How to seize gold trading opportunitiesNews:
On Friday (July 11) in the Asian time zone, US President Trump posted a "tariff change" on social media, announcing that a 35% tariff would be imposed on all Canadian goods from August 1, a 10 percentage point increase from the current rate. This decision was like a thunderbolt, instantly igniting the market's risk aversion sentiment, and the spot gold price soared, reaching a high of $3,344 per ounce during the session. Although Trump extended the tariff agreement to August 1, which once suppressed the gold price, he subsequently stated that it would not be extended after the expiration, and launched further tariff attacks after the expiration, announcing a new 50% tariff on copper imports from the United States and a 50% tariff on goods from Brazil, which increased concerns about tariff risks and pushed the gold price to rebound from the bottom;
Gold trend analysis:
The market is fluctuating repeatedly now, and it is possible to rise or fall, but under the bullish trend, the main force is still rising. Therefore, this week's trading is to fall back and do more at a low price. Whether it is the previous 3285, 3304, or 3317, there are good profits. Although it is temporarily unable to break out of the bullish volume, at least the trend remains unchanged, and there will definitely be a large upward space in the future. Today is Friday, and we still pay attention to the possibility of bullish volume. This Monday has been emphasizing that if it rises during the week, it will look at the 3345 high point. If 3345 breaks, there are still 3365 and 3400 above. Friday will see whether this idea is realized.
From a technical point of view, all cycles are obviously bullish now. The daily line bottomed out on Tuesday, and Wednesday and Thursday were all small broken Yang rising. If it continues, we will first see whether the daily Bollinger middle rail 3345 pressure is broken. After the break, the big Yang closes high. This wave of rise may reach 3400. Therefore, the daily cycle has a lot of room for growth and should not be taken lightly. The H4 cycle needs to see whether today's rise can break 3345, because if it breaks 3345, there is a possibility of the upper rail opening. After the upper rail opens, gold will have a unilateral trend. Therefore, today's bullish target is 3345. If 3345 is not broken, there is still a possibility of a decline. If 3345 breaks, there will be 3365 and 3400 above. Here, it is clearly bullish and optimistic about the break of 3345. After determining the direction, the trading idea on Friday is also clear. It must be mainly long on the decline. The support below is 3320-3310. Don't chase more in the European session. Trade again if there is a decline.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go long if it falls back to around 3315-3325, with the target at 3335-3345; it is recommended to consider shorting if it touches 3345 but does not break, with the target at 3335-3325.
Fundamental Analysis
AAPL: The Rally Might Not Be OverWhile many tech giants have already reached new all-time highs, Apple is still lagging behind — NASDAQ:AAPL hasn’t yet broken out. This may represent both a risk and an opportunity for latecomers.
Investor caution remains due to potential tariffs on Apple products from China, with the decision now postponed until August.
This uncertainty may be holding the price back, but could also lead to a strong accumulation phase if no negative headlines emerge in the near term.
Technicals:
• A breakout above $215 could open the way toward $249 (previous high).
• Support at $197 remains strong.
• Stochastic is in overbought, but MACD confirms bullish momentum.
NASDAQ:AAPL may start catching up with the broader market — especially if tariff fears subside. Watch closely for a confirmed breakout above $215.
GOLD → Distribution. There is potential for growth to 3450–3500FX:XAUUSD breaks through consolidation resistance and forms a distribution pattern. A breakout of 3345-3358 could lead to another rally amid high economic risks...
Gold is rising for the third day in a row amid growing concerns about new tariffs announced by Trump. He threatened to impose tariffs on Canada and most of its trading partners, as well as the EU. Despite the strengthening of the dollar, demand for gold remains strong due to uncertainty and expectations for US inflation data next week. Investors are cautious ahead of CPI and the Fed's possible response
The correlation between gold and the dollar is declining, with gold rising due to geopolitical reasons amid high economic risks.
If the bulls keep the price above 3300-3345, the market could be extremely positive for 3400-3500.
