BTC/EURO did not break out - potentially a big warning sign- follow up on the latest BTC analysis
- this Bitcoin breakout, so far, is rather lackluster and leaves a lot to be desired
- upon breaking an important HTF level, Bitcoin tends to explode and leave sideliners behind but this has not been the case so far
- more importantly, BTC DID NOT break out vs. the euro - something I would consider a red flag
- with 5D volatility extremely low, there is a chance of a long liquidation wipe all the way to 85k before the "real" upsurge happens
- all concerns regarding the validity of this breakout go away the moment BTC makes a higher high above 123 000
Fundamental Analysis
USDCHF: Could be telling a story of break-retest-reversalThe price action on the USDCHF presents an opportunity of structural transition. The descending trendline has acted as dynamic resistance, has contained each rally attempt beautifully. This trendline is marked by multiple rejections, reflected bearish dominance, a controlled downtrend in motion.
The recent movement though could signal a shift. The market has started to break above this descending structure, and it could early suggest that bearish momentum is weakening.
I will be waiting for the price to return to the broken trendline, treating former resistance as newfound support. It’s a confirmation pattern in order to filter false moves, a structure retest that reinforces breakout reliability.
From this base, I am expecting it to target the 0.81900 level, as shown. This area coinciding with horizontal resistance that aligns with previous reactions. Such levels as natural “gravitational pivots”.
An ideal approach here would involve observing the character of the pullback. If the market returns to the trendline with declining bearish volume and forms higher lows on lower timeframes, it strengthens the bullish case.
The trendline break on the chart is not just a signal, it’s a storyline unfolding. It marks a shift with a story. And if volume, price structure, and timing align as they appear poised to, this move could be the first move in a broader upside correction or trend reversal.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
PepsiCo (PEP) Stock Rallies 7.4% Following Earnings ReportPepsiCo (PEP) Stock Rallies 7.4% Following Earnings Report – What Comes Next?
Yesterday, PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) released its quarterly earnings report, which significantly exceeded market expectations:
→ Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $2.12, surpassing the forecast of $2.02.
→ Gross revenue reached $22.7 billion, above the projected $22.3 billion.
In addition, PepsiCo reaffirmed its full-year guidance: the company expects earnings per share to remain virtually unchanged compared to the previous year, while organic revenue is anticipated to grow by a few percentage points.
Executives also outlined development plans for their brand portfolio, emphasising a focus on the growing demand for healthier snacks and a strategic initiative to reduce costs.
These factors contributed to PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) becoming one of the top-performing stocks on the market yesterday – its price surged by 7.4%, reflecting strong investor sentiment. What could come next?
Technical Analysis of PEP Stock Chart
A strong bullish candle formed on the chart yesterday, signalling a spike in demand:
→ The session opened with an impressive bullish gap, decisively breaking through the July resistance level around $137.
→ The share price continued to climb steadily throughout the day, forming a long-bodied candle.
→ The session closed near its high, confirming sustained upward momentum.
Notably, on 27 June (highlighted by an arrow on the chart), the stock posted gains on the highest trading volume of 2025 so far (according to Nasdaq data), which can be interpreted as a potential sign of sentiment reversal driven by institutional investors.
However, the broader picture remains bearish. PEP stock continues to trade within a long-term downward channel, shaped by declining demand for PepsiCo products and intensifying market competition.
Given the above, the following scenario should not be ruled out: the upper boundary of the long-term descending channel may act as resistance in the near term. As the post-earnings euphoria fades, the price could undergo a pullback – for instance, towards the $140 level, which previously served as support.
At the same time, the strong fundamental backdrop, reflecting the company’s operational success, could fuel persistent bullish interest. This may empower buyers to challenge and potentially break the long-standing downtrend in PEP shares.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Is ETH Season Officially Here? 🚀🐾 Ethereum Breaking Out – Is ETH Season Officially Here? 📈💥
Ethereum is showing strength across the board — outperforming Bitcoin, reclaiming trendline support, and eyeing a possible breakout continuation. While macro narratives swirl (crypto legislation, rate cut vibes, political tailwinds), ETH is finally doing what ETH does best — lead.
📊 Chart Breakdown:
ETHUSDT is respecting the dotted trendline off the breakout.
Price is hovering around $3487 support, an area that aligns with Fib retracement and the last impulse base.
If bulls can maintain structure, $4000–$4050 is a natural magnet above.
