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Fundamental Analysis

Gold continues downtrend today✏️#GOLD view Yesterday's D1 candle confirmed the decline in gold prices when the selling pressure returned below the liquidity candle wick. The extension of the downtrend will continue today. Yesterday's strong support zone 3297 has become today's resistance zone, this is the SELL point today when there is confirmation from the selling side in this zone. 3310 The confluence resistance zone between the trendline and the US Session Resistance is noted in today's SELL strategy. The previous SELL Target 3352 orders pay attention to the reaction at 3377. 📈Key Level SUPPORT 3277-3250 RESISTANCE 3297-3310-3328 SELL Trigger: Price cannot break 3297 SELL DCA Trigger: Break 3276 Target: 3250 BUY Trigger:PriceTrading above 3276 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VHT_Trader
4
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8 –(MASSIVE 'Resistance or Breakout')🚀📊 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8 – The Final Test is Near! 🔥🔍 Welcome to Part 8 of “Where Can Bitcoin Go?” – the update of this long-running series. Since mid-2023, not much has changed in the structure. That’s the power of solid technical analysis – levels don’t lie. 🟨 The Setup Bitcoin is now approaching a third test of a major structural resistance. If you’ve followed my 1-2-3 strategy, you know this is where decisions are made: ✅ Test 1: Rejection ✅ Test 2: Rejection ⏳ Test 3: Now pending… the TERMINAL and DECISIVE 'Breakout or Rejection', and this will change everything. But here’s the deeper layer: We’re not just testing one sequence. We now have two separate sets of 1-2 rejections — 🔹 One set from 2021 (the Red 1 and 2) 🔹 And a recent one in 2025 (the white 1 and 2) This upcoming test is the third rejection attempt on both timeframes, making it a rare and extremely significant technical moment. 📐 Price is now near a critical ascending trendline around $115K–$116K, which has been the gatekeeper to parabolic moves in previous cycles. 🔄 Based on historical halving cycles: 548 days post-halving in 2016 → ATH 2017 565 days post-halving in 2020 → ATH 2021 Halving #4 was in April 2024 → 👀 Could this point to a new ATH by end of 2025? 📊 Probabilities 🔹 83% chance we see the third test before year-end 🔹 57% chance of breakout 🔻 43% chance of rejection ⚠️ And here’s the reality check: If we see that breakout — the market unleashes itself. We’re talking major pumps, potential follow-through moves, and price discovery into untouched zones like $188K, $197K, and beyond. But... if we get rejected, it won’t be pretty. We could retest major levels like $66K or worse, and lose momentum that took years to build. And unfortunately — this isn’t like 18K, or 40K, or even the 79K retest. Things are much more complicated now. The sentiment, the structure, the risk profile — they’ve all evolved. We cannot afford to have the same blind bullishness we had in those earlier phases. This is a mature part of the cycle, and it demands discipline over emotion. 💬 What’s your take? Will Bitcoin finally break through? Is this just another fakeout in disguise? Are you feeling this same tension in the market? Let’s talk structure. Let’s talk price. Let’s talk reality. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
by FX_Professor
5
Safe Entry Zone CMPSStock Recovering from steep drop from bad news (which we don't care). Blue Zone is Sell Zone. Green Zone is Buy Zone. since stock already rallied. its Risky to follow we wait price to re-test Green Zone. Also My Beloved CAthie Wood BEST INVESTOR All Time (based on statics better than Warren Buffet Entire Histroy) Is BUYING! Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 1H TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
NASDAQ:CMPS
by Faisalzor
Safe Entry STEMPrice movement consolidating. Safe Entry Green Zone. Red Zone is Sell Zone. better watch out for any selling pressure. P.high Lines Are Good Resitances. Final Target 33.45$ price level. better to wait stock and not follow. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 1H TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
NYSE:STEM
by Faisalzor
2