Resistance levels: 3345, 3358
Support levels: 3330, 3308
Gold has broken through the resistance of the “triangle” consolidation pattern and is forming a distribution phase towards the zone of interest 3345 - 3358, from which a small correction may form before growth. Since 3345 is an intermediate level, the focus is on 3358. I do not rule out the possibility of a long squeeze of the support levels 3330, the triangle support, and 3310 before the growth continues.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Ready to Ride the Wave? Let’s Go Long — Together.Market momentum is shifting — and opportunity awaits. This is more than a bullish move; it’s your moment to elevate your trading game. Whether you're just starting or refining your edge, clarity and confidence are key.
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Skeptic | Why did Bitcoin grow? What’s the next move?Unemployment rate’s up...
lemme explain short and sweet. When unemployment —a key factor for setting interest rates —rises, the Federal Reserve’s got no choice but to lower rates so companies can hire. Lower rates = more liquidity = Bitcoin and stocks go up.
What’s the next move?
Around $ 120,000 , there’s about 1 billion in short liquidity positions. also it overlaps with the weekly pivot point level 4 . I see a high chance of correction or ranging here. Personally, I opened a position before the $ 110,513 breakout ( i shared in this analysis ) and only took profits. If you’re still holding, I suggest not closing yet—once the $ 110,000 resistance broke, Bitcoin’s major weekly trend woke up, so we could see more growth.
If this analysis helped you, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
XAUUSD Approaches Key Resistance – Will 3,345 Hold or Break?As of July 11, 2025, gold (XAUUSD) is showing a mild recovery around 3,331 USD, following a rebound from the 3,318–3,322 USD support zone. This move comes amid a wave of macroeconomic data and global monetary policy expectations that continue to weigh heavily on gold’s intraday direction.
1. Key Fundamentals Impacting XAUUSD Today
Dollar Index (DXY) remains strong near 106.0 – sustaining pressure on gold due to a firm greenback.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields are holding above 4.36%, reflecting persistent market expectations that the Fed may keep interest rates elevated in the near term.
June CPI data (YoY) came in at 2.4%, slightly below forecast (2.5%), increasing hopes for a potential rate cut in Q4 – a short-term bullish catalyst for gold
Geopolitical tensions remain subdued, limiting safe-haven inflows into gold in the medium term.
Upcoming U.S. PPI data this week could trigger volatility, depending on whether it surprises to the dovish or hawkish side.
2. Technical Analysis – XAUUSD on H4 Timeframe
Support zone: 3,316 – 3,322 USD, aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish leg.
Resistance zone: 3,345 USD – a confluence of previous highs and 0.618 Fibonacci level of the prior correction wave.
EMA outlook: Short-term EMA is turning upward, indicating potential bullish momentum building.
RSI: Recovering toward 60 but not yet overbought – a sign of healthy upside potential, though confirmation is still needed.
3. Trade Scenarios to Consider
Bullish Breakout Scenario (if price breaks 3,345 USD):
Entry: Buy on H4 candle close above 3,345 USD
Target: 3,357 – 3,370 USD
Stop-loss: Below 3,322 USD
Bearish Rejection Scenario (if price fails at 3,345 USD):
Entry: Sell on bearish reversal candlestick (e.g., pin bar, engulfing) at 3,345 USD
Target: Revisit support at 3,318 – 3,309 USD
Stop-loss: Above 3,350 USD
Gold is trading in a decision zone between short-term support and a major resistance barrier. While macro fundamentals are slightly leaning bullish after soft CPI data, strong dollar strength and high bond yields still cap upside momentum. Traders are advised to wait for price confirmation at 3,345 USD before committing to directional setups.
Follow for more daily gold trading strategies, and save this analysis if you found it useful!
EUR/USD Price Action – Liquidity Grab & Demand Zones This 1-hour EUR/USD chart highlights key intraday price levels and potential trading zones. The chart identifies the Previous Day High (PDH), New York Session High (NY HIGH), and Previous Day Low (PDL). A notable Trap/Demand Zone just below the Asia High suggests a potential liquidity grab before a reversal or continuation move. Price is currently reacting within this zone, and traders may watch for confirmations of either a bullish continuation toward the PDH or a bearish rejection back to the PDL. The marked zones serve as potential trade entry/exit reference points for intraday strategies.
