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Fundamental Analysis

XLM is the pump over or just getting started !XLM / USDT What a huge weekly candle! We catched its strong move very early around 0.29$ a week ago (75% profits locked in spot) With a zoom out chart we can see price is setting up nicely with several tests of pattern boundary. Next test of the upper boundary can lead to huge breakout of this mega pattern ! NOTE: Price must not close below april low and should close above upper boundary unless that its just a range Keep an eye on it closely !
CRYPTO:XLMUSDLong
by Babenski
11
When will Altseason start?So with ETH.D sweeping its all time low I feel very confident that eth has made the low for this cycle as well as BTC.D retracing providing further confluence that this is the case and we will see eth start to outperform bitcoin but I begun to question where altcoins stand currently stand and when we will start to see them outperform both BTC and ETH as they currently bleed to them as Both ETH and BTC make higher lows while altcoin pairs are making lower lows. I feel like until we see a run above this trend line above the .82 lvl we will see altcoins bleed against ETH and BTC.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by SleeperPete
2
EURAUD → Correction for accumulation before growthFX:EURAUD reaches the zone of interest during a correction and forms a false breakdown of local support. Traders can switch to the buy side to support the trend. Against the backdrop of a global bullish trend and a correction in the euro, the currency pair is following this movement, the essence of which is to consolidate funds for further growth. Liquidation is forming in relation to the liquidity zones of 1.785, 1.78, and 1.773, and the market imbalance is changing. The current movement is bringing the price to the zone of interest: the liquidity area of 1.773 and the order block. The capture of liquidity relative to 1.773 leads to the formation of a false breakdown and a pullback to the area of interest for buyers. Accordingly, price consolidation above 1.776 and 0.7 Fibonacci could support the main trend and allow the price to strengthen. Support levels: 1.776, 1.773, 1.763 Resistance levels: 1.786, 1.795 The euro clearly demonstrates an upward trend, the structure of which has not been broken during the correction. Correction is a perfectly healthy movement within a trend, allowing positions to be opened at more favorable prices. If the bulls hold their defense above 1.776, momentum towards the specified targets may form. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
7/18/25 - $obtc - Portfolio update Friday7/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: OTC:OBTC Portfolio update Friday - it should be no surprise to you if you've followed my notes (to myself, which is really the point to airing everything out - though the friendships I've made have been a wonderful bonus)... that CRYPTOCAP:BTC is really the asset I know best, have cleared POV on and where my edge comes from (the intersection of understanding deeply the supply/mining, demand, deep tech stack/ dev side, and tradfi angles). - so at this point, spot CRYPTOCAP:BTC at $120k is v strong. - are there some signals here/ there that we reject $120k and head back to $100? $90k? sure, ofc. it's not where i spend most of my time. and why? b/c the direction is much higher. at this stage, there's 450 BTC mined a day. there are magnitudes more demand (5-10x on a given day). that's simple to understand if i gave you one ST data pt that is pretty illustrative. so $100k gets bought fast, $90k gets bought faster, $80k... i think might be off the table save for a black swan (always be ready for this) and upside is likely from $150k to $500k in a 12-18 mo context, i'd guess. - and i can hedge out this ST tape that keeps me feeling like i'm waking up in the twilight zone. retail is going bananas on profitless garbage. but here's the thing guys. retail DOESN'T OWN BTC. so don't let people tell you "they will come" or "they will dump if their other chitcoin stonks dump". they're priced out. don't let the unit bias freak you out. you get what you pay for, a lot, in life. so while yes you could buy a lotto stock, leverage the hell out of it and "be rich", this is usually the fast lane to financial irrelevancy and never "getting ahead" before you just throw in the towel, forever. take the long game seriously. compounding 20-30% pa for many years might not be