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Fundamental Analysis

XAUUSD Analysis : Gold's Bullish Comeback + Target📊 Chart Overview: Gold has shown a technically strong structure on the 4-hour time frame, respecting multiple layers of support, while slowly shifting momentum in favor of buyers. What stands out most in this chart is the parabolic curve formation at the bottom, labeled the "Black Mind Curve Support" — a key psychological zone that has guided price action back to the upside. Let’s walk through the key elements and why this current setup deserves your attention: 🧠 1. Black Mind Curve Support – Bullish Base Formation: This curved structure at the bottom is no ordinary pattern. It reflects gradual accumulation and buyer dominance, often seen in textbook rounded bottom formations. The market printed multiple higher lows along this curve, suggesting a deliberate and patient entry by smart money. Whenever price touched this curve, it found strong demand — a clear sign that the bulls are defending their territory. 🧱 2. Channel Support + SR Interchange – Historical Demand: Zooming into the left side of the chart, you’ll notice how price dropped into a converging zone where a descending channel support intersected with a historical support/resistance (SR) level. This confluence created a high-probability buy zone — the very origin of the current bullish wave. This channel breakout also represents a structural shift, marking the beginning of bullish control. 🔁 3. Major SR – Interchange Zone: One of the most critical areas in this chart is the Major SR Interchange zone, where former resistance was broken and later retested as support. This is a classic support-resistance flip — the type of zone institutional traders watch closely. This level currently acts as a launchpad for bulls, reinforcing bullish structure and offering low-risk long opportunities when respected. ⚔️ 4. Minor BOS (Break of Structure): Recently, the price broke above a short-term lower high, indicating a minor bullish break of structure. This is confirmation that momentum has shifted in the short term. Such BOS events are powerful signals, especially when backed by curve support and SR flips. This also paves the way for the price to push into the next liquidity pocket above. 🧭 5. Central Zone – 50% Equilibrium: The horizontal line drawn around the $3,330 level marks the central 50% zone — the midpoint of this entire price range. This acts as a natural equilibrium zone where buyers and sellers usually fight for control. Price is now trading above this zone, giving the upper hand to bulls. Holding above the 50% line increases the probability of continuation to higher resistance levels. 🧨 6. Target Area – "Next Reversal Zone": Looking ahead, the $3,370 – $3,380 range is labeled as the Next Reversal Zone. This is where sellers previously stepped in and rejected price hard. However, if momentum remains strong and bulls can push price into this zone again, we might witness either: A sharp pullback (if bearish reaction occurs), or A major breakout above toward the $3,400 key resistance (if buyers overpower). This is the zone to watch for either short-term profit taking or potential trend continuation setups. 📌 Key Technical Levels: Immediate Support: $3,330 – $3,315 (Central + Retest Zone) Major Support: $3,290 (Mind Curve Base) Short-Term Resistance: $3,370 – $3,380 (Reversal/Reaction Zone) Bullish Continuation Target: $3,400+ 📒 Conclusion & Strategy Insight: This chart presents a textbook bullish reversal setup with clean structural progression: Price formed a rounded base Broke out of previous range resistance Retested multiple key SR zones Now targeting liquidity above The bulls are in control as long as the price remains above the curve and the major SR zone. A retracement into $3,330 could offer an ideal long entry, targeting the $3,370–$3,380 zone with tight risk. ✅ Suggested Trading Approach: Buy Opportunities: On pullbacks toward $3,330–$3,315 with confirmation Sell Watch: Near $3,375–$3,380 if bearish divergence or strong rejection appears Invalidation: Break and close below $3,290 curve support 🧠 Final Thoughts: Gold continues to build a strong bullish base. The parabolic nature of the support curve suggests rising demand. As long as support holds, the bulls may take price to fresh highs in the coming days. Keep an eye on how price behaves around the Next Reversal Zone — that will reveal whether this bullish rally is ready for a breakout or a cooldown.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
July 15 2025 -Sell Limit ActivatedGood day, folks! Just sharing another learning from my ideas here: EURUSD has been in a bearish structure since July 14, 2025 (1H Intraday). As you know, I always look for clear supply or demand validation before placing a sell or buy limit order. On the chart, you can see a valid supply zone that was generated on Monday. After that, I waited for a clear move during the Tuesday London and New York sessions, with the CPI news release acting as a catalyst for more volatility. The trade came to fruition during the New York session on Tuesday. (See chart for the complete breakdown of the movement and entry.) RR: 1:3 Another Wyckoff schematics and structure analysis.