XAUUSD Rises Steadily After RetestXAUUSD Rises Steadily After Retest – Buy Zone Showing Strong Effectiveness
Technical Analysis – July 11, 2025 (H4 Timeframe)
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around $3,345, continuing its steady upward move from the key confluence support at $3,309–$3,318. The bullish momentum has strengthened following a clean break and successful retest of the previous bearish structure.
1. Updated Technical Data:
Current Price: $3,345.10
Fibonacci Retracement:
0.618 at $3,309.69
0.5 at $3,318.91
Recent Swing High (1.0 Fibo): $3,345.69
RSI (H4 Estimate): Around 62 – nearing overbought territory, but still has room for further upside
EMA20/EMA50: EMA20 has crossed above EMA50 – short-term trend is bullish
Next Resistance: $3,357.97 (previous swing high)
Immediate Support: $3,318–$3,309 (Fibonacci confluence zone)
2. Price Action Insight:
Following the correction low at $3,287.02, gold has shown strong recovery with a clear impulsive wave formation. The previous Buy Zone between $3,309–$3,318 has proved highly effective, leading to the current bullish breakout.
A classic “break–retest–continuation” pattern is forming on the H4 chart, suggesting that bulls remain in control unless disrupted by macro events.
3. Suggested Trading Strategies:
Primary Scenario: Buy on Dip
Entry Zone (on retest): $3,330 – $3,318
Stop Loss: Below $3,308
Take Profit 1: $3,345 (already reached)
Take Profit 2: $3,357
Extended Target: $3,368 – $3,372 if $3,357 breaks decisively
Alternative Scenario: Short from $3,357 if Reversal Signal Appears
Stop Loss: Above $3,362
Take Profit: Toward $3,330 – $3,318 support
4. Conclusion for Today:
Short-Term Trend: Bullish
Medium-Term Outlook: Neutral to bullish – watch $3,357 breakout for confirmation
Main Bias: Buy the dip and hold toward resistance at $3,357–$3,372
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UK GBP contracts, pound dipsThe British pound continues to have a quiet week. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3530, down 0.30% on the day.
The UK wrapped up the week on a down note, as GDP contracted in May by 0.1% m/m. This followed a 0.3% decline in April and missed the consensus of 0.1%. The decline was driven by a 1% decline in manufacturing and a 0.6% contraction in construction, which cancelled out a 0.1% expansion in services.
The GDP contractions in April and May point to a weak second quarter of growth, after an impressive 0.7% gain in the first quarter. The economic landscape remains uncertain and the Bank of England has projected weak growth of 1% for 2025. Governor Bailey has said that the rate path will be "gradually downwards" but hasn't hinted as to the timing of the next cut.
The weak GDP data supports the case for an August rate cut, even though headline inflation is running at 3.4% and core inflation at 3.5%, well above the BoE's target of 2%. The money markets have priced in a quarter-point cut in August at 80%, which would lower the cash rate to 4.0%.
The BoE released its financial stability report earlier in the week, noting that the outlook for UK growth over the coming year is "a little weaker and more uncertain". The Bank highlighted President Trump's tariffs and the conflict in the Middle East. The UK has recently signed a trade deal with the US but some tariffs on UK products remain in effect.
GBP/USD is testing support at 1.3534. Below, there is support at 1.3491
The next resistance lines are 1.3577 and 1.3620
The weekend closed higher to around 3360
📌 Driving Events
Gold prices (XAU/USD) were on track to rise for the third consecutive day on Friday, climbing to the upper limit of this week's trading range as escalating trade tensions fueled safe-haven demand. Amid a significant intensification of global trade disputes, U.S. President Donald Trump this week sent formal notices to multiple trading partners detailing individual tariff rates that will take effect on August 1 if no agreement is reached. This has disrupted investor sentiment, weighed on risk assets, and provided solid support for gold.
Meanwhile, expectations of an imminent rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) have cooled after last week's strong U.S. jobs data. As a result, the U.S. dollar (USD) remained firm, holding near more than two-week highs set on Thursday. A stronger dollar could limit upside for the non-yielding gold in the short term. Therefore, traders could look for a sustained breakout before going further bullish on the XAU/USD pair.