what X financial "gurus" are showing you. but i'd guess 80% of them won't be around 3-5 yr from now. i've done this long enough to have conviction on this POV. the sooner you realize that patience, consistency (singles not homeruns) are what drive LT success over a 30 year (and god willing) 50 year career... you'll see what i mean: ***the singles you hit in 10Y are today's grand slams in terms of their size*** - so with that all being said, i'm hedging my 70% OBTC position (which has taken a v long time to get to that size w/o affecting px too much) with IBIT ATM P's through Oct - I've spoken to Osprey and the convert is going to happen. v likely they're trying to do an in-kind mechanism (which btw they should get sued for b/c it's for their advantage and at the disadvantage to investors seeking liquidity for YEARS) but nevertheless, their error and everyone's impatience gives you a 13-14% discount to SPOT bitcoin as I write this - so the IBIT hedge allows me to "use" 3% of my capital and hedge almost HALF of this 70% (so 30-35% effective short). the idea being, if we do dump, it likely/ always happens fast (rolling liquidations) and i have bought myself the option to close the short and roll into more OBTC, or just keep my exposure w/o hedge. if OBTC converts early, great, i get a 10-15% pop. if OBTC converts on it's own terms, and we run into YE, i pay "3%" sure... but way more than make up for this in the px action of spot+OBTC px action. - in other words: - heads i win - tails i win, maybe a bit less NXT, GAMB and TSLA represent my only stock exposure at the moment SES is small given it's market cap, and i have that locked up (sold a bunch of covered calls given today's px action) at the $1 strike for oct, so it's just a super high yield cash position for me at this rate Hope that helps. Have a good weekend my friends. V
OTC:OBTCLong
by VROCKSTAR
SHIB — Starting a Bullish Climb?📈 SHIB Breaks Downtrend — Starting a Bullish Climb 🔥🐾 Shiba Inu just pierced its descending resistance line on the 8‑day chart—signaling a trend reversal🔥 On the 1‑hour chart: SHIB has climbed above a key resistance zone (~0.00001510–0.00001550 USDT) Now forming a potential retest → bounce setup Close support lies near 0.00001400, with resistance at ~0.00001600–0.00001620 If the retest holds, SHIB could climb toward 0.00002497 (projected breakout-high), and potentially push further into the 0.00003–0.00005 range if broader momentum kicks in. 📰 Recent SHIB Highlights AI & Burn Surge: SHIB recently spiked ~3%, hitting a 7‑week high as burn rates and AI whitepaper buzz fueled optimism Technical breakout: Surpassed a 26‑day EMA resistance (~0.00001280) with +93% volume increase, RSI/MACD showing room to grow toward 0.000015 c Price outlook: Analysts predict SHIB to reach ~0.000016 by July 23—about +9% upside in the next few days Ecosystem strength: With Shibarium L2, NFT and metaverse initiatives, and strong community support, SHIB is seen as one of the top meme‑ecosystem plays Market cap stands near $8.9B, same as Uniswap – highlighting SHIB’s heavyweight presence despite price lag. CoinCodex 🎯 Trade Setup & Targets Level Zone (USDT) Importance Support 0.00001400–0.00001450 Ideal retest zone Short Target 0.00001600–0.00001620 Near-term bounce objective Mid Target 0.00002497 Measured breakout target Sky’s Limit 0.000030–0.000045 If momentum aligns with narrative Stop-loss can be placed just below 0.00001350 to protect against false breaks. 🐶 Punchlines for Chart Overlay Top Chart (1‑hr): “Bounce incoming? Shib's paws are itching for the bounce-off!” 🐾🔁 Bottom Chart (8‑day): “8‑week high unlocked—time to dig for next bones!” 🦴📈 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Long
by FX_Professor
ROIV: A Speculative Biotech Play with Cash in the Bank and CatalRoivant Sciences (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ROIV ) is one of the more intriguing speculative plays in the biotech sector right now. Trading around $11.45, the stock offers exposure to a deep pipeline of clinical-stage assets through its decentralized “Vant” model—subsidiaries focused on specific therapeutic areas like Immunovant (autoimmune), Pulmovant (pulmonary), and Priovant (inflammatory and dermatological conditions). The company went public via SPAC in 2021 and has maintained a capital-efficient approach, acquiring and spinning off promising drug candidates. What sets Roivant apart is its incredibly strong balance sheet: nearly $5 billion in cash and equivalents