Select Your Trading Time
There’s an old saying:
“Plan your trade, and trade your plan.”
But I want to add something even more important:
“Pick your time to trade.”
---
💰 The Market Is Not Your ATM
Everyone enters trading with one goal: make money.
Some even think of the market as an ATM — pull the handle, cash comes out.
But the truth is:
❌ The market doesn’t care about your goals
❌ It won’t move just because you need to make money today
This is a brutal game. And you don’t control the clock.
---
⚠️ When You Force a Trade...
Too many traders say:
“I have to make money today.”
“I need to hit $X this week.”
“I just took a loss, I must come back now.”
That kind of thinking leads to:
Bad entries
Overtrading
Emotional decisions
Big losses
❗ Trading success doesn’t come from forcing outcomes — it comes from waiting for the right moments.
---
🧠 What Happens on Low-Volatility Days
Let’s take today as an example.
SPY moved in a 2-point range all day.
No momentum, no trend, just chop.
Some traders:
Ran one QS signal after another
Forced trades just to feel busy
Got chopped up by fast reversals
Then blamed the signals
But here’s the truth:
AI or not , you can’t expect any long-volatility trade to work when the market is dead still.
The only winners on days like today? Market makers and options sellers.
---
❓ Why Trade at All on a Day Like This?
If the market isn’t offering opportunity,
Why force it? Why chase trades? Why burn your energy?
The smarter move is:
Sit out
Observe
Wait for better setups
Preserve your mental and financial capital
---
🔄 Recovery? Yes — But on Your Terms
Some traders lose money and say:
“I need to make it back today.”
That’s emotional revenge trading.
What if the market doesn’t give you a clean opportunity today?
Are you still going to go all-in, out of frustration?
❌ That’s not a strategy. That’s gambling.
---
📍 QS Signals Are a Map — Not a Magic Button
QS AI signals help you find opportunities — but even the best map won’t help if:
You're in the wrong city (bad market environment)
You’re rushing without checking road conditions (volatility, news, timing)
Even with QS, you don’t have to trade every day, every hour.
---
✅ What You Should Do
Be patient
Respect market conditions
Take a break on slow or tricky days
Come back when the odds are in your favor
---
🧘♂️ Final Words
You don’t have to win every day.
You don’t have to trade every day.
You don’t even have to be active to be successful.
🎯 Trade less. Trade smarter. Select your time wisely.
That’s how real traders survive and thrive in this game.
Fundamental Analysis
How We’ll Trade Earnings This Season Earnings season is almost here — and if you're with QS, you’re already holding the most powerful edge in the market.
Let me walk you through how QS trades earnings, why we built 💸earning-signal, and how you can use it most effectively this quarter.
---
📜 A Little History: The Birth of 💸earning-signal
When QS launched in early April, we started with just two short-term signals:
⏰0dte
📅weekly-options
Both focused on short-term options trades.
Then came TSLA earnings in late April. That’s when we launched our very first 💸earning-signal — and nailed the prediction.
Since then?
We’ve had one of the best earnings win streaks on the internet. Period.
📌 Don’t take my word for it — check:
#✅signal-recap for the track record
#🤑profits and #🤩member-testimonials for real wins from members
---
🤖 Why We Built a Separate Earnings Signal
Earnings are not regular trading days. The dynamics are completely different.
On normal days, a stock might move <1%
On earnings? 10–20% swings are common
This is what we call a “pivot event” — and it requires a different engine to predict.
That’s why we separated:
📅 #weekly-options → normal day-to-day setups
💸 #earning-signal → high-volatility earnings plays
---
🧠 How a Human Would Trade Earnings...
If you wanted to manually trade an earnings report, you’d need to analyze:
Past earnings reactions
Analyst expectations
Earnings call language
Financial statement surprises
Options IV & skew
Post-earnings stock behavior
This would take hours (or days) — and most retail traders don’t have time.
