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Fundamental Analysis

LONG | EUR/USD | 1DCurrent Level: ~1.1662 Revised Entry Zone: 🔄 Buy the dip around 1.1660–1.1670 This aligns with 50-day EMA and daily/4H pivot (~1.1630–1.1670) acting as support. Stop Loss: 1.1630 (just below 50 EMA & recent low) Target: 1.1750 → 1.1800 (range high/resistance) Risk:Reward: ~1:3.8 ✅ Institutional Rationale: Momentum remains bullish, though momentum indicators are cooling—price retesting structural support (mid-BB, pivot zone). Weekly outlook still favors bulls while above 1.1637–1.1670—suggesting accumulated buy orders in this zone. Event risk: U.S. employment and Fed speakers imminent—creates ideal buy-on-dip opportunities with tight stops.
Long
by per5onanongrata
Two lines of defense for bulls: 3340 and 3330 are the key!Gold maintains a strong pattern in the short term, and it is recommended to mainly buy on dips. The short-term support below focuses on the neckline of the hourly line at 3340 last Friday. The more critical support is locked at the 3330 line. This range is an important watershed for judging the continuation of short-term bullish momentum. As long as the daily level can remain stable above the 3330 mark, the overall trend will remain upward. Before falling below this position, we should adhere to the idea of buying low and buying low, and rely on key support levels to arrange long orders. At present, the price has completed a technical breakthrough and broke through the upper edge of the 3330 convergence triangle under the dual positive factors of Trump's tariff landing to stimulate risk aversion and the support of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, and formed three consecutive positive daily lines. It is necessary to pay attention to the short-term pressure at the 3375 line. The overall operation strategy will be combined with the real-time trend prompts during the trading session, and pay attention to the bottom in time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
LDOS LONG🚀 NYSE:LDOS – Breakout Setup After Months of Accumulation NYSE:LDOS is showing a high-conviction breakout setup after six months of tight accumulation. Here's what I'm seeing: 🔹 Flagging on the 8EMA with low volume – classic bullish continuation 🔹 Clean structure with higher lows and controlled pullbacks 🔹 Volume drying up during the recent consolidation = potential energy building 🔹 Breakout in progress with RSI staying strong but not overbought 🔹 Accumulation range forming a solid launchpad 📈 With earnings due Aug 5 (BMO) and strong fundamental backing, I expect volume to come in soon and fuel the next leg higher. 🟢 Targets: $184 short-term $211 by year-end 🔴 Stop: $159 – below the accumulation base and prior support zone Why I Like It: ✅ EPS growth +325% YoY ✅ Forward P/E only 14.1 ✅ Strong ROE (31%) + institutional accumulation ✅ Momentum without overextension ✅ Positioned in a defensive-growth sector with macro tailwinds (defense, cybersecurity, AI) 📊 Looks like smart money has been accumulating – and it's almost time to move.
NYSE:LDOSLong
by SPYDERMARKET
SHORT and SHORT in GBPUSDHello Fellow traders, I am sharing my short position in GBP/USD today. I have decided to go short on GBP/USD, following the announcement of steep U.S. tariffs. Fundamentally, this aligns with my outlook: the USD is acting as a safe haven, while the GBP remains more risk-sensitive amidst global uncertainty. From a technical standpoint—though I keep things simple—my analysis supports the bearish sentiment, and I have entered a short position accordingly. Good luck, everyone, and trade safe!