with minimal debt. That translates to about $7 per share in net cash, giving it one of the strongest financial positions in the biotech sector and a long operational runway. Roivant’s upcoming earnings call on August 7 (after market close) will be closely watched. Investors are particularly focused on late-stage clinical data expected in the second half of the year, including Phase III readouts for brepocitinib (Priovant) and updates from Immunovant’s FcRn inhibitor programs. These results could serve as major price catalysts. Financially, Roivant is still burning cash, as expected at this stage. The most recent quarterly earnings showed an EPS loss of –$0.29, missing analyst expectations. Revenue came in at $7.6 million—above estimates but significantly below the prior year’s figure of $28.9 million. Free cash flow was –$844 million for the year, but with a current ratio over 30 and a healthy reserve, the company is in no danger of running out of capital in the near term. Technical Outlook: Holding Range, Eyes on Breakout The daily chart shows ROIV in a tight $10.80–$11.80 range, consolidating after a solid run. While the short-term 15-min chart showed a recent pullback, support held at $11.40 and triggered a fresh entry signal in our system. MACD is flattening and could curl bullish again soon. On the daily, MACD remains bullish with room to run if volume enters. A break above $11.70–$11.80 could trigger the next leg toward $12+, and ultimately the psychological and options-heavy $13 level. Options Activity: Big Bet on October $13 Calls What’s catching serious attention is unusual options flow on the October $13 call contracts. Over 17,000 contracts are open, with recent trades in the $0.45–$0.55 range—showing real speculative interest in a move above $13 by Q4. That’s about a 13% move from current levels, well within range for biotech on a good catalyst. I like the $12 August call for ROIV offers a more conservative upside play than the $13 strike, with less distance to break-even and still attractive risk/reward. Trading around $0.20–$0.25, it only requires an ~5% move to be in the money, making it a more realistic target if momentum builds post-earnings or on positive trial news. With less premium risk and higher probability, it’s a smart middle ground. And it's not a bad buy at $12 heading into Q4. My Position I’ve taken a very small position in near-term calls to test the setup and stay engaged. The combination of: A strong cash runway Upcoming catalysts Technical setup near breakout And rising options interest makes ROIV a name to watch closely. The Setup: Binary Risk, Asymmetrical Reward For those considering the October contracts, this is a classic biotech setup: Defined risk (premium paid) Asymmetrical upside if catalysts hit A clear breakout level to monitor ($13+) And a high cash floor that provides downside cushion This fits perfectly into a broader strategy of small speculative bets with high return potential. Roivant isn’t without risk—trial results and sentiment shifts matter—but it’s one of the better-positioned clinical-stage plays heading into the second half of 2025. Watch for updates on Priovant and Immunovant, track the $13 level, and monitor volume and MACD crossovers for clues. If this stock breaks out, October could be the window.
NASDAQ:ROIV
by seed
TRUMP Token's $950 Million Unlock Sparks Short-Lived Price RallyBINANCE:TRUMPUSDT recently saw its first major token unlock in six months, which flooded the market with fresh supply. The 90 million TRUMP tokens unlocked today are much smaller than the previous unlock in January, yet they still increased liquidity significantly. However, the lack of response to the unlock, despite the substantial capital entering the market, further indicates a cooling of investor enthusiasm around the meme coin BINANCE:TRUMPUSDT price rose by 5% today, trading at $10.39 at the time of writing. It briefly surged by 10% during the intraday high , but the rally was short-lived, and the price retraced. If BINANCE:TRUMPUSDT fails to breach the $10.97 resistance level again, the coin could face potential corrections to $9.63 , making recovery difficult. The token will need strong demand to push past this resistance and secure more gains. However, should BINANCE:TRUMPUSDT capitalize on broader market bullish momentum, it could break past $10.97 and reach $11.00 . This would likely invalidate the current bearish outlook and provide an opportunity for a further rise to $12.18.