📊Personal comments:
Gold price broke through 3330, maintained good buying pressure, and rebounded over the weekend
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3367-3369 SL 3374
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3342
TP3: $3325
🔥Buy gold area: $3306-$3308 SL $3301
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3325
TP3: $3338
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
The price fell back. Watch out for a breakthrough.After reaching the resistance position near 3345 predicted by Quaid, the price fell back slightly, and the price fluctuated around 3335 so far.
From the hourly chart, before the price stabilizes at 3345, it is likely to maintain a range of 3330-3345. 3330-3345 is a temporary range. If it stands firm and breaks above 3345 again, the fluctuation range will become 3345-3360.
On the contrary, if it falls below 3330, the range may drop to 3320-3330. However, as long as the downward trend does not fall below 3320, gold will still maintain a bullish trend. If the price breaks down below 3320, today’s trend will be reversed.
As long as it is above 3320, gold will maintain a bullish trend today.
On the last trading day of this week, I wish all traders a good harvest.
Skeptic | Bitcoin Deep Dive: Rate Hikes, War Tensions & TriggersInterest Rates: The Big Picture
Let’s start with the Federal Reserve’s move—interest rates jumped from 4.25% to 4.5% . What’s the deal? Higher rates mean costlier borrowing , so businesses and folks pull back on loans. This drains liquidity from risk assets like Bitcoin and SPX 500, slowing their uptrend momentum or pushing them into ranges or dips. Now, mix in the Israel-Iran conflict escalating ? Straight talk: risks are sky-high , so don’t bank on wild rallies anytime soon. My take? BTC’s likely to range between 97,000 and 111,000 for a few months until geopolitical risks cool (like Russia-Ukraine became “normal” for markets) and the Fed starts cutting rates. Those two could ignite new highs and a robust uptrend. Let’s hit the charts for the technicals! 📊
Technical Analysis
Daily Timeframe: Setting the Stage
You might ask, “If 100,000 support breaks, does that mean we’ve formed a lower high and lower low, flipping the trend bearish per Dow Theory?” Absolutely not! Here’s why: our primary uptrend lives on the weekly timeframe, not daily. The daily is just a secondary trend. If 100K cracks, it only turns the secondary trend bearish, leading to a deeper correction, but the major weekly uptrend stays intact.
Spot Strategy: No spot buys for now. Economic and geopolitical risks are too intense. I’ll jump in once things stabilize. 😎
Key Insight: A 100K break isn’t a death sentence for the bull run—it’s just a shakeout. Stay calm!
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers
Zooming into the 4-hour chart, here’s where we hunt for long and short triggers:
Long Trigger: Break above 110,513.92. We need a strong reaction at this level—price could hit it early or late, so stay patient for confirmation.
Short Trigger: Break below 101,421.65. Same vibe—watch for a clean reaction to tweak the trigger for optimal entry.
Pro Tip: These levels are based on past key zones, but time outweighs price. Wait for a reaction to nail the best entry. Patience is your edge! 🙌
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Altcoin Watch
As BTC dips, BTC.D (Bitcoin’s market share) is climbing, meaning altcoins are taking a bigger beating. Don’t touch altcoin buys until the BTC.D upward trendline breaks. They haven’t moved yet—you might miss the first 10-100%, but with confirmation, we’ll catch the 1,000-5,000% waves together. 😏
Shorting? If you’re shorting, altcoins are juicier than BTC—sharper, cleaner drops with more confidence. Patience, patience, patience—it’s the name of the game.
Final Thoughts
My quieter updates lately? Blame the geopolitical chaos, not me slacking . I’m hustling to keep you in the loop with clear, actionable insights. here, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—max 1% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want a risk management guide to level up? Drop a comment! If this analysis lit a spark, hit that boost—it keeps me going! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want next? Let me know in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
US Dollar Strengthens Following Trump’s Tariff DecisionUS Dollar Strengthens Following Trump’s Tariff Decision
US President Donald Trump has announced his decision to impose new tariffs:
→ For Canada, tariffs are set at 35%. They are scheduled to take effect on 1 August, although negotiations may take place before this date, potentially influencing Trump’s final stance.
