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Fundamental Analysis

ZRX Just Broke Out… But Is It a Bull Trap Before a Collapse?Yello Paradisers did you catch that breakout from the falling wedge, or are you about to get faked out like the rest? 💎#ZRX/USDT has finally broken out of its descending resistance after weeks of compression. While this is a promising signal, this move alone is not enough. What really matters now is how price behaves on the retest. We're watching closely for a pullback either into the previous wedge resistance or directly into the key demand zone between $0.205 and $0.215. That area needs to hold if the bulls want to keep momentum on their side. 💎The structure remains valid as long as we stay above the $0.180 level. A break below that zone would completely invalidate this bullish setup and open the door to a deeper drop. On the upside, if buyers step in with volume, the path toward $0.260 and possibly $0.300 becomes much more realistic. 💎This is not the moment to chase. Let retail traders jump in too early our job is to position smartly, not emotionally. Watch the retest, measure the reaction, and act only when the market confirms. This is where most retail traders get trapped, they chase the move too late or panic-sell too early. Don’t be that trader. Stay focused. Be precise. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
2
CELO About to Explode or Fakeout Incoming?Yello, Paradisers! Is this the breakout we’ve been patiently waiting for or just another trap to liquidate late buyers? 💎After weeks of grinding lower inside a clear descending channel, #CELO/USDT has finally broken out to the upside. That breakout alone isn’t enough, but it’s a critical first signal that sellers are losing control. Price is now pushing right into the key resistance zone at $0.29–$0.30, and what happens here will decide the next major move. 💎If momentum holds and price reclaims this level with conviction, we could see an explosive move toward $0.34 and potentially even the stronger resistance zones at $0.41 and $0.47 in the coming weeks. But if buyers fail to defend this push, and price rolls over, then the bullish setup quickly falls apart. 💎What gives us more confidence? The support zone at $0.24–$0.25 held beautifully buyers stepped in hard, and the market reversed cleanly from there. But if #CELO drops back below $0.22, the setup is invalidated and we'll wait patiently again for the next high-probability entry. This is where most retail traders get trapped, they chase the move too late or panic-sell too early. Don’t be that trader. Stay focused. Be precise. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
2
XAG/USD (Silver) - Triangle Breakout (09.07.2025)The XAG/USD (Silver) pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 3749 2nd Resistance – 3781 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
50
Gold is fluctuating. Can it break through?Since the price of gold rose to 3500 on April 22 and encountered resistance and fell back, it has shown a triangular convergence and fluctuation trend so far. From the short-term trend, after the decline adjustment on Tuesday, it bottomed out and rebounded on Wednesday to close with a positive line, and on Thursday it completed the shock consolidation with a small positive line. The current moving average system is in an intertwined state, and the short-term market tends to fluctuate. Today, we need to pay attention to the resistance of the 3340-3345 range. This position is a high point concentration area that has suppressed the upward movement of gold prices many times in the early stage. If the gold price breaks through this range, the bullish trend is expected to continue. From the current trend, after the gold price bottomed out and rebounded, it formed a short-term support at 3310. Secondly, we need to pay attention to the support strength near the low point of 3282 on Tuesday. In terms of operation, it is still necessary to operate around the range. Operation strategy: Short when the price rebounds to around 3345, stop loss at 3355, profit range 3320-3300 Long when the price falls back to around 3310, stop loss at 3300, profit range 3320-3340
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
1
BTC/USD Breaks Out, Eyes Fresh Highs Above $116,000📉 Technical Structure BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTC/USD confirmed a bullish breakout above the $111,000–$111,350 resistance zone, which has now flipped into support. Price action shows a clean retest and bounce from this level, indicating a bullish continuation. Key support lies at the $110,600–$109,000 demand zone. If the price clears $116,800, bulls may target $118,000–$120,000 next. 📈 Long Trade Setup Entry: $111,350 Stop Loss: $109,000 Take Profit 1: $116,800 Take Profit 2: $118,000 Invalidation: Break below $109,000 and trendline 🌐 Macro Background BINANCE:BTCUSD Bitcoin rallied above $116,000 to a new all-time high after clearing the $111,000 resistance. The breakout was supported by strong momentum and optimism following a technical trendline breach. Despite some selling pressure and rising funding rates, the broader trend remains bullish. A sustained move above $116,800 could open the door toward $120,000. 📌 Key Technical Zones Resistance: $116,800 / $118,000 Support: $110,622–$111,350, $109,006–$109,572 📘 Trade Summary As long as BTC/USD remains above $111,350, the bullish structure is valid. Short-term pullbacks into the $109,006–$109,572 zone may offer buying opportunities. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by ATFX_Global