---
⚙️ How QS AI Does It Instead
We built 💸earning-signal to do all that work for you — and more.
✅ It pulls in all the data above
✅ Runs it through 5 top LLM models (each acts as an independent analyst)
✅ Aggregates their insights + calculates probability-weighted direction & strategy
✅ Uses fine-tuning to learn from its past prediction success/failures
This means: faster decisions, deeper insights, and better accuracy — every week.
We don’t just run predictions. We let the AI learn from past mistakes and self-improve each quarter.
---
💥 Results Speak for Themselves
Last season, we nailed:
TSLA
MSFT (10x–20x winners!)
NVDA
AAPL
And many more...
All based on this unique AI-driven earnings analysis stack.
This season?
We’re going harder, faster, and even smarter. 📈
🎯 The goal is clear:
Make 💸earning-signal the #1 earnings prediction system in the world.
---
🧩 Final Notes
Earnings are 10x harder to trade than regular days
But with QS, you’re equipped with 500x the speed and insight of an average trader
Upgrade if you haven’t yet: #💰upgrade-instructions
Earnings season kicks off next week
Let’s get it.
Let’s win big.
Let’s make season 2 of 💸earning-signal our most legendary yet. 🚀💸
BTCUSDT[BITCOIN]:Price is Likely to be Heading Towards $144,000.Recently, Bitcoin has shown extreme bullish price behaviour, and there’s no sign of bearish influence in the market. After monitoring the price since May 4th, we believe there’s a high possibility of price hitting the 120k region first. This could be followed by a small correction around 105k, where a strong bullish price influence will lead the price to our final target at 140k. Both fundamental and technical factors support this view, but it doesn’t guarantee the price will follow our expectations.
Before investing or trading cryptocurrencies, do your own research as they carry significant financial risk. This chart analysis is for educational or secondary purposes only.
Good luck and trade safely.
If you want to support and encourage us, you can do the following: ❤️
-Like the idea
-Comment the idea
-Share ;)
Team Setupsfx_
BTCUSDT[BITCOIN]: $150,000 On The Way In Making!Hey there everyone!
Bitcoin took a bit of a dip around 105k, but it’s right back at a crucial level now. We’re keeping a close eye on the daily volume and expecting it to soar towards $115,000 before it might take another dip if the buying pressure dries up.
We’ve got three targets in mind, and you can set or look at them however you like based on your own analysis and preferences. The crypto market is going to be buzzing with volume, so keep an eye on the news and stay focused on the fundamentals. In the world of cryptocurrencies, fundamentals are more important than technicals, and it’s a whole different ball game compared to forex or gold.
Good luck with your trading, and please like and comment on this idea to show us your support. We really appreciate your support throughout our journey, and we’re excited to see it grow and continue.
If you’d like us to analyse a specific pair, just let us know!
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx_❤️
BTC/USD 1H: Uptrend Consolidation - Key Levels to WatchQuick Look at Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-Hour Chart - Kraken
Alright, let's dive into what Bitcoin's doing on the 1-hour chart. We've seen BTC in a pretty solid uptrend lately, cruising nicely within that ascending channel. It recently had a fantastic run, pushing right past the $110,432.8 resistance level – a great sign!
But now, it looks like Bitcoin is taking a breather. It's currently consolidating in that upper blue box, roughly hanging out between $116,000 and $118,000. This kind of sideways movement often means the market is trying to figure out its next big move after a strong push. Are buyers reloading, or are sellers starting to step in? That's the big question.
Here's what I'm keeping an eye on:
On the Upside: The immediate hurdle is the top of this current consolidation range, right around $118,722.1, which also lines up with the upper trendline of our channel. If Bitcoin can break convincingly above that, we could see another leg up – definitely a bullish signal!
On the Downside: If it can't hold this range and starts to dip, the first area of interest for support is that lower blue box, roughly $114,000 to $115,000. That's where I'd expect some buyers to potentially step back in.
