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#202528 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Third leg up is done and now it’s all about how long do we need for a lower low below 23680 again. For now I don’t know since we have another risk-off news but of them were bought the past 3 months, so I remain skeptical. Too early for shorts but I think longs near 24000 are likely good for a bounce to either retest 24749 or print a lower high. current market cycle: bull wedge key levels for next week: 23000 - 24800 bull case: Bulls want to continue sideways to up and trap all eager bears again who think that 30% tariffs between the US-EU are bad. Those poor souls. Markets can only go up. Invalidation is below 23680 bear case: Bears need a lower low below 23680. That’s all there is to it. No idea how fast and if we get there but shorts before are most likely a gamble, since literally every dip since April has been bought and especially every Sunday Globex gap down became a giant trap. I do think 24749 is a perfect double top with the prior ath from June and we can go down from here but until we have a daily close below 23680, I am not eager to run into another bear trap. Invalidation is above 24749 short term: Neutral. Tariff news are bad but they are not in-effect, so could be that we see another bear trap. I don’t know and I won’t pretend otherwise. Sitting on hands. medium-long term from 2025-06-29: Bull surprise last week but my targets for the second half of 2025 remain the same. I still expect at least 21000 to get hit again this year. As of now, bulls are favored until we drop below 23000.
EUREX:FDXS1!Long
by priceactiontds
GOLD - GC | Weekly Recap & Plan 13.07.2025🟡 GOLD (GC) Weekly Recap & Outlook Symbol: GC1! Date: Week of July 8–12, 2025 Timeframes Used: 4H, Daily, Weekly, HTF structure 🔍 What Happened Last Week? Gold saw a strong rejection from a confluence of two HTF trendlines, signaling resistance. But that move was absorbed by: 🟦 Daily Demand (blue zone) 🔵 Daily Swing Liquidity (blue line) This builds a bullish structure on the daily chart. 🧭 Scenarios I'm Watching Scenario 1 — Minor Pullback: 🔹 Price may revisit the Daily Gap (pink line) and find support for continuation. Scenario 2 — Deeper Pullback: 🟣 Price could retrace into the HTF bullish trendline (purple) before resuming upside. 🗞️ Bonus Macro Scenario: Powell Resignation? There are growing rumors that Fed Chair Powell might resign this week. 📈 If that happens, I expect strong bullish momentum in Gold — → very limited retracement, and → potential straight breakout into new highs. 🎯 Targets for the Week: ✅ 1st Target: W C DOL (purple line) → acts as a primary take profit area. ✅ 2nd Target (Expansion): EQHs / DOL (extended purple levels) Game Plan: Watch for LTF confirmation on both retracement zones. Maintain bullish bias unless Daily Demand fails. If Powell resigns, be ready for breakout setups.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jul 14 - Jul 18]This week, OANDA:XAUUSD opened at $3,342/oz, dropped to $3,282/oz, but then rebounded sharply to close at $3,355/oz. The recovery was mainly driven by former President Trump's announcement of new tariffs ranging from 20% to 50% on imports from 22 countries, effective August 1st. Particularly, a 35% tariff on Canadian goods — a key U.S. trading partner — raised concerns about global trade stability and supply chains. Trump also proposed 15–20% tariffs on most other trading partners, reigniting fears of global trade disruptions. At the same time, ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas continued to weigh on sentiment, despite U.S. diplomatic efforts showing little progress. However, analysts note that gold still lacks strong momentum for a breakout. Trump's tariff threats may be more about negotiation leverage than triggering a full-blown trade war. Meanwhile, with the labor market recovering and inflation rising, the Fed is expected to maintain its neutral monetary policy, limiting short-term gold price movements. Although geopolitical tensions remain (e.g., Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Hamas), the ceasefire between Israel and Iran has reduced gold’s geopolitical risk premium. Looking ahead, key U.S. economic data next week — including CPI, PPI, and retail sales — will be closely watched. A strong June core CPI (0.4% or higher) could reduce the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September, strengthening the USD and pushing gold lower. Conversely, weaker inflation data could boost expectations of a rate cut, supporting gold prices. 📌In terms of technical analysis, gold prices next week may continue to adjust and accumulate. Accordingly, if they surpass the 3,370 USD/oz mark, gold prices next week will challenge the 3,400-3,450 USD/oz range. On the contrary, gold prices next week will adjust down to 3,285 USD/oz, or even 3,245 USD/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,350 – 3,310 – 3,300USD Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3435 - 3433⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3439 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3329 - 3331⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3326