Oxford Industries | OXM | Long at $38.10Oxford Industries NYSE:OXM is an apparel company that designs, sources, markets, and distributes lifestyle brands like Tommy Bahama, Lilly Pulitzer, and Southern Tide. While I am not super bullish on the retail sector given the blaring recession signals, I also don't think this is the end of life as we know it... the anticipated downside is already priced-in for many retail brands. From a technical analysis perspective, NYSE:OXM has entered my "crash" simple moving average zone. Typically, but not always, this is an area where value investors accumulate shares in anticipation of a future rise in share price. While the price is likely to dip near $28-$30 in the near-term, the last open price gap on the daily chart since the COVID-19 pandemic was closed today. Also, last week, an NYSE:OXM Officer and the CEO bought just over $600,000 in shares near $40 and the stock is currently trading at book value. Fundamentals: P/E = 7.4x (apparel sector average = 22.4x) Forward P/E = 11.4x Dividend = 7.25% Debt-to-equity = .2x (healthy) Regardless of some strong fundamentals, persistent macro volatility, consumer caution, and tariff pressures may delay recovery. Analysts expect flat to declining sales in 2025, with limited organic growth. Like I mentioned above, while there is likely short-term pain here, the fundamentals are there to potentially weather the storm. Thus, at $38.10, NYSE:OXM is in a personal buy zone with the further decline between $28-$30 likely (where additional share accumulation will occur as long as the fundamentals do not change). Targets into 2027 $45.00 (+18.0%) $50.00 (+31.2%)
NYSE:OXMLong
by WorthlessViews
NZDCAD– Potential Bulish SetupPerfect! Since you're planning a **swing buy** on NZDCAD, here’s an updated **heading** and **description** tailored for your bullish outlook: --- 📈 NZDCAD Swing Buy Setup – Bullish NZDCAD is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal from a strong support zone, presenting a promising swing buy opportunity. This setup is ideal for patient traders looking to catch the next leg higher. Always follow your trading plan and apply proper risk management.
Long
by RuachFx
1
Guys dont sell !!!It needs to go up and its, being pushed by big whales stock piling large amounts of cash. So let it keep going. Ride it. Never sell. It will never be the same. This is the new era of ETH. If you all go on too late for BTC, now is your chance to get on ETH and be part of the base. It's going to recover big time. It is the best mainnet out there stable, and very versatile. It's starting to get traction more and more for its stable trajectory in the past five years. Start loading up the truck guys.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by patrick58
1
Agilon Health | AGL | Long at $2.36Reentering this trade (original: ) Agilon Health NYSE:AGL Pros: Revenue consistently grew from 2019 ($794 million) to 2024 ($6.06 billion). Expected to reach $9.16 billion by 2028. Current debt-to-equity ratio 0.07 (very low) Sufficient cash reserves to fund operations and strategic initiatives Strong membership growth (659,000 in 2024, a 38% year-over-year increase) Recent insider buying ($2 - $3) and awarding of options Cons: Rising medical costs - currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years Medicare Advantage Membership issues with the new political administration No dividend It's a gamble and I think it's a possibility this could drop near $1 in the near-term due to the Medicaid changes/fear... regardless, long-term, personal buy-zone at $2.36. Targets in 2027 $3.70 (+56.8%) $5.25 (+122.5%)
NYSE:AGLLong
by WorthlessViews
AUD/USD: Short Setup to 0.6450This trade idea is rooted in a data-driven approach, leveraging a rare asymmetry in the economic calendar and specific quantitative models to identify a high-clarity opportunity. 📊 The Thesis by the Numbers My model assigns clear probabilities to the potential scenarios for this week, based on the scheduled U.S. data releases. 60% Probability: Base Case (USD Strength). Triggered by a U.S. Core CPI reading at or above 0.3% MoM. 30% Probability: Alternative Case (USD Weakness). 10% Probability: Wildcard Scenario (Risk-On Rally). 🧠 The Data-Driven Rationale This setup scored a -5 on my quantitative thesis model, indicating a strong bearish conviction. The core of this is the one-sided event risk. With Australia's calendar completely empty, the AUD is a sitting duck. Meanwhile, a volley of tier-one U.S. data (CPI, PPI, Retail Sales) is expected to confirm a robust economy. This fundamental divergence, combined with a technical picture of price coiling below long-term resistance, creates the conditions for a catalyst-driven drop. ⛓️ Intermarket & Statistical Edge Further analysis of market correlations and forward-looking models reinforces the bearish bias. 🌐 Correlations: The positive correlation of AUD/USD with equities (SPY: +0.31) suggests that a strong USD report, which could pressure stocks, would create a direct headwind for the Aussie. 🎲 Monte Carlo Simulation: While the mean outcome is neutral, the model's 5th percentile for price is down at 0.6503 , highlighting the statistical risk of a significant downside move if the catalyst fires. ✅ The Trade Setup 📉 Bias: Bearish / Short 👉 Entry: Watch for a bearish reversal pattern on the 1H or 4H chart within the $0.6550 resistance zone. ⛔️ Stop Loss: A decisive daily close above the 0.6622 resistance level. 🎯 Target: 0.6458 (June low-day close). Good luck, and trade safe.