Short
by khongorzul0317
DIYWallSt Trade Journal:The Importance of Your First Trade **07/14/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis ** EOD accountability report: +158.75 Sleep: 7 hours Overall health: Good ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) ** — 8:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 10:30 AM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal — 11:50 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal — 1:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal **What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? ** I need to really be careful with my first trade and making sure it is a high probability trade, otherwise a bad early start is likely to ruin my whole day. News — 1:42 PM *TRUMP TO UNVEIL $70 BILLION IN AI AND ENERGY INVESTMENTS — 4:08 PM *S&P 500 ENDS HIGHER AS STOCKS RISE AFTER TRUMP SAYS OPEN TO DEALS ON TARIFFS **What are the critical support levels to watch?** --> Above 6295= Bullish, Under 6285= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.website/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
BTC/USD 1H ShortTerm🔍 Trend: The short-term uptrend remains in effect, supported by the orange trendline. The price has tested dynamic support but has not yet broken it. 🟥 Supports (Important Levels): 🔻 1. 119.550 Key support. The price is currently testing it. Holding = potential upside rebound. Breaking = greater downside risk. 🔻 2. 117.260–118.040 USD Clear demand zone (reinforced by prior consolidation). If the price breaks below current support, this is the next logical stopping point. 🔻 3. 115.237–115.500 USD Strong weekly support – very important in the event of a stronger correction. Historically, it has responded many times. 🟩 Resistance: 🔼 1. USD 121.673 The nearest local resistance – this could pose a problem for further growth. 🔼 2. USD 123.961 The last local high. Breaking it confirms the continuation of the uptrend. 🔼 3. USD 125.785 The next resistance – a potential target after a breakout to the upside. 📈 Technical Indicators: RSI (classic): Still below 50, but starting to reverse slightly upward – neutral with a slight potential for a rebound. Stochastic RSI: Gives a long signal – the lines have crossed in the oversold zone and are pointing upward. 📊 Scenarios: 🟢 Bullish: Maintaining the current support zone (119.5–120k). Breakout above 121.673 → target: 123.961. Breakout of 123.961 = trend confirmation and target: 125.8k+ 🔴 Bearish: Break of the trend line and support at 119.550 → possible quick decline to 117.2k–118k. If this doesn't hold, target: 115.2k ✅ Summary: Decisive moment – tested trend line + support = rebound or breakout point. The Stochastic RSI indicates a potential upside breakout, but the RSI needs confirmation. Careful monitoring of volume and reaction to 120k in the coming hours.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
1
KHC – Momentum Reversal with Volume Surge & Tactical Exit Plan📈 Ticker: NASDAQ:KHC (The Kraft Heinz Company – NASDAQ) 📆 Timeframe: 1D (Daily) 💵 Current Price: $27.80 📊 Pattern: Falling Wedge Breakout + Volume & RSI Divergence 📌 Trade Setup: ✅ Our Entry: $26.60 ⛔ Stop-Loss: Below $24.80 🔰 Confirmation Signals: Bullish volume divergence: Selling pressure diminished while price made lower lows Explosive green volume bar on breakout — strongest in 12+ months RSI breakout above 60, confirming strong momentum and trend shift 💰 Profit-Taking Strategy: 📍Sell Zone Price Level % of Position Rationale 🥇 Sell 1 $28.48 50% Pre-earnings resistance – lock early profit 🥈 Sell 2 $30.71 30% Next strong resistance area 🥉 Sell 3 $31.62 10% Long-term descending trendline — potential reversal point 🔄 Remaining 10%: Optional trail with stop-loss raised, if momentum continues 📊 Technical Confidence & Probabilities: 🧠 Pattern: Falling Wedge Bulkowski probability of breakout upward: ~68% Average gain post-breakout: ~38%, though current targets are more conservative (15–19%) 📈 Volume breakout + prior divergence = strong institutional signal 📉 Risk clearly defined with stop at $24.80 📈 Target Gains vs Entry ($26.60): 🎯 Target Price Gain from Entry Target 1 $28.48 +7.06% Target 2 $30.71 +15.47% Target 3 $31.62 +18.89% 🧾 Summary: This is a high-probability breakout play, combining: ✅ Bulkowski-validated falling wedge ✅ Volume-based confirmation ✅ Clear stop and tiered exit strategy ✅ Strong risk/reward profile “Our Entry Price: $26.60 – Breakout Backed by Big Money” #KHC #TargetTraders #VolumeSpike #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #Bulkowski #StockMarket #Investing
NASDAQ:KHCLong
by TargetTraders
BTC/USD: 15-Min Reversal Attempt at Key Trendline SupportThis 15-minute chart for BTC/USD highlights a potential reversal opportunity following a significant downtrend. Price has found support at a confluence of a rising long-term trendline and a defined demand zone around 119,271 - 119,477.5. The analysis focuses on the current consolidation at this support, looking for bullish candlestick patterns to confirm a move towards retesting the prior breakdown level (now resistance) at 120,500 - 120,700. Key observations include the breakdown from a previous support, the current bounce, and the defined risk-reward setup for a potential long entry."
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by eltfes
1
Technical Analysis of Bonk CryptocurrencySeveral factors, including the potential approval of a BONK ETF and the planned burn of 1 trillion tokens upon reaching 1 million holders, have contributed to BONK’s recent price surge. The price is expected to move toward 0.000035 in the coming days, driven by increasing buying pressure and demand. However, there’s a high probability of a correction around that level. As long as the price remains above 0.0000245, the trend remains clearly bullish. This is not a buy recommendation — it’s purely a technical analysis.