→ For many other countries, tariffs may be set at 15% or 20%;
→ For the European Union, the exact tariff levels have not yet been disclosed.
Overall, Trump’s latest comments have added to the uncertainty surrounding the specific tariffs to be applied to each country. The financial markets reacted as follows:
→ The US dollar strengthened against other currencies (including the Canadian dollar);
→ Equity markets saw a modest decline.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CAD Chart
As soon as the announcement of a 35% tariff on Canadian imports to the US was made public, the USD/CAD rate spiked sharply (as indicated by the arrow), reaching levels last seen at the end of June. In the hours that followed, the pair stabilised.
Taking a broader view, the chart appears to show a triangular formation, which consists of:
→ A descending resistance line (R);
→ A key support level (S) around 1.3570.
From this perspective, it is worth noting that the bulls’ attempt to break above the resistance line amid the 35% tariff news did not succeed, indicating strong selling pressure.
At the same time, the price action of USD/CAD in early July allows us to identify a local support level (marked by the blue line). This suggests that, for now, the pair is consolidating within a formation bounded by the blue support line and resistance line R.
However, how long this consolidation will last, and which direction the breakout will take, will most likely depend on the next round of news regarding US–Canada trade negotiations.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Coinbase (COIN) Shares Reach All-Time HighCoinbase (COIN) Shares Reach All-Time High
According to the chart of Coinbase Global (COIN), the share price of the cryptocurrency exchange has reached a historical all-time high (closing price).
The bullish sentiment has been supported by the following factors:
→ Bitcoin price rally. Yesterday, we analysed the BTC/USD chart and anticipated that bulls might attempt to set a new record. Following the publication, Bitcoin made a strong upward move, breaking above the $118,000 level.
→ Passage of the GENIUS bill in the US , which establishes a regulatory framework for the use of stablecoins.
Can COIN stock continue to climb?
Technical Analysis of Coinbase (COIN) Share Price
At the end of June, our analysis of the COIN chart highlighted the following:
→ From a broader perspective, COIN’s price fluctuations over the past year had formed an ascending channel (marked in grey).
→ The ongoing intermediate rally (marked in blue) had the potential to drive the price towards the upper boundary of this grey channel.
This scenario has materialised: today, COIN shares are trading near the upper edge of the grey channel. However, several factors now warrant a bearish outlook:
→ The upper boundary of the channel may act as resistance;
→ The psychological level of $400 could also serve as resistance;
→ Shareholders may be tempted to lock in profits;
→ A potential bearish divergence on the RSI indicator.
It is possible that in the near term, COIN bulls will attempt to break through the $400 level. However, if buying momentum weakens, the conditions may favour a price correction — which would appear justified after a nearly 60% rally since early June.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Forex Market Depth Analysis and Trading StrategiesForex Market Depth Analysis and Trading Strategies
Forex market depth analysis offers traders a deeper understanding of currency market dynamics. It reveals the real-time volume of buy and sell orders at different prices, which is crucial for assessing liquidity and trader sentiment. This article explores how to analyse and use market depth for trading, discussing various strategies and their limitations.
Forex Market Depth Explained
Market depth meaning is the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels. It's a real-time snapshot of the pair’s liquidity and depth of supply (sell orders) and demand (buy orders). Traders use this information to gauge the strength and direction of a currency pair.
This depth is typically represented through an order book, displaying a currency pair’s existing orders at various price points. This book lists the number of units being bid or offered at each point, giving us insight into potential support and resistance levels. For instance, a large number of buy orders at a certain price level may indicate a strong support area, suggesting that many traders are willing to purchase the currency pair at this price.
Understanding market depth is crucial in assessing the likelihood of trades being executed at desired prices, especially in fast-moving currencies or when trading large volumes. It may help in identifying short-term price movements, offering a more nuanced view of an asset beyond just candlestick charts.
