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Fundamental Analysis

“How Other People’s Fear Becomes Our Profit”From a behavioral and technical standpoint, LEVI presents a textbook short opportunity following its post-earnings overreaction. After a strong earnings beat, the stock surged over 13% intraday, reaching a high of $22.07. However, this rally quickly pushed RSI into overbought territory, triggering natural selling pressure. Much of this sell-off can be attributed to traders who previously bought near the $21–$22 range and are now looking to exit at breakeven—a classic example of loss aversion and anchoring bias. This emotional response often leads to temporary price spikes followed by sharp corrections. We are now observing that exact pattern, with the stock fading to $21.92 in after-hours and closing at $21.95, signaling buyer exhaustion. Technically, this marks a short-term trend reversal—from bullish earnings momentum to a developing downtrend. The price action shows rejection at key resistance, weakening volume, and emotional exit zones being triggered. Now is a clean, high-probability shorting opportunity, with potential to capture 2–7% downside in the next 1–2 sessions, especially as the broader market reacts to inflated valuations and profit-taking behavior.
NYSE:LEVIShort
by ChartKings
1
SPX : How to play this DPrice has now reached our target as anticipated. The question is, when do we SELL? Anyway, for those who follow the D, I am sure it has saved you guys a lot of trouble. At least you know where/when to start SELLING. Many others who started selling EARLy had all lost their money. As we can see, there are 3 D's. Price can still move UP to 6,800. Bear that in mind. Or has already reached the max at 6,291!!! Price is at where they are, there are 2 choices: a) SELL now and SL @ 6,300 b) SELL when price touched the lower D @ 6,140 with SL @ 6,291 Whichever way, the R/R is still FANTASTIC. It is true that MARKET MAKER might still take advantage and try to screw short sellers. But even they would find it hard at the D. For even they need to respect it a bit. If you know your D, you trade safer. Good luck.
SP:SPXShort
by i_am_siew
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 14, 2025 EURUSDThe euro remains under pressure: on Monday the pair slipped to 1.16750 after the European Commission extended its pause on retaliatory tariffs against the United States until 1 August. With no resolution in sight, the trade dispute keeps European exporters on edge and turns the dollar into a safe-haven choice for investors looking to limit risk. Additional support for the greenback comes from rising real yields. The 10-year U.S. Treasury rate is holding above 4.40 %, locking in a wide spread over German Bunds. That has led futures traders to price in just one 25 bp Federal Reserve rate cut for the rest of the year, reducing the euro’s relative appeal. Macro data from the euro area offer little relief. German industrial production rose only 0.2 % m/m in May, while the July ZEW expectations index slid back into negative territory. With the ECB having already delivered a June cut and projecting lower inflation ahead, inward capital flows to the eurozone remain subdued. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.16750, SL 1.17050, TP 1.16200
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURJPY Hits Major Weekly Supply | Is the Bull Run Over?EUR/JPY – Institutional Macro Context (COT) EUR (Euro) Non-commercials net longs increased by +16,146 → strong buying. Commercials added +25,799 long positions. ✅ Bias: Moderately bullish. JPY (Japanese Yen) Non-commercials decreased longs by -4,432. Commercials cut -20,405 long contracts. ❌ Bias: Bearish pressure remains on JPY. Conclusion (COT): EUR remains fundamentally strong, JPY structurally weak. Institutional flows favor long EUR/JPY, but positioning is stretched. Seasonality (July) EURJPY shows strong bullish seasonality in July, especially over the 2Y and 5Y averages (+1.03% and +0.66% respectively). ✅ Seasonality bias: Bullish. Retail Sentiment 89% of traders are short on EUR/JPY. Contrarian bias = bullish confirmation. Technical Analysis (Weekly View) Price is pushing into a major weekly supply zone around 172.50–173.00. RSI still elevated but showing signs of weakening momentum. Potential double top structure forming in confluence with liquidity grab. First downside target sits around 169.50 (daily demand zone). Awaiting a reaction in supply and confirmation for short. Trading Plan (Top-Down) Wait for price to reject the 172.50–173.00 area Watch for bearish confirmation on Daily (engulfing or lower high) Target: 169.50 zone Risk: tight above 173.20 (invalidating supply zone)
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
11
