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Chinese Internet Stocks on the Edge: KWEB vs. FXI Introduction: The Chinese internet sector AMEX:KWEB is at a critical juncture when compared to large-cap Chinese stocks AMEX:FXI . The ratio between these two reflects sector leadership—if KWEB outperforms, it signals renewed strength in internet stocks and suggests the sector is leading. Current Market Context: Potential Breakdown: The KWEB-to-FXI ratio is teetering near key support. A breakdown here would be a bearish signal for Chinese internet stocks. Bullish Outlook: However, bulls are closely watching for signs of outperformance from KWEB, which could indicate the start of a new bullish trend. Higher-Low Formation: If the ratio forms a higher low relative to its long-term trend, it would be a sign of potential strength in the internet sector. Key Levels to Watch: Support: Monitor the ratio’s current support level closely. A breakdown below this could lead to increased selling pressure on KWEB. Resistance: A breakout above recent highs would indicate renewed outperformance and signal a bullish rotation into internet stocks. Conclusion: KWEB is at a make-or-break point, and the coming days could determine its fate. If the sector can establish a higher low and break above resistance, it could signal a bullish shift for Chinese internet stocks. Will KWEB lead, or will large-cap Chinese stocks maintain their dominance? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Charts: (Include a chart showing the KWEB-to-FXI ratio, marking key support, resistance, and any signs of higher-low formations.) Tags: #KWEB #FXI #ChineseStocks #InternetSector #SectorLeadership #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends #China
AMEX:KWEB
by Richtv_official
FXI to $55.00 someday ?FXI , the most representative ETF of the Chinese stock market, reflects, in our view, a 15-year stagnation that contrasts with the remarkable economic growth China has experienced during the same period. Since May 2008, the FXI has unsuccessfully attempted to break above the $55.00 level, registering relative highs at the following points: May 2008: $55.00 April 2015: $52.85 January 2018: $54.00 February 2021: $54.53 At the same time, since October 2008, the ETF appears to have established a support level near $20.00, with notable lows at: October 2008: $19.35 October 2022: $20.87 January 2024: $20.86 A key level: $33.73 Currently, FXI is attempting to break above $33.73, which corresponds to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. This calculation is based on the relative high of $54.53 (February 2021) and the lows recorded in October 2022 ($20.87) and January 2024 ($20.86). In October 2024, the price temporarily surpassed this level, driven by high volume, reaching the 0.50 level ($37.70). However, this movement was short-lived and lacked follow-through. The key question Will FXI manage to decisively break through the $33.73 (0.382) level in the coming days? And if so, will it reach the following key Fibonacci levels? $37.70 (0.50) $41.67 (0.618) $47.32 (0.786) $54.53 (1.00) While FXI is still far from breaking through the $55.00 barrier, a sustained move from the $20.86 lows could signal a historic trend shift, challenging the ceiling that has capped its price for the past 15 years. Our opinion is for educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell. Before making any investment, consult with your financial advisor.
AMEX:FXI
by SHGTrading
FXI Still Time to Capitalize on the China Stimulus RallyThe recent surge in Chinese stocks following China’s central bank stimulus announcement signals a promising opportunity for those looking at the iShares China Large-Cap ETF. The stimulus package, part of a series of aggressive moves from Chinese policymakers, reflects a significant shift in their approach to economic management. For years, China hesitated to implement large-scale stimulus measures, fearing the long-term risks. However, the latest actions show that this cautious mindset has been abandoned, with the government now prioritizing immediate economic recovery. This newfound willingness to deploy powerful monetary tools suggests that China’s central bank is prepared to act decisively to combat the economic pressures the country is facing. With this level of commitment, it’s reasonable to expect that the stimulus will have a meaningful impact, potentially accelerating growth in key sectors. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF, which tracks some of the largest Chinese companies, stands to benefit significantly from this shift. As these companies often reflect the broader health of China’s economy, investors could see strong gains in the near term as the effects of the stimulus ripple through the markets. Given the central bank's proactive measures and the potential for further interventions, the iShares China Large-Cap ETF presents a compelling opportunity for bullish investors who want to capitalize on China's economic rebound.