How to Analyse Market Depth
Analysing order flow is a fundamental aspect of market depth trading, providing traders with valuable insights into the supply and demand dynamics of forex pairs. Forex market depth can be assessed using various tools and indicators.
One key tool is the Depth of Market (DOM), which shows the number of buy and sell orders pending at different prices. DOM offers a visual representation of the currency pair’s order book, highlighting potential areas where large orders are placed. We can use such information to identify significant support and resistance levels where the pair might experience a turnaround.
Another essential tool is Level II quotes. These quotes provide detailed information about the price, volume, and direction of every trade executed in real-time. By analysing Level II quotes, traders may be able to identify the pair’s momentum and potential trend shifts. For example, if there is a sudden increase in sell orders at a particular price, it may indicate a potential downward movement, prompting us to adjust our positions accordingly.
Strategies Using Market Depth Analysis
In forex trading, market depth analysis is a crucial tool for understanding and executing a depth of market strategy. Here's how traders can leverage this type of analysis in their strategies:
Scalping Strategy
By closely observing the DOM, scalpers can identify minor price movements and liquidity gaps. For instance, if the DOM shows a large number of sell orders at a slightly higher price, a scalper might open a short position, anticipating a quick downturn. This strategy relies on fast, short-term trades, capitalising on small price changes.
Momentum Trading
Momentum traders use the order book to gauge the strength of a trend. By analysing the order flow and volume, they can determine if a trend is likely to continue or reverse. For example, a surge in buy orders at increasing prices may signal a strong upward momentum, prompting a trader to enter a long position. Conversely, a build-up of sell orders might indicate a potential downward trend.
Support and Resistance Trading
Depth analysis is invaluable for identifying key support and resistance levels. Clusters of orders often act as barriers, influencing price movements. Traders may use these levels to set entry and exit points. For example, a large number of buy orders at a specific price may indicate a strong support zone, reflecting a potentially good entry point for a long position.
Breakout Trading
Traders seeking breakout opportunities can use market depth to spot potential breakout points. A significant accumulation of orders just beyond a known resistance or support level may indicate a potential breakout. If the pair moves past these areas with high volume, it could signal the start of a new trend, potentially offering a lucrative trading opportunity.
Integrating Market Depth with Technical Analysis
Integrating a depth chart trading strategy with technical analysis may enhance decision-making, combining the real-time insights of depth charts with the power of technical indicators. For instance, we can use market depth to confirm signals from technical analysis tools.
If a moving average crossover suggests a bullish trend, a corresponding increase in buy orders in the depth chart may reinforce the signal. Similarly, a significant resistance level identified through technical analysis, such as a Fibonacci retracement level, might be substantiated if there’s a large accumulation of sell orders at that price point.
Risks and Limitations of Market Depth Analysis
While market depth analysis is a valuable tool in forex trading, it comes with certain risks and limitations:
- Dynamic and Fast-Changing Data: Order book data is highly dynamic, often changing within seconds, making it challenging to base long-term strategies solely on such information.
- Lack of Centralisation in Forex: Unlike stock exchanges, the forex market lacks a centralised exchange. This decentralisation means depth data might not represent the entire marketplace accurately.
- Susceptibility to 'Spoofing': Large players might place and quickly withdraw large orders to manipulate market depth perception, misleading other traders. It’s worth noting that spoofing is illegal in many jurisdictions.
- Limited Usefulness in Highly Liquid Markets: In highly liquid pairs, the depth of market data may become less relevant, as large orders are quickly absorbed without significantly impacting prices.
- Dependency on Broker's Data: The reliability of order book data depends on the broker's technology and the size of their client base, which can vary widely.
The Bottom Line
Market depth analysis provides critical insights for forex traders, though it's vital to recognise its dynamic nature and limitations. Integrating it with technical analysis may create robust trading strategies.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAUUSD - Will Gold Continue Its Rise?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly chart and is trading in its ascending channel. We still have a bullish view on this commodity and we can expect to see $3,350. A correction towards the bottom of the ascending channel will also provide us with a better risk-reward buying opportunity.
