XAUUSD BUYSTemporary shorts into 3351 before CPI news release
From 3351 levels looking for buys into 3395 and above
Fundamental Analysis
(UPDATE) Hong Kong rally is evident to 26,944Hong Kong is shaping up nicely for upside.
We did this analysis in June and now it has broken above the breakout point and is showing signs of a rally.
🧧 1. Mainland Money Flood
Chinese investors are pouring cash into Hong Kong stocks, hitting record levels.
🚀 2. Big IPOs
Huge listings like Shein and CATL are reviving market excitement.
🤖 3. AI & Tech Buzz
Hong Kong’s tech giants are flying thanks to the global AI hype.
And technically it's looking great.
Cup and Handle
Price>20 and 200
Target 26,944
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPX500 Update: Monster Trigger Ready to Launch!Welcome back, traders, it’s Skeptic from Skeptic Lab! 😎 With news of the unemployment rate rising, stock and crypto markets have been surging hard, and right now, we’ve got a killer trigger on SPX500 you don’t want to miss. Its breakout could spark the next major bullish leg. Let’s dive into the Daily and 4-hour timeframes to unpack this setup. here’s the play:
✔️ Daily Timeframe:
After a strong rally, SPX500 hit an all-time high (ATH) at 5,249.14 before entering a deep correction. Here’s what many traders miss: support/resistance levels aren’t static—they shift over time. The resistance that was at 6,146.89 has now climbed to 6,290. Breaking 6,290 signals the start of a major bullish trend after 146 days of correction. This is our primary long trigger.
📊 4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers):
Long Trigger: After a solid uptrend with strong momentum, we entered a time-based correction within a box pattern. Breaking the box ceiling at 6,290 is the long trigger, aligning with the Daily breakout.
Short Trigger: Breaking the box floor would trigger a short, but this goes against the trend, so stop-loss risk is higher, and your win rate could take a hit—stay cautious.
📉 Key Insight: The 6,290 breakout is the big move to watch, fueled by market momentum from the unemployment news. Shorts are riskier due to the bullish trend, so prioritize longs with volume confirmation.
🔔 Confirmation: For longs, confirm the 6,290 break with RSI entering overbought.Risk management is critical—cap risk at 1%–2% per trade to survive the market’s swings.
🔼 I’ll update if the structure shifts! Thanks for vibing with this analysis! <3
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which SPX500 trigger are you locked on? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! ✌️
BTCUSD Analysis : Bitcoin Trend Shifted/Bullish Pattern + Target🧭 Overview:
Bitcoin’s recent price action has delivered a textbook sequence of institutional liquidity play, volume-driven breakout, and supply zone rejection. After rallying on increasing volume, BTC tapped into a significant 3x Supply Zone—which also served as a previous reversal point—and was swiftly rejected. The market is now trading around a key decision zone where traders must stay alert for a confirmed bullish reversal, or risk getting caught in further downside.
🔍 Step-by-Step Technical Breakdown:
🔸 Liquidity Grab + Volume Expansion
The move began with a liquidity sweep, as BTC pushed above recent highs, hunting stop-losses and inducing breakout traders. This kind of price manipulation is typical of smart money accumulation/distribution zones.
Immediately following that, we observed a volume expansion—a strong signal that institutional players had stepped in, propelling BTC upward with conviction. This expansion pushed price sharply into the 3x Supply Zone, a critical zone of interest from a previous bearish reversal.
🔸 3x Supply Zone – The Turning Point
Once price entered the 3x Supply Zone, bearish pressure resumed. No bullish continuation pattern appeared on the second attempt into this zone—confirming that sellers were defending it aggressively. This area has now been validated as a strong supply barrier, capable of initiating trend reversals.
🔸 Major BOS – Structural Shift Confirmed
Price broke below key support around $120,500, which marked a Major Break of Structure (BOS). This BOS is crucial—it represents a shift from a bullish to bearish market structure and is often the signal that retail longs are trapped.
This BOS was followed by a mini reversal zone, but again, no bullish confirmation appeared there—highlighting market weakness.
🔸 Minor BOS & Trendline Breakdown
Further downside action led to a Minor BOS near $117,800, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Additionally, the ascending trendline—which had supported BTC’s rally—was decisively broken and retested from below. This confirms a shift in momentum, now favoring sellers.
📍 Current Price Action – Critical Decision Zone
BTC is currently hovering around $117,000, right at a potential demand zone. While there was a brief bullish reaction, the market hasn’t formed a valid bullish reversal pattern yet.