📈 On the ETHBTC side, we’re aiming for the 0.06274 level — this ratio breakout is classic ETH season behavior, where Ethereum not only rises but pulls the rest of the market with it.
👀 And yes… even Elon my Dog is sniffing this one out:
🐾 "Support still smells strong. T-Bone at 4K." Then we go higher for the Cow.
📊 Order Flow Data Confirms:
Premium: Still slightly negative — market hasn’t fully rotated in.
Funding: Light and positive — sustainable, not euphoric.
Open Interest: Saw a soft reset — leverage was cleared out, opening room to rally.
Spot volume: Steady and supportive, not chasing.
🔥 +1116% ROI from the last long from $2,983.09. If you’re holding ETH — you’re holding the mic right now. Let's not drop it.
This could just be the beginning — and when ETH leads, the rest tends to follow.
Elon and the whole 🐶 Dog Team are on high alert. Breakout energy is thick.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
TRX Grinding Higher – Are These the Next Targets?📈🔥 TRX Grinding Higher – Are These the Next Targets? 🧱🚀
Continuing the Altcoin Series, let’s take a look at TRX (Tron) — quietly grinding higher while the crowd stays distracted elsewhere.
As I’ve said before: I’m preparing to divorce altcoins at the top of this cycle. But until then, I’m a trader — and TRX is a chart that deserves our attention right now.
🔍 Two Perspectives, One Message
The 1H intraday chart shows clear structure within an ascending channel, holding its higher lows beautifully.
Meanwhile, the 2D macro chart reveals a long-term channel breakout, now pressing up into key resistance.
📊 Levels That Matter
Short-Term Support (1H):
🔹 $0.29926
🔹 Mid-channel trendline
Macro Zones (2D):
🔸 Current Price: $0.30991
🔸 Next key levels:
$0.38540
$0.46122
Structure to Watch:
Price remains well-supported by the orange trendline — a multi-year diagonal that’s been acting as dynamic support. As long as that holds, TRX remains on the offense.
⚠️ Narrative-Free Trading
Let’s be real — Tron isn’t the sexiest narrative play.
But the chart doesn't lie: structure is intact, trend is up, and targets are in sight.
This is the kind of setup where emotion gets left at the door — we trade the level, not the label.
Buy over support
Exit near resistance
Control risk — always
TRX may not trend forever — but for now, it’s trending just fine.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
XRP Intra-day Analysis 18-Jul-2025Price action on XRP has shown upward momentum after reaching the 3.7 price level.
Possible scenarios include:
* The 3.3 level could come into focus if the market revisits this area. Market participants may monitor it for signs of seller exhaustion or potential reversal patterns.
* Should the price move lower, the 3.0 level may act as the next key area of interest. This round number is often viewed as a psychological level and may attract increased attention from traders.
* If there is a clear intraday move below the 3.0 level, the 2.6 area could emerge as another notable zone that some participants may consider relevant for future market reactions.
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD's narrowing range, tariffs, Trump's political dramaOANDA:XAUUSD is still trading in a narrowing range, affected by the tariff game and the political drama that Trump is building. Currently, the price of gold is trading around 3,339 USD/oz, equivalent to a small decrease of about 7 dollars on the day.
Tariff Game
On July 16, US President Donald Trump announced that he would send letters to more than 150 countries, with tariffs expected to be 10% or 15%, to promote trade. He said these countries are not major US partners and will be treated equally, but left open the possibility of negotiating exemptions. The tariffs are similar to those proposed in April but were postponed due to concerns about market volatility. The resumption of the tariffs continues to destabilize financial markets and surprised partners such as the European Union, as they hoped to reach an early agreement with the US.
Political Play
Also on July 16, global financial markets were shaken by rumors that President Trump intended to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Many major news agencies such as the New York Times, Bloomberg and Reuters reported that Trump had prepared a letter of dismissal and consulted with Republican lawmakers, receiving positive feedback. Removing Powell before his term was believed to undermine confidence in the US financial system and the safe haven status of the USD. Trump later denied the plan, saying it was unlikely to happen unless there was serious wrongdoing. Markets reacted strongly: the USD fell and then recovered after Trump's statement, while gold lost most of its previous gains by the end of the session.
The gold market in particular, and the financial economy in general, are being affected by the activities of Trump, the creator of the global trade war, and the plays of Trump and the FED leading the market. Therefore, the basic formula in the current market context is best to follow Trump, and make sure not to miss any of Trump's status lines.
Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, the technical structure has not changed with the trend not yet clear and the price action clinging to the EMA21.
The technical conditions do not favor an uptrend or a downtrend, typically the RSI moves around the 50 level, indicating a hesitant market sentiment.
On the upside, gold needs to achieve the condition of breaking above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level of the price point of 3,371 USD then the target level will be around 3,400 USD in the short term, more than 3,430 USD.
Meanwhile, on the downside, gold needs to break below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, which would confirm a loss of the $3,300 level, then target around $3,246 in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement.
Intraday, the sideways trend of gold price accumulation will be noticed by the following technical positions.
Support: $3,310 – $3,300 – $3,292
Resistance: $3,350 – $3,371 – $3,400
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3381 - 3379⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3385
→Take Profit 1 3373
↨
→Take Profit 2 3387
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3309 - 3311⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3305
→Take Profit 1 3317
↨
→Take Profit 2 3323
Waiting for the bigger move with GBPJPYHi Traders!
Right now, GJ is failing to swing higher at a major resistance at 199.200. Looking at the 4HR, yesterday July 16th, price wicked down to 198.000 retesting a previous 4HR CHOCH, then pulling back up to continue consolidation in between 198.000 and 199.200. However, on the 4HR price didn't close below 198.000 with continuation, which would make me believe that if the new 4HR CHOCH is valid, eventually price will break through 199.200. This will require patience if I want a bigger move. A more conservative approach to this trade, for me, would be entering on the break with a retest/bounces off 199.200.
SL below a new HL, TP1: 201.000, Overall TP: 202.000.
In addition, the only way I would sell is if price broke down past 198.500/198.200, and kept rejecting. Then, I could see a downside. But, imo price action just it's giving that confirmation right now.
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
Most Will Get Trapped on EGLD’s Next Move Don’t Be One of ThemYello Paradisers, did you catch the EGLD breakout or are you still waiting for confirmation that’s already gone? While most traders are sleeping on this setup, it has just completed one of the cleanest breakout-and-retest patterns we’ve seen in weeks, and what comes next could leave many trapped on the wrong side.
💎#EGLDUSDT recently broke through its descending resistance with strength and has now retested that same level, which is acting as solid support in the $14.30–$15.00 range. This successful flip of resistance into support is a textbook bullish signal, and it’s holding beautifully indicating strong buyer presence and increasing the probability of continued upside.
💎If this support holds firm, #EGLD is eyeing a move toward the $18.00–$18.25 region, where moderate resistance is expected. A break above this could open the path toward the $19.90–$20.40 zone, a significant resistance level that may shape the next macro structure on this chart.
But it’s not all upside. If EGLD fails to hold the $13.00 level and especially the key invalidation point at $11.85 this entire bullish setup breaks down, and sellers will likely take control. The bullish momentum would collapse fast, and the door would open to much deeper downside levels.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Shanghai Composite: Double bottom signals potential upsideChinese stocks are not for the faint-hearted. It's a market with a lot of volatility, swings, and roundabouts. Despite this, we've been keeping a close eye on the Shanghai Composite Index over the past few weeks and like the pattern we are seeing emerge.
As of the time of writing, the Shanghai Composite Index trades in the 3,500 range. A clear double bottom emerged in September and January last year, as indicated in the chart. We think this is a bullish pattern. When markets test the lows twice and rebound, conviction grows. The worst, it seems, is maybe behind us.
New trades should take important note and understand that Shanghai-listed stocks differ greatly from the H-shares trading in Hong Kong. The Shanghai Composite primarily includes A-shares, domestic Chinese companies driven by local sentiment and liquidity. H-shares, though still Chinese firms, list offshore in Hong Kong and often reflect global investor attitudes rather than local momentum.
Understanding your instrument is crucial. While Shanghai A-shares capture China's domestic economic pulse, H-shares in Hong Kong frequently mirror global risk appetite and geopolitical narratives. Our bullish case lies specifically with the Shanghai market. It is a bet on China's internal economic recovery, supportive policy measures, and improving investor sentiment.
China’s economic stabilisation is underway. Stimulus measures from Beijing are gaining traction. Property market stabilisation efforts (which are medium term in nature) and easing monetary policy signal confidence. Domestic investors, increasingly optimistic, are positioned to drive a sustained rally.
The Shanghai Composite Index could see upside towards the 4,000 and then 4,500-level in the coming years, if the rally continues. Our conviction rests on improving domestic fundamentals, policy tailwinds, and powerful market sentiment unique to mainland China's equity landscape.