According to the World Gold Council, physically backed gold ETFs attracted around $38 billion in investments during the first half of 2025. This marks the largest semi-annual inflow since the beginning of 2020. The remarkable surge is primarily attributed to heightened investor demand for safe-haven assets amid escalating economic and trade tensions triggered by President Trump’s tariff policies.
During this period, the total gold holdings of these funds grew by 397.1 tonnes, bringing their global assets to 3,615.9 tonnes by the end of June—the highest level since August 2022, although still below the all-time high of 3,915 tonnes recorded in October 2020.
U.S.-based funds led the inflows with an addition of 206.8 tonnes, while Asian funds—despite accounting for only 9% of total assets—captured 28% of global inflows, highlighting a significant rise in interest among Asian investors in gold.
This positive trend emerged after three consecutive years of outflows between 2021 and 2023, followed by modest inflows in 2024. Concurrently, gold prices have surged by 26%, reaching a record high of $3,500 per ounce in April.
The World Gold Council, established in 1987 and headquartered in London, is funded by major gold mining companies. Its main objectives include boosting global demand for gold, enhancing market accessibility, and promoting innovation within the gold industry. The council plays a crucial role in shaping global perceptions of gold as a financial asset.
However, some analysts argue that the council essentially functions as a powerful lobbying group for mining corporations, often releasing reports designed to bolster demand and foster a positive market sentiment toward gold.
On the other hand, Bank of America (BofA), in its latest report using a global trading time framework, analyzed the outlook for the U.S. dollar in the second half of 2025. Despite the dollar having its worst start to a year since 1973, the report suggests that selling pressures on the currency may ease going forward, particularly during U.S. trading hours.
U.S. Trading Hours and Federal Reserve Policy
The dollar’s cumulative performance during U.S. trading hours remains strongly correlated—at 71%—with Federal Reserve interest rate pricing. Given expectations for stable rates throughout the rest of the year, the dollar could find some support during this time frame.
Asia: The Main Driver of Dollar Selling in H1 2025
Asian investors were the largest sellers of the dollar during the first half of 2025. However, after fully unwinding the long positions accumulated over the past two years, dollar performance in Asian trading hours has now turned neutral. Fresh selling may remain limited unless new bearish catalysts emerge.
Europe: Tied to Global Equities’ Performance
Dollar weakness during European trading hours largely depends on the relative strength of global equities versus U.S. stocks. As U.S. equities reclaimed market leadership in the second quarter, European investors may have less incentive to continue selling dollars.
Decline in Currency Hedging Appetite
Following the dollar’s significant drop in the first half of the year, foreign investors are now less inclined to increase currency hedges on their dollar-denominated assets.
According to Bank of America’s trading time framework, the pace of the dollar’s decline is likely to slow in the second half of the year, especially during U.S. trading hours, as stable Federal Reserve policy removes a key bearish factor. Selling pressure from Asia is also expected to ease unless new downside triggers arise. The key variable going forward will be the relative performance of global equities versus U.S. markets.
U.K. GDP Report: What It Means for GBPUSD CMCMARKETS:GBPUSD
Today, the U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS) 📊 will release its monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report 🗓️ at 6:00 a.m. UTC ⏰, likely impacting the British Pound (GBP) and GBP pairs globally 🌍.
🧐 What is GDP, and why does it matter?
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) 💡 measures the total value of all goods and services produced within a country’s economy over a specific period. It is a key indicator of economic health 🏥, influencing central bank decisions, investor sentiment, and currency valuations.
A higher-than-expected GDP 🆙 suggests a strong economy, which can support the currency 💪, while a lower-than-expected GDP 🆘 indicates weakness, often pressuring the currency lower 🔻.
📈 Market Expectations:
The market forecasts UK GDP growth to rise by 0.1% for May 🗓️, but we anticipate the increase may be smaller than expected 📉, implying a potential bearish surprise for GBPUSD.
⚡️ Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL Stop: 1.35330
❌ Stop Loss: 1.35714
✅ Take Profit: 1.34946
Risk-reward ratio: 1:1 ⚖️
🚨 Why Sell Here?
🔸 A weaker-than-expected GDP could lead to a pullback in GBPUSD below 1.3500 🚦.
🔸 Technical levels align with potential downside opportunities.