AMEX:FXILong
by TopgOptions
Why would it hold? BAIDU Big LevelChina stocks have been beaten up in recent years as the US equities leave them in their wake. From hearing NVDA is larger than the entire china equity market, to China will always be in a bear market…are we finally into enough of support to see a material rally? BIDU is hitting a monthly support . This also happens as the US markets could be running into a distribution phase. Will the US Dollar staying below $102 help this emerging market company?
NASDAQ:BIDU
by Trading-Capital
1
China's about to fly No more comments needed - weekly double bottomed, broke out of downtrend and retested breakout - I expect FXI > 35 by end of the year Disclaimer: This idea is not intended as investment advice and should not be interpreted as an offer to sell or a recommendation to purchase any asset. Any decisions made based on the information presented in this idea are the sole responsibility of the individual. All investment decisions should be made independently, taking into account your financial situation and objectives.
AMEX:FXILong
by variable_not_defined
2
FXI - iShares China Large-Cap ETF... FXI stock is a strong buy due to China's rapid economic growth, diverse portfolio of leading companies, and potential for high returns. Investing in FXI offers exposure to China's expanding market. 9988.HK Alibaba Group Holding Limited 9.72% 0700.HK Tencent Holdings Limited 8.73% 3690.HK Meituan 8.09% 00939 00939 7.08% 01398 01398 4.74% 03988 03988 4.26% 9999.HK NetEase, Inc. 4.00% 1810.HK Xiaomi Corporation 3.77% 9618.HK JD.com, Inc. 3.73% 01211 01211 3.51% FXI stock is a strong buy because while the US and Europe have experienced an incredible bull run, China's market hasn't seen the same gains. This offers a unique opportunity for potential growth and high returns.
AMEX:FXILong
by Maximus20000
HSI - KWEB - FXI - YINN --- China UptrendChart is self explantory. Bottomline I think we came to the end of 4 year long bear market in China. If they don`t blow up the Taiwan issue, coast is clear. Econ gathering on 14-16 July, CCP will explain it reforms. I don`t buy what they sell but they would most likely provde liquidity to the market pre and post this economic forum which they do every 5 years. Even for a small pop, this could be a nice play. BABA - PDD - JD - Tencent...ideally I play with YINN but all the names will benefit eventually.
TVC:HSILong
by S5_Trading_Desk
BTO* FXI April 17th 20.5 Monied Covered Call... for a 19.90 debit. Comments: Looking to establish a position in FXI over time on weakness via monied covered calls to emulate selling a 25 delta short put, but with built-in downside defense via the short call and to take advantage of call side IV skew. The underlying also has a dividend that pays out in June and December, but with somewhat variable amounts and with the Dec distribution being far larger than the June one (e.g., 2022: June .145929; Dec .593146; 2023: June .154374; June .149 (special); Dec .6074). Consequently, I 'd be more interested in grabbing the Dec than the June, so may modify my strategy slightly to allow for the grabbing of those by selling an OTM covered call in those expiries instead of ITM so that my shares don't get called away before the divvies drop into my account. I have an order in to open for 19.90, but may penny up to get a fill just to get a starter position on. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Cost Basis in Shares: 19.90 Break Even: 19.90 Max Profit: .60 ($60) ROC %-age: 3.02% at max, 16.2% annualized; 1.51% at 50% max, 8.10% annualized. * -- Buy to Open
AMEX:FXILong
by NaughtyPines
EM Equities Bottom Call Valuations are attractive on an absolute and relative basis. Cross-asset breadth for EM assets (stocks/bonds/FX) making a sharp move higher from washed-out levels. EM central banks are collectively pivoting from rate hikes to cuts, which supports EM assets. China is moving towards a larger stimulus as the property downturn deepens and the economy slows further. Technically, the chart shows a bullish RSI divergence and a double bottom 'h' pattern occurring near the apex of a massive 10-year symmetrical triangle. Extreme and lingering pessimism marks a reset in sentiment and a contrarian signal. Market consensus: The Fed is done with rate hikes and the USD has peaked. Note: Despite cheap valuations, clear downside risks are intensifying as stimulus-hesitance and bad karma continue. In summary, given the macro catalysts, valuation story, sentiment reset, and promising technicals, an inflection point is appearing. While I refuse to invest in China for personal reasons, it would be wrong to ignore the upside and indeed what is different this time.