Caution is important, given the volatility nature of the index.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1H Technical Analysis – Breakout in ProgressBitcoin is showing bullish intent after breaking above a descending trendline resistance on the 1-hour chart. The breakout occurred with decent bullish momentum, suggesting buyers are regaining control in the short term.
📈 Chart Observations:
Descending Trendline Broken: Price has successfully broken above a well-respected descending trendline, which acted as resistance over the past few sessions. This breakout may signal a shift in short-term market structure.
Support Zone: The marked support zone around $115,000 continues to act as a critical demand area. Price has rebounded multiple times from this zone, reinforcing its significance.
Current Price Action: BTC is currently trading near $119,800, just under the round-level resistance of $120,000. A clean hourly close above this level could open room for further bullish continuation.
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance: $120,000 (Psychological level)
Immediate Support: $118,000
Major Support Zone: $115,000–$114,000
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to hold above the broken trendline and slips back below $118,000, a revisit of the support zone near $115,000 becomes likely. Bears may step in again if the price fails to sustain higher highs.
✅ Conclusion:
BTC is showing potential for a short-term bullish reversal after breaking out of its descending pattern. Traders should monitor for confirmation through price continuation above $120,000. However, a cautious approach is advised near resistance levels, and invalidation below $118,000 could favor sellers once again.
NFLX: Bullish Signal in Demand ZoneNetflix (NFLX) recently retraced within a key weekly demand zone, potentially presenting a long opportunity. Non-commercial traders are also accumulating long positions in the stock. This suggests a possible bullish setup. Your thoughts?
✅ Please share your thoughts about NFLX in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Market Volatile Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Fed Rumors Gold 17/07 – Market Volatile Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Fed Rumors
🌍 Macro Sentiment: Uncertainty Continues
The global gold market opened Thursday with high volatility following headlines that former U.S. President Donald Trump was considering firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Though Trump later denied the claim, the initial rumor spiked fear in financial markets.
At the same time:
🇮🇱 Israel launched airstrikes on Syria, escalating regional tensions.
🇪🇺 The EU proposed new tariffs on U.S. imports, increasing global economic friction.
🏦 Inflation concerns persist as BlackRock warns about delayed price pressures from earlier tariff hikes.
📉 These factors have turned gold into a temporary safe haven, but investors should remain cautious as the market is still undecided about direction.
🔎 Technical Outlook – Key Patterns to Watch
The H1 chart reveals price action respecting a wide consolidation range with visible liquidity sweeps on both ends. The market is forming a clean structure of lower highs, hinting at bearish bias unless bulls reclaim upper resistance zones.
Sell-side liquidity has been swept around the 3,320 level.
Order Block Sell Zone remains active at 3,342 – 3,344, potentially leading to a short-term drop.
If price breaks above 3,357 – 3,363 (VPOC & OB zone), a new bullish leg may form.
🎯 Trade Plan for Today
🟩 Buy Opportunity Zone
Entry: 3,312 – 3,310
Stop Loss: 3,306
Take Profits:
→ 3,316 → 3,320 → 3,324 → 3,328 → 3,335 → 3,340 → 3,350
📌 This zone has shown strong demand historically. Look for bullish candle confirmation on the lower timeframe (M15–H1).
🟥 Sell Opportunity Zone
Entry: 3,362 – 3,364
Stop Loss: 3,368
Take Profits:
→ 3,358 → 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,345 → 3,340
📌 This area overlaps with a VPOC level and prior order block – watch for price rejection patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, fake breakouts).
⚠️ Risk Note
With geopolitical and monetary policy headlines dominating sentiment, price may spike erratically. Avoid overleveraging and always respect your SL/TP.
💬 What’s Your Take?
Do you think gold will break below 3,300 and head toward deeper FVG zones?
Or will bulls regain control and aim for 3,377 liquidity?
👇 Drop your analysis and let’s build the best gold trading community together!
Sterling Rebounds But Faces Heavy Resistance Ahead GBP/USD Outlook – Sterling Rebounds But Faces Heavy Resistance Ahead
🌐 Macro Insight – UK Labour Data Mixed, Trump Headlines Stir Market
The British Pound (GBP) regained some lost ground against the U.S. Dollar after the UK labour market data revealed mixed signals:
Wage growth cooled as expected, suggesting a potential easing in inflationary pressures.