Short
by MaxellAguiran
Altcoins Rise Again – Off to 1.07T and 1.51T?🌊🚀 Total Market Cap (excluding BTC & ETH) is showing strength again, pushing off support and heading back into the heart of the channel. 💥 The bullish structure has been respected beautifully: ✅ Double bottom near channel base ✅ Clean bounce and new higher low ✅ Momentum building on macro trend 📈 As long as this channel holds, we're eyeing the next targets: 🔹 Mid-channel target: $1.07 Trillion 🔹 Channel top extension: $1.51 Trillion From the "Escape" back in late 2023 to the clean retest — it’s now about confirmation and continuation. This could be the altseason move everyone forgot about... 🛑 Long bias stays intact as long as the bottom channel support is respected. Time to respect structure over noise. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by FX_Professor
2
EUR/USD WEEKLY SWING (1H) Pull Back BEARISHThe weekly pull back level (orange line) is found on the (1H - 2H) trading view chart. With the MT4 Chart reading small scalping action to the down side the intraday traders should switch to a bullish stance for the pullback and find reversal at the first major S&R Liquidation zone that broke the Support of the previous break of structure to the down side on the (4H - 1D) Chart To maintain only taking a weekly swing risk place sells around the 1.17716 level
by forexpro711
Bitcoin Breaks Out – Ultimate FOMO Unleashed Above $114,921🟢🚀 BREAKOUT POST 🚀🔥 Bitcoin Breaks Out – Ultimate FOMO Unleashed Above $114,921 🚀🔥 It’s happening. The breakout is real. Bitcoin has just broken through the “HUGE-est Level EVER” — the infamous $114,921, marking the third macro test and final resistance in this structure. This is not a small move. This is the unleashing of a new wave — the Ultimate FOMO zone is now LIVE. 📈 What Just Happened: Third test confirmed ✅ Breakout through massive historical resistance We are now in uncharted territory 🌪️ This Breakout Is Different: Previous rejections (1 and 2) led to multi-week corrections This time, price exploded through the level with force Watch the parabola — we could be headed to the next ATH zone by end of 2025 🧠 Context: The 2D divergences? Ignored. Structure wins. This breakout invalidates the idea of sideways chop for now It confirms strong bullish momentum across timeframes ⚠️ Caution Still Needed: This move might trigger euphoric leverage — don’t be late, don’t chase blindly. Watch for a retest of the breakout zone for high-RR trades. 🧭 What To Watch Next: Retest of 114.9K (support flip?) New targets near 124K–128K Long-term ATH projection still in play for late 2025 Full context in these breakdowns: 👉 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8 👉 July 10th Market Outlook – Uncharted Waters History is being written today. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Long
by FX_Professor
GBP/USD: Path to 1.3200 on Policy DivergenceThis trade idea outlines a high-conviction bearish thesis for GBP/USD. The core of this analysis is a significant and growing divergence between the fundamental outlooks of the UK and US economies, which is now being confirmed by a bearish technical structure. We anticipate the upcoming UK economic data releases during the week of July 14-18 to act as a catalyst for the next leg down. The Fundamental Why 📰 The primary driver for this trade is the widening policy and economic divergence. The UK is facing a triad of headwinds while the US economy exhibits greater resilience. This fundamental imbalance favors the US Dollar and is expected to intensify. Dovish Bank of England: The BoE is clearly signaling a dovish pivot towards monetary easing in response to a weakening labor market and sluggish growth prospects. This contrasts with the Federal Reserve's more patient, data-dependent stance. Widening Rate Differentials: The divergence in central bank policy is leading to a widening interest rate differential that favors the US Dollar. Geopolitical Headwinds: Fiscal policy from the new UK government and ongoing trade tensions are creating additional headwinds for the Pound. The Technical Picture 📊 Price action provides strong confirmation of the bearish fundamental thesis, showing a clear loss of upward momentum and the formation of a new downtrend. 