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Fundamental Analysis

GOLD → The triangle is contracting. Retest of support...FX:XAUUSD tested a local high of 3375 but quickly returned to consolidation. The reason is manipulation by the US administration related to Powell, inflation, and interest rates... Demand for gold has risen sharply amid global risks: Trump's aggressive tariff plans, strong inflation, and uncertainty about the Fed's actions have increased interest in defensive assets. Despite the temporary strengthening of the dollar, gold remains a popular hedging instrument. Technical analysis also points to a bullish outlook. However, growth potential is limited until the Fed clarifies its interest rate policy Technically, on the D1 chart, it is clear that the price is consolidating, with the range continuing to narrow. Due to the bullish factors listed above, we can expect growth to continue. However, it is difficult to say where and when the growth will begin due to the uncertainty factor. All attention is on the support at 3320-3312, the triangle support, as well as the consolidation support at 3287. Resistance levels: 3365, 3375 Support levels: 3320, 3312, 3287 Since the opening of the session, the price has spent part of its daily range, so there may not be enough potential for the decline to continue. A false breakdown of support and consolidation of the price above the key zone may attract buyers, which will trigger growth towards resistance. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
GOLD → Retest of consolidation resistance. Chances of a breakoutFX:XAUUSD bounces off support at 3312, forming a false breakdown at 3320. The price is heading towards consolidation resistance. The chances of continued growth are increasing... Gold rebounded from its low amid statements by Fed member Waller about a possible rate cut in July. However, strong US sales and labor market data strengthened the dollar and held back XAU/USD growth. Despite statements by some Fed members about maintaining a tight policy, traders continue to expect rate cuts before the end of the year. The focus is on new economic data that could affect the dollar and gold prices. Technically, consolidation is narrowing, which could lead to distribution. Gold is feeling market support, and after retesting resistance at 3365, we need to watch the price reaction to the level. A pullback and quick retest could increase the chances of a breakout and growth to 3400. Resistance levels: 3365, 3375 Support levels: 3332, 3320, 3312 There is a high probability that there will be an attempt to break through the consolidation resistance amid expectations of a rate cut. This phase may be accompanied by either a correction to retest and return for a breakout, or a breakout and consolidation of the price above the level. Today, Friday, I expect a retest and correction, as there may not be enough local potential for a breakout of this level, and the price has already lost some of its momentum since the opening of the session... Best regards, Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
XLM is the pump over or just getting started !XLM / USDT What a huge weekly candle! We catched its strong move very early around 0.29$ a week ago (75% profits locked in spot) With a zoom out chart we can see price is setting up nicely with several tests of pattern boundary. Next test of the upper boundary can lead to huge breakout of this mega pattern ! NOTE: Price must not close below april low and should close above upper boundary unless that its just a range Keep an eye on it closely !
CRYPTO:XLMUSDLong
by Babenski
10
USD/JPY - Triangle Pattern (18.07.2025)The USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 149.93 2nd Resistance – 150.65 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
13
‘Everything Rally’ in Full Swing. What About Tariffs & Earnings?It’s official: we’re witnessing one of those rare, confounding moments when nearly every big risk-on thing is screaming ATH! (All-Time High, for those who haven’t worn out that abbreviation on X this month). Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD blew past $122,000 on Monday — a turbo rally that made anyone who stepped away to brew coffee rethink their life choices. Meanwhile, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA ? It didn’t just approach the $4 trillion milestone — it showed up, took the crown as the world’s most valuable company , and made the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC pop a fresh record close for dessert. And the S&P 500 SP:SPX ? The broadest slice of US equities did its part too, hitting a record high last week, despite the world’s loudest tariff chatter from Trump 2.0. So, what gives? 💎 Bitcoin: Too Fast to Chart Let’s start with the fire-breathing dragon. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD rocketed to $122,500 on Monday morning, bruising all those short sellers and juicing up the memes. The OG coin now has a market cap above $2.3 trillion — bigger than most economies, enough to make gold bugs break into cold sweats. (True, it did pare back some of those gains to float at $119,000 Thursday morning.) What’s fueling it? Institutional FOMO. Forget diamond hands — big money managers, ETF behemoths , and corporates are scooping up every sat they can find. When you see that, plus macro tailwinds — a weaker dollar, simmering inflation that nudges the Fed toward cuts — the rocket fuel writes itself. But we all know what traders really want to know: is $125,000 next? Short answer: if momentum holds, you bet. Long answer: mind the next Fed move and the tariff chess match. 🎯 Nvidia: From GPUs to GDPs If you thought Bitcoin’s wild run was the only headline, look again. The real flex this month came from Jensen Huang’s chip juggernaut. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA didn’t just break a record — it basically invented a new category for corporate mega-caps. The world’s biggest semiconductor firm hit the $4 trillion mark — the first company ever to do so. And this isn’t some overnight fad. Back in 2019, Nvidia crossed $100 billion for the first time on the back of crypto mining booms. Five years later, it’s stacked on 4,000% gains, riding the AI hype like it’s a permanent bull market. Governments, hyperscalers, cloud titans — they’re all shoving billions at Huang’s AI chips. 💻 Nasdaq: AI, Chips, Crypto — Party On The Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC logged yet another record close , up about 7.5% on the year so far. Just three months ago, this index looked battered — trade war threats, tariff rants, sticky inflation. Who’s doing the heavy lifting? The Magnificent Seven, mostly. But it’s Nvidia’s chart that’s turned this whole index into a de facto AI ETF. Is it healthy? That depends. As long as earnings season doesn’t break the dream — and there’s no rug-pull from the Fed — traders are letting the momentum do its thing. 🏦 S&P 500: The Record Chaser What about the S&P 500 SP:SPX — the broadest barometer of America’s corporate muscle? It rose to set its own record high last week before coming down on Friday on renewed tariff jitters. The Wall Street darling looks less explosive than its tech-packed peer, the Nasdaq. But it’s still up nearly 7% year-to-date — and up 26% from the April dip when tariffs spooked everyone out of their leveraged longs. Now? It’s back in record territory, brushing aside GDP contraction and inflation that won’t quit. Why? Because the market is forward-looking. Tariffs may sting, but when the Fed hints at cuts and Trump sticks to his MAGA narrative, risk assets catch a bid. 🧨 What About Those Tariffs, Though? Speaking of tariffs, let’s not pretend they’re not looming. Trump threatened over the weekend to ramp up levies on EU goods to 30% starting August 1 if no new deal emerges. Canada got an earful too: 35% on certain Canadian exports — and Ottawa announced a $21 billion tit-for-tat. The “pause” on reciprocal tariffs ends in a few weeks. So, is this noise or real risk? For now, markets are calling the bluff. Investors have tuned out the saber-rattling, choosing to front-run the Fed’s next move instead. If tariffs spark a deeper trade war, stocks may get a reality check. Until then, the melt-up rules. 🔮 What’s Next? Eyes on Earnings Earnings season is around the corner (be sure to follow the Earnings Calendar ), and you can bet every fund manager is watching Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , and the rest of the Mag 7 for cracks in the AI gold rush. If the big names keep printing double-digit revenue growth, investors should be happy. But any hint of deceleration, cautious guidance, or margin pressure could slam the brakes on this record run. Your turn : Do you see this melt-up stretching into the second half of the year? Or are we due for a rude awakening once the earnings calls roll in? Drop your take below!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by TradingView
16
GOLD: Continues to respect our bearish scenarioGOLD: Continues to respect our bearish scenario Yesterday we had a bad joke from Trump and the price tested again a very strong resistance area located near 3378. As you can see from the chart, the sell-off happened quickly and was just a sell-off in a deep pullback. Today, the price was struggling to find a clear direction, but after Trump said he had no plans to fire the Federal Reserve's Powell, the market calmed down easily. The price fell from another strong support area earlier today after the US printed strong Retail Sales data for June of 0.6% versus an estimate of 0.1%. The chances of further declines, as I explained earlier, are increasing further and it could even reach 3260, it seems. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
FX:XAUUSDShort
by KlejdiCuni
13