Safe Entry CNSNote: Lower TF to 1h or 4h to see better details. Recently Trump lift chips design prohibition to be sent to china. (Positive to CDNS) Stock Obvious and clearly at major resistance with such news it expected to open Gap Up. following the stock would be mistake unless stock open in pre-market with price level similar to close. better to wait stock to open gap up. Re-test the major resistance. that would be major support level and safe entry for price to go higher. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 1H TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
NASDAQ:CDNSLong
by Faisalzor
Safe Entry OracleStock In Up-Movement. P.High (Previous High) is Safe Entry. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock (safe way): On 1H TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
NYSE:ORCL
by Faisalzor
Safe Entry Zone CHWYCurrently stock in Ranging Movement. 1h Green Zone is buying Zone. 1h Red Zone is selling Zone. Price ranging with strong potional of Strong Up-Movement. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 1H TF when Marubozu/PinBar Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
NYSE:CHWYLong
by Faisalzor
Safe Entry Zone ARQQStock in Up Movement. 1H Green Zone is Safe Entry. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock (safe way): On 1H TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
NASDAQ:ARQQ
by Faisalzor
SONATASOFTWARE techno-funda analysisSonata Software Ltd. is a global IT services and solutions company focused on digital transformation, cloud enablement, and platform modernization. It caters to sectors like retail, BFSI, travel, and manufacturing, with deep capabilities in Microsoft ecosystem technologies. The stock is currently trading at ₹509.35 and is forming a base after a broad retracement from previous highs. Sonata Software Ltd. – FY22–FY25 Snapshot Sales – ₹5,372 Cr → ₹6,214 Cr → ₹7,465 Cr → ₹8,155 Cr – Consistent revenue expansion led by digital and cloud Net Profit – ₹410 Cr → ₹487 Cr → ₹548 Cr → ₹618 Cr – Margin stability despite macro cost pressures Company Order Book – Moderate → Moderate → Strong → Strong – Strong deal pipeline in U.S. and Europe Dividend Yield (%) – 1.23% → 1.31% → 1.40% → 1.40% – Fair yield, supports total shareholder return Operating Performance – Moderate → Moderate → Strong → Strong – Cloud and IP-led growth improving Equity Capital – ₹140.23 Cr (constant) – Efficient capital structure Total Debt – ₹195 Cr → ₹180 Cr → ₹165 Cr → ₹155 Cr – Low and declining, comfortable leverage Total Liabilities – ₹2,030 Cr → ₹2,150 Cr → ₹2,270 Cr → ₹2,385 Cr – Growing with operating scale Fixed Assets – ₹465 Cr → ₹480 Cr → ₹505 Cr → ₹528 Cr – Gradual tech and infra investment Latest Highlights FY25 net profit rose 12.8% YoY to ₹618 Cr; revenue up 9.2% to ₹8,155 Cr EPS: ₹44.07 | EBITDA Margin: 17.4% | Net Margin: 7.58% Return on Equity: 21.79% | Return on Assets: 10.96% Promoter holding: 34.55% | Dividend Yield: 1.40% Strong performance in cloud migration, managed services, and proprietary platform IPs North America remains key growth driver, with robust enterprise digital transformation budgets Technical Snapshot Sonata Software is trading at ₹509.35 with an RSI of 44.70, signaling neutral to mildly bearish sentiment. After correcting from the recent top, the stock has found support around ₹509.35 and earlier at ₹424.15 and ₹366.45. Price is coiling near the base of a structural channel with rebound potential. If sentiment turns, bullish retracement targets lie at ₹787.00, ₹923.05, and ₹1,096.40 in the medium term. Business Growth Verdict Yes, Sonata Software is scaling steadily with a solid IP-led tech strategy Margins are stable with strong ROE and limited debt exposure Order book strength and platform-led solutions support future visibility Capex and infra investments remain conservative and purposeful Final Investment Verdict Sonata Software offers a mature growth narrative in the mid-cap IT services space. Its differentiated approach in digital engineering, Microsoft partnerships, and repeat global clientele provide high revenue stickiness. While broader IT demand is moderating, Sonata’s platform-led margin resilience and capital discipline stand out. The current technical base and improving order visibility make it a strong candidate for medium-term accumulation with a focus on operational consistency and yield support.