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD continues to recover, tariff war changes unpredictablyInternational OANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise, boosted by a slight decline in the US Dollar and US Treasury yields. At the same time, investors are closely monitoring the developments in trade negotiations as US President Trump expands the tariff war. As of the time of writing, spot OANDA:XAUUSD increased by 0.3% to 3,333 USD/oz. The general weakness of the US Dollar, the decline in US Treasury yields and renewed concerns about the escalation of the trade war have helped stabilize gold prices. On Thursday evening (July 10) local time, US President Donald Trump once again increased pressure on trading partners. He announced that he would impose a 35% tariff on imported goods from Canada, and the USD/CAD exchange rate rose sharply in the short term. Trump posted on his social media platform Truth Social that a 35% tariff would be imposed on imported goods from Canada, effective from August 1, 2025. It is still unclear whether the current exemptions for goods traded under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) will be extended or terminated. Due to the impact of escalating trade tensions, spot gold prices also rose by more than 10 dollars in the short term at the beginning of the Asian trading session on Friday, and the current high price of gold has reached around 3,336 USD/ounce. In an interview with NBC News on Thursday, Trump said he was also considering imposing a flat tariff of 15% to 20% on most of his trading partners, adding that the exact tariff rate was being worked out. The current flat tariff rate is 10%. Trump sent letters to trading partners this week, announcing that the new tariffs would take effect on August 1 if they could not negotiate more favorable terms. He is expected to send letters to European Union member states soon. Trump sent the first batch of tariff letters to 14 countries, including Japan and South Korea, on July 7, with tariffs ranging from 25% to 40%. He also said he would send more similar letters this week. Minutes from the Fed's June 17-18 meeting showed that only a "few" Fed officials thought a rate cut was possible as early as this month, while most preferred to hold off until later in the year due to inflation concerns caused by Trump's tariffs. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted unanimously to leave interest rates unchanged at its June meeting. The next policy meeting is scheduled for July 29-30. Markets will focus on progress in Trump's tariff negotiations, key US economic data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials later in the day for fresh trading direction for gold prices. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has had 2 sessions of recovery from the area around the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, but the temporary upside momentum is still limited and does not qualify for a new bullish cycle. In the short term, the EMA21 with the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement will act as the nearest resistance, if gold takes the price action to break above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level it will qualify for a new bullish cycle with the target then being around $3,400 in the short term, more so than $3,430. On the other hand, with the current neutral trend, once gold is sold below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level again, it will have conditions to decline, and the target then is around 3,246 USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level. The RSI index is hovering around 50, also showing that the market sentiment is still hesitant to have a specific direction. During the day, the sideways trend of gold prices will be noticed by the following positions. Support: 3,300 - 3,292 USD Resistance: 3,340 - 3,350 - 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3388 - 3386⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3392 →Take Profit 1 3380 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3372 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3296 - 3298⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3292 →Take Profit 1 3304 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3310
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
2025-07-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: 50% retracement of the last bull leg is pretty much exactly 24530 and low of the day was 24531. Could always be a coincidence eh. Bull gap still open to 24383, so do not look for shorts. I doubt we will go red into the weekend unless we get bad news. Technically we could pull back to the bull trend line 24200ish but I can not, for the life of me, see that happening tomorrow. current market cycle: trading range - bull trend on the 1h tf key levels: 24300 - 25000 bull case: Bulls want 25000 now. They are correcting sideways, which is as bullish as it gets. Even if bears close the gap to 24383, I would still expect another push for 24700+ with at least a lower high. Bulls remain in full control. Invalidation is below 24270. bear case: Bears likely not doing much but rather bulls taking profits. It was a slow grind lower on low volume. I would not expect follow-through selling tomorrow. Bears still have nothing until we see lower lows again. Invalidation is above 25100. short term: Neutral. Bulls remain in control but the spike phase is over and we are trading below the 1h ema, which means the trend is getting weaker. We could pull back further or stop at the 50% retracement and leave the gap open. No bigger interest in guessing what it’s gonna be, so I sit on hands. medium-long term from 2025-06-29: Bull surprise last week but my targets for the second half of 2025 remain the same. I still expect at least 21000 to get hit again this year. As of now, bulls are favored until we drop below 23000 trade of the day: Tough to short this and hold tbh. Not really obvious today, so no trade of the day from me.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