Stronger Safety Nets: Don't forget that $110,432.8 level. It was tough resistance before, so it should now act as a pretty strong support if we see a deeper pullback. And, of course, the bottom trendline of our ascending channel and $107,386.3 are there as well.
My Takeaway:
Bitcoin's in a strong position overall, but this consolidation is key. The next big move will tell us a lot. Keep an eye on those breakout or breakdown points – that's where the action will be!
XRP - This is one of many great opportunitiesXRP is reaching a solid level of $2.1.
I believe this level will attract investors for the following reasons :
Technicals :
After breaking the main resistance trendline, XRP is now reaching a solid support level presented in green.
Price action :
- In accumulating since Jan '25
- Resisted to last market dumps
Beyond technicals :
- Very strong community
- Real services and strong team
Market sentiment :
The investors are now looking for a strong asset to invest in. They may switch their alts to any coin that shows strenght. For now, XRP is on the top list.
Recap :
- Risks : bad news from the team , whales dumping , ...
- Main Target : $4
- Reward : near 100%
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD COINBASE:XRPUSD BYBIT:XRPUSDT.P CRYPTOCAP:XRP KUCOIN:XRPUSDT
GBPCHF - Continuation Setup towards 1.0770GBPCHF recently descended with strength, and I’ve been watching to see how price reacts here.
Price now hovers above and this is a great indication for us to use for possible continuation move, that could send price into the 1.0770 level.
But if price breaks above with momentum, then I’ll back off the bearish bias and reassess, and I’d consider the continuation idea invalidated, with potential for further upside.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SOLUSDT → Countertrend correction and hunt for liquidityBINANCE:SOLUSDT looks quite promising on the bullish side. The price is testing one of the key resistance levels within the local trend rally. A correction is forming. Is it beneficial for us?
On the higher timeframe, we see a change in character, a breakout of the trend resistance, and the formation of an upward trend support line. Bitcoin is still bullish (locally) at this time, but it is consolidating, which generally provokes a correction in SOL as well. Focus on the 150-149 area. If the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone after the retest, followed by the formation of momentum, this can be considered a positive medium-term sign.
Locally, the price within the trading range of 149.36 - 158 is heading towards the area of interest and liquidity (eql) at 149.36. The current sell-off is most likely triggered by a large player seeking a more favorable entry into the market.
Resistance levels: 154.75, 156.8
Support levels: 149.36, 147.93
In the current situation, it makes the most sense to consider an intraday trading strategy. A countertrend correction and a retest of support could attract buyers...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Learn the 3 TYPES of MARKET ANALYSIS in Gold Forex Trading
In the today's post, we will discuss 3 types of analysis of a financial market.
🛠1 - Technical Analysis
Technical analysis focuses on p rice action, key levels, technical indicators and technical tools for the assessment of a market sentiment.
Pure technician thoroughly believes that the price chart reflects all the news, all the actions of big and small players. With a proper application of technical strategies, technical analysts make predictions and identify trading opportunities.
In the example above, the trader applies price action patterns, candlestick analysis, key levels and 2 technical indicators to make a prediction that the market will drop to a key horizontal support from a solid horizontal resistance.
📰2 - Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysts assess the key factors and related data that drive the value of an asset.
These factors are diverse: it can be geopolitical events, macro and micro economic news, financial statements, etc.
Fundamental traders usually make trading decision and forecasts, relying on fundamental data alone and completely neglecting a chart analysis.
Price action on Gold on a daily time frame could be easily predicted, applying a fundamental analysis.
A bearish trend was driven by FED Interest Rates tightening program,
while a strong bullish rally initiated after escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
📊🔬 3 - Combination of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Such traders combine the principles of both Technical and Fundamental approaches.
When they are looking for trading opportunities, they analyze the price chart and make predictions accordingly.
Then, they analyze the current related fundamentals and compare the technical and fundamental biases.
If the outlooks match , one opens a trading position.
