Downloading...
Download

Freight

Castor Maritime: Setting Up For a Falling Wedge BreakoutCastor Maritime is a Maritime Shipping stock that's been on my radar along with its falling wedge, but I have only just recently gotten interested in entering after seeing the quarterly earnings finally start to turn around along with seeing the price action finally test the 21-week SMA as support. With all of this being done it is worth considering the fact that CTRM's PE Ratio is currently about 1.5x which is pretty low even for this sector. I think we may be setting up for an ultimate Bullish Breakout that would take CTRM up to the 61.8% Retrace up at $8.94
NASDAQ:CTRMLong
by RizeSenpai
ZIM Long IdeaZIM and the shipping industry has just come out of a massive bubble and all shipping lines are finding their feet. ZIM made earnings last quarter which was one of the roughest yet.. the recent GRI of around $600/FEU Trans-Pac should put carriers back into the green and they will try their best to hold rates around this level via blank sailings and volume control. This is a dangerous game but ZIM fundamentals (ship / space leasing) have proven extremely successful as volume dried up and carriers bringing in massive container ships are baring the brunt of the blow. TA looks like a bull div on LTF (4hr) and sitting at the lows for a double bottom. If buying low selling high is a thing.... any lower than this and ZIM sinks so clear S/R level. Long term looking for 238 fib level but this feels like a good entry depending on macro
NYSE:ZIMLong
by Trainwreck
Coal = Gold 3.0 - The New Paradigm Breakoutor this may be a 2B double top extension. (see Bitcoin Nov-2021 2B top, or see Gold-ounce double top from Ukraine tensions in Spring 2022) I think that the coal new paradigm pump is a sell the news event, energy supply tensions are easing and in the USA the domestic stress of a Rail Workers Union strike will be resolved within weeks. Strong Supply flows will dampen the heightened speculation about Coal companies going up forever (with their notably favorable P/E and P/FCF rates) "Years ago, I recognized my kinship with all living things, and I made up my mind that I was not one bit better than the meanest on earth... While there is a lower class, I am in it, while there is a criminal element, I am of it, and while there is a soul in prison, I am not free..."
NYSE:CNR
by noam_chom
$ZIM last chance to shine$ZIM is in for a long 3 quarters with global freight rates in the gutter but after a 75% move down and a really nice reaction to the last major level ($18-19) the major HTF bull div has a shot at playing out. Specifically with wall-street running away as the massive dividend is likely to be cut in Q1 (who cares) The main thing to consider is if this is a hold or a swing trade and with the current macro environment I think it needs to be a swing trade OR long long term hold. For the long term hold you need to examine freight rates and what ZIM was doing in 2019 (exclude bubble data from 2020-2022) DYOR and see what you think. Worth a look IMO. The main thing is the S/R level could not be more clear... above $18 upside potential is pretty good and below $18 downside is price discovery...
NYSE:ZIMLong
by Trainwreck
GDP about to slow down!I have created this chart based on analytical ideas of Raoul Pal. The idea of this chart is to show that we can expect a decline in gross domestic product (GDP), based on looking at the rail car freight decline. We have seen one of the sharpest declines in rail car freight. On top the leading indicator for the GDP the ISM (from the Institute for Supply Management) is moving down indicating that growth in GDP will slow down soon. Will we see a slow growth and a declining inflation? Stay tuned for more charts on this series.... -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !!
FRED:RAILFRTCARLOADSD11Short
by CarpeMomentum
#DESP 1W- LONG TERM HOLD / LATIN AMERICAN UNICORN.Despegar.com, Corp., its an online travel company that provides a range of travel and travel-related products through its websites and mobile applications in Latin America. The company operates through two segments, Air; and Packages, Hotels and Other Travel Products. The company offers airline tickets; travel packages, hotel rooms, car rentals, bus tickets, cruise tickets, travel insurance, destination services, and other travel-related products, which enable consumers to find, compare and purchase travel products through its platform. Market cap: 1.025B It almost redundant that most affected companies by COVID-19 lockdowns and restrictions were travel, hotels airfreight firms. Since Feb 18th to March 23th of 2020, its price sink by a -71%. Beside this massive hit, lockdowns were translated into less billing and then, into less earnings per share. DESP missed all earning estimates from 2020Q2 to 2021Q1. A sector that is completely devastated, but now showing some sings that reach its bottom. With the re-opening of most of Latin American economies and vaccination moving forward, tourisms might rise again on last two quarters of the year and in 2022. Technically, DESP its doing quite good since the dip in March 20''. A really long term trend has been broken and a new uptrend has been confirmed. Now, we are on a turning point, were price must overcome 14.70 level. Fibonacci extension shows our first target at 16.94 (+17%) and I believe that its highly possible to reach a 21-22 level (+49%)by Q4 if balances sheets start to showing some improvements. I am already in a position since 12 USD, but I´ll open another position if price reach a 15-16 level, setting my stop loss at 13.5 Stochastic Oscillator its looking great with a possible K/D cross right now. Stochastic its showing a little divergence from January to middle march, but I think that its already discounted.