2025-07-09 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bears just need to do more. As long as we are not leaving behind bear gaps, bulls keep buying the dips. Wait for long pullbacks if we keep making higher lows. The bull channel is also still valid. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 22700 - 23300 bull case: As long as Bulls stay comfortably above 22500, they are fine and sideways is a very bullish correction for them. Bears are certainly not doing much, so bulls buy every dip. Nothing changed. Might go up to 23300 or higher. No one knows where it will end but it’s likely orange face will end it and he will make sure he announces it in his private Epstein-and-Friends signal group in advance. Some put options 3-6m are fine to buy I think. Invalidation is below 22700. bear case: Bears are just not doing enough. Need something below 22700 and most likely an event to be the catalyst for it. I will leave it at that. Invalidation is above 23500. short term: Neutral until US-EU tariff shit show get’s a nice tweet or so. We will go down hard again. Be patient. medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-29: No change in plans. I expect 20000 to get hit over the next 3 months and maybe 19000 again. trade of the day: Long US open was a bit obvious but buying the huge drop was not.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
How to Spot Flag Patterns on TradingViewLearn to identify and trade flag patterns in TradingView with this step-by-step tutorial from Optimus Futures. Flag patterns are continuation formations that help traders join existing trends by buying high and selling higher, or selling low and buying back lower. What You'll Learn: • How to identify bullish and bearish flag patterns on any timeframe • Breaking down flag patterns into two parts: the flagpole and the flag • Finding strong flagpole formations with fast, obvious price moves • Spotting flag consolidation areas that form tight ranges • Why flag patterns work: buyer and seller psychology explained • Real chart examples showing how flag patterns develop and play out This tutorial may help futures traders and technical analysts who want to trade with market trends rather than against them. The concepts covered could assist you in identifying opportunities to join strong price movements when they pause before continuing. Learn more about futures trading with Tradingview: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objectives.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by OptimusFutures
1
Quick take o sugar futuresThe technical picture is starting to look quite interesting. Let's see if seasonality will kick in as well. Let's dig in. MARKETSCOM:SUGAR ICEUS:SB1! Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:SUGAR
by Marketscom
Dow Jones Below Key Pivot – Tariff Talks to Define Next MoveDow Jones – Overview Fundamental Outlook: In April, President Trump capped all so-called reciprocal tariffs at 10% until July 9, giving room for trade negotiations with key partners. That same month, the Nasdaq slipped into bear market territory, while the Dow and S&P 500 entered correction zones. Since then, Wall Street has rebounded sharply. Last week, both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 surged to all-time highs, driven by a strong labor market that helped ease recession fears. Technical Outlook: Currently, Dow Jones is trading below the pivot level at 44410, which signals ongoing bearish momentum. A sustained move below 44410 supports further downside toward 44180, with a break below this level opening the path to 43960. However, if price reverses and closes above 44410 on the 1H or 4H timeframe, it may trigger a bullish move targeting 44750 and beyond. Support: 44180 / 43960 / 43770 Resistance: 44515 / 44750 / 45100 Note: Progress in tariff negotiations would likely support further upside in U.S. indices. Lack of resolution may keep the Dow under bearish pressure in the short term.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
GOLD is in bearish conditions, pressured by aggressive tariffsOn Wednesday (July 9) in the Asian market, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly fell sharply in the short term, and the gold price just fell below 3,290 USD / ounce. Although US President Trump announced that the first tariff letters had been sent to some US trading partners, the gold price fell below 3,290 USD / ounce due to the weakening demand for safe-haven gold. Trump postponed the tariff deadline to August 1, easing trade tensions. The recovery in the dollar TVC:DXY and rising US Treasury yields also weighed on gold, sending prices sharply lower after hitting a high of $3,345 an ounce. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note TVC:US10Y rose to its highest in more than two weeks, making gold, which does not pay interest, less attractive as an investment. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose to 4.415%. The US real yield also rose 4 basis points to 2.073%. TVC:DXY , which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of currencies, rose 0.20% to 97.70. The rise in the Dollar Index means that gold priced in dollars has become less attractive because they are inversely correlated. Japan and South Korea said on Tuesday they would try to speed up trade talks with the United States in a bid to soften President Donald Trump's stance on new tariffs set to take effect on August 1. But optimism about a trade deal boosted market risk appetite, limiting gold's upside. Traders are awaiting the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting on Wednesday, followed by data on initial jobless claims for the week ended July 5. Investors now expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points before the end of the year, starting in October. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold fell below the 3,300USD whole price point and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, which are the initial conditions for gold prices to have a prospect for a bearish trend. Currently, with the position below 3,300USD, gold may continue to decline with the next target around 3,246USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level. The current resistances of gold prices are the pressure from the EMA21 line, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. These are also the resistance positions that readers paid attention to in the previous issue. In addition, the RSI is pointing down from 50, currently 50 is considered the nearest resistance and the fact that the RSI is pointing down is quite far from the oversold zone, indicating that there is still room for a decline ahead. During the day, although the trend is not yet completely clear, gold is showing conditions that are more inclined towards a decline, along with that, the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 3,292 - 3,246 USD Resistance: 3,300 - 3,340 - 3,350 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3346 - 3344⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3350 →Take Profit 1 3338 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3332 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3245 - 3247⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3241 →Take Profit 1 3253 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3259
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Trump "stirred up" GOLD recovery but limited by USD appreciationSpot CAPITALCOM:GOLD has rebounded strongly from yesterday's lows, currently trading around $3,333/oz. The main reason is that US President Trump announced a 25% tariff on Japan and South Korea starting August 1, which boosted safe-haven demand. However, the strengthening US Dollar has also limited the broader recovery in gold prices. On Monday local time, US President Trump sent letters to 14 countries including Japan, South Korea and South Africa threatening to impose tariffs. He then signed an executive order to extend the suspension of "reciprocal tariffs" until August 1. Trump announced that he would impose a 25% tariff on imports from Japan and South Korea, effective August 1. In a letter to the leaders of Japan and South Korea, Trump said the tariffs would be imposed on August 1 because the two countries' trade relationship with the United States is "very unfair". This is his first letter to major trading partners ahead of the July 9 deadline to reach a trade deal. Trump said that despite the large trade deficits between the United States and South Korea and Japan, the United States has decided to continue to cooperate with the two countries. However, the United States has decided to move forward on the premise of more balanced and fair trade. Trump said that the trade deficit has posed a major threat to the US economy and even national security, so changes are needed. Starting August 1, 2025, the United States will impose a 25% tariff on all products from South Korea and Japan, regardless of the different tariffs by industry. Additionally, any attempt to circumvent tariffs by shipping through a third country will also be subject to higher tariffs. Trump said companies that choose to build factories or manufacture products in the United States will not have to pay the tariffs. Additionally, if South Korea and Japan decide to increase tariffs on the United States, the United States will impose additional tariffs of the same size on top of the current 25% tariff. Official data released by the People's Bank of China on Monday showed that China's central bank increased its gold reserves in June, marking the eighth consecutive month of increase. Bank of America said that central banks around the world are buying gold to diversify their foreign exchange reserves, thereby reducing their dependence on the US dollar and protecting against inflation and economic instability, and the trend is expected to continue. Technical Outlook Analysis CAPITALCOM:GOLD On the daily chart, gold has recovered from a key technical confluence area, which is the closest support area to note for readers in the weekly publication. The area from $3,292 – $3,300 is the confluence of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement with the lower edge of the long-term rising price channel. However, the temporary recovery is being limited by the EMA21, the current closest resistance, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. The recovery momentum is significant, but for gold to have enough technical bullish conditions, it needs to take price action above the EMA21, with a bullish breakout of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level then the prospect of a new bullish cycle will be opened. If gold breaks above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level it will have the next target at the raw price point of $3,400 followed by horizontal resistance at $3,430. During the day, the current gold price should still be assessed as a sideways accumulation trend, when the Relative Strength Index RSI sticks around 50, showing the market's hesitant sentiment. A strong enough fundamental impact to change the structure will give a more specific technical trend in the coming time, and the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 3,300 - 3,292 USD Resistance: 3,350 - 3,371 - 3,400 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3366 - 3364⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3370 →Take Profit 1 3358 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3352 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3294 - 3296⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3290 →Take Profit 1 3302 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3308