Short
by glyrad
Pump.Fun (PUMP) Token Nears Milestone $1 Billion OI In 3 DaysMEXC:PUMPUSDT price stands at $0.0065 after bouncing off the $0.0063 support level. The token has gained 16% in the last 12 hours , showing that the demand for PUMP is strong. The valuation of Pump.Fun has skyrocketed in just two days, reflecting a surge in demand. In only 48 hours since its launch, the altcoin has amassed 45,500 holders . The macro momentum behind Pump.Fun is undeniable, with open interest in MEXC:PUMPUSDT nearing $913 million. It is on track to hit the $1 billion mark by day three of its launch. Given the ongoing momentum and investor confidence, the token is likely to continue pushing upwards in the near future. With the current market conditions and growing support, MEXC:PUMPUSDT could breach the $0.0067 resistance and reach as high as $0.0070 in the coming days. This would mark a significant achievement for the altcoin, continuing its impressive upward trajectory. However, if MEXC:PUMPUSDT faces a sudden wave of selling or broader market bearishness, the token could lose the $0.0063 support level. A decline below this point would likely see PUMP slipping to $0.0060, invalidating the bullish outlook and signaling a potential market correction.
MEXC:PUMPUSDT
by aaryamann_shrivastava_bic
1
The Trade Desk: Why the Sudden Surge?The Trade Desk (TTD) recently experienced a significant stock surge. This rise stems from both immediate market catalysts and robust underlying business fundamentals. A primary driver was its inclusion in the prestigious S&P 500 index, replacing Ansys Inc. This move, effective July 18, immediately triggered mandated buying from index funds and ETFs. Such inclusion validates TTD's market importance and enhances its visibility and liquidity. This artificial demand floor, coupled with TTD's $37 billion market capitalization, underscores its growing influence within the financial landscape. Beyond index inclusion, TTD benefits from a significant structural shift in advertising. Programmatic advertising is rapidly replacing traditional media buying, expected to account for nearly 90% of digital display ad spending by 2025. This growth is driven by advertisers' need for transparent ROI, publishers avoiding "walled gardens" through platforms like TTD's OpenPath, and AI-driven innovation. TTD's AI platform, Kokai, greatly lowers acquisition costs and enhances reach, resulting in over 95% client retention. Strategic partnerships in high-growth areas like Connected TV (CTV) further reinforce TTD's leadership. Financially, The Trade Desk demonstrates remarkable resilience and growth. Its Q2 2025 revenue growth of 17% outpaces the broader programmatic market. Adjusted EBITDA margins hit 38%, reflecting strong operational efficiency. While TTD trades at a premium valuation - over 13x 2025 sales targets-its high profitability, substantial cash flow, and historical investor returns support this. Despite intense competition and regulatory scrutiny, TTD's consistent market share gains and strategic positioning in an expanding digital ad market make it a compelling long-term investment.
NASDAQ:TTDLong
by UDIS_View
SPORTKING INDIA LTD – Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern The weekly chart shows a classic **inverted head and shoulders** formation: - 👈 **Left Shoulder**: Shallow trough - 🔽 **Head**: Deep central low - 👉 **Right Shoulder**: Higher trough mirroring the left Price action around ₹132.48 suggests a potential **bullish reversal**, indicating that the prior downtrend may be bottoming out. A breakout above the neckline would typically confirm upward momentum—worth watching for volume confirmation and resistance levels. Let me know if you’d like projected targets or neckline levels next!
