XAUUSD Expecting bullish Movement Gold is showing potential for a bullish reversal from the key support zone between 3390 to 3395. Price has formed a base in this range, and if it holds, we may see an upside breakout above the descending trendline
Buy Zone: 3390 – 3395
First Target: 3355.50
Second Target: 3380.50
A successful breakout and hold above the trendline resistance could trigger a move toward our short-term targets. Watch for bullish confirmation before entering. Manage risk accordingly
Fundamental Analysis
OKLO – Upside Potential Ahead of EarningsNYSE:OKLO
Type: Swing/positional
Timeframe: 4H
Style: No stop-loss, technically driven
Target: 69.50
Risk: Moderate (earnings volatility risk)
Overview:
Oklo is forming a bullish continuation pattern after consolidating above the 55.00 support area.
The price has broken above the Bollinger Band basis and reclaimed the 61.78 resistance zone.
Stochastic shows overbought conditions, but the trend remains strong.
The volume profile reveals a low-resistance zone up to ~69.50, offering clean air for upward momentum.
Entry Zone:
• Entry near 62.2 (market price)
• The setup remains valid while price stays above ~61.5
• Upcoming earnings (July 19) may act as a catalyst
Target:
• Take Profit: 69.50
Expected move: +11%
No Stop? Then Watch Closely:
Soft invalidation if price breaks below 59.50 (4H close)
US30 Price close below Bullish reversal Then drop to 43,800The US30 is currently in a consolidation phase after a strong bullish rally, but is now showing signs of weakness. The index is facing resistance near 44,700, and as long as the price remains below this level, the bearish correction is expected to continue.
If the price fails to break above 44,700 and closes below this resistance, we could see a push toward the support zones at 44,004 and 43,800. A bullish reversal may only be considered if the price successfully holds above 44,700 on a strong candle close.
For now, bearish bias remains intact unless a confirmed breakout occurs above key resistance.
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XAUUSD Expecting bullish Movement Price has now entered a strong demand zone between 3310 to 3305, as highlighted on the chart. This area has previously acted as a key support, and current price action indicates potential for a bullish reversal.
Structure Breakdown
Wave A Strong bearish leg
Wave B Minor consolidation
Wave C Final push into demand zone (3310–3305)
Buy Entry Zone: 3310–3305
First Target: 3365
Second Target: 3380
Risk Management is essential. Always use stop loss based on your strategy
YTD Performance: Large NBFIs of CSE vs. ASI & LOFCOverview
All major Non-Bank Financial Institutions (NBFIs) listed on the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) have significantly outperformed the All Share Index (ASI) in Year-to-Date (YTD) terms—with one exception.
YTD Returns (2025)
Institution / Index | YTD Performance
----------------------------------------------
ASI 37%
COCR 127%
CFIN 93%
LFIN 66%
PLC 64%
LOFC -1.47%
Underperformance of LOFC
LOLC Finance (LOFC), the largest NBFI on the CSE, not only underperformed its sector peers but also delivered a negative return of -1.47%, diverging sharply from the broader market trend.
While the divergence was visible since Feb. 2025, underperformance during recent months probably due to share buyback executed at LKR 6.
Sector Tailwinds
The NBFI sector's strong performance is largely attributed to the anticipated revival of the vehicle leasing segment, following the government’s decision to permit vehicle imports. This policy shift has fueled investor optimism across the financial leasing landscape.
Strategic Implication
Given its scale and market position, LOFC should theoretically be the primary beneficiary of this resurgence.
Will there be a catch-up trade?
As buy back is now closed, we should pay close attention for a Catchup trade opportunity together with other shares of the group.
EURUSD OUTLOOK 15 - 18 JULYCore CPI m/m came in light which gave a mixed signal at first but CPI y/y was higher than expected which eventually moved EU lower.
The last two analysis that I posted were more longer term focused so this time I will be giving a more short term outlook.
Currently the dollar is stronger based on the recent news that has been coming out and because of that I am still looking to short this pair keeping in mind that it is only the internal structure that is bearish and the swing structure is still bullish
US30 (Dow Jones) Is On My Radar — The Moment’s Getting Close!Hey Guys,
I've marked my sell zone on the Dow Jones (US30) chart.
Once price reaches my entry range, I’ll be jumping into this high-probability trade setup.
🚪 Entry Levels: 44,551 – 44,632 – 44,677
🛑 Stop Loss: 44,725
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: 44,468
• TP2: 44,359
• TP3: 44,126
📐 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approximately 2.41 from the 44,551 entry
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7/15/25 - $sym - RIP regards.7/15/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:SYM
RIP regards.