📉 Death Cross: The 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average, forming a "death cross," which is a strong bearish indicator. 📉 Key Level Lost: The price has recently broken and is holding below the critical 200-day moving average, a classic bearish signal. 📉 Bearish Momentum: Both the RSI (below 50) and the MACD (below its signal line and zero) indicate that bearish momentum is in control. The Trade Setup 📉 👉 Entry: 1.3540 - 1.3610 🎯 Take Profit: 1.3200 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 1.3665
Short
by MaxellAguiran
Natural Gas - The Epic Reversal? Natural gas had an astonishing move to the upside. Closing up over 5% today. This volatility can make all tarders head spin if youre not used to it. Why did Nat gas pop today? Partly from being oversold and into really good technical support, Natural gas inventories were released today at 10:30am. The inventories showed a smaller build than the market expected which implies stronger demand. 56B consensus vs 53B actual. This could potentially be the start to a new bullish trend. Names like EQT & AR hit some major support today. Some call options on these names have been accumulated.
NYSE:EQTLong
by Trading-Capital
XAU/USD 1H Outlook FVG Fill (3320–3318) Price is expected to drop into the unfilled Fair Value Gap between 3320 and 3318. London/NY Liquidity Hunt After filling the FVG, look for a swift bullish impulse during the London and New York sessions to trigger stop-runs and collect liquidity. Downward Correction to 3305 & 3298 Once the liquidity grab completes, expect a retracement: First target: 3305 On a break below 3305, next target is the unfilled FVG at 3298 Summary: Drop → FVG fill (3320–3318) → Bullish liquidity hunt (London/NY) → Retracement toward 3305 (then 3298)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by The_Gold_Syndicate
$ETH: The 1-week chart is an absolute disaster!Once again, I want to make it clear: I’m naturally a bull. But I live in Thailand, far from the noise of influencers shouting "buy, buy, buy!" I’ve learned my lesson—when they scream buy, you get rekt. That’s why I rely solely on the charts. Charts are just mathematics—they don’t lie. So here’s my honest interpretation of what I’m seeing for Ethereum: 🕐 Daily Outlook Yes, we might see a few nice bounces in the short term. But if your plan is to hold ETH, you should be paying attention to higher timeframes, especially the weekly. 📉 Weekly Chart — It's Ugly We’re clearly in a descending wedge, and overall, ETH is bearish. Don’t be fooled by the hype or the people trying to take your money. - RSI is bearish, with a strong bearish divergence still unfolding. - MACD is on the verge of a bearish crossover, and what’s worse, it’s doing that without even touching the neutral zone—a major red flag. The last time we saw this setup? November 2021. The price crashed below $1,000. 🔍 Where’s the Support? This cycle, the support zone looks closer to $1,500, mainly due to institutional interest and the ETF narrative. A full retracement seems unlikely, but technically speaking—it’s still a possibility. 🤔 Why Is This Happening Despite Institutional FOMO? Here’s the key: ETH has staking, and every month, new CRYPTOCAP:ETH is minted to pay stakers. This creates constant inflation. On top of that, many stakers compound their rewards, accelerating the inflation. And guess what? These same stakers are selling as soon as ETH pumps. So fundamentally, Ethereum is under pressure because of its own staking mechanics—a system flaw that creates long-term selling pressure. Do your own research (DYOR). I could be wrong—but at least I’m not trying to sell you a course.
Short
by CryptoNikkoid
33