UK ILO Unemployment ticked up to 4.7%, raising concerns about labour market fragility.
Meanwhile, in the U.S., President Trump denied reports about firing Fed Chair Powell, briefly easing tensions and stabilizing USD demand.
With both currencies facing mixed narratives, GBP/USD is set for a pivotal move, and traders should stay alert to key liquidity zones and order blocks.
🔍 Technical Setup – MMF + Smart Money Framework
On the H2 chart, GBP/USD has reacted from the OBS BUY ZONE at 1.3376, bouncing with a bullish structure and forming a potential continuation pattern. Price is now expected to target key zones above, where significant order blocks and Fibonacci confluence reside.
⚙️ Key Resistance Zones:
1.3578 – 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement + OBS
1.3627 – 0.618 Fibonacci + Supply Zone
1.3697 – CP Continuation Pattern + H2 Order Block
These areas represent institutional interest for potential sell setups.
✅ Trade Plan for GBP/USD
🟢 BUY ZONE: 1.3376 – 1.3398
SL: 1.3360
TP: 1.3450 → 1.3485 → 1.3530 → 1.3578 → 1.3627
Look for bullish structure confirmation before entering. Target the next liquidity highs and imbalance zones.
🔴 SELL ZONE: 1.3627 – 1.3697
SL: 1.3735
TP: 1.3580 → 1.3530 → 1.3480
Watch for rejection and bearish divergence at supply areas to time potential swing shorts.
🧠 Strategy Notes
This setup combines MMF zones with institutional volume and price action concepts. The pair is currently reacting to a deep discount zone and may climb toward premium levels where selling pressure awaits. Be cautious during New York session volatility, especially with potential U.S. policy headlines and upcoming global inflation data.
🗨 What’s Next?
Are bulls ready to reclaim control or will resistance zones cap this recovery? Drop your ideas below and don’t forget to follow for more institutional-grade insights powered by MMF methodology.
XRP → ATH retest. Reversal or continued growth?BINANCE:XRPUSDT.P is rallying and ready to test the resistance zone - ATH. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is consolidating after a bull run. The liquidity pool may hold back growth.
Fundamentally, there is excitement across the entire cryptocurrency market. Altcoins are rallying after Bitcoin hit a new high and entered consolidation. The BTC.D index is declining, which generally provides a good opportunity for altcoins to grow. However, the index is approaching technical support, which may affect market sentiment overall...
As for XRP, there is a fairly strong liquidity pool ahead — the ATH resistance zone. The price is in a distribution phase after a change in character and a breakout of the downtrend resistance in the 2.33 zone. The momentum may exhaust its potential to break through the 3.35-3.34 zone, and growth may be halted for correction or reversal (in correlation with Bitcoin's dominance in the market).
Resistance levels: 3.35-3.40
Support levels: 3.0, 2.64
A breakout of resistance without the possibility of further growth, a return of the price below the level (i.e., inside the global flat) will confirm the fact of a false breakout of resistance, which may trigger a correction or even a reversal.
Best regards, R. Linda!
#USDJPY: Swing Buy Almost +2000 Pips! Dear Traders,
The USDJPY currency pair appears to be in an accumulation phase at the moment, as evidenced by the lack of significant price movement throughout the current week. Several factors contribute to this trend.
Firstly, several significant economic events are scheduled for this week, particularly tomorrow and Friday. These developments will have substantial implications for the future trajectory of the USDJPY pair. Consequently, there’s a possibility that the price may experience a decline before initiating a bullish trend. We’ve recently seen a strong bullish candle, which suggests a strong bullish move in the coming weeks. Additionally, the strong USD could continue rising, while the JPY is dropping.
Secondly, there are two primary areas where the price could reverse its course. The extent to which the USD reacts to the economic data will indicate potential reversal zones.
It’s crucial to conduct your own analysis before making any financial decisions. This chart should be used solely for educational purposes and does not guarantee any specific outcome.
Regarding the stop loss, as this is a swing trade, it’s advisable to employ a larger stop loss if the price reaches entry zones. The take profit level can be determined based on your entry type and analysis.
We wish you the best of luck in your trading endeavours and emphasise the importance of trading safely.
Please share this analysis with others through likes, comments, and social media platforms. If you have any questions or require further assistance, don’t hesitate to comment below. We’re here to provide support.
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
Monthly MACD crossover taking place, a prabolic rise?Last 2 times, when the monthly MACD cross over has happened, ETH has gone bonkers. A third one is on the verge of happening, RSI has enough room with a symmetrical triangle with bullish momentum - looks like a big rally is in the near horizon. Fingers cross.