DLong
by aoberninger
SFL just finished impulse wave and now heading into correction?Hi. In this 1D chart I've done my first attempt at plotting an Elliott impulse wave and its corresponding correction wave. If the right shoulder makes itself clear and the correction does proceed roughly as shown it would be a pretty clear sign of a new impulse wave starting. Any points after (5) are speculation and should be treated as unsure and unfounded until proven otherwise. Especially the price of point (C) when it occurs. The last point of the correction, (C), would as usual be a good place to go long but a safer option could be to wait for the (2) in the new impulse wave before posting a long position. Thank you. Please, if you have any thoughts or comments do leave them below and I would gladly discuss or adjust my interpretations and methods with you. This does not constitute financial advice. Any projected prices, even if explicitly stated, are made with intent to discuss the symbol and potential interpretations. Any trades shown or mentioned are examples and neither recommendations or mandates.
NYSE:SFLLong
by Kabeldon
Simple signal and example long positionRSI could cross the center line within the coming week and with the Ichimoku cloud having turned green on the first of march a bullish trend shift could be emerging. The only detriment to this projection is the height of the MACD . If it breaks off the signal and downturns the price could follow and return to bearish. The long position on the chart is an example of a trade and not a recommendation or mandate. ~ This does not constitute as financial advice but is an idea and projection of future price movements without a recommended course of action ~
NYSE:SFLLong
by Kabeldon
Taking Advantage of Cargo movementCargo Airlines are taking over the skies. As commercial routes are no longer able to meet the demands of the logistics and transportations supply chain, cargo airlines are filling the gap. In the end of last year Atlas air looked at ground 3 of its aircraft due to lack of demand with trade war tension and covid-19. As demand for cargo freighter remain high the reintroduce one of their B747 to take advantage of the opportunity. As the price of the stock has rallied quickly looking for a retest towards previous supply zone would be a key target to secure an ideal entry price
ALong
by AirMarketGroup
SHIPPING INDUSTRY of EARTH? “Door-to-Door” SHIPPING INDUSTRY of EARTH? “Door-to-Door” “THE LAST MILE” of FREIGHT? One of the most important ideas in the shipping industry is the idea of “universal balance”. (for example Exports compared to Imports or from an economic-philosophical perspective imbalance in credit or “debt”). Shipping is perhaps one of the most important industries still here on Earth. Unfortunately, most of our Earths “most critical industries” surprisingly have some of the lowest levels of profit for example foods and shipping typically makes less then a few 1% or 2% profit (7% at most). However, the reason maybe because profits go naturally where they should be and not into the stock market or (even) businesses themselves. For example much of the profit goes to the cost of “labor” in shipping or foods services. For the poor, its actually a healthy sign “low profits”. Problems in our Shipping or Foods industry spell some of the most central and “universal” problems of our entire economy. When shipping on Earth stops its a sign of major problems even with the latest” modern version” of capitalism (developed in the “far east” and “far west”)? The main problem historically with the shipping industry is how we understand our future here and perhaps on another planet or moon. Do we (to the) full realize how important shipping is on Earth? Simple Facts about the Shipping Industry on Earth? Most goods are not shipped by “road” in fact about 70% of all goods are (not surprisingly) shipped by sea, and only 18% by road, 9% by rail, 2% by inland waterways and less than 0.25% by air? I was personally very surprised by these numbers, again its an example of how fundamentally “weird transport” (cars?) is to everything on Earth. Somethings are so important that sometimes the price doesn’t matter anymore? UPS is involved in “Door-to-Door” shipping. Its the most difficult and even very dangerous type of shipping (when you think about shipping things internationally). UPS provides “this service” to help people today ship just about anything anywhere? They quoted you a price of this service and it includes all shipping, handling, import and customs duties, making it a hassle-free. So what are the details of UPS: (one of the largest “door to door” shipping companies on Earth?) Employs about 500,000 people. Ships about $70 billon dollars a year (revenue). Net Income about 7% Typical Price of Stock to Earnings Ratio: 20 to 1 (perhaps way way too high and too little profit) Details of Historical Problem of UPS: Perhaps "the most serious" problems for UPS in the "modern history" started in September of 2007 The important fact about this problem at UPS was that this started BEFORE the “other” 2008 housing market loan crash. For UPS this crash lasted only about one year and turned around in February of 2009. Stock prices dropped by ½ going from about $75 dollars per share to a low of $41 per share for UPS (see graph). Biggest Growth Period at for UPS Shipping?: From February of 2009 (after the serious bank crash of 2008) UPS grew and had some of its most important positive years for almost one full decade (thats 10 years of growth for UPS! Doubling and then TRIPLING the price of UPS stock values…?). By 2018 the price of the UPS stock reached very high levels