by aaryamann_shrivastava_bic
Rob the Rally SPX500: Enter Before Resistance Catches You🦹‍♂️💰**“SPX500 Street Heist” – Thief-Style Robbery Plan for Bulls!**📈💸 (Powered by Thief Trader's Market Robbing Tactics – Scalp | Swing | Day Trade Edition) 🌍Hello, Global Money Hunters! 📣 Salaam, Bonjour, Ola, Hola, Hallo, Marhaba & Welcome to the heist floor! 🎩💼 Thief Trader is back again with a loaded plan to rob the market clean — this time targeting the mighty SPX500 / US500 🎯. Based on a fusion of technical setups, macro sentiment, and the Thief Trading System, we’ve set our sights on the next breakout vault of Wall Street. 🎯 The Gameplan – Heist the Resistance Vault The index is entering a high-risk resistance barricade — overbought, consolidated, and heavily guarded by bearish robbers (sellers). This is the zone where the market police lurk and trend reversals often get triggered. However, smart thieves always plan with precision. Here’s the mission briefing: 🔓Entry Zone (Break-in Point) 💥 “The vault is open — grab the bullish loot!” Enter Long anywhere close to market price or on pullbacks near recent swing lows/highs. Preferred timeframes: 15-min to 30-min for sniper-level accuracy. Deploy DCA-style limit orders (layered entries for maximum control). 🛑Stop Loss (Escape Hatch) Base SL on recent swing low candle wicks on the 4H timeframe. Suggested: ~6250.00 — but adapt based on your risk appetite, lot size, and position stacking. 📈Target / Loot Location 🎯 Primary Take-Profit: 6450.00 Or… pull out early if you spot resistance fighters guarding the vault. Use trailing SL to secure gains and manage getaway. ⚡Scalper’s Notice Only Long-side allowed! Got big capital? Jump in now. Running low? Tag along with swing traders and follow the robbery protocol. Always protect your bag with dynamic trailing stops. 🧠Fundamental Fuel Behind the Plan Bullish sentiment across major indices Macro trends, COT positioning, sentiment outlook, and intermarket analysis all greenlit Geopolitical and Fed tone supportive — tap into real data before entering 👉 Always analyze: News, Fundamentals, Sentiment, COT reports, and macro conditions. 🚨NEWS ZONE ALERT – No Loud Moves! Avoid entry during major economic news drops Use trailing SLs to guard profits Don’t let your open trades get caught in the chaos of news releases! 💥Let’s Boost the Thief Army! Smash the BOOST button 💖 to power up the robbery crew. Support the strategy, share the love, and stay ahead of the game using Thief Trading Style. Every trade is a step closer to freedom from financial traps. 🚀💰🎉 📌Disclaimer: This is a general market analysis for educational purposes and should not be considered personal financial advice. Please evaluate your own risk management strategy before placing trades. 📌Markets shift fast — stay flexible, stay alert, and always rob smart. 🔥Stay locked in for the next heist plan — Thief Trader signing off for now… 💸💼📈 Trade smart. Rob harder. 🤑🦹‍♂️📊
BLACKBULL:SPX500Long
by The-Thief
Dogecoin Leads Meme Coins With 12% Rally In 24 HoursBINANCE:DOGEUSDT , the leader of meme coins, surged 12% over the last 24 hours , reaching $0.239. This rally has positively impacted other meme tokens, showcasing DOGE’s influence within the market. Currently facing resistance at $0.245, BINANCE:DOGEUSDT has reached a 2-month high . The Parabolic SAR below the candlesticks signals that DOGE is likely to maintain its upward trend in the coming days. If this support holds, the meme coin could continue pushing towards higher price levels, attracting more buyers and momentum. However, meme coins are volatile. If BINANCE:DOGEUSDT holders decide to cash out their profits, the price could drop back down to $0.220 . Losing this support would invalidate the bullish outlook, signaling a possible downturn for the altcoin in the short term.