Walmart: Long Position Attractive on Demand ZoneWalmart Inc. presents a compelling long opportunity. The price action is reclaiming a key demand zone, suggesting a continuation of the current uptrend, a pattern reinforced by seasonal factors. Further bolstering the bullish case is the observed increase in large speculator positions.
✅ Please share your thoughts about WMT in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Japan's core CPI cools as expectedThe Japanese yen is showing little movement on Friday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 148.69, up 0.06% on the day. On the data calendar, Japan's inflation rate eased in June. It's a light day in the US, highlighted by UoM consumer sentiment and inflation expectations.
Inflation in Japan fell in June as expected and the yen is showing little movement today. Headline CPI dropped to 3.3% y/y from 3.5% in May, matching the consensus. This was the lowest level since Nov. 2024, as prices for electricity and gasoline rose more slowly in June. FoodThe inflation numbers come just before an election for Japan's Upper House of Parliament on Sunday. The ruling coalition is in danger of losing its majority, and if that happens, it will likely impact yields and the yen next week.
The Bank of Japan meets next on July 31 and is expected to continue its wait-and-see approach and hold interest rates. The BoJ hiked rates in January but hopes for a series of rate increases were dashed after US President Trump promised and delivered tariffs on many US trading partners, including Japan.
Trade talks between the US and Japan have bogged down and Trump has threatened to hit Japan with 25% tariffs if an agreement isn't reached by Aug. 1. In this uncertain environment, the BoJ isn't likely to raise interest rates. prices were up 7.2%, the most since March, as rice prices soared 100%. Monthly, CPI eased to 0.1%, down from 0.3% in May. Core inflation, which excludes fresh food but includes energy, fell to 3.3% from 3.7%, in line with the consensus and the lowest pace since March.
USD/JPY is testing resistance at 148.66. Above, there is resistance at 1.4882
148.44 and 148.28 are the next support levels
BABA: triangle with tensionOn the weekly chart, BABA has already formed a golden cross - price is above both MA50 and MA200, confirming a bullish trend shift. The stock is now approaching the upper edge of the symmetrical triangle and the key resistance at $122, which also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
The numbers inside the triangle represent the contraction phases, not Elliott waves. This is a classical consolidation before a potential breakout. If the $122 level is broken and retested, upside targets are $128 (0.618), $137 (0.786), and eventually $148–181 (1.0–1.618 extension).
Volume is rising, MACD is flipping bullish, and RSI is climbing out of oversold territory — all signs point to growing bullish momentum.
Fundamentally, Alibaba benefits from China's economic rebound, possible regulatory relief, and ongoing share buybacks. With Chinese tech rotating back into favor, BABA could lead the rally.
So if you're still waiting for a signal - it's already here. The golden cross is done, price is flying above moving averages, and all that’s left is a clean breakout. Watch $122 — that’s the launchpad.
7/3/25 - $meta - Still a buy sub $1k/shr7/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:META
Still a buy sub $1k/shr
- reality is, why would you bet against zuck
- his platforms are hitting on all strides. he is willing to internally build the best AI when he's falling behind by hiring the best talent and it is a LOT cheaper to hire for collectively $500 mm than say pay billions for a developed product and internalize it. great move Zuck!
- and their ad tools are second to none and don't suffer as much from "Google search" narrative as the ecosystem is one of those that's incrementally chipping away from Google.
- at mid 20s + PE, the stock is not "cheap" but it's actually quite affordable for the environment we're in
- some market POV: I think we've seen the "garden variety" pullback already. believe it or not... when you look at the individual names from recent highs, we've seen a lil 3 to 10% shuffle and not all on the same day (take for instance the TSLA dip the other day, large, and not on a day where nasdaq or other Mag7's were red).
- i continue to see small caps failing on large cap peers
- i see more money still floating lager caps higher at the expense of small caps, even tho it might look the opposite in the immediate term (this is a story as old as time... newbs chase quick thrills, get squashed and can afford less of the assets they should be buying to begin with). so word to the wise: if you've made some nice tendies lately on slightly more degen plays... buying stuff like Mag7's or even indices at highs is not necessarily a "bad" buy.
- anyway i like NASDAQ:META at sub $1k and sub 35x PE into the print
- would like to own more, so would be buying dips
- but think this is a winner in 2H
V