In the example above, Gold reached a solid horizontal daily support.
Testing the underlined structure, the price formed a falling wedge pattern and a double bottom, breaking both a horizontal neckline and a resistance of the wedge.
These were 2 significant bullish technical confirmation.
At the same time, the escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict left a very bullish fundamental confirmation.
It is an endless debate which method is better.
Each has its own pros and cons.
I strongly believe that one can make money mastering any of those.
Just choose the method that you prefer, study it, practice and one day you will make it.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Overtrading – The Silent Threat to Consistent PerformanceTrader Psychology | Part 1: Overtrading – The Silent Threat to Consistent Performance
In trading, more does not mean better. One of the most common and damaging psychological pitfalls traders fall into is overtrading — executing too many trades, often without clear setups, simply to stay active in the market.
It’s subtle, it feels productive… but it quietly erodes both your capital and your discipline.
💡 What Is Overtrading?
Overtrading occurs when a trader opens excessive positions, often outside of their strategy or plan. It’s driven by emotions rather than logic, and usually shows up in one of the following forms:
Taking trades without confirmation
Trying to "make back" previous losses (revenge trading)
Forcing trades during low-volume market conditions
Trading simply out of boredom or anxiety about missing out
It’s not just about the number of trades — it’s about why you’re taking them.
⚠️ How to Know You're Overtrading
You're entering trades that don’t meet your criteria
You feel uncomfortable not having an active position
You trade aggressively after a loss
You switch strategies frequently
Your trading feels more like activity than decision-making
You’re losing more in fees/spread than on price movement
🧠 Why Overtrading Happens
🔹 The Need to Be "Active"
Traders often equate activity with productivity. But the truth is, patience is a trading skill — doing nothing is sometimes the most profitable move.
🔹 Pressure to Perform Daily
Some traders feel they must generate daily profits. This mindset leads to forcing trades during uncertain or low-probability conditions.
🔹 Overconfidence After Wins
A short winning streak can create the illusion of control, pushing traders to increase frequency and risk — usually without real setups to back it up.
🔻 The Cost of Overtrading
Rapid Drawdowns: Frequent small losses and transaction costs add up quickly
Emotional Fatigue: Decision-making becomes reactive instead of rational
Loss of Trust in Your System: Not because the system failed — but because it wasn’t followed
Increased Costs: Spreads, commissions, and swaps eat into your margin
Overtrading doesn’t just hurt your balance. It damages your confidence, focus, and mental capital.
✅ How to Stop Overtrading – Practical Fixes
1. Set a Daily Trade Limit
Commit to a maximum number of trades per session (e.g., 2–3 trades). This forces you to wait for the best opportunities.
2. Track Your Trades in a Journal
Log each trade: the setup, your reasoning, emotions, and outcome. Over time, this reveals emotional patterns and helps you regain discipline.
3. Trade Only During Key Market Hours
Avoid trading during illiquid sessions. Focus on London and New York overlaps, where structure and volatility are present.
4. Accept That Flat Is a Position
Not being in a trade is often a smart decision. Staying out preserves capital and prepares you for higher-probability setups.
🎯 Final Thoughts
Overtrading is not a technical flaw — it’s a psychological leak.
If you want longevity in this game, you must master more than charts — you must master yourself.
“The market doesn’t reward activity. It rewards patience, precision, and emotional control.”
Next time you feel the urge to trade "just because" — pause, breathe, and ask yourself: Is this trade part of my edge?
📌 Coming Up Next:
Trader Psychology | Part 2: FOMO – Why Fear of Missing Out Can Destroy Good Traders
🔔 Follow this profile to be notified when the next chapter is live.
NQ: Upcoming Weekly analysis!FA Analysis:
1- Tariff On/Off: The noise will continue this week as well. Europe will be the target this week.
Uncertainty OR Eternity pause? Market might tend towards Eternity pause which is positive for stocks and equities.