NSE:SPORTKINGLong
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) reflects increasing selling!🚨 Bitcoin Market Update 🚨 Bitcoin recently hit an All-Time High (ATH) but is now experiencing a downward correction. Multiple technical indicators suggest continued bearish momentum: 📉 Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) reflects increasing selling pressure. 📊 A bearish engulfing pattern confirms the market is trending lower. 📕 The synthetic order book reveals a heavy concentration of sell orders. 📈 The 50 & 100 SMA are acting as strong resistance levels, keeping price action suppressed below them. 🔍 Key Watch Level: If BTC breaks above the 50 SMA, we could see a potential pump. However, as of now, all confirmations point toward a bearish continuation. 💡 DYOR – Do Your Own Research 🛑 Not Financial Advice
Short
by Peter_Wade
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 16, 2025 USDJPYEvent to Watch Today: 15:30 EET. USD – Producer Price Index USDJPY: USD/JPY has stabilized around 148.900, maintaining upside potential due to: Interest Rates: The Fed keeps yields elevated (10-year bonds at 4.46%), while the Bank of Japan maintains an ultra-loose policy, keeping real yields negative. Political Uncertainty: Upcoming elections in Japan and possible fiscal tightening reduce the yen’s appeal. Dollar Demand: Trade frictions and geopolitical risks drive safe-haven flows into the dollar. A break above 149.000 could open the path to 149.500. Support at 148.600 remains a critical barrier for the bullish scenario. Trade Recommendation: BUY 149.000, SL 148.700, TP 149.900
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold fluctuates downward. Can it break through?The CPI data released is in line with expectations, the tariff storm is still continuing, inflation rebounds and the Fed's expectations of interest rate cuts have cooled. Gold rebounded to 3366 and then fell, and is currently fluctuating around 3330. From the current trend, gold fell strongly and broke through the Bollinger middle rail and the moving average support. The daily line focuses on the Bollinger middle rail under pressure near 3340, and the short-term support is at 3310. At present, a staged top pattern has been formed and the K-line double top is around 3366. The Bollinger moves downward and the price is in a downward channel. For short-term operations, Quaid believes that the strategy of rebound shorting can still be followed. Short near 3345, stop loss 3355, profit range 3330-3310 Long near 3310, stop loss 3300, profit range 3330-3345
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
1
GOLD in narrow range, after sharp drop on US CPI dataOANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply on Tuesday (July 15) as the US Dollar TVC:DXY gained significantly after the US CPI report was released. As of now (July 16), gold is trading at 3,326 USD/oz, equivalent to an increase of only 2 USD in the day. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) in June was in line with expectations but higher than the previous value. The surge in the Dollar after the US released the June CPI is the main reason for the pressure on gold prices so far. • Data released by the US on Tuesday showed that the US CPI increased by 2.7% compared to the same period last year in June, in line with expectations, but higher than the 2.4% in May. • The US CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month in June, in line with market expectations but up from a 0.1% increase, the largest increase since January this year. • In addition, the US core CPI rose 2.9% year-on-year in June, up from 2.8% in May, while the core CPI in June rose 0.2% month-on-month. The market generally believes that US President Trump's tariff policies have increased price pressures, prompting the Federal Reserve to wait and see what further action to take. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell previously said he expected prices to rise in the summer. The market is still expecting the first rate cut in September. Investors are looking ahead to Wednesday's U.S. producer price index data for more information on the Federal Reserve's move. Since gold does not yield interest, it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments, whereas high-interest-rate environments or expectations of future rate hikes put pressure on gold prices. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is trading in a fairly narrow range after 2 sessions of downward adjustment, but the specific trend is still unclear, as sent to readers throughout last week, the technical conditions mainly show a sideways accumulation movement. After testing the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, gold was unable to overcome this resistance, and the decline from this position brought the gold price close to the support of 3,310 USD and then the area of the original price point of 3,300 USD with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. With the technical conditions not giving a specific trend as they are now, for gold to be able to have a new bullish cycle it needs to move the price action above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target would be around $3,400 in the short term, more than $3,430. On the other hand, if gold falls below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level again, it could be a good signal for an expectation of a bullish cycle, then the target would be around $3,246 in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level. The relative strength index is hovering around 50, indicating that the market is hesitant in terms of momentum and is not leaning towards a specific trend. During the day, with the current sideways accumulation, gold will be noticed by the following technical levels. Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD Resistance: 3,240 – 3,250 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3383 - 3381⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3387 →Take Profit 1 3375 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3369 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3306⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3300 →Take Profit 1 3312 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3318
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Bearish Sentiment (Jul 16 Wed) | Intraday S/R for Swing TradingSentiment: Bearish 🟢 Support Levels 1. 3319.20 – Minor support near Friday’s bounce zone 2. 3307.60 – Key support from early U.S. session rejection zone 3. 3296.10 – Institutional support / demand buildup 4. Extreme Support: 3283.40 – Break below this opens extended sell-off zone 🔴 Resistance Levels 1. 3338.70 – Minor resistance from overnight price action 2. 3349.80 – Key resistance aligned with previous close and seller defense 3. 3361.00 – Strong intraday ceiling, potential short trigger 4. Extreme Resistance: 3375.20 – Break above this signals risk-on bullish momentum
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by GoldTrendSentimentxToday
EUR/USD long: Save the dateHello traders I have entered into a long position at 1.1665. The charts show a base being built right around that level. DXY is ticking down but US 10Y yield is steady. Bitcoin at an all time high is in my opinion not a sign of risk on but rather USD liquidation in favor of BTC. Gold has just broken above the last daily high. There are rumors making the rounds that FOMC Powell is considering resigning which will be negative for the USD. Keep in mind, Jerome Powell is the spokesperson for the FOMC, not the only voting member. 7/30/2025 FOMC rate decision 7/31/2025 The Federal Appeals Court starts hearing arguments for the use of IEEPA to impose sweeping tariffs that was declared unlawful by the Court of International Trade located in Manhattan, NY. August 2025 More threatened tariffs may start. Things are heating up. Best of luck.