- sizing this up
- muh robots
- but didn't do muh work
- hedge
- but seeing that -6% open on monday told me how incredibly fragile this structure is
- might head higher idk idc. one of my 10 hedges rn. you guys know
- pltr
- cvna
- qubt
- sym
- ura
- qs
- a few others ;)
V
7/15/25 - $deck - Not obvious. But it's a buy.7/15/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:DECK
Not obvious. But it's a buy.
- will reiterate that i'm not on tape so closely this week, but will revert w any comment replies by next week; nevertheless i'm checking in here on the tape
- see what T did today on NVDA/ China?
- you think it's easier or harder to resolve some of these discretionary names in the meanwhile vs. nvda H20s to China?
- exactly.
- even NKE put up pretty barfy numbers and the stock was like well... who cares
- i think we're reaching that point with NYSE:DECK here after seeing NYSE:NKE , then reading between the lines on NASDAQ:NVDA ->consumer/discretionary tariffs etc. etc.
- rates will come down, the consumer is tapped out, new fed chair on deck etc. etc.
so the way I'm playing this:
i've bought some ITM calls for aug 15 expiry. why? because it allows me to get proper MSD size (3-4%) but pay only 30-40 bps (10x leverage). the thinking is this... if stock pukes on this result, i'm high conviction that 80% scenario i'd want to load TF up. and if it rips/ or if T has a favorable bowel movement in the meantime... this will rip and off the *extreme* (remember - extreme positioning always gets you the best rewards... but TA doesn't tell you where the bottoms are as much as fundamentals IMVVVHO)... then you get a double whammy and stock is back in the $110s+. so the R/R is v good. but i don't want to get crushed if the stock/ macro work against me and need some wiggle room.
eye'ing LULU too.. but i like valuation and R/R on NYSE:DECK better esp given the NYSE:NKE print and their multiple-brand-multiple-disty strategy vs. say lulu's own-disty strategy.
V
7/15/25 - $myps - Hard not to make this 1%...7/15/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:MYPS
Hard not to make this 1%...
- i'll probably remind everyone to take it ez on this old man this week, i'm not supposed to be watching mkts, but here i am... at least keeping an eye out on my "price alerts"
- this is an old-friend name i've written about before
- at this price... $50 mm cap, founder-style social casino game transitioning into sweeps... cash generative, huge cash balance... if you're buying some of these yolo r-word names like NASDAQ:PLTR , $sym... i could go on and on... well NGMI
- you gotta think differently when all the apes ooohh ooohh and ahh ahh. you can't outperform by doing what everyone else is doing, unless you accurately use leverage. and if you're just using leverage on names that everyone else owns... well. FAFO. you'll see. take it from a guy who has paid for this tuition a few times.
- well lmk if u guys have an opinion here
- i'll dig in a bit more next week
V
BONK price analysis “Someone” decide to revive the price of CRYPTOCAP:BONK , or are there fundamental reasons for this? (Please share your thoughts in the comments.)
📈 However, the last time there was such a powerful surge in trading volume on the OKX:BONKUSDT chart, the price managed to gain +256% in just over two weeks.
❓ Do you think that the price of #Bonk , in the current wave of growth, will manage to rise by at least +156% and reach the mark of $0.0000290, and the capitalization of the memecoin project will grow from the current $1.75 billion to $2.25 billion?
_____________________
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GOLD Outlook – Bearish Confirmed Post-CPIWith the CPI data released at 2.7%, gold’s bearish momentum is confirmed below the Pivot Line of 3,357.953 USD.
The market reaction suggests no immediate Fed rate cuts, supporting downward pressure. Expect a move toward Support at 3,307.665 USD and the Support Zone around 3,264.120 USD. A close above 3,357.953 USD on a 1H or 4H candle could indicate a bullish reversal toward Resistance at 3,390.028 USD.
Trade Setup:
Short Entry: Near 3,357.953 USD with bearish confirmation, Stop Loss above 3,390.028 USD.
Take Profit: Initial target at 3,307.665 USD, with a second target at 3,264.120 USD.
Long Entry: Only if price breaks and holds above 3,357.953 USD, with a Stop Loss below 3,250 USD, targeting 3,390.028 USD.
Pivot Line: 3,357.953 USD
Support: 3,307.685 USD – 3,264.120 USD (Support Zone)
Resistance: 3,390.028 USD – ~3,400 USD (Key Resistance)
1h, 2h Supply Zone: Between 3,357.953 USD and 3,390.028 USD
Gold is coming to our target✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD As analyzed on Monday, the market touched the BUY zone at 3345 and continued the bullish wave structure, heading toward the 3400 level. If gold breaks above 3373, it will likely continue its strong upward momentum. Therefore, it is advised to avoid trading against the trend once the 3373 level is broken.