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – July 17-18, 2025Hello traders! After yesterday’s high-volatility trap and NY session recovery, we now stand at a major structural junction. Buyers reclaimed 3310–3314 with precision, but price is pressing into multi-timeframe supply. Let’s break it down clearly 🔸 HTF Bias Daily Bias: Bullish correction inside a larger range. Demand at 3310–3305 was swept and respected, but supply at 3347–3360 caps upside. H4 Bias: Bullish flow into supply. Structure printed clean HLs from 3295–3310. However, current zone is full of short-term profit-taking risk. H1 Bias: Bullish short-term trend. Price built higher lows from 3310, but now sits at 3340–3347 — reactive zone where momentum could fade if no breakout. 🔸 Key Structural Zones (with role) 🔺 Supply Zones (Above Price): 3347–3360 (D1/H4/H1 Supply) 🔹 Multi-timeframe confluence 🔹 Previous reaction + NY trap zone 🔹 Expect heavy rejection or false breakout wicks 3366–3385 (D1 Supply) 🔹 Final liquidity shelf for buyers 🔹 Only valid if 3347 breaks clean 🔹 Longs must wait for confirmation after breakout ⚔️ Decision Zones (Middle): 3335–3328 (Intraday Flip Zone) 🔹 M15-M30 structure control 🔹 Buyers can reload here on clean bounce 🔹 If price closes below, opens door for bearish momentum 🔻 Demand Zones (Below Price): 3314–3310 (H1/H4 Demand – Key Buy Area) 🔹 Institutional demand origin 🔹 Price tapped, swept, and reclaimed 🔹 Ideal sniper buys only on retest with bullish M15 BOS 3305–3295 (Deep Reversal Demand) 🔹 Extreme discount 🔹 Valid only if 3310 fails 🔹 High RR buys if liquidity sweep appears 🔸 Sniper Battle Plan 🎯 Scenario 1 – Fade from 3347–3360: 🔹 If rejection signs (M15 FVG + RSI divergence), short toward 3335, 3314 🔹 Only enter if NY open confirms exhaustion Scenario 2 – Pullback to 3335–3328: 🔹 Ideal quick buys on bounce with confirmation 🔹 Watch for BOS on LTF for sniper entry Today’s zones require real discipline: no rush, no panic — just clear steps, sharp entries, and clean rejections or retests. You already saw what 3310–3305 reacted. The next move? You plan it. You take it. You own it. ✨ Which zone are you watching for your next move? Drop a comment, leave a 🚀🚀🚀and follow for more sniper-level clarity — every single day. Let’s keep mastering this market. Together. Disclosure: All plans are built on Trade Nation live feed. Educational only.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
6
Waiting for the bigger move with GBPJPYHi Traders! Right now, GJ is failing to swing higher at a major resistance at 199.200. Looking at the 4HR, yesterday July 16th, price wicked down to 198.000 retesting a previous 4HR CHOCH, then pulling back up to continue consolidation in between 198.000 and 199.200. However, on the 4HR price didn't close below 198.000 with continuation, which would make me believe that if the new 4HR CHOCH is valid, eventually price will break through 199.200. This will require patience if I want a bigger move. A more conservative approach to this trade, for me, would be entering on the break with a retest/bounces off 199.200. SL below a new HL, TP1: 201.000, Overall TP: 202.000. In addition, the only way I would sell is if price broke down past 198.500/198.200, and kept rejecting. Then, I could see a downside. But, imo price action just it's giving that confirmation right now. *DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
Long
by thattradergirl
11
BTC Could Start Another Bullish WaveBTC Could Start Another Bullish Wave Over the past two days, bitcoin has been holding strong above 118400. It seems that this small structural area could push BTC higher. For now, ETH has performed better and BTC may follow suit. I am looking for short-term targets near 122400, 125000 and 127000. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Long
by KlejdiCuni
5
NZD/USD Ready to Explode? The Smart Money Is Making a MoveBias: Bullish Bounce from Key Demand Zone NZD/USD is testing a strong confluence zone: Long-term ascending trendline support Weekly demand area between 0.5890 and 0.5940 Bullish RSI divergence near oversold conditions The triple rejection wicks signal strong demand around 0.5900, suggesting a possible reversal toward the 0.6020–0.6050 resistance area. 🧠 COT Insight: NZD: Non-commercial traders added +669 long contracts and reduced shorts by -102 → net bullish shift USD: Net short exposure increases; total non-commercial shorts now exceed longs by ~4000 contracts Implication: institutions are rotating into NZD while trimming USD exposure 📊 Sentiment: 86% of retail traders are long NZD/USD → retail sentiment is heavily skewed This could delay or limit upside as smart money often moves counter to retail positions 📅 Seasonality (July): July has historically been a bullish month for NZD/USD across all reference windows (20Y, 15Y, 10Y, 5Y, 2Y) Average July return consistently positive → adds conviction to bullish thesis 🗺 Outlook: If the zone at 0.5880–0.5920 holds, price may bounce toward 0.6020–0.6050. Break below would invalidate structure and expose 0.5850 and then 0.5780.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
5
Gold breaks trendline and returns to uptrend. BUY NOW!✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD A deep sweep to 3310 and bounce back to the trading range. Gold is reacting at the Trendline around the price zone of 3344. This is an important price zone that if broken will return to the uptrend and head towards 3373 soon. 3332 plays an important role in the current bullish wave structure, which is a suitable SL placement point for BUY signals. 📉 Key Levels Support: 3332-3312 Resistance: 3344-3357-3373-3389 BUY trigger: Break and trading above Resistance 3344 (trendline, top uptrend wave 1) BUY DCA trigger: Break Resistance 3353 Target 3373 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VHT_Trader
7
Gold returns to Sideway range waiting for new momentumOANDA:XAUUSD A sweep of liquidity back to the 3377 zone and then back into the triangle trading range. Currently, the market will wait for new momentum for the next trend. If the 3322 zone is still holding, the uptrend to 3400 is still there. This is an important price zone in today's trading day. 📉 Key Levels BUY Trigger: rejection 3323 with bullrish confirmation Target: 3373 SELL Trigger: Break and trading Bellow support 3321 Target: 3285 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
12
When will Altseason start?So with ETH.D sweeping its all time low I feel very confident that eth has made the low for this cycle as well as BTC.D retracing providing further confluence that this is the case and we will see eth start to outperform bitcoin but I begun to question where altcoins stand currently stand and when we will start to see them outperform both BTC and ETH as they currently bleed to them as Both ETH and BTC make higher lows while altcoin pairs are making lower lows. I feel like until we see a run above this trend line above the .82 lvl we will see altcoins bleed against ETH and BTC.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by SleeperPete
2
EURAUD → Correction for accumulation before growthFX:EURAUD reaches the zone of interest during a correction and forms a false breakdown of local support. Traders can switch to the buy side to support the trend. Against the backdrop of a global bullish trend and a correction in the euro, the currency pair is following this movement, the essence of which is to consolidate funds for further growth. Liquidation is forming in relation to the liquidity zones of 1.785, 1.78, and 1.773, and the market imbalance is changing. The current movement is bringing the price to the zone of interest: the liquidity area of 1.773 and the order block. The capture of liquidity relative to 1.773 leads to the formation of a false breakdown and a pullback to the area of interest for buyers. Accordingly, price consolidation above 1.776 and 0.7 Fibonacci could support the main trend and allow the price to strengthen. Support levels: 1.776, 1.773, 1.763 Resistance levels: 1.786, 1.795 The euro clearly demonstrates an upward trend, the structure of which has not been broken during the correction. Correction is a perfectly healthy movement within a trend, allowing positions to be opened at more favorable prices. If the bulls hold their defense above 1.776, momentum towards the specified targets may form. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
DOTUSDT - A Sleeping Giant in the Bull Market?Polkadot (DOT) has always been one of the leading assets during bull markets A $10 target now seems inevitable after a clean breakout above the main trendline, followed by a successful retest.🎯 This $10 level has historically acted as a major resistance zone, often manipulated during each bull cycle — price touches it, then sharply pulls back. But the big question is: Will DOT break this psychological barrier this time? Why not? With many investors losing faith in the crypto market and considering leaving altogether, this might actually be the perfect setup for a massive price explosion. Historically, the craziest pumps tend to come when confidence is at its lowest.🚀 Best regards Ceciliones 🎯
Long
by ceciliones
1
USDCHF: Could be telling a story of break-retest-reversalThe price action on the USDCHF presents an opportunity of structural transition. The descending trendline has acted as dynamic resistance, has contained each rally attempt beautifully. This trendline is marked by multiple rejections, reflected bearish dominance, a controlled downtrend in motion. The recent movement though could signal a shift. The market has started to break above this descending structure, and it could early suggest that bearish momentum is weakening. I will be waiting for the price to return to the broken trendline, treating former resistance as newfound support. It’s a confirmation pattern in order to filter false moves, a structure retest that reinforces breakout reliability. From this base, I am expecting it to target the 0.81900 level, as shown. This area coinciding with horizontal resistance that aligns with previous reactions. Such levels as natural “gravitational pivots”. An ideal approach here would involve observing the character of the pullback. If the market returns to the trendline with declining bearish volume and forms higher lows on lower timeframes, it strengthens the bullish case. The trendline break on the chart is not just a signal, it’s a storyline unfolding. It marks a shift with a story. And if volume, price structure, and timing align as they appear poised to, this move could be the first move in a broader upside correction or trend reversal. Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TrendDiva
19
UK employment,wage growth falls, US retail sales shineThe British pound showing limited movement on Thursday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3406, down 0.09% on the day. Today's UK employment report pointed to a cooling in the UK labor market. The number of employees on company payrolls dropped by 41 thousand in June after a decline of 25 thousand in May. Still, the May decline was downwardly revised from 109 thousand, easing concerns of a significant deterioration in the labor market. Wage growth (excluding bonuses) dropped to 5.0% from a revised 5.3%, above the market estimate of 4.9%. The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.7%, up from 4.6% and above the market estimate of 4.6%. This is the highest jobless level since the three months to July 2021. The latest job data will ease the pressure on the Bank of England to lower rates, as the sharp revision to the May payroll employees means the labor market has not deteriorated as much as had been feared. Still, the employment picture remains weak and the markets are expecting an August rate cut, even though UK inflation was hotter than expected in June. US retail sales bounced back in June after back-to-back declines. Consumers reacted with a thumbs-down to President Trump's tariffs, which took effect in April and made imported goods more expensive. The markets had anticipated a marginal gain of just 0.1% m/m in June but retail sales came in at an impressive 0.6%, with most sub-categories recording stronger activity in June. This follows a sharp 0.9% decline in May. The US tariffs seem to have had a significant impact on retail sales, as consumers continue to time their purchases to minimize the effect of tariffs. Consumers increased spending before the tariffs took effect and cut back once the tariffs were in place. With a truce in place between the US and China which has slashed tariff rates, consumers have opened their wallets and are spending more on big-ticket items such as motor vehicles, which jumped 1.2% in June.
by OANDA
2
GBPCHF → Retest of resistance to the global downtrendFX:GBPCHF is facing resistance from the local trend, which is aligned with the global bearish trend. The trend may continue... A retest of resistance is forming within the global downtrend. As part of the correction, the price is testing the zone of interest and, after a false breakout of 1.7935, is returning to the selling zone. The currency pair is rebounding from the resistance of the local trend, which coincides with the global trend. Consolidation of the price below 1.078 may trigger a continuation of the decline Resistance levels: 1.07932, 1.0823 Support levels: 1.07744, 1.07255 Price consolidation in the selling zone followed by a break of the local structure could strengthen the bearish sentiment, which could trigger a further decline overall. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
XRP → ATH retest. Reversal or continued growth?BINANCE:XRPUSDT.P is rallying and ready to test the resistance zone - ATH. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is consolidating after a bull run. The liquidity pool may hold back growth. Fundamentally, there is excitement across the entire cryptocurrency market. Altcoins are rallying after Bitcoin hit a new high and entered consolidation. The BTC.D index is declining, which generally provides a good opportunity for altcoins to grow. However, the index is approaching technical support, which may affect market sentiment overall... As for XRP, there is a fairly strong liquidity pool ahead — the ATH resistance zone. The price is in a distribution phase after a change in character and a breakout of the downtrend resistance in the 2.33 zone. The momentum may exhaust its potential to break through the 3.35-3.34 zone, and growth may be halted for correction or reversal (in correlation with Bitcoin's dominance in the market). Resistance levels: 3.35-3.40 Support levels: 3.0, 2.64 A breakout of resistance without the possibility of further growth, a return of the price below the level (i.e., inside the global flat) will confirm the fact of a false breakout of resistance, which may trigger a correction or even a reversal. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7