by aaryamann_shrivastava_bic
AVAX is Back: Subnets, Upgrades, and Institutional Momentum🚀🧠 AVAX: Subnets, Upgrades, and Institutional Momentum 🔧🏛️ Avalanche (AVAX ) is starting to shape up again — not just on the chart, but at the infrastructure and institutional level too. As part of the Altcoin Series, I continue to trade these setups while preparing for a time when I’ll divorce alts emotionally and treat them for what they are — assets to be traded, not worshipped. But right now? This one looks strong. 📊 Chart Breakdown Left side: Macro chart (8H) ✅ We've just completed a successful third touch of structural support — you can see the 1–2–3 test boxed below the $18.64 level 📍 That’s usually where conviction builds, and reversals are born 🚀 A massive breakout confirmation comes if we close above $22.97 — the level to watch 🧱 Above that, the path opens toward higher fib levels: $27.65 → $35.13 → $43.63 and beyond Right side: Micro structure (30-min chart) 🔍 A descending wedge or coil forming — typical of consolidation before breakout This price action is tightening into a decision point, right around $20.80–$21 I expect a breakout soon, with a push toward the macro trigger at $22.97 🧩 What’s New with AVAX? Avalanche 9000 Upgrade is Live Major performance overhaul: cheaper subnets, faster deployment Subnets now act more like sovereign L1s, enhancing utility across the board Developer cost dropped by over 99%, inviting serious builders DeFi, Real-World Assets & Ecosystem Growth TVL > $5B VanEck’s $100M Treasury Fund now tokenized on Avalanche Over 515M transactions per month Real-world integrations with Alipay, California DMV, and more Enterprise Expansion FIFA subnet launch (NFTs, tickets, collectibles) Institutional panels at Avalanche Summit London Avalanche’s vision: a custom chain for every institution Retro9000 Grant Program $40M set aside to fuel L1 growth via subnets Analysts expect 300% subnet growth by Q4 2025 🧠 The Mindset: Trade, Not Worship AVAX is a great example of why I'm preparing to divorce altcoins at the cycle top. It’s gone from hype to silence... and now to real infrastructure momentum. So yes — I’m bullish. But I’m not here for belief — I’m here for the structure. ✅ Buy over support ✅ Breakout over $22.97 🛑 Stop-loss if structure fails 🎯 Targets: $27.65 → $35.13 → $43.63+ 🏁 Final Word Avalanche is rebuilding — on-chain, in the real world, and on the chart. It has subnets, speed, and now institutional backing. Let’s trade it smart. Let’s trade it without emotions, do your risk management and don't listen to me. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Long
by FX_Professor
1
The Trader’s Journey: From Hope to MasteryLadies and gentlemen, fellow traders, Whether you've just opened your first trading account or you’re already seeing consistent returns, I want to speak directly to your journey — The Trader’s Journey. It’s a path filled with hope, confusion, pain, breakthroughs, and ultimately, mastery. Trading is not a get-rich-quick scheme — it’s a mirror. It shows you your discipline, your patience, your weaknesses, and your potential. Let me walk you through six powerful stages that every successful trader must face. Stage 1: The Beginner This is where the fire is lit. You’ve just discovered trading — maybe you saw a video of someone making thousands in minutes, or a friend introduced you. You’re excited. You dream of quitting your job, making money in your sleep, living free. You don’t know much, but your heart is in it. And that’s okay. Every trader starts here — driven by curiosity and ambition. But beware: this is where most get trapped in illusion. Stage 2: The Gambler Without knowledge, the beginner becomes the gambler. You enter trades without analysis. You chase signals from Telegram channels. You over-leverage, revenge trade, and your emotions run the show. You win once, lose three times, and still believe the next trade is “the one.” At this stage, you’re not trading — you’re hoping. There’s no edge. Only chaos. The gambler loses money, but gains the most valuable asset: humility. Stage 3: The Sponge Now that you’ve felt the pain of gambling, you decide to get serious. You become the sponge. You buy courses. Watch endless YouTube videos. Download PDFs. Join mentorships. You’re learning — and learning — and learning. But here’s the danger: information overload. You start to believe more knowledge equals better results. But unless that knowledge is applied, tested, and internalized, it’s just noise. The sponge must eventually learn to filter, to focus, and to practice. Stage 4: The Fighter You’ve gained skills. Your chart looks cleaner. You can explain concepts now. You win some trades. You lose some. Sometimes you even feel like you’ve cracked it. But you’re still fighting. You jump from one strategy to another. You change your system after one bad week. You second-guess yourself. You're in the emotional trenches — and it’s exhausting. But this stage is crucial. Because it’s here that most quit. To move forward, the fighter must develop emotional control, patience, and a trading plan they can trust. Stage 5: The Climber Now, you're becoming a