by jvrfxalerts
CYCC - Daily - Steer clearIf a company is being forced to split just to stay in line with exchange regulations, that's a huge warning sign right there—it's a clear indication to avoid investing. Secondly, consider this: a company that's been around since 1996 and still can't crack a $50 million market cap? That screams problems with their leadership. Financially, while there was a notable bump in net income between 2023 and 2024, it's not nearly enough to suggest they'll be consistently profitable, especially when you look back at how they were basically hemorrhaging cash from 2020 to 2023. And here's another kicker: despite some improvement in free cash flow since 2022, their cash and equivalents are almost entirely gone. This suggests they might just be shifting expenses around, which is never a good sign. Finally, while it might look like it's targeting the 100 moving average, you've got to ask yourself if you're truly willing to take the hit if it doesn't go your way. If the answer is no, then you're already on your way to being a smarter trader. Move on, there's absolutely nothing special happening here. Not financial advice, always do your due diligence Leave a like👍 and/or comment💬. We appreciate and value everyone's feedback! - RoninAITrader
NASDAQ:CYCC
by RoninAITrader
2
How to find stable trading opportunities in gold fluctuations?Today, the rhythm of gold going short first and then long is perfectly grasped. Congratulations to those who followed the trading plan for reaping good returns. We are still holding long orders at present, and the overall position is arranged around the idea of stepping back to low and long. From the current market structure, the 3325-3320 area below is an important dividing line for the bulls to be strong, and it is also a key support level that determines the subsequent direction. If this area stabilizes, the short-term structure will still be bullish and unchanged, and the rhythm of stepping back to low and long is expected to continue. It is expected that gold will rebound to 3340-3350 and the upper target again. If 3320 is lost, it is recommended to stop loss as soon as possible, and the defense position is recommended to be set below 3315 to prevent the short-term structure from turning short and bringing further callback risks. The core of this round of trend is that only by holding the support can we be qualified to talk about rebound; if the support is lost, we need to turn decisively to prevent being passive. The current market volatility has intensified, but the direction has not yet completely broken. The focus of operation is still on entering the market around key points, switching positions between long and short positions to find the rhythm, blindly chasing orders and emotional operations will be taboos in the current market. Opportunities are not absent, but they belong to those who are always ready. The structure is not broken and the low and long will not change.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
4
Wallstreetbets and Markets: Is there a correlation? Preface: As a self proclaimed “market statistician”, I like to do a lot of random research, sometimes useful, sometimes not so useful. Here is a post about some “not so useful” research I did. Though not so useful, the results are truly interesting. The results of this analysis are, in my opinion, pertinent in a post GME and AMC world, where retail have gained huge momentum and presence within the market as a whole and have been able to even tackle hedge funds and win! Purpose and Aim: The aim of this was to identify whether Wallstreetbets (heretofore referred to as WSB) data had any meaningful impact on market mechanics, moves, volume etc. I have been tracking WSB data for some time and have amassed a database of over 300 saved files, consisting of exactly 104 trading days of data. This is a great amount to actually run analysis on and run some predictive tests! The main questions I wanted answered are: a) Does WSB data impacted market moves and Volume? If so, b) Is WSB reactive to market moves (i.e. the market moves and the ticker trends); or c) Is WSB proactive in moving the market (i.e. mentions increase and the market move follows). These questions can be somewhat answered, albeit not flawlessly, using math. Approach: To analyze the data, I used: a) Regression (simple linear); b) Correlation; c) Lagged correlation; and d) Granger Causality Tickers chosen I quickly scripted an algorithm to scan through all of the 300+ WSB data and identify the top 10 tickers that were consistently mentioned across all saved data. The data Spans from mid 2024 to current. The results were as follows, the top 10 tickers which were present in every single saved datafile were: 1 AAPL 104 2 AM 104 3 AMD 104 4 DTE 104 5 GOOG 104 6 MSFT 104 7 NVDA 104 8 PLTR 104 9 QQQ 104 10 SPY 104 Selection for Analysis were: AAPL, AMD, PLTR and SPY Raw Results: NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:PLTR AMEX:SPY Oh yeah, let’s see how retail competes with huge indices, this should be really good! Explanations and Implications The data presented is all incredibly “mathy”, but