There’s a clear message from the chart:
“We want a bullish pattern here—otherwise, support will break and supply will double.”
In simple terms, unless bulls step in with structure (higher low, engulfing candle, etc.), sellers will likely take over, and price may test deeper support levels.
🎯 What to Watch Next:
✅ Bullish Case:
If BTC forms a strong reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom, bullish engulfing, or inverse head & shoulders), we can expect a short-term recovery back to:
Target 1: $118,500
Target 2: $120,000–$120,500
❌ Bearish Case:
Failure to hold this zone and no clear bullish pattern = likely continuation to the downside, potentially targeting:
$116,000
Even $114,500 in extended moves
🧠 Trading Insights (Educational):
Volume + Structure = Edge
Don’t rely solely on candlestick signals—combine them with structural breaks and volume to get confluence.
Supply Zones Aren’t Just Rectangles
The 3x Supply Zone was powerful because it had historical context, volume convergence, and psychological resistance. These layered factors make zones more reliable.
BOS Isn’t a Trendline Break
BOS means real structural shift. In this case, lower highs and lower lows confirmed the change.
💡 Final Thoughts:
BTC is at a make-or-break level. The recent rejection at the 3x supply zone has shifted the momentum, and buyers must prove their strength now—or risk watching the price unravel further.
Stay patient, wait for structure, and never fight momentum.
Ethereum - It's about damn time!Ethereum has been slacking for a couple of years.
The strong catalyst to excel Ethereum just seems to be lingering compared to the first 5 years.
So, it looks like it's just following suit with Bitcoin current rally, as it hits all time highs and shines confidence to the rest.
So the update with Ethereum remains to be the same.
Price>20 and 200
Cup and Handle
Breakout above brim
Target $3,794
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Equity Markets Ahead of the US Inflation ReportEquity Markets Ahead of the US Inflation Report
Today at 15:30 GMT+3, the US inflation report (Consumer Price Index, or CPI) is scheduled for release. According to ForexFactory, analysts expect the inflation rate to rise from 2.4% to 2.6%.
The actual figures will provide market participants with grounds to debate not only the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut, but also the evolving tensions between Donald Trump and Jerome Powell.
Should the report deliver any surprises, it will almost certainly trigger heightened volatility across the equity markets. For now, however, investors are seemingly optimistic about the upcoming fundamental data — especially given the commencement of Q2 earnings season, which lends additional weight to today’s macroeconomic indicators.
Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart
The S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows the index fluctuating within a range defined by support at 6,222 and resistance at 6,290.
The upward impulses (as indicated by arrows) suggest that:
→ current market optimism, combined with the CPI release, may lead to a bullish breakout above resistance and the establishment of a new all-time high;
→ in a broader context, such a breakout could be interpreted as a continuation of the rally that began in April, following a period of consolidation between the aforementioned levels.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
YEXT 1W - breakout confirmed, retest inside bullish channelYext stock just pulled a clean breakout of the weekly downtrend line, retested the buy zone around the 0.5 Fibo level ($7.32), and is now bouncing within a rising channel. The 200MA and 50EMA are both below price, supporting a shift in trend even though the golden cross hasn’t formed yet. The volume increased on breakout, and there's low overhead supply - a classic setup for continuation. The arrow shows the expected move, contingent on confirmation.
Targets: 9.15 - 11.40 - 15.06
Fundamentally, Yext offers enterprise-grade AI-powered search solutions and recently gained attention with new product updates. With AI adoption accelerating, the company may ride the next wave of institutional interest.
When price retests the zone, MA is supportive, and there's no overhead resistance - that’s not noise, that’s a signal.
A long-term hold: PAYTM stockHello,
One 97 Communications Ltd. or PAYTM engages in the development of digital goods and mobile commerce platform. It operates through the following segments: Payment, Commerce, Cloud, and Others. The company was founded by Vijay Shekhar Sharma on December 22, 2000 and is headquartered in Noida, India.
The company's revenue continues to grow over time. During the 4th Quarter ended 31st March 2025, PAYTM reported revenu of $224M up from $214Mn in the previous quarter (Up 5% QoQ). The company is also now close to break-even from a profit after tax metric. PAT* of $(3) Mn, an improvement of $22 Mn QoQ. The business generated a net payment margin of $68mn including UPI incentive.