NSE:SONATSOFTWLong
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit
Gold lures shorts, mainly depending on the rebound.On Monday, the gold market rebounded. The root cause was that Trump sent tariff letters to 14 countries at one time. Even allies such as Japan and South Korea were not spared and were subject to high tariffs of 25% to 40%. This "extreme pressure" trade method instantly ignited the market's risk aversion sentiment. Funds poured into gold, pushing up gold prices. The market quickly saw through the "routine". On Tuesday, Trump extended the tariff deadline from July 9 to August 1. This delay was seen as a signal of "surrendering" under trade pressure, and trade tensions were eased. The safe-haven demand dissipated like a receding tide, and gold was sold off violently, plummeting by $35 in a single day, a drop of more than 1%, and the lowest fell to $3,287.2 per ounce. On Tuesday, the price of gold showed a trend of rising and falling. It reached a high of 3245 in the morning and then gradually fell. It fell to 3287 and then stopped falling and rebounded. As it failed to break through the key resistance level of 3345 and the price continued to be unable to stand firm on the middle track, the bulls' rebound momentum was insufficient. Yesterday's daily line closed with a large Yin line in the engulfing pattern. This K-line combination indicates that the gold price may continue to fall today. The focus below is on the support strength near the lower track 3280. The upper resistance level needs to pay attention to the 3320-3330 range. Today's daily closing is crucial. If the real big Yin line continues to close, it may drive the Bollinger Band to open downward and further open up the downward space; if the closing can stand above 3330, the short-term downward trend may end and the market is expected to restart the rise. From the weekly perspective, the gold price showed an obvious oscillation pattern this week. After rising on Monday, it fell back on Tuesday. The bulls and bears fought fiercely but failed to gain a decisive advantage. Although the current market is weak, the price is close to the important support area. In terms of operations, it is recommended that under the premise of controlling risks, you can now pay attention to the opportunities to buy on dips in the 3295-3285 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Pi Coin Decouples from Bitcoin, Pushes Price To All-Time LowOKX:PIUSDT is currently priced at $0.465, just above the critical support level of $0.450. With the altcoin hovering only 14% above its all-time low of $0.400 , it faces significant downside risk. This price range puts Pi Coin in a precarious position, as a break below $0.450 could trigger a further decline. In the past two weeks, OKX:PIUSDT has already suffered a 26.4% drop , highlighting its ongoing struggle to regain momentum. OKX:PIUSDT has experienced a dramatic shift in its correlation with BINANCE:BTCUSDT , now sitting at a negative 0.27 . This negative correlation means that Pi Coin is moving in the opposite direction to Bitcoin. In simpler terms, as Bitcoin rises, OKX:PIUSDT continues to struggle. The negative correlation with Bitcoin suggests that Pi Coin will not capitalize on the positive trends seen in the wider cryptocurrency market. Instead, OKX:PIUSDT faces the risk of further decline. Given these indicators, it seems likely that OKX:PIUSDT will fall to its all-time low of $0.400 . The fear of further losses is likely to prompt additional selling, which could accelerate the price decline. With the market sentiment weighed down by Pi Coin’s disconnection from Bitcoin, the path to recovery looks increasingly challenging. However, there is still hope for OKX:PIUSDT if investors show restraint. If Pi Coin manages to hold the $0.450 support level, it could bounce back. A move past the $0.493 resistance level would be a positive sign , potentially pushing the price to $0.518. Such a recovery would invalidate the bearish thesis and offer a fresh outlook for the altcoin.
by aaryamann_shrivastava_bic
Cronos Rallies 18% After Truth Social Files for Blue-Chip ETFOKX:CROUSDT is a leading candidate for a Binance listing this month, following the proposed Crypto Blue-Chip ETF filed by Truth Social with the SEC. The fund includes 70% Bitcoin, 15% Ethereum, 8% Solana, 5% Cronos, and 2% XRP , positioning Cronos as a key asset in the fund. Of the tokens in the proposed fund, only Cronos (CRO) is not currently listed on Binance. If the SEC approves the Crypto Blue-Chip ETF, Binance could fast-track the listing of Cronos . This move would likely draw more liquidity and investor interest toward CRO, fueling its price growth. OKX:CROUSDT price surged by 17.8% over the last 24 hours, signaling strong momentum. If the ETF listing is approved and Binance acts swiftly, CRO could break through key resistance levels, potentially surpassing $0.1007. This upward movement would benefit investors, continuing the positive trend for the altcoin.
by aaryamann_shrivastava_bic
Dow Jones takes a different path!US President Donald Trump announced a postponement of the suspension of tariffs from July 9 to August 1, stressing that this deadline is final and will not be delayed again. This decision has left the markets cautious, particularly US indices, but the Dow Jones Index has taken a different route compared to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, which are generally trending upwards. Meanwhile, the Dow has shifted its direction from bullish to bearish. On Monday, July 7 2025, the Dow Jones fell and recorded a lower low at 44,348.45, below its previous higher low. This signals a trend reversal on the 4-hour chart from bullish to bearish, a trend it had maintained for the past few weeks. What’s the next expected move? The current rise is considered a corrective move aiming to retest the 44,723.87 level, before likely dropping again to target 44,320.29. The bearish outlook would be invalidated if the price rises above 44,880.90 and closes a 4-hour candle above
CFI:US30
by CFI
Report - 9 jully, 2025Macro & Geopolitical Overview Trump’s Tariff Threats vs Market Optimism Despite President Trump’s insistence that sweeping tariffs will start August 1 (with no extensions), markets have demonstrated remarkable resilience. Wall Street appears to view these threats as a continuation of negotiation tactics rather than fixed policy. The S&P 500 is up ~6% YTD, trading close to record highs, underpinned by robust corporate fundamentals and expectations of looser monetary policy. Banks including Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, and Barclays have raised their S&P 500 forecasts, projecting additional 6–11% upside over the next 12 months. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent claims tariffs could yield $300bn in revenue this year, with $100bn already collected. Market Read: Consensus suggests that repeated tariff postponements have desensitized investors, with strategists highlighting the continued strength in mega-cap tech and broader earnings momentum as outweighing trade policy risks. EU Seeks Temporary Trade Deal The EU is negotiating a provisional deal to maintain tariffs at 10% and avoid full-scale retaliation. German finance officials have warned of potential countermeasures if no fair resolution is reached. Implications: A temporary truce could reduce volatility in European equities and alleviate pressure on the euro. Eurozone markets already showed optimism, with the Stoxx 600 up 0.3% and DAX and CAC 40 both gaining 0.6%. Ukraine’s Financing Strains Intensify The EU is urgently seeking to fill Ukraine’s projected $19bn budget gap for 2025 as ceasefire prospects diminish. Options under discussion include front-loading loans from G7 support packages and leveraging frozen Russian assets. Trump’s promise to resume defensive arms deliveries provides a partial relief but does not fully address fiscal shortfalls. EU leadership aims to finalize support plans before winter to ensure operational stability in Ukraine’s defense and civil services. Strategic View: Ukraine’s funding gap underscores ongoing geopolitical risk in Eastern Europe, which could impact energy markets, defense equities, and the euro. Port of Rotterdam Defense Preparations Europe’s largest port is preparing for potential conflict with Russia by designating military cargo spaces and coordinating with Antwerp. This forms part of an EU-wide rearmament and strategic stockpiling effort. Proposals include stockpiling critical raw materials (copper, lithium, graphite) and essential supplies. Supports broader EU resilience efforts to reduce dependency on imports from China and Russia. Implications: Reinforces the structural bullish thesis on critical raw materials and European defense contractors. Corporate & Sector Updates Wall Street Earnings Sentiment Turning Positive Despite tariff noise, optimism around earnings season is rising. Big banks expect solid Q2 results supported by labor market strength and easing inflation trends. Analysts highlight that U.S. corporates have maintained guidance despite higher input costs. Investment Implication: Reinforces overweight positioning in U.S. large caps, especially in tech and industrials with strong balance sheets. Former UK PM Sunak Joins Goldman Sachs Rishi Sunak rejoining Goldman Sachs as senior adviser highlights geopolitical expertise premium at major financial institutions. Expected to advise on economic and geopolitical strategy while maintaining parliamentary role. His compensation will support charitable projects, minimizing domestic political fallout. BCG’s Gaza Fallout BCG’s involvement in controversial Gaza post-war relocation plans has led Save the Children to cut ties after 20 years, severely damaging the firm's reputation. Implications: Could impact BCG’s client relationships and broader consulting industry reputational risks, especially in ESG-conscious markets. BP and Shell Return to Libya BP and Shell have signed MoUs to explore and redevelop major Libyan oil fields, signaling re-engagement despite ongoing political instability. Libya aims to raise output from 1.3m to 2m b/d. These moves underscore Western energy majors' renewed focus on fossil fuels amid investor pressure for returns. Investment View: Supports medium-term oil production growth; bullish for European oil majors despite ESG headwinds. Asia & EM Updates China’s Overcapacity and Deflation Concerns China criticized local firms and governments for excessive price competition (neijuan), which has entrenched factory gate deflation for 33 consecutive months. Beijing is signaling potential “supply-side reforms” to manage capacity and stabilize prices. Overcapacity concerns extend to green sectors (solar, EVs), threatening global price dynamics. Implications: May support global industrial metals prices if successful. However, near-term risks for global trade tensions remain elevated. Southeast Asia Tariff Wall Trump threatens 25–40% tariffs on Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, and Thailand to counter Chinese transshipment practices. Vietnam accepted a 20% base tariff, rising to 40% for transshipped goods. Analysts predict higher production costs and consumer prices, potentially slowing ASEAN manufacturing relocation trends. Strategic View: Increases risk premium on regional supply chains and may provide a tailwind for nearshoring/U.S. manufacturing. Brics Pushback and De-dollarization Drive Brics leaders sharply criticized Trump’s new 10% "anti-Brics" tariff threat. The bloc reaffirmed its commitment to reduce USD dependence and reform global financial governance structures. Market Lens: Accelerated shift toward local currency trade settlements could support alternative reserve currencies and precious metals. Alternative Assets and Innovation Tokenized Treasury Funds Surge Crypto traders and institutions are pivoting to tokenized Treasury and money market funds (assets up 80% YTD to $7.4bn) as an alternative to stablecoins. Advantages: yield generation, rapid blockchain-based settlement, and new collateral options. BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, and Janus Henderson products seeing robust inflows. Implications: Bullish for blockchain infrastructure and tokenization service providers. Early-stage adoption curve but strong growth potential. Sector Themes Private Equity (PE): U.S. public universities are increasing PE allocations (targeting up to 30%) despite valuation and exit risks. Signals belief in long-term outperformance vs. muted public equity expectations. Agriculture & EU Budget: CAP subsidies to farmers remain protected despite budget consolidation, driven by strong lobbying. Confirms ongoing policy support for European agricultural income stability. Energy Transition & Defense: EU budget and port strategies reflect dual focus on green resilience and military preparedness, providing structural support to both ESG and defense-linked investments. Markets Summary & Outlook S&P 500 +6% Near all-time highs, supported by earnings optimism. Euro Stoxx 600 +0.3% EU trade optimism offsetting geopolitical tensions. DAX +0.6% Strong industrials rebound; trade negotiations key. FTSE 100 +0.5% Supported by commodity strength and oil majors. Dollar Index: +0.2%, moderate safe haven demand. US 10Y yield: ~4.63%, reflecting ongoing macro uncertainty and strong U.S. data. Gold: Supported by Brics de-dollarization narrative and geopolitical hedging.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
GOLD SELL M15 XAU/USD 15-Min Chart Analysis – July 9, 2025 The chart shows that Gold is currently in a bearish structure with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH), indicating a potential continuation to the downside. Current Price: 3,289.710 Resistance Zone: 3,294 – 3,302 (marked in red) Equal High (EQH): Formed inside the purple supply zone, indicating liquidity above Supply Zone: Marked in red/purple area Weak Low: Identified near the 3,284 level Target Level: 3,279 (marked in blue with “TARGET 3279” tag) Stop Loss (SL): 3,302 (above the supply zone) Strategy: Expecting a minor pullback toward the supply zone (purple area) Price is likely to reject from this zone and continue bearish Final bearish target is 3,279, with possible extension if the weak low is broken
TVC:GOLDShort
by Sniperfx05