2- New Earnings season: This will be on the driver seat for the next few weeks. Positive earnings for major stocks will impact positively NQ and vice-versa.
3- Macroeconomic data:
CPI and PPI will be relevant for July rate cut. Lower and inline inflation will be very good for July Rate cut; hence very good for Equities. Higher inflation data will be bad.
Also, Consumer sentiment and Inflation expectations, later in the week, will be very relevant.
So from FA Analysis, US equities might go either direction based on data outcomes.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF: Direction is Buy!
The weekly close was irrelevant; it was inside the bullish green candle. Price must break and close below or above the master weekly candle to establish clear direction.
So nothing to trade from weekly perspective.
Daily TF: Direction is Neutral!
Same as weekly TF, we got an irrelevant daily close, inside the previous daily green candle (red dotted lines).
Price must break and close either below or above the dotted red lines for a clear direction.
Hourly TF: Direction is Neutral!
Based on the Weekly and Daily TF, clearly price is consolidating and looking for FA data to make decision on the next move.
Price is making LL-LH-HL-HH... and switching from one side to another reinforcing the consolidation.
Here are two scenarios:
Scenario 1: Good earnings, macroeconomic data and lower inflation will trigger a new ATH.
Scenario 2: Bad earnings, macroeconomic data and higher inflation will trigger a retrace.
Happy green week!
$BAKE Trailing STOPHere is yet another trade on BYBIT:BAKEUSDT.P that pained me.
Not only that I followed it through the breakouts, I ate from the breakout after forming a rising wedge.
Then, I followed a ride back up immediately and had a sumptuous run too but when it started rallying and it was time for bed, I set a trailing stoploss to protect my profit. This stopped me out early before this major move Up.
I’m not angry as much because I protected not just my capital but profit.
But I’m still angry I didn’t win with the move that I foresaw.
$SYRUP TRADE, BULLISH?This is my setup for the BYBIT:SYRUPUSDT.P trade. having respected the previous Trendlines, i would expect same with higher target.
I have set my target between the higher trendline and lower trendline of the support.
I'm afriad I won't be picked but if the trades gets me into the trade, then I'll feed good.
I'm nearly certain!
#NFA #DYOR
GOLD → Retest of consolidation resistance. Breakout?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern. The price is stabilizing amid a falling dollar and uncertainty...
Gold is recovering after falling to $3,283 thanks to a weaker dollar and lower bond yields amid concerns over Trump's new tariff threats. The announced tariffs against seven countries, including Brazil and the Philippines, have heightened tensions, partially offsetting the Fed's hawkish signals. Markets are now awaiting new data from the US and speeches by Fed officials, which could influence the further dynamics of gold.
Technically, gold is squeezed between the resistance and support of a symmetrical triangle. The price is being aggressively pushed away from support within a bullish trend, but at the same time, gold is testing resistance for the fifth time, which only increases the chances of a breakout.
Resistance levels: 3330, 3345, 3358
Support levels: 3308, 3295
If gold continues to storm the local resistance at 3330 and the triangle resistance during consolidation, we will have a good chance of catching the breakout and growth. An additional scenario could be growth after a shake-up of the triangle support and the global trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Soybeans Loading a Bounce? Demand Zone + COT1. Price Action & Technical Structure
Price has bounced off a strong daily demand zone (1011–969).
Today’s daily candle shows a clear rejection wick from the low, and RSI is signaling a potential reversal.
The market is trading inside a falling channel, currently near the lower boundary — setting up a possible breakout move.
Technical Targets:
• First upside target: 1039–1049
Invalidation: daily close below 990, which would confirm structural breakdown.
2. COT Report – Soybeans Futures (as of July 9, 2025)
• Non-Commercials:
+11,539 spreads | +7,017 shorts | –7,520 longs → Slight bearish pressure, though spreads suggest growing speculative complexity.
• Commercials:
+7,876 longs | –9,084 shorts → Moderate commercial bullish bias.