Long
by SINAK765
6
Sperax: Bullish pennant.Sperax is consolidating in a bullish pennant pattern after a strong recovery rally off the March lows. Price action has tightened between ascending support and descending resistance, forming a textbook continuation setup. Volume has decreased during this compression, which is often a precursor to explosive movement. Fundamental Catalysts (Despite GENIUS Act Stalling): Retail DeFi Narrative is Still Alive – While the GENIUS Act failed in the Senate, the momentum for regulatory clarity in the DeFi space continues. Future bills or executive actions could unlock capital flows to protocols like Sperax. Deflationary Pressure —Over 13% of the total SPA supply has been burned, with more tokens locked and lost. The actual circulating supply is meaningfully lower than the total supply shown on aggregators. SIP-70 has been passed , shifting SPA emissions from an automatic release model to a DAO-controlled emission schedule. This marks a significant milestone towards sustainable tokenomics and the preservation of long-term value. Long-Term Accumulation – Wallet data and order books suggest that whales and long-term holders quietly accumulate during this sideways range. Sperax remains a low-cap token with outsized potential in the next altseason if it secures even one meaningful partnership or fiat on-ramp.
COINBASE:SPAUSDLong
by IamSteven
1
Fundamental analysis: Monday 14 July Despite a little bit of tariff noise, nothing has fundamentally altered my view that 'risk on' trades are viable, particularly short JPY. Although (with the exception of the strong USD, we've seen fairly lackluster movement today). Which I suspect can be put down to the market waiting for Tuesdays US CPI data. I would also attribute today's USD strength to 'positioning' ahead of the release. Regarding the data, it could be very market moving. We are starting to hit the time when 'tariff caused inflation' could show up in the data. This is a situation where anyone 'testing' anticipation trades could set USD orders in both directions a few minutes before the event. Meaning, (for example) a 'buy stop' AUD USD in the event of a below forecast number (USD negative). But also a 'sell stop' AUD USD for the event of a higher than forecast number (USD positive). Setting the orders (roughly) the distance of the 1hr ATR (look back 100). Ideally with a stop loss behind, or close to, the open of the news candle. If an order triggers, immediately delete the other order. If no orders trigger after 90 seconds, delete both orders and reassess. The 'anticipation' strategy is something I've dipped in and out of for a while now. Privately it's been very successful, but the reason I say 'testing' is because I can't endorse it in a live account until each individual has experienced the 'slippage on entry' the strategy occasionally experiences (causing a loss to what looks like a winning trade). As alluded to over the last week or so, I do think 'red flag' US data releases could create 'anticipation trades' moving forward. But, please don't dive in with a live account. Be sure to gather enough 'demo data' to form your own opinion as to if it's a good strategy or not. Regarding post event, catalyst / standard trades. It's complicated. I envision that long term the market will brush aside a high CPI number. But, in the short term, in the event of a high number, a USD long 'catalyst trade' would be very viable. My preference would be for a below forecast number, which would create a 'no-brainer risk on trade', probably USD short but I would compare the momentum of USD JPY to determine which is the best 'short option'. In other news, Canada reports CPI at the same time as the US, I expect the US data to dominate. But the CAD could be used as a tradable currency depending on the outcome of its data. Sentiment for the GBP remains negative, in particular I suspect GBP AUD will continue it's downward trajectory. Finally, the CHF continues to be strong in the face of the 'risk on environment'. Which I can only put down to the article I read a while ago suggesting the SNB GOLD HOLDINGS are benefitting the CHF. It makes sense considering the high price of gold at the moment. It's not a situation i envision will last forever, but, it does mean I would rather short the JPY (or USD) in times of 'risk on'. In times of 'risk off' I'll compare the USD, JPY and CHF against each other. If the CHF is the strongest, I'd feel very confident in a CHF long. Trading is never easy, but it feels particularly complicated at the moment, please feel free to offer thoughts or questions:
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
What if Analysis for BitcoinNormal Cycles are dead!! According to extended measurements, elliot waves, fib retracements, trend analysis, cyclic lines and QE timeframes, we might see a different play this time, which will leave everyone sidelined i.e Max Pain. We saw for the first time a Bitcoin bull run while we are in a Quantitative Environment. This means that BTC from now on works as a risk off asset. So, imagine we have a local top on September 2025, where the normal cycle ends around 160k then a quick drop at 130k where everyone thinks the bear market is here and after that quick pump on 250k. Then 9 months bear market (usually 12 months) but now shorter cause we have an extended short term cycle for bull run and after that we hit on 2027 directly 700k USD, where we find the huge bear market which will last longer than usual leading to 100k usd on 2030. The target of 700k usd alligns perfectly with fib levels, trend resistances Larry Fink prediction of BTC going to 700k and lastly and most important due to the published data of FED of wanting to revalue gold to buy 1 million btc in the next years. If we multiply gold's price around 3400k per ounce, multiply USA gold reserves (which is in tons, so we have to convert ounces to tons) and then divide that number with 1,000,000 BTC, guess the price--> yes correctly 700k per BTC!!!!!!!!! Let's go boyz!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by NcTrd