relative to UPS earnings and started to show some of the most “wild price swings” in the history of UPS. How did this effect the rest of the shipping industry? The real question is something “different’ was going on in “shipping” globally by January of 2018. Its possible that something or “too much” was being shipped globally and there was something “in the environment” of Earth itself that effected life on earth and shipping at the start of 2018? This was well before the major (virus) crashes started in Feb of 2020. UPS had “one final peak of priced grace” in October of 2019 and then suddenly started to drop by about 30 points much of which was prior to our recent global crash... I’ve often wondered if it would make sense for UPS to mostly focus on shipping goods to warehouses only? Why would UPS want to do this? This would thereby possibly cause more pollution in the short term but less Carbon Fuel Pollution in the long term? Because people themselves would need to pickup the shipments. However, if you look at whats going on globally in the shipping industry “MOST” (70%) of all goods already are shipped mostly by sea and this would force people to live closer (together) and nearer to larger cities along the coasts forcing customers to “pickup” goods at a local warehouse. Land or "ground" shipping can be made by train or by truck. However, one thing to worry about for the future of companies like UPS is that only 18% of all goods are shipping by land. Logically it maybe makes sense to only focus on moving big items “like the moon or an astroid”? Ground transport is typically more affordable than air, but more expensive than sea, especially in developing countries, where inland infrastructure may not be efficient or even possible? Many goods today are shipped by “intermodal freight transport” which are basically “normal” shipments that involve more than one mode. Because most goods are “ship by sea” they might also be shipped when they arrive by rail or plane and finally truck a UPS truck? One of the most important problems in shipping is called the “Last Mile”. This is a term used in supply chain management and transportation planning to describe how important real people (real door delivery problems) are in moving goods from a transportation hub to their final destination… typically “our front doors”… GLOBAL COMPETITION FOR “DOOR TO DOOR” SHIPPING? Major competitors in the United States include the “government” United States Postal Service (USPS) and FedEx, along with regional carriers. In addition to these domestic carriers, UPS competes with a variety of international operators, including Canada Post, TransForce, Deutsche Post (also known as DHL), Royal Mail, Japan Post Service, India Post, China and *many* other regional carriers in each country, national (or forging government) postal services and air cargo handlers. It maybe wise for UPS (or any shipping company in the world) to not ship “the last mile” and instead when starting up new operations in for example Indo-China or (India, Malaysia, Philippines, Indonesia, Thailand, or Vietnam) Historically, just about everything has been used in transport. Camels, Dogs and Wolves, Donkey, Elephant, Homing pigeons, Horses, Llamas, Ox, Santa’s Reindeer… and even our heads to carry water for miles and miles? However, less and less is being shipped by humans and surprisingly less and less shipments today are “door to door”. Because there is so “little” profit in Foods and Shipping this has created perhaps the largest “black market” for “unconventional” shipping system. We maybe are not ready yet for the truth. On Earth whats going on is very complex … especially if we are shipping “everyone” someday into the deep Cosmos? It maybe that many private shipping companies need to refocus. There business isn’t about profit? And most of it mysteriously is by or on the “sea”? There are many possibilities for new shipment strategies even DHL is offering a way for people to “buy certain routs” and “invest in a specific route” and get profits from “specific supply chain investments” as a simple person who just “likes that shipment route”. So a new centralized “warehouse” approach to shipping maybe will not work alone. Localized services today are very important and are also international. Finally? What is the future of the shipping industry here on Earth? UPS is perhaps one of the most important practical examples of non-governmental private enterprise in (our) (future) fields of shipping. They have (already) been around for as little as 100 years? What does it mean when the Moon, Jupiter, Saturn and Mars will all be aligned this year or even (so I read in the news) “this week in April”? Its almost like the entire universe is stopping for a moment here on earth and “aligning” with something really really far out? What does does this have anything to do with trillions of packages shipped here on Earth? Perhaps the success of the shipping industry will point us someplace far far away? Anyway, I hope you've really enjoyed my discussion on “the future of shipping”… ;) The Cosmos is perhaps “our man’s” “final frontier”.. we don't really have a lot of control over the universe… there is a lot of things moving around out there someplace in our universe.. and today we cant “ship” to many-places “off earth”? Our entire planets future might just depend on “shipping companies” like UPS? To the moon to another star system (or galaxy?)? however, this doesn’t stop us from trying to get involved in shipping all types of strange things all over the world and or even to just look at the next full moon with new possibilities. Hope this helps everyone! Asher
NYSE:UPS
by idasuperman