• Open Interest:
+8,076 contracts → Market activity increasing.
Overall COT positioning is neutral to slightly bullish, with growing signs of accumulation around the 1000 level.
3. Seasonality – MarketBulls
Historically, July is one of the weakest months for Soybeans:
• –44.82 (20Y avg)
• –36.86 (15Y avg)
• –34.74 (10Y avg)
However, early August shows signs of seasonal recovery, and price action is already diverging from typical seasonal behavior.
This makes a deeper breakdown less likely — we could be nearing the end of the seasonal weakness.
Operational Takeaway
Current Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish
Confluence of signals supports the idea of a technical rebound:
✅ Bullish reaction candle in demand
✅ Fibonacci support + lower trendline touch
✅ COT data stabilizing with rising open interest
✅ Seasonal weakness possibly exhausted
EURJPY Hits Supply | Pullback Is ComingPrice has entered the daily supply zone (red area) between 170.80 and 171.80, showing immediate rejection with a long upper wick — a signal of potential short-term bearish reaction.
The RSI is turning lower, indicating loss of momentum, although it hasn’t reached extreme levels yet.
The current map suggests a technical pullback toward the 169.40–168.50 zone (FVG + dynamic support) before any potential bullish continuation toward 174+.
The overall structure remains bullish, but a correction looks likely due to technical exhaustion and retail positioning.
📊 2. COT Report (JPY Futures – as of 2025-07-01)
Non-Commercials (speculators) reduced long positions on the JPY by -7,779 contracts, and also slightly trimmed shorts → clear sign of position reduction.
Net positioning remains strongly negative (JPY weakness), but it's starting to recover slightly.
Commercials added both longs (+2,830) and shorts (+5,977), indicating indecision but growing interest.
Open interest slightly decreased (–516), though it remains elevated.
👉 The market has not yet reversed, but the JPY downtrend may be approaching exhaustion.
🧠 3. Retail Sentiment
86% of retail traders are short EUR/JPY — a strong contrarian bullish signal.
Average retail short entry: 166.27, while current price is 171.55 → retail traders are trapped and under pressure.
A short squeeze is likely underway or already completed, increasing the risk of a technical correction after distribution.
📅 4. Seasonality
July is historically weak for EUR/JPY:
20Y: -0.35
15Y: -0.49
10Y: -0.18
August tends to be even worse from a seasonal perspective.
This supports the idea of a potential pullback in the coming days or weeks.
Trading Conclusion
Current Bias: Short-term Neutral–Bearish, Medium-term Bullish.
✳️ Potential pullback from 172.30 toward 169.40–168.50
🎯 If price holds and builds clean bullish structure, expect continuation toward 174.00–175.00
❌ Invalidation on daily close below 167.80
EUR/USD Reversal Ahead? COT + DXY Strength Signal Price has broken below the ascending channel that started in mid-May.
The current candle is rejecting the weekly supply zone (1.17566–1.18319), leaving a significant upper wick.
Daily RSI is losing strength but has not yet reached extreme levels.
A key daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies between 1.1600 and 1.1480, with the first potential downside target at 1.14802, which aligns with support and the FVG zone.
A deeper bearish continuation could push price towards 1.1350, but only if the FVG lows are clearly broken.
📊 COT Data (CME - Euro FX & USD Index)
Euro FX
Net long: +15,334
Commercials increased both longs (+13,550) and shorts (+9,913) → mild divergence.
Non-Commercials (speculators) increased shorts (+4,786) more than longs (+1,188) → speculative bias tilting bearish.
USD Index
Strong net long accumulation across all trader types: +4,597 net.
Non-Commercials added +3,590 longs, with only a minor increase in shorts.
→ USD strength continues, reinforcing potential weakness in EUR/USD.
🧠 Retail Sentiment
67% of retail traders are short EUR/USD → typically a contrarian bullish signal.
However, the price is already showing distribution, not accumulation, so we may see price push lower first to trap remaining retail longs, invalidating the contrarian signal in the short term.