On the other hand, if gold breaks below the key support level at 3343 (yesterday's U.S. session barrier), the current uptrend may temporarily pause. In that case, gold will need to find new momentum to establish a fresh market trend.
📉 Key Levels
SUPPORT: 3343 - 3330 - 3313
RESISTANCE: 3373-3387-3400
Hold BUY order 3345 with target 3400
SELL trigger: Rejection of prices 3373, 3387 with confirmation from sellers
SELL 3400 Strong resistance zone
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold bearishness once again in line with expectationsThe data released so far show that the US inflation data is stable and tends to decline, which increases the possibility of the Fed's monetary policy. The US dollar index fell first and then rose. Gold opened at around 3344 and rebounded all the way. The current highest rebound is around 3366. It fell back to 3352 before the data was released, and then quickly rebounded to 3360. After the data was released, it fell again quickly, and the current lowest touched around 3346. The short orders around 3360-3365 that we shared with brothers before were basically the highest short orders of the day, and we successfully completed our first goal. The brothers who participated in it all made good profits. Judging from the current trend of gold, we continue to participate in short orders during the rebound, and the long position is still around 3335-3330. After the release of the CPI data, it is bearish overall. The core is that it is lower than market expectations but higher than the previous value. Inflation has heated up again, which has once again suppressed the expectation of interest rate cuts. After this data, it also laid a good foundation for the decline in the market. If the price goes up again, it will still rely on the 3365 level to go short again. The data is obviously bearish, and it scared a lot of long positions before it was released.
Gold reference ideas:
Continue to short when it rebounds to around 3358-3365, with a target around 3350-3340;
Go long when it falls back to around 3335-3330, with a target around 3350.
AUDCAD Trade plan: Waiting for bullish confirmation at RetestPrice broke above resistance with a momentum candle, indicating buyer control. This is our first clue that a structure shift might have occurred.
This retest is essential. Many traders make the mistake of entering too early without confirmation. But it's right here, once price touches the former resistance, that you must observe how price reacts. Look for price exhaustion or reversal candlesticks such as bullish engulfing patterns, or even inside bars.
Once rejection is confirmed, I'm looking to go long to 0.90450.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
EUR/USD - Wedge Breakout (CPI- Today) 15.07.2025 The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.1741
2nd Resistance – 1.1766
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CART LONG
Strong Profits
The company makes solid money on what it sells. It keeps a high percentage of revenue as profit, with strong margins all around. It also generates good returns from the money it invests.
No Debt, Plenty of Cash
The company has almost no debt and a strong cash position. It has more than enough to cover short-term needs and stay financially stable.
Earnings Are Growing
Earnings more than doubled over the last year and are expected to grow again next year. Big investors like mutual funds and institutions are buying more of the stock, which is a good sign.
Business Has an Edge
The company has very high profit margins, which suggests it has pricing power or a business model that’s hard to compete with.
HIGH INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP 66.15%
-Broke Out of a Wedge
The stock recently broke out of a wedge pattern, which often means it's ready to move higher.
-Pulling Back Gently
After the breakout, the stock is easing back on light trading volume INTO THE 8ema. That usually means sellers aren't too aggressive and a move higher could be coming.
Looking Toward the Mid-Fifties
Based on the current setup, the stock looks like it could climb to around 57 if momentum holds up.
-Momentum is Positive
The stock is trending above its key moving averages and has gained a lot over the past year. The trend is still strong.
EUR/USD drops post US CPI reportAfter gaining ground last week, the US dollar initially came under slight pressure earlier today. However, it regained momentum in the aftermath of a mixed US inflation report. Despite the nuanced inflation print, market expectations around interest rate policy remained largely unchanged. Investors continue to anticipate a slower pace of rate reductions, a sentiment that could further weigh on the EUR/USD pair—provided confidence in the Federal Reserve’s monetary approach remains intact.
Mixed Signals from US Inflation Data
The consumer price index for June presented a mixed picture. Headline CPI increased by 0.3% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year, surpassing both the previous 2.4% figure and the 2.6% forecast. However, core CPI (which excludes food and energy) showed a slightly softer reading, rising by only 0.2% month-on-month—below the expected 0.3%. The annual core rate stood at 2.9%, in line with expectations.
This mixed data has not allayed fears that inflation could remain sticky for longer. As a result, the Fed may hold off on aggressive rate cuts, although a possible move in September remains on the table.
Adding to the dollar’s bullish case, President Trump has proposed aggressive tariffs—35% on select Canadian goods and up to 30% on imports from Mexico and the EU—if no agreements are reached by August 1. These protectionist threats, combined with his expansive fiscal agenda, could drive inflation higher and bolster the dollar if market faith in US policy stays strong.