To continue driving value growth, the company states that they will be focusing on the below pillars;
Merchant payments
Consumer acquisition
International business
Financial services
Looking at the The Paytm Q4 FY25 report reveals several compelling opportunities for growth and profitability. The expanding merchant ecosystem, now at 12.4 million devices, provides a strong foundation for deeper financial services penetration, particularly merchant lending, which has seen consistent growth and high repeat rates. With India’s MSME sector largely underpenetrated in digital payments, there is a vast opportunity to deploy innovative payment solutions, especially in tier-2 and tier-3 cities. Additionally, the company’s focus on new products like the Solar and Mahakumbh Soundbox positions it well to enhance merchant engagement and retention. The financial services segment, buoyed by better asset quality and growing lender partnerships, offers room for scale in both lending and wealth management. Furthermore, regulatory prospects such as the introduction of MDR on UPI payments for large merchants could open new monetization pathways. International expansion, though longer-term, presents another avenue for replicating Paytm’s tech-driven financial services model in other markets.
While the situation looks positive, there are a few risks for this company.
Regulatory uncertainty
Credit cycle sensitivity
Competitive pressure
Security risks as Paytm scales its plartforms.
Dependence on incentives
The above risks are likely to delay or limit Paytm’s ability to achieve sustained profitability and growth across its payment, lending, and financial services segments. From a technical perspective, we see PAYTM as a long term buy or hold seeing long term opportunity for massive growth in the company.
ETHEREUM → Correction to 2900 before growth BINANCE:ETHUSDT is entering a correction after a strong breakout of resistance. At the same time, Bitcoin is falling from 123K to 116K, triggering a pullback across the entire market...
On D1, ETH is facing strong resistance and is not yet ready to break it (it lacks strength after the rally). The most likely scenario after a false breakout is a correction to support. But the main focus is on Bitcoin — will there be a correction or a reversal of the local trend? If the flagship continues its decline, the cryptocurrency market will humbly follow suit.
ETH has a nearest zone of interest at 2913, where liquidity capture could attract buyers, but I do not rule out the possibility that the correction could go much deeper before further growth, for example to 2879-2827 (support on D1).
Resistance levels: 2992, 3041
Support levels: 2913.7, 2879, 2827
Technically, consolidation against a bullish trend. Confirmed support area 2913 - 2879. As part of the correction, the market is interested in capturing liquidity. If, against the backdrop of the current correction, the bulls manage to hold their ground above the specified support, ETH may still surprise us with its growth :)
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD: Gold Moves Sideways, Awaiting Key Economic DataXAUUSD: Gold Moves Sideways, Awaiting Key Economic Data – Correction or Continued Uptrend?
🌍 Macro Overview – Waiting for CPI Data from the US
At the moment, Gold is trading in a wide sideways range between the 3x and 4x price levels, while traders are awaiting key economic data this week from USD, GBP, AUD, and EUR.
📊 Important Economic Data Today:
US CPI Report will be released during the US session today, making it one of the most important reports of the month.
CPI forecast is at 0.3%, which is considered positive for the US economy.
This report is expected to align with the recent Nonfarm data, and could lead to significant price movements upon release, potentially helping to adjust liquidity in the market.
🔍 Technical Analysis – Current Trend with Key Resistance Levels
The current trend remains bullish, but the movement on higher timeframes isn’t as pronounced.
Key resistance levels are located around 337x to 339x, where selling pressure is currently strong.
If price breaks through these levels, Gold could find support and move towards 3400.
📈 Short-Term Forecast:
A pullback to around 333x is expected, offering a good buying opportunity.
Looking further, 331x is a potential target, as the price range remains quite wide.
🎯 Trading Strategy for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3331 – 3329
SL: 3325
TP: 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → ????
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3392 – 3394
SL: 3398
TP: 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370
⚠️ Important Notes:
Watch for support and resistance levels to set up scalping trades that align with the current market trend.
Always set SL and TP to protect your account and avoid FOMO when there’s no clear confirmation for entry.
The 3350-3347 range is a key zone to look for buy opportunities.
💬 What’s your take on Gold’s movement today? Do you think it will break the resistance or will we see further correction? Share your thoughts in the comments below and join the discussion with fellow traders!
👉 If you want more daily updates and to participate in live discussions, don’t forget to follow and join our community! Let’s take advantage of these market opportunities together.
Nas100 Long We Currently Have an Ascending triangle (bullish continuation pattern) Forming After Asian Session & Price is consolidating just below the resistance level, forming higher lows.
We Have a Clearly defined demand zone below current price (gray box), Which also marks out our Bullish Order Block Formed Yesterday Which Price Should Come Retest Before Continuing Upwards.