1
It was good that you waited. Now here's a way to get involved. Over the weekend we took a look at Silver and predicted that we'd probably see an emotional reaction on the open where a lot of (casual traders) look to get involved (due to the headlines) and unfortunately, pay the price for being late. Now that, that initial group has been shaken out of the market, I want to revisit the metal and show my preferred area for entry along with a conservative approach that you can use if you want to get in earlier. Please leave any questions, comments, or your trading ideas below. Give me a follow that way you don't miss my next trading idea. Akil
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Akil_Stokes
QNT Waking Up? The Sleeping Giant Eyes $160+Summary Quant (QNT) remains in a multi-year accumulation range" since its 2021 cycle top. The asset shows textbook signs of liquidity engineering, and the next decisive move hinges on structural breaks above key price levels. Institutional momentum is quietly building beneath the surface, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. Macro Structure & Price Context QNT's price action has respected a clear horizontal accumulation zone between $56 and $160 since 2021. The range has repeatedly swept liquidity both above and below key horizontal levels, signaling methodical accumulation by larger entities. This behavior aligns with institutional patterns where liquidity is engineered prior to expansion phases. The Fibonacci retracement levels from the previous bull market cycle illustrate confluence with price action: 0.382 retracement aligns near current accumulation. 0.618 - 0.786 retracements ($260-$280) serve as long-term targets where liquidity inefficiencies remain unmitigated. The $160 level is especially critical, as historical rejections confirm its role as a structural ceiling within this macro range. A successful breakout would shift the asset into price discovery towards $200-$280. Mid-Term Structure & Momentum Indicators Cup & Handle Formation (4H / Daily) A well-formed cup & handle structure has emerged on the 4-hour and daily timeframes, signaling potential bullish continuation. The handle portion is consolidating above $104-$113, which has flipped from resistance to potential support. Golden Cross (Daily) A golden cross between the EMA 50 and EMA 200 on the daily chart further strengthens the bullish bias, marking a potential shift into a sustained uptrend. Liquidity Sweep & Reaction Recent price action filled a FVG zone at $85, sweeping liquidity and rebounding with strength. This move suggests the lower bound liquidity has been harvested and may no longer attract price in the near term. Liquidity & Volume Pressure Zones Order book depth indicates significant unexplored price action above $110. Liquidity clusters and volume profiles suggest minimal resistance between $110 and $130, with price requiring acceptance above $110 to justify exploration beyond $130 and $160. Above $130: Clearer path to $160. Above $160: Opens inefficiencies towards $200-$280. Liquidity & Momentum Zones Above $130: Positive sentiment, confirms handle formation, increases probability of testing $160 again. $160 Breakout: Structural shift from range-bound to trending. Opens doors to rapid liquidity grabs towards $200-$280. Below $104: Reverts to bearish range-bound behavior, risks another sweep towards $85 and $56 liquidity pools. $56: Ultimate liquidity grab zone if macro conditions worsen (unlikely in current market). Fundamental & Macro Drivers Regulatory Tailwinds QNT's alignment with ISO 20022 and emerging CBDC infrastructure positions it as a compliant, institutional-grade token. EU partnerships and banking adoption continue to solidify its fundamental narrative. US Crypto Strategy The US is aggressively positioning itself as a global crypto hub. Regulatory clarity and institutional interest support compliant assets like QNT. Market Environment BTC dominance is declining, suggesting capital rotation into altcoins is near. Historical patterns show sub-60% BTC.D aligns with altseason triggers. Altcoin ignition phases typically follow periods like the current, where BTC sustains ATH and dominance contracts. Geopolitical Developments Tariff adjustments and easing global tensions free capital for risk-on assets. Increased cross-border financial innovation benefits QNT's positioning. Conclusion & Institutional Perspective QNT is postured for a late-stage accumulation breakout. Institutional players are likely targeting the inefficiencies left in the $200-$280 zone. The presence of a strong macro structure, clear liquidity engineering, and aligning fundamentals in both EU regulation and US market positioning make this asset attractive. The path of least resistance, provided BTC continues to hold above its ATH and dominance slides, points towards an eventual breakout of $160. Above this level, QNT’s inefficiencies demand mitigation, and the $280 magnet is a realistic mid-term institutional target. Risk below $104 remains, but structurally the asset favors upside as long as it respects the $130 area and BTC dominance trends lower.
Long
by Neldjouw