🔸 Volatility expected during and after the data release — manage risk carefully! ⚠️
📌 Stay tuned for live updates and analysis following the data release!
💬 Support this post if it helps your trading decisions! 🔔
USDCAD's Opportunity Bell Is Ringing — Don’t Miss Out!Hey there, my valued friends!
I’ve prepared a fresh USDCAD analysis just for you.
📌 If the 1.37245 level breaks, the next target will be 1.38000.
Every single like you send my way is the biggest motivation behind sharing these analyses.
🙌 Huge thanks to each and every one of you who supports me!
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BTCUSD Analysis : Structural Analysis + Mini Reversal + TargetStrong Breakout | Parabolic Structure | Key Reversal Zone Ahead
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
This BTCUSD chart reflects a powerful bullish structure forming off a Black Mind Curve Support, pushing price into a key Mini Reversal Area. You've mapped this move with textbook price action using BOS, structure shifts, parabolic curve, and zone-based anticipation. Let’s break it down.
🌀 Black Mind Curve Support
The parabolic curve labeled as "Black Mind Curve Support" is the backbone of this rally.
Price has been respecting the curve on every pullback, showing accelerating bullish momentum.
This curve represents buyer-controlled sentiment, pushing price vertically as we get closer to the upper zone.
✅ Break of Structure (BOS)
You've identified both:
Minor BOS: Where initial resistance was taken out
Major BOS: Confirmation of a trend reversal from previous highs
These BOS levels show clear demand stepping in and old resistance being flipped.
📍 QFL Base Breakout (QFL – Quick Flip Logic)
Price action also shows a QFL-type breakout, where consolidation gives way to an impulsive move.
The label “QFL” marks the exact launch point.
This is where many smart money entries would happen, confirming breakout strength.
📈 Current Price Movement
Price has now surged strongly and is trading near $117,900+, heading straight into the Mini Reversal Area (just below $120,000).
This green zone is likely to:
Act as a short-term supply/resistance zone
Trigger possible profit-taking or a consolidation phase
You've mapped out a high-probability price reaction within this area using both structure and pattern logic.
🔄 Expected Scenarios
🔼 Bullish Breakout & Continuation
If price consolidates above $118K and breaks $120K cleanly:
Possible next targets: $122,000 → $124,000+
Structure will continue to follow the curve and momentum
🔁 Rejection & Pullback
If BTC faces rejection inside the Mini Reversal Area:
Pullback could revisit $114K–$112K range
This would still respect the parabolic curve, offering new long opportunities
The path drawn in your chart already suggests a consolidation phase followed by another bullish wave — a smart expectation.
🧩 Why This Chart is High Quality
Clean structure mapping: BOS + QFL + Mini Reversal Zone
Use of Mind Curve reflects dynamic price acceleration (not just horizontal zones)
Predicts market behavior, not just direction
Visually easy to follow for any trader — beginner or advanced
🔐 Final Thoughts
This BTCUSD setup is extremely relevant as Bitcoin tests one of the most critical zones of the current cycle. Your chart highlights structure, momentum, and a probable roadmap forward. Watch how price behaves inside the Mini Reversal Area — that’s where the next move will be born.
One last squeeze and NAS100 could explode into the next rallyThe NAS100 is currently coiling within a tight consolidation range, showing signs of tension building up. After a strong push upward, price has been moving sideways in a narrowing structure. This build-up around the high, a compression of buyers and sellers in a low-volatility squeeze could be an indication that we could use. This kind of price action typically signals that buyers are gaining control, squeezing out sellers with each dip.
The lack of deep pullbacks combined with increasingly shallow sell-offs shows fading bearish momentum. Which is often typical during a buildup phase before a breakout. If buyers can push price above with a strong close, it could trigger breakout momentum and lead to a continuation of the larger bullish trend.
Ideally, if price reacts positively and forms bullish confirmation, it would set up a solid continuation entry, with upside potential toward the next target of 23.400.
Until then, bulls are watching closely for signs of commitment. The breakout is yet to be confirmed, but the squeeze is on, and the pressure is building.
What will happen next?
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.