Pro Tip for CPI Events
Expect increased volatility and fakeouts within the first few minutes.
Wait for a 5–15 min candle close for confirmation before entry.
Use lower timeframes (1m–5m) for entries, but keep higher timeframe structure in mind.
Remember To Like & Subscribe For More A+ Setups✅
BTC Rebounds From Channel Support With Critical Levels In Focus BTC Rebounds From Channel Support With Critical Levels In Focus 🟢📉
Structure remains firmly bullish, and price action is still unfolding within our previous analysis. After the breakout above the yellow trendline, BTC has entered a new ascending channel, and we’re now testing the lower boundary of this rising structure.
The main support sits at 114,921, the level from which the breakout occurred—an essential zone that may or may not be revisited. Based on market behavior and momentum, I currently do not expect this level to be retested, but it's one that must always be respected.
🟩 A deeper correction could lead us toward the previous ascending channel support near 112,400. This would be the last resort for bulls to hold structure intact.
⚠️ A break below 112K changes the narrative completely. That would mean we’re stepping into a potential trend reversal zone—so the market could be setting up for something more significant if that unfolds.
That said, my expectation leans toward a rebound from current levels. The sell-off may have flushed out late long entries, creating space for renewed bullish momentum. Let’s follow the levels and trade what we see—not what we feel.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Nvidia at a CrossroadsNvidia at a Crossroads: Unstoppable Growth, Geopolitical Tensions, and Fears of Talent Drain to China
Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Nvidia’s rise as a central player in the artificial intelligence revolution has not been a solitary journey. The company, now valued at over $4 trillion, has built a complex network of suppliers, strategic clients, and industrial partners that fuel its growth. However, this success has also placed the firm under the scrutiny of U.S. authorities, especially amid growing fears of knowledge transfer to China.
Washington on Alert: National Security Risks?
The U.S. government has begun to closely monitor the hiring of foreign talent in strategic sectors. One of its main concerns is the potential unintentional transfer of advanced military knowledge to China through engineers working at companies like Nvidia. The company’s chips power everything from data centers to autonomous systems, and part of its strength lies in the know-how contributed by its employees—many of whom are of Asian descent—to the development of these key technologies.
Although the company benefits enormously from hiring highly skilled engineers—many of them trained in U.S. universities—there is concern in Capitol Hill and the Pentagon that some of these specialists, directly or indirectly, could end up collaborating with China’s People’s Liberation Army. The U.S. Department of Commerce and the Pentagon have increased scrutiny of technical staff with links to China, particularly after identifying several cases of dual-nationality engineers involved in sensitive projects. According to intelligence sources cited by outlets such as Bloomberg and The Washington Post, internal investigations have been launched to review hiring policies at key semiconductor companies. There is concern that without stricter measures, U.S. technological know-how—especially related to dual-use civilian-military GPUs—could leak and accelerate the development of Chinese military capabilities, including AI for warfare.
The Ecosystem Powering Nvidia
Nvidia does not manufacture its own chips: it relies primarily on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), which produces its most advanced units—such as the H100 and the new B200 Blackwell chips—using 3 and 4 nanometer processes. Pressure from the U.S. government to relocate production led TSMC to build a factory in Arizona as a geostrategic response to ensure supply on American soil.
Additionally, companies like SK Hynix, Micron, Wistron, and Flex form a key supply chain, providing everything from HBM memory to full system assembly. In parallel, Nvidia has accelerated development of the HBM4 chip amid growing competition from new players such as AMD and AI divisions of Chinese firms.
An AI-Powered Empire: Voracious Clients and Strategic Alliances
Meanwhile, Nvidia’s rise has been meteoric. From a napkin sketch in 1993 to a market cap surpassing $4 trillion, the company has gone from revolutionizing video games to becoming the heart of artificial intelligence. The key lies in its GPUs (such as the H100 and the new B200), which power language models like ChatGPT and Llama-4.
Its supplier network includes TSMC, SK Hynix, Micron, and Wistron, while on the demand side, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Alphabet, and Super Micro are among the giants boosting its revenue. In fact, Microsoft alone accounts for nearly 19% of Nvidia’s revenue. Microsoft leads with over $29 billion invested, while Meta allocates more than 9% of Nvidia’s total revenue to training its Llama-4 model. Even Amazon, which develops its own Trainium and Graviton chips, continues to purchase Nvidia GPUs due to high customer demand for cutting-edge products.
Now, all hopes are pinned on the new generation of Blackwell chips. The B200 promises performance up to 30 times higher than the H100 in generative AI tasks, positioning it as the new industry standard. But as the market matures, competition, regulation, and geopolitical risks are all intensifying.