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
2025-07-08 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Not many times a month where the chart is as clear as this one. Every pattern can fail but you have to take these setups because they work more than they fail. Market is clearly refusing to go down, so don’t try to short it yet. current market cycle: trading range - bull trend on the 1h tf key levels: 23600 - 24700 bull case: Bulls want a retest of 24500+ and today they got a clear breakout above the prior high and stayed there. They have all the arguments on their side to test the ath. Only thing they could stop this is a news event. Invalidation is below 23860. bear case: Bears kinda gave up. Channel is tight and looking for shorts in these channels is not a good strategy. Above 24400 bears have to cover again since the obvious target is 24500+. Bears basically have nothing here. No matter what you think of we where should trade. Invalidation is above 24400. short term: Can only be bullish. Any long has stop 24170 medium-long term from 2025-06-29: Bull surprise last week but my targets for the second half of 2025 remain the same. I still expect at least 21000 to get hit again this year. As of now, bulls are favored until we drop below 23000 trade of the day: Buying any pullback was good. Most obvious one was the double bottom on EU open, right at the 1h 20ema.
EUREX:FDXS1!Long
by priceactiontds
US tariff deadline, GOLD expected to fluctuate very stronglyInvestors will be keeping an eye on tariff news from Washington this week as the temporary suspension of punitive import duties is set to expire. If trade tensions do not escalate further after Wednesday’s deadline, that could be good for the market, while downside risks are also a negative for OANDA:XAUUSD in particular. News Around US Tariffs To avoid higher tariffs, negotiators from more than a dozen major US trading partners are racing against time to negotiate with the Trump administration, trying to reach a deal before July 9. Trump and his team have continued to apply pressure in recent days. Trump announced a deal with Vietnam to lower the 20% tariffs he had promised on many Vietnamese exports, while talks with Japan, the United States’ most important ally in Asia and sixth-largest trading partner, appeared to be stalled, even as Washington hinted it was close to a deal with India. In data Nonfarm payrolls data released Thursday showed the U.S. added 147,000 jobs in June, beating market expectations, and the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. Despite the slowdown in private-sector hiring, the overall strong report prompted markets to lower expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in July. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut has dropped sharply from 24% to 4.7%. Fed Chairman Powell reiterated that the central bank will not ease its stance until there are more signs of cooling in employment and inflation. Personal Comments The market is following a number of factors: On the one hand, there is a countdown to Trump's "final blow" on tariffs, and on the other hand, the non-farm data has poured cold water once again. As the Fed's stance fluctuates, the US Dollar faces a tug-of-war between long and short positions, while gold continues to stabilize technically or has had significant price increases. July 9 of this month could be a key moment to really test the sustainability of gold in this recovery. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has recovered significantly over the past week, since finding support from the $3,250 area, but the temporary recovery is still limited by the EMA21 followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. However, sustained price action above the $3,300 raw price point should be viewed as a positive signal as it helps gold stabilize within the price channel. If gold rises and breaks above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, it will be eligible to continue rising with a short-term target of around $3,400 rather than a horizontal resistance of $3,430. The indecision sentiment is shown by the RSI activity, which is mostly moving around the 50 level. RSI above 50 is considered a positive signal, while RSI below 50 is considered a negative signal, but gold is currently in the middle of this point. Overall, gold has not yet had a short-term trend, but in the long-term, gold prices are still in an upward trend, which is noted by the price channel. Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3334 - 3332⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3338 →Take Profit 1 3326 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3320 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3275 - 3277⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3271 →Take Profit 1 3283 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3289
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
