top this “going-to-the-stars” run, it will be around 1730 – 1800. Would also predict this will occur in or around November, December +/- 1 month. So if my predictions are correct then follow the trend and continue to be on the buyer's side, at least until October or so. Then it will be (according to my prediction) time for investors start to realize, what has been built, is only a sand castle on the beach. And the tide has now changed —the second— wave is coming, it will demolish what has been built since late March. And we (read: buyers) have to wait until the tides change again, before reconstructing our castle and will hopefully stay a bit further away from the ocean so the tides won't demolish it again.
SET:SETLong
by SamuiTrader
Facebook's random walk down wall street We have seen continuously diverging swings for facebook for last several weeks, the new short (114.5) and long (124.95) are watch level for next two weeks until year ends! the long position is expected to fall upward to median probability, however stiff plunge can lead to downward level of S2 and S3 around (111). Due to stronger dollar as of december 14th, it is possible to see some short time corrections. Advice hold long position and stop loss at 115* For short position bet above 110* stop loss at 120* *Disclaimer: The post is subjected to educational and discussion purpose only. Any implied trade decision is not subjected to above discussion.
F
by RushiPatel