Technical Analysis of Nvidia (NVDA)
Nvidia (NVDA) shares closed yesterday at $164.07, slightly below its all-time high of $167.89. On the daily chart, we observe a consolidation movement after hitting a new record high on Friday. The price remains within an upward channel that began in January 2024.
Key Support: $141.75 (above the 50-session moving average), a level defended by buyers during recent pullbacks.
Immediate Resistance: $167.89 (all-time high). A breakout with volume could open the door to $180 as the next psychological target.
Technical Indicators:
The daily RSI stands at 72.95%, reflecting strong overbought conditions and suggesting continued buying interest.
The moving averages remain in a wide bullish crossover, with no clear sign of directional reversal.
The volume point of control (POC) sits at $118, at the lower end of the consolidation zone.
The MACD continues in a bullish crossover pattern, although it’s starting to show a loss of momentum. This could signal that the price push is weakening, indicating a bearish divergence between price and volume.
The technical outlook remains bullish, but a short-term pause or sideways movement is not out of the question—especially if regulatory pressure or the next quarterly results fail to meet high market expectations. The key level to watch is around $141 as the structural support to maintain the uptrend.
The Future? A Mix of Innovation and Oversight
Nvidia embodies the spirit of Silicon Valley, but its privileged position also makes it a central piece on the global geopolitical chessboard. While its technology drives scientific, medical, and consumer advancements, its ties to Asia and openness to foreign talent will continue to spark friction with Washington.
The big question is whether it can continue to lead the AI race without destabilizing the delicate balance between national security and technological innovation. Time—and the regulators—will tell.
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
Gold Market Regains Momentum Toward 3380Gold market looks to regain its recent shed, aligning with a daily demand mitigation at 3340–3330. This recovery hints at a bullish continuation, with price action aiming to mitigate 3380’s liquidity zone. Stay alert for confirmation as the session unfolds. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
GOLD → Consolidation. Long squeeze before growth to 3400FX:XAUUSD has broken through resistance at 3353-3357 since the session opened, and bulls are currently trying to keep the market in the buying zone. Should we expect a long squeeze before growth?
Gold is in local consolidation after breaking through a key level. The price is still in the consolidation phase formed during a week-and-a-half correction. The price reached a three-week high of $3,374 on Monday but fell after the EU's conciliatory statements. Investors are awaiting US inflation data and Chinese GDP figures as they assess the prospects for a Fed rate cut. Heightened geopolitical and trade tensions are keeping demand for safe-haven assets high.
Technically, gold has entered a local buying zone, but there is a fairly complex resistance zone above it, and consolidation is needed to break through it. Such patterns could include a retest of support and a liquidity grab before growth.
Resistance levels: 3373, 3394
Support levels: 3357, 3353, 3345
There is a possibility of a retest of eql 3353 in a long squeeze format and a return to resistance at 3373 for a breakout. I also do not rule out a retest of the key level of 3345. The global trend is bullish, with the price locally in a fairly wide range, with an emphasis on the support zone of 3345-3355. If the bulls can hold this zone overall, the market will have a good chance of rising to 3400-3450
Best regards, R. Linda!
Watch Hyperliquid Surge 18% to $46 Key Resistance LevelHello,✌
let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Hyperliquid 🔍📈.
KUCOIN:HYPEUSDT is trading within a reliable daily ascending channel and is currently near its lower boundary, where a strong daily support zone has formed. This setup suggests a potential upside of at least 18%, with a target around $46 , which aligns closely with a key trendline. 📈
✨ Need a little love!
We pour love into every post your support keeps us inspired! 💛 Don’t be shy, we’d love to hear from you on comments. Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋
Gold/XAUUSD Analysis Breaks Bullish Channel – Targeting 3400+🟨 Market Context:
Gold (XAU/USD) has recently completed a significant technical move that signals the potential start of a strong bullish continuation phase. After a period of consolidation inside a descending channel, price has broken above key resistance levels and is showing firm buyer strength across the board.
🔍 Technical Structure Breakdown:
🔹 Descending Channel (Consolidation Phase)
For several sessions, gold was confined within a well-defined descending channel, which typically indicates a temporary correction in a broader bullish trend. This phase served as a liquidity-building zone where smart money accumulated long positions.
🔹 Breakout & Retest Confirmation
The breakout above the upper boundary of the channel was clean and impulsive, confirming bullish intent. This breakout aligned perfectly with a previous demand zone (now retested as support), adding strong confluence.