2025-07-07 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Market is ignoring every risk under the sun because the US government is too incompetent to follow-through with their excrement show. Beyond me that we are staying up high. Got no better comment for you today. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 22500 - 23100 bull case: As long as bulls stay comfortably above 22500, they are fine and sideways is a very bullish correction for them. Bears are certainly not doing much, so bulls buy every dip and the chances of a new ath are there since we are very close to it. Invalidation is below 22500. bear case: Bears are just not doing enough. Markets have every reason to sell hard but they don’t. Unless we see big 1h bear bars closing on their low with follow-through selling, we can not expect lower prices. We need gaps but all bears get are huge reversal bars. Below 22500 things would look better for them but for now it’s very unlikely. It’s certainly a start that we closed a 4h bar below the 4h 20ema and below last week’s close but unless we make lower lows, it does not mean much. Invalidation is above 23100. short term: Neutral. medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-29: No change in plans. I expect 20000 to get hit over the next 3 months and maybe 19000 again. trade of the day: Scalping both sides since we had many alternating bars and prominent tails.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Move Up Ahead! Last week, I already shared a bullish setup on WTI Crude Oil on a daily time frame. I see a strong intraday bullish confirmation today. After a test of an underlined blue support area, the price went up strongly and violated a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on a 4H time frame. The market is going to rise more. Goal - 68.2 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
FX:USOILLong
by VasilyTrader
1
XAUUSD 4Hour TF - July 6th, 2025XAUUSD 7/6/2025 XAUUSD 4 hour Long Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bullish Daily - Bullish 4hour - Bullish Back to bullish here on Gold but that comes as no surprise when you look at the higher timeframe trends. I’m mainly considering long scenarios for the week ahead but let's take a look at two for the week ahead: 4hour bearish continuation - Currently we can see price action broke above 3,320.00 resistance and is currently looking to find some footing. We’re keeping an eye out for higher lows at or near this level to then consider long scenarios. 3,395.000 seems like a good target but gold has potential to go higher. 4hour trend reversal - If we are to consider short positions on gold we would need to see a break back below our 3,320.000 zone. Look for confirmed lower highs below 3,320.000 and target lower key support levels if this happens.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ForexLeague
EURJPY 4Hour TF - July 6th, 2025EURJPY 7/6/2025 EURJPY 4hour Bullish Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bullish Daily - Bullish 4hour - Bullish EJ is doing it’s thing and sticking with it’s bullish trend for now. The only conflicting signal is this major monthly zone around the 171.000 area so we will have to be careful. Let’s keep a look out for two potential scenarios going into this week: Bullish Continuation - We just saw a break above the 169.750 4hour zone which is fairly significant and it is signaling new support for this currently forming higher low, which is great. From here we’re looking for this bullish trend to continue, look for strong bullish conviction coming off this 169.750 zone and look to target higher. Trend Reversal - This is a possibility with our 171.000 looming overhead. If we start to see bearish rejection look for a lower high below 169.750 and look to target lower toward key support levels.
Long
by ForexLeague
USDJPY Daily TF - July 6th, 2025USDJPY 7/6/2025 USDJPY Daily Neutral Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bearish Daily - Bearish We’re still on the daily timeframe with UJ as there is nothing worthwhile. We are clearly in some daily consolidation phase and price action has no clear direction from a swing perspective. Bearish Continuation - For us to consider a bearish continuation, which is the most likely, we would like to see a retest of our 147.500 zone followed by strong bearish rejection. If we can spot rejection around the 147.500 zone it could present some decent short positions. I’d be looking to target lower toward key support levels. Aside from this potential setup i’m not looking at any other scenarios for UJ.
by ForexLeague
AUDJPY 4Hour TF - July 6th, 2025AUDJPY 7/6/2025 AUDJPY 4hour Neutral Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bearish Dailly - Bearish 4hour - Ranging We’re getting some mixed signals here on AJ so i’ll keep this as a neutral idea as we need more info from price action. Most of the major trends seem bearish but the 4hour trend seems to have some bullish pressure. Let’s see how this could play out this week: Bullish Breakout - We already saw a pretty significant bullish attempt to break out of this range around 94.500. If we can spot some bullish conviction, now that we're retesting what seems to be a broken range, then we can confirm a bullish 4hour trend and prepare for potential long scenarios. I’ll be looking higher toward key resistance around 96.500 if this happens. Bearish Breakout - For us to consider comfortable bearish scenarios, we would need to see price action fall back through our 94.500 zone and form a lower high. If we see structure formed below 94.500 we can begin targeting lower for potential short positions. Look toward key support levels as targets.
by ForexLeague