📅 Seasonality
July is historically bullish, especially on the 2Y (+0.0142) and 10Y (+0.0106) averages.
However, the 15Y and 20Y averages show a much more moderate performance (+0.007 / +0.0025).
Based on current price action, the seasonal rally may have already played out with the run-up to 1.1830. A correction now seems likely, even if the broader macro remains supportive mid-term.
🧩 Conclusion
Despite historically bullish seasonality for July, both price action and COT data indicate distribution with early signs of reversal.
Retail sentiment is too skewed short for a major breakdown just yet, but the technicals support a short-term pullback toward more balanced levels.
USD strength from COT and DXY structure reinforces a corrective short bias for now.
EURAUD Breakdown Incoming? Price + COT + Seasonality🧠 MACRO & INSTITUTIONAL FLOWS (COT)
EURO (EUR)
Strong increase in net long positions by non-commercials: +16,146
Commercials also added long exposure: +25,799
Bias: moderately bullish
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR (AUD)
Non-commercials remain heavily net short (long/short ratio: 15% vs 63.6%)
Slight increase in commercial longs: +2,629
Bias: still bearish, but showing early signs of positioning exhaustion
COT Conclusion: EUR remains strong, AUD remains weak — but the recent extension calls for caution on fresh EURAUD longs.
📊 SEASONALITY (JULY)
EUR shows historically positive July performance across 2Y, 5Y, and 10Y averages
AUD also shows mild strength, but less consistent
🔎 Net differential: No strong seasonal edge on EURAUD in July
📈 RETAIL SENTIMENT
54% of retail traders are short EURAUD, 46% long
Slight contrarian bullish bias, but not extreme yet → neutral to slightly long
📉 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE – MULTI-TIMEFRAME
1. Weekly Chart
Strong bearish engulfing candle after 4 weeks of upside
RSI dropped below 50 → clear momentum shift
1.7960–1.8100 is now a liquidity zone that’s been tapped
2. Daily Chart
Confirmed break of the ascending channel formed since May
Price reacted from demand zone around 1.7460–1.7720, signaling potential pullback
Watch for rejection around 1.7910 (50% body of the weekly engulfing candle)
3. Entry Setup
Key area for short entries: 1.7910–1.7940
This zone aligns with:
✅ Former support now turned resistance
✅ Inside a valid bearish order block
✅ Ideal retracement level (50% engulfing body)
🎯 OPERATIONAL CONCLUSION
While the macro context still favors a stronger EUR against AUD, price action tells another story.
The weekly engulfing candle is a strong technical reversal signal, and the daily structure confirms the break.
→ Shorting the pullback into 1.7910–1.7940 could offer an excellent R/R trade setup.
Bias: Short-term bearish – Targeting 1.7700, 1.7550, and potentially 1.7315
Invalidation: Daily close above 1.8040
EURUSD LONG The dollar is looking to fall hard as the euro continues to gain we still see the market long on the euro in terms of institutions etc. we had a weak push to the downside and have now met trend line resistance will be interesting to see what happens from here . The trade isn’t perfect yet but this is what I’m looking at so far .
Bitcoin DominationHistorical cycle data on the indicator points to the possible end of bitcoin's dominance growth. This may indicate the beginning of capital reallocation in favor of altcoins. At least until May 7 we will have a short-term altcoin season, but if we are lucky, even until the end of May.
⚠️ Caution Amid Geopolitical Factors
While a temporary altcoin season may be on the horizon, it's essential to consider broader economic factors. Ongoing trade tensions, particularly involving the U.S., could introduce volatility into the markets. Such geopolitical uncertainties might render the current altcoin rally a bull trap, with potential downturns in the summer months.
USD/JPY - H1- Wedge Breakout (07.07.2025)The USD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 148.00
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GBP/USD - H1- Bearish Flag (07.07.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3520
2nd Support – 1.3460
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