Gold Price Analysis July 14Gold confirmed a break above the key 3330 level on Friday, opening a clear uptrend. The reaction at the 3368 GAP zone further strengthens the current bullish momentum. With the current market structure, the bias is leaning towards buying on corrections around support zones. 🔍 Technical levels to watch: Support: 3345 – 3331 (potential buying zone) Resistance: 3387 – 3400 (bullish target) 📌 Trading strategy: BUY Trigger 1: Price tests and rejects the 3345 support zone BUY Trigger 2: Buy around 3331 – strong support zone 🎯 Target: 3400 The current trend favors a buying strategy on reasonable price correction conditions. It is necessary to monitor price action around support zones to confirm effective entry points.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Affected by tariffs, gold rose again.On Saturday, Trump announced that he would impose a 30% tariff on goods imported from the European Union and Mexico from August 1. This news triggered a rise in risk aversion in the market. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold was once again sought after. The price continued the rise on Friday and continued to open high in the early Asian session. As of now, the highest price reached around 3373. From the current market point of view, after breaking through the triangle pattern last Friday, there was a sharp rise. The price successfully stood on the short-term moving average, showing an overall bullish trend. However, it should be noted that the short-term moving average has not yet formed an upward cross, which means that there is a high possibility of a confirmation process in the future. Looking back at the trend in the past two months, gold rarely opens high and then continues to rise. Most of them open high and go low. Therefore, under the current situation, although it is bullish overall, it is not advisable to blindly chase more. It is more suitable to wait for a decline before arranging more orders. The key lies in grasping the decline position. From the perspective of pressure level, 3380-3385 is the first pressure level, and the second pressure level is 3395-3400. The support level below is around 3345, which is also the pressure level that has been emphasized in the early stage, and the top and bottom conversion position. For today's operation, Quaid recommends low-to-long. Operation strategy: Short near 3380, stop loss 3390, profit range 3360-3345 Long near 3345, stop loss 3335, profit range 3360-3380
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
ETH continues to gather more upward momentumETH continues to gather more upward momentum From our previous analysis, Ethereum is close to the last target, but the potential seems higher. On the 60-minute chart, the price has already formed a small bullish flag pattern, indicating that the bulls are in control of the price and ETH could move beyond our last target. I am looking for a possible upward move with targets at 3080; 3175 and 3250. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Long
by KlejdiCuni
11
ALGO: Surprise Rally Ahead?Yello Paradisers, did you spot that breakout from the descending channel in time or are you still waiting for confirmation that already happened? 💎#ALGO/USDT has officially broken out of its multi-week descending channel after a textbook Break of Structure (BoS). Price action gave us a beautiful retrace into the demand zone, and from there boom momentum began shifting. This move is now showing early signs of bullish continuation, but as always, the majority will only realize it once the big move is already done. 💎#ALGO had been trading within a clearly defined descending channel, with price reacting precisely between the descending resistance and descending support lines. The breakout occurred after a strong candle pierced the descending resistance, and more importantly, we got a BoS followed by a clean retest of the demand zone around $0.165–$0.175. That reaction was sharp and decisive, indicating strong interest from buyers stepping in. 💎As of now, it is trading near $0.186 and forming higher lows, which supports the idea of an ongoing trend reversal. The structure has changed, and bulls are slowly regaining control. If price sustains above $0.190, the doors open for further upside. The first key level that could slow momentum is minor resistance near $0.210. If that level breaks with volume, moderate resistance around $0.230 becomes the next critical zone. Above that, the major target sits at $0.260, a strong resistance area where a lot of liquidity could be triggered. 💎On the flip side, the strong support zone between $0.145 and $0.155 remains our invalidation area. If price drops below this range, the bullish setup collapses, and we reassess the entire structure. But unless that happens, the bias remains cautiously bullish. Trade Smart. Stay Patient. Be Consistent. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
7