climber. You’ve found your edge. You follow your rules. You journal your trades. You’re no longer driven by thrill, but by execution. You’ve stopped chasing profits — now you chase process. You start seeing consistent returns. Risk management is no longer optional — it’s your oxygen. And trading is no longer about proving yourself — it’s about preserving and growing. The climber is building the foundation of long-term wealth. Stage 6: The Oracle And finally, the oracle. This trader has mastered not just the charts — but themselves. They understand that trading is 80% psychology and 20% execution. They know when not to trade. They know when to rest. Their results speak, but their ego is silent. They don’t need to be right — they need to be disciplined. They live by probabilities. They’ve seen every market condition. And they’ve turned trading into a business — not a hobby. This is mastery. This is where the journey leads. In Conclusion My fellow traders — wherever you are in this journey, honor it. Don’t rush the process. Each stage has its purpose, and each stage will shape you. You’ll lose trades. You’ll doubt yourself. You’ll feel like giving up. But if you stay committed — not just to profits, but to growth — you will climb. Remember: The market doesn’t reward perfection. It rewards consistency. It rewards discipline. It rewards self-awareness. So I ask you: 🔥 Are you willing to fight through frustration? 🔥 Are you willing to outlast the noise? 🔥 Are you willing to master yourself before mastering the market? Because if you are… then one day, you won’t just be another trader. You’ll be a professional. An oracle. Thank you — and trade well.
Education
by Dr_Bazigu_Rodgers
ETH 1D Overview Finally we are seeing altcoins regaining lost ground on Bitcoin and the second largest crypto by market cap is rallying strong. Since ETH has such strength currently the opportunity to short is quite slim with high risk, however I think it's important to see where ETH may find some resistance or if a pullback was to happen, where would it come from? The first level is the bearish orderblock level that has just been tapped as of writing. This area previously began the sell-off at the end of 2024 by confirming a new lower high. Naturally this area will present problems for the bulls and so a potential pullback could be initiated from this level. I would like to see a sweep of the stop loss positions just above the area and then a SFP to confirm the pullback is in motion. Should the bearish orderblock fail the next clear level is the daily local top around $4000. A big even level and the area that started 5 months of downtrend. IMO the most likely level where longs will take profit. I do think if we see any form of consolidation between the bearish orderblock and the local high the bulls will look to carry the rally on, shallow pullbacks maintain momentum Ten out of the last eleven days have been green candles with the only one day being red just above a key high, I expect if we are to get a pullback that bullish orderblock area ($2900-3000) to be retested as support. Therefor if any of the above areas initiate a pullback this area should provide support and therefor a long entry. To clarify I am in no way bearish about Ethereum, this is just a plan for different eventualities.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by ProR35
Altcoin Market Structure Outlook | ETH/BTC Rotation AnalysisThis chart outlines a cyclical framework I'm using to anticipate a potential bottom in altcoins heading into Q4. Currently, ETH is outperforming BTC, and altcoins are following its momentum - though many continue to make lower lows relative to ETH.D but as long as eth rallies I see Alts keeping up. Historically, we've seen altcoin capitulation phases follow a two-stage structure: an initial local bottom in June/July, followed by a final sweep or structural low into October (Q4), as observed in both 2023 and 2024. Given this repeating seasonal pattern, I expect ETH to potentially retrace against BTC in Q4 making a higher low, which could set the stage for altcoins to make a lower low and retest their key range lows — particularly near the 0.25 ETH/BTC level. Should ETH maintain a higher low and resume trend afterward, it would likely mark a rotation point where capital begins flowing into higher-beta altcoins. Coupled with potential macro tailwinds like rate cuts or dovish policy pivots, this scenario could trigger a strong altcoin rally from Q4 into Q1. This chart aims to visualize that rotational capital flow and position sizing opportunity across the cycle.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by SleeperPete
ETHUSD heading towards the top of the D1 frame✏️ CRYPTO:ETHUSD is in a strong uptrend towards the resistance zone of the 3800 daily frame. There are not many conditions for the sellers to jump in and reverse the current trend. Wait for the price reaction at the resistance of the D1 frame to consider the SELL strategy. Because currently if BUY is too Fomo. 📉 Key Levels Sell trigger: Rejection from 3800 Target 3400, potentially 3,380 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
by VHT_Trader