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Fractal

XAU/USD 17-21 March 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Swing -> Bullish. Internal -> Bullish. Price printed as per analysis dated 16 February 2025 by price targeting weak internal high priced at 2,956.310. However, The pullback was not substantial. Nonetheless, due to time spent I will classify this as an iBOS. Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high. Expectation is for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and the repricing of Gold. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Previous analysis and bias was not met as price did not target weak internal low. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to either trade down to discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily/H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
BTC Market Update: Upside Move ImminentBTC Market Update: Upside Move Imminent Bitcoin has successfully grabbed downside liquidity, setting the stage for a potential upside move. Key Insights: - The market has formed a Confirmation of Inverse Strength Distribution (CISD), indicating a bullish reversal. - The marked swing highs are being tested, and a breakout above these levels could confirm the uptrend. - The target zone of $84,400 is now in sight, with the market poised to challenge this level. Trading Hypothesis: - A sustained move above the marked swing highs could propel BTC towards the $84,400 zone.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
US30 BUYOANDA:US30USD We entered our last US30 position early, but we got a 400-pip move in the process. This is still a key level on the daily. I'm entering from this zone when price begins to consolidate to show signs of support. Until then, use the alerts to notify you if price creates a lower low on the 2-hour time frame. Again, if this area builds support, there is a good chance that we will see a retest of the daily highs. We also have a bullish divergence printed on the chart as well. This rejection could be the start of the bull run to retest the key level on the daily time frame. If price continues to fall, wait on a solid close beneath the lows then enter the sell on the rest of structure.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by TKProphet
Short positions are in trouble, how to get out of trouble?Bros, gold accelerated to above 2980 today under the stimulation of news. If you hold a short position in gold, you must be in a trading dilemma, so how to get rid of the trading dilemma has become the current primary goal. First remember the key node, Thursday. Under normal circumstances, Thursday and Friday are the nodes most likely to cause market changes! And from the candle chart, it is just pulled back to the high area with the stimulation of news. From the regional conversion, we can clearly see that according to the current momentum of gold, it will only reach the area around 2980-2982 (there may be a technical false breakthrough). It is difficult to rise to the vicinity of the 3000 mark in one fell swoop. If you still have sufficient margin levels to help you get out of trouble, you might as well consider adding more positions near 2980 to continue shorting gold, effectively raising your average cost price. After gold falls back, you can choose to close all short positions and turn losses into profits. However, because gold has risen sharply, we must lower our expectations for the extent of gold's retracement. If gold retraces to the 2940-2930 area, we can consider closing our positions, so that we can turn losses into profits! And I predict that gold will enter a correction market tomorrow at the latest! Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
BTC UPDATE!!!BTC Update: Rejection from Daily Bearish FVG The current market has encountered a rejection from the daily Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating a potential reversal in the upward momentum. Key Insights: - The rejection from the daily Bearish FVG suggests a shift in market sentiment. - We anticipate a downward movement in BTC, targeting the $80,200 - $79,100 range. Market Analysis: The daily chart indicates a failed attempt to break above the FVG, leading to a potential bearish reversal. With this rejection, we expect sellers to regain control, driving the price towards the aforementioned support zone. Trading Considerations: - Short-term traders may consider positioning themselves for a potential downward move. - Long-term investors should monitor the price action closely, adjusting their strategies as needed. Stay informed and adapt to changing market conditions!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Peter_Wade
1
Bitcoin Full InterconnectednessIn fractal analysis the randomness of price levels can be justified with the chart's historic HL coordinates. We'll use the old structure below as a base for further cycle breakdown. There are another two fib lines derived from angled trends, the fibs of which rhyme with chaos behind price action and cycle formation: Steep fibs determine timing of high volatility change: Note that they rhymed with other fib local wave measurement: 2013 ATH ⇨ Covid19 low related to pre-covid local high determines exact levels of support and resistance during the correction of pandemic fueled bullrun What also deserves attention here is that direction of fibs which acted as support around 2019 and covid19 drop produces curve which mimics the support levels of 2023 growth. So crossing below the support curve would be seen as first sign of bear market. Till that it has a time for growth justified by chart-based parabolic curve. 2 fibs derived from chart shows a decade of price & time interconnectedness which adds validity of the colored base structure. This is important for scaling the fractal and estimating the boundaries of growth distinctive to the historic cycles.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by fract
6