Key Breakout Zone: $3,330–$3,340
Retest Action: Price pulled back to test the breakout zone, respected it, and printed a bullish reversal.
This behavior confirms the “breakout–retest–continuation” pattern—highly reliable in trending markets.
🔹 SR Interchange – Key Pivot Zone
The level around $3,340 served a dual role:
Previously acted as resistance within the channel.
Now acting as support post-breakout (SR flip).
This interchange area is significant because it reinforces the idea that bulls are now defending this level aggressively.
🔹 Bullish Pattern Confirmation
A bullish price pattern has formed exactly at the SR zone and near the trendline. This double confluence (pattern + level) provides high-probability trade setups and confirms the entry point for buyers.
🔹 Ascending Trendline Support
An emerging bullish trendline is now guiding the move upward, confirming that the market has shifted its short-term trend. Every bounce on this trendline reinforces bullish structure and validates higher-low formations.
🎯 Price Targets & Expectations:
✅ Previous Target Zone:
Around $3,375, already tapped and respected.
This shows that gold is following technical targets with precision.
🎯 Next Bullish Target:
$3,400 – $3,410 zone stands as the next supply region.
This area is a major psychological resistance and aligns with historical reaction points.
🧠 Trading Insight & Strategy:
With current price action and momentum, buying dips remains the optimal approach, provided the price stays above the SR Interchange zone.
🔽 Entry Zone: $3,345 – $3,350
📈 Targets:
TP1: $3,375 (partial exit)
TP2: $3,400–$3,410 (final target)
❌ Invalidation Zone (Stop Loss): Below $3,330
Breaking below this would invalidate the breakout structure and possibly signal a false breakout.
📌 Summary:
✅ Clear breakout from descending channel
✅ Retest of previous demand and SR flip zone
✅ Bullish pattern confirmed on key support
✅ Ascending trendline intact
🎯 Next logical move: $3,400+
The gold market is giving strong bullish cues, and this setup could be a textbook example of “buy the breakout, ride the trend.”
Stay sharp, trade smart, and keep your risk in check. 👑
AVAX/USDT - H4 - Wedge Breakout (29.06.2025)The AVAX/USDT pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 21.77
2nd Resistance – 24.35
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
USDJPY – Tactical Short in Weekly Supply or Bullish Breakout?COT & MACRO FLOW (Commitment of Traders)
USD INDEX
Non-commercials still biased short: Longs 16,208 vs Shorts 20,194 (slightly improved, but still negative).
Commercials remain net long, but the open interest is declining → no strong conviction from smart money.
JPY
Non-commercials added significantly to their short exposure (+6,751), while cutting longs (-4,432).
Commercials also cut long exposure heavily (-20,405).
The structure shows institutional bias is clearly bearish on JPY.
Conclusion: JPY weakness confirmed by both commercial and non-commercial flows. USD slightly weaker, but JPY is weaker → supports USDJPY bullish bias.
SEASONALITY (JULY)
USD/JPY tends to be weak in July across most historical averages (5y, 10y, 15y, 20y).
July is historically bearish for USDJPY, especially in the second half of the month.
This seasonality contrasts with COT flows → mixed bias.
RETAIL SENTIMENT
60% of retail traders are SHORT → supports contrarian long view.
Retail volume shows imbalance in positioning, another contrarian bullish signal.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (DAILY CHART)
Price is testing a key weekly FVG zone between 148.4 and 149.2.
RSI has re-entered the overbought region, suggesting potential exhaustion.
Price bounced from the monthly bullish order block (143.5–144.0).
A clear move above 149.50 could invalidate short setups.
🧩 TRADE IDEA (SETUP)
Watch for price to retest 148.4–149.50 zone and react.
RSI divergence + seasonality could offer a short opportunity with confirmation (e.g. engulfing on Daily/H4).
If price breaks above 149.5 with volume → look for continuation to 152.00.
✅ FINAL BIAS
Macro and institutional flows remain in favor of USDJPY longs, but:
Seasonality turns bearish in the second half of July
Price is reaching strong resistance
Retail sentiment supports the long thesis
→ Tactical Short from 149-150 only with confirmation. Otherwise, long continuation above 150.
XAUUSDGold is likely to correct to the price level of 3350. After that, we should wait for the reaction of buyers and sellers in this price range.
TURBO/USDT - H4 - Wedge Breakout (29.06.2025)The TURBO/USDT pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.005173
2nd Resistance – 0.005994
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