Why Spain's Market Faces a Challenging Horizon?The IBEX 35, Spain's benchmark equity index, navigates a complex landscape. Despite encouraging macroeconomic indicators, including robust GDP growth and declining unemployment, underlying vulnerabilities persist. Political instability forms a significant headwind. A fragmented parliament, ongoing corruption scandals, and the specter of early elections create an environment of legislative gridlock. This uncertainty directly impacts investor confidence and hinders the effective implementation of crucial reforms and budget approvals, contributing to the IBEX 35's underperformance compared to its European counterparts in 2025. Social tensions further exacerbate the country's domestic challenges. Recent anti-migrant protests, such as those in Torre Pacheco, underscore a societal fragmentation that can deter foreign investment and impact labor dynamics. While immigration is vital for Spain's economic growth, rising anti-immigrant sentiment, potentially exploited by far-right political factions, introduces unpredictability into social cohesion and future policy directions. This confluence of political and social unease creates an unstable backdrop for businesses and investors. Beyond internal dynamics, global factors add to the pressure. Lingering uncertainties surrounding international trade, including potential US tariffs, pose risks for Spain's export-oriented sectors and its globally exposed corporations. Furthermore, while Spain champions renewable energy, persistently high electricity prices due to domestic policies continue to challenge industrial competitiveness. The historical context of ineffective deployment of significant EU NextGenerationEU funds, hampered by political hurdles, also raises concerns about Spain's long-term growth trajectory and its ability to capitalize on recovery initiatives. These combined elements suggest a difficult period ahead for the IBEX 35. Sectors sensitive to domestic policy, such as construction, banking, and real estate, face direct exposure to political uncertainty. Moreover, Spain's traditional reliance on tourism and agriculture makes it susceptible to external shocks, including global travel disruptions and climate change impacts like severe droughts. Investors must carefully assess these multifaceted risks, as they are likely to shape the IBEX 35's performance in the near to medium term.
BME:IBCShort
by UDIS_View
Why This Breakout Feels Like $29K and $48K – Big Moves Ahead?🤔📊 Why This Breakout Feels Like $29K and $48K – Big Moves Ahead? 🚀📈 Hey everyone! It’s Saturday, July 12th , and while the markets take a breather, it’s the perfect moment to zoom out and assess the bigger picture . Are we in for another retail weekend surge? Let’s break it down 🔍👇 After closely analyzing the charts, one thing becomes clear — this breakout is structurally similar to the previous key breakouts at $29K and $48K. In both historical cases, price surged significantly without immediately retesting the breakout level. ➡️ Back in 2020, price exploded +144% above the yellow level before ever coming back to test it. ➡️ At $48K, a similar move of +49% occurred before signs of exhaustion and a retest emerged. Fast forward to today: We've just broken above a massive ascending support zone — $114,921–$115K — and the market shows no intention of pulling back yet. This tells us something powerful: Momentum is in control. 💡 According to my technical roadmap, we may not see a retest of $115K anytime soon. Instead, the next target zone lies around $182K–$189K, depending on velocity and sentiment. With halving-to-ATH cycles historically lasting ~550 days, we’re well within that bullish window. Remember the channel support/last entry right after the Iran-Israel ceasefire on June 23rd? That’s been a defining entry and it’s still playing out beautifully. So we wish for geopolitical stability and peace. So, while it’s easy to feel left out — don’t short, don’t sulk. This may be our moment to ride the wave long. 🎯📉📈 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Long
by FX_Professor
1
Nucor | NUE | Long at $120.17Nucor NYSE:NUE , a US manufacture of steel and steel products, will likely capitalize on reduced foreign competition as tariffs become reality. The CEO also recently stated that the steelmaker's order backlog is the largest in its history and is increasing prices. So, while there is a potential for short-term downside as tariff "unknowns" are negotiated, the longer-term upside may be there for those who are patient... but time will tell. Basic Fundamentals: Current P/E: 21x Forward P/E: 15-16x Earnings are forecast to grow 29.6% per year Projected Revenue in 2025: $32.3 billion [*} Projected Revenue in 2028: $39.4 billion Debt-to-Equity: 0.4x (healthy) Dividend Yield: 1.8% Technical Analysis: Riding below the historical simple moving average and there is risk the daily price gap near $109 will close before moving higher. If there is a "crash" in price, $70s is absolutely possible which will be a "steel" if fundamentals do not change. Targets in 2027: $142.00 (+18.2%) $187.00 (+55.6%)
NYSE:NUELong
by WorthlessViews
GBP/JPY -H1- Channel Breakout (14.07.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 196.70 2nd Support – 195.53 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
43