Euro Zone Data Shows Resilience, But the Euro Falters
Despite some encouraging macroeconomic indicators from the Eurozone, the euro slipped. Germany’s ZEW economic sentiment index rose to 52.7, outperforming both expectations (50.8) and the previous reading (47.5). Additionally, industrial production climbed 1.7% month-on-month, beating forecasts.
While these positive data points reflect a degree of resilience in the euro area, trade tensions are looming. The European Union has said it will retaliate on US products—ranging from aircraft to alcohol—should trade talks collapse or fail to yield agreements by the August 1 deadline.
Technical Outlook
Technically, EUR/USD breached the bullish trendline established since Q1, a development that bears are watching as the session wears on. Currently, the pair is testing a key support zone between 1.1570 and 1.1630—an area that served as resistance in both April and mid-June before the rally that followed.
Should prices fall decisively below this support today or in the coming days, the technical bias could shift bearish. On the upside, resistance lies at 1.1700 and 1.1750. A break above these levels would clear the way for bulls to target a fresh 2025 high above 1.1830.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
KALV FDA approval rallyKALV received FDA approval this week for a new drug, has $220mln in cash, and just bounced off the daily 21EMA (overlayed on this 4H chart).
Recently rejected off the monthly 100ema two times (overlayed on this 4H chart). Breakout beyond the monthly 100ema and first target is $20. Numerous price target increases, most notably, one at $27 and another increased from $32 to $40.
Gold Market Clears 3330's — Eyes Set on 3380'sJust as analyzed, Gold market swept through the 3330's, validating prior projections. This move confirms bullish continuation, with price now poised to reach 3380's as momentum builds within the ongoing wedge structure. follow for more insights, comment , and boost idea
Gold Market Eyes 3330's as Bullish Wedge MaturesGold market maintains its stance within the bullish build-up, moving in alignment with a wedge completion structure. The 3360's act as short-term resistance, while price looks set to mitigate and sweep pending orders at 3330's. A potential retracement before continuation—stay sharp.
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7/15/25 - $obtc - FYI.7/15/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: OTC:OBTC
FYI.
- out of pocket this week, but wanted to comment here given it's my largest position and BTC trade has worked in terms of how i'm managing this
- go read last posts for context
- OBTC remains at >10% discount to spot BTC. so as of writing this morning, you're still buying equivalent of $103k/BTC
- talked w the Osprey/ Rex team the other week, and my impression is the conversion WILL happen, but it WONT happen in the immediate term (or that will be a gift) - i can get into that in the comments.
- which is to say, I'd expect late Sep/Oct to remain the bogey
- that's 3 mo away, so expect this to edge closer to 1x mNAV (vs. 0.88 mNAV) today as we get closer to that event.
- i'm using IBIT as my hedge here to reduce my risk on underlying risk in the meanwhile
- so what that means is of BTC trades back down to say $100k and OBTC remains at a 10% discount, we're looking at something like a simple $3-4/shr off $OBTC. I also have a slightly larger exposure to OTC:OBTC that I like to hedge. so I'm basically taking 25% of my size, which is ~50% of book in $OBTC... which means 25% of 50% is about 12.5%. I can buy the Oct ATM strikes ~$67 on IBIT for about $6-ish. and I need about 1.25% to 1.5% size in these (b/c they're 10x-1) to reach this ~12.5% exposure on the short/ hedge size.
- hope that makes sense - it's the simplest/ purest way i can think to hedge
- if anyone has other ideas LMK
- i am watching mkts, but a bit disconnected (touching grass this week), so will do my best to respond, but unless it's urgent or worth responding immediately i'll let it bake until next week
be well and stack sats.
V
Expecting Gold bullish Movement The chart illustrates a potential bullish reversal setup for Gold XAU/USD on the 15-minute timeframe Price action has recently tested and respected a key demand zone marked as the Kee point around the 32853 level This area acted as strong support with multiple rejections suggesting buyer interest
Following this, the price has started forming higher lows and higher highs indicating the beginning of a bullish structure The large blue arrow suggests bullish momentum is expected to continue, aiming for upside targets
Key Levels
Kee Point Support Zone 3285 Crucial area where the reversal initiated
Target 1: 3316 First resistance level and a potential take-profit zone
Target 2: 3330 Final bullish target if momentum sustains
Outlook
As long as the price holds above the Kee Point, bullish continuation is favored
Breaking and closing above Target 1 could lead to further gains toward Target 2
A break below the Kee Point would invalidate this bullish scenario
This setup presents a potential buying opportunity with defined upside targets contingent on sustained bullish pressure