let’s break it down to what we can ascertain. First and foremost, let’s outline the major limitations: In this analysis, I used large cap stocks and limited to only 4 stocks. The results for these will be greatly different from, say, doing this on small cap or penny stocks (which will be a potential study next!). As well, we are shy of 1 full year of trading data, which would have more impact on analysis. I do plan to repeat this study with approximately 1 full trading year of WSB data (i.e. 252 days). So essentially 148 more days and I will have collected 1 full trading year for analysis. Now that we have that out of the way, let’s discuss what we can say from these results, what we are unsure of and what are the implications for the broader group of traders, MMs and everyone in between. What we Know WSB logically has a strong relationship with trade volume. We can see that in most of the analyzed tickers. The correlations tend to be positive and tend to be substantial. More mentions (i.e more hype) leads to greater trade volume, likely as a result of people following the most mentioned or “hot” ideas on WSB. This is not hard to fathom and its easy to accept as a logical consequence of trending tickers to a large audience of market participants ready to jump at anything. What we are unsure of This title is kind of a misnomer. While I phrase it as “what we are unsure of”, the fact remains that we can deduct that there is a significance and a relationship exists; but we can’t be sure as to how deep and profound this relationship extends, owning to the limited amount of data available. But what we are unsure of is the extent to which WSB is impacting returns and market movement. In 2 out of 4 tickers, we see that there is a pretty substantial lagged correlation between stock movement/returns and WSB trending status. This implies that WSB may be pushing market movement. However, in both of these cases, the results are short lived. This could be the result of either: a) The greater market taking over and profit taking on the WSB pump; or b) The WSBers taking profits themselves after pushing the stock in a direction. The 2 cases were of AMD and SPY. The results indicated effect of roughly 2 consecutive days before tapering off. The other 2 tickers, PLTR and AAPL, did not show a very strong relationship or evidence of WSB greatly impacting stock movement, but of WSBers likely “trend following” momentum. What this means for the broader market? Its no secret that retail is having a substantial impact on the market and changing the way market dynamics work. For “experienced” or “senior” traders who have been trading for longer than 4 years, these people would tend to notice that the market dynamics have changed this year and have been changing slowly over the recent years. One could offer the explanation of changing market sentiment; but perhaps the real explanation is an influx of retail and social media. If you think about the number of “pump and dump” scams that were successful through the use of social media over the last few years, it’s not hard to believe that the advent of social media and easy access to markets can be a recipe for “disrupting” a routine and destabilizing the market that one once knew. The NYSE is traded by millions worldwide. Its not just Americans participating, but those globally, leading to participants that surpass even the US population. As we advance in a global information highway that is the internet and social media, its not hard to rally forces to impact change, be it political or financial. So what does this all mean? The face of markets is changing and changing fast. No longer are markets strictly influenced by the elite, but by the average Joe who likes to read social media and buy a few options or shares. The implication is essentially the democratization of the market, removed from the grasps of the bourgeoisie and shifted to that of the layman. Implications for Further Research This should be repeated on low cap, low float, penny stocks to really analyze the impact of social media on markets and the implications of manipulation and “pump and dump” scams. Thank you for reading! This information is for interest sake only and not suggestive of any financial advice of suggestions. Trade at your own risk and use your own strategies! Used for this analysis: R Language Tradstie API
NYSE:RDDT
by Steversteves
4
XAUUSD ANALYSISOn gold currently we're analyzing 2H time frame. As we know that current trend was bullish. At this stage, I'm anticipating a retracement towards my Point of Interest (POI), where I’ll be looking for a clear bullish confirmation, ideally through candlestick structure or solid price action. Only upon receiving that confirmation will I consider entering a buy position. This outlook is based on the higher time frame structure. For now, I'm observing patiently to see how price unfolds. Until the market sweeps the SSL liquidity, I will remain on the sidelines no entries until that key liquidity level has been taken. Confirmation is key. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #XAUUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal