Decision Zone for DXY This Week: Around 97.600After a significant downward expansion in DXY, we observed a consolidation around last week's low. This week, the market opened with a pullback.
The first stop for this pullback appears to be the current daily fractal high candle and the weekly bearish FVG on the chart. We can assess potential selling pressure from this area on lower timeframes. We'll be monitoring the wicks within this zone, along with any newly forming FVGs.
If the price breaks above this area, our next points of interest will be the gaps within the zone above the 0.5 swing level, and ultimately the swing high itself as the final target.
Given the current setup, we believe there are promising trading opportunities on EURUSD.
Take care until the next update!
Fundedtradermarkets
DXY Update: Monthly Low Retest on the RadarIn our previous update, we mentioned that our target had been reached and even noted the potential for higher prices. However, we also emphasized the need to wait for fresh signals at that point. After hitting the target, the price faced a sharp drop followed by another sell-off rally.
At the current level, we’re seeing a slowdown in DXY’s selling momentum. However, this alone isn’t sufficient to determine direction. While momentum may be fading, if sellers remain dominant, we’ll see bearish signs on the chart. If buyers regain control, bullish signs will emerge. With this straightforward logic in mind, we’re currently watching for a potential return to the fractal low level at 97.921, which was swept on the monthly chart.
Since it’s monthly close day, sharp intraday pullbacks may occur. As July opens, we believe there’s a possibility of a retracement toward the 97.921 level.
We’ll share any volume-based confirmations in the comments under this post.
DXY Market Outlook: Eyes on 99.392Hello Traders,
DXY found buyers at the 97.921 level we tracked last week and managed to close daily candles above this level. We can now refer to this area as a rejection block (D + RB). This week, the block was retested and encountered rejection from buyers.
With this buyer reaction, our target is the peak level of the consolidation that brought the price here (99.392).
There's a minor level to watch along the way: 98.586. However, considering the key level where the price reacted and the weekly chart showing no major obstacles ahead, we believe that targeting the peak of the consolidation that initiated the last decline (99.392) is the more suitable approach.
Taking news data into account—and more importantly, geopolitical factors and unexpected developments—we still acknowledge the possibility of the price sweeping the low again. However, we don’t expect this to invalidate the overall scenario. With news catalysts, we anticipate the price reaching the target within the week.
Until the next update, wish you many pips!
Stuck in the Zone: DXY Tests Balance Between 98 and 99Hello Traders,
After a sharp and uninterrupted decline in the DXY, price found support at the 97.921 level. Sellers then regained control from the weekly bearish Fair Value Gap (W-FVG), pushing price back into the 99 zone.
In this zone, neither sellers nor buyers have managed to assert dominance—suggesting that these levels may act as a pause or balance point. Given the extended drop, a temporary correction could follow if buyers gain traction after one last push.
For now, the bearish USD narrative remains intact. With upcoming catalysts like China/US talks and tomorrow’s CPI release, a renewed move toward 98 is likely to accelerate.
Whether this leads to further selling or a corrective phase will be assessed afterward.