AMEX:FXILong
by RHTrading
2
The Day Ahead: TQQQ, GDXJ, USO, GDX, FXI Premium SellingIt's Friday ... the 13th. Here's what's shakin' in exchange-traded fund premium selling ... . Top 5 Options Liquid ETF's Ranked by 30-Day IV: TQQQ 22.9 IVR/60.4 IV GDXJ 23.6/38.9 USO 46.4/38.8 GDX 26.0/33.6 FXI 14.8/31.4 Ideally, you want to have IVR at >50 and IV at >35% in ETF premium-selling land, but you can't have everything in this market ... . Broad Market Shortest Duration <16 Delta Strike Paying 1% of the Strike Price In Credit: IWM, the January 19th 151, paying 1.58 at the mid (14 delta) QQQ, the January 19th 325, paying 3.44 at the mid (15 delta) SPY, the February 16th 385, paying 3.93 at the mid (15 delta) Me, Personally Currently, I still have quite a bit of broad market on in fourth quarter expiries, with the majority being in the December monthly and the end-of-quarter December 29th. (I have one IWM straggler on in the November monthly). I've begun to deploy out a smidge into the 2024 first quarter), but may just sit on my hands this week depending on whether I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on. Because of that, I may dabble small with TQQQ as an engagement trade (and to see what all the fuss is about). Pictured here is a 16 delta short put at the 30 strike in the December 15th monthly paying 1.01 at the mid which I'll do as a starter position and then work it from there as I wait on my other positions. I also already have a GDXJ covered call on (See Post Below), but may add a short put to give me a little extra sumthin' sumthin' on that play.
NASDAQ:TQQQ
by NaughtyPines
The Day Ahead: GDXJ, FXI, EWZ, GDX Premium SellingIt's Friday, and the last trading day of September ... . Here's what's at the top of my IV screener in the exchange-traded fund space: TQQQ, IVR/IV 23.3/64.2% GDXJ, 22.7/36.4% (2.52% yield) FXI, 12.5/33.4% (2.26% yield) EWZ, 11.1/31.9% (10.9% yield) GDX, 26.0/31.5% (2.23% yield) You'll notice that everything is still pretty much in the lower one-quarter of the IV range over the past 52 weeks, but there are a few instruments have popped above 30% 30-day. If you're big on divvies, EWZ stands out, but one potential drawback for some may be that it only distributes biannually in June and December. In the broad market exchange-traded fund space: QQQ, IVR/IV 22.2/22.3% with the shortest duration <16 delta strike that pays 1% of the strike price in the December 15th (the 321, paying 3.30 at the mid) IWM, 21.6/20.8%, with the shortest duration <16 delta strike that pays 1% of the strike price in the December 15th (the 162, paying 1.72) SPY, 22.1/17.1%, with the shortest duration <16 delta strike that pays 1% of the strike price in the January 19th contract (the 385, paying 3.91). You can naturally opt for shorter duration and be more aggressive with your delta, with the trade-off being that you may end up being assigned shares more frequently or have to manage in-the-money's via roll, which is not the funnest way to manage a tested short put, depending how deep in-the-money it is. (I'm talking mostly about what I do strategically in my retirement account, which is short put/acquire/cover or "wheel"). Me Personally ... . I pretty much mechanically put on the shortest duration <16 delta strikes paying around 1% in broad market (IWM, QQQ, SPY) on a weekly basis, so am going to do that today, assuming I don't already have rungs camped out where I'd want to pitch my tent with a secondary consideration being whether the contract represents a better strike than what I've currently got on. And, in spite of the short term pain I'm experiencing in my attempt to acquire TLT shares at these levels, I'll probably also add in a rung (or two), since I have a maximal buying power that I want to devote to that position, and I'm not there yet. The probable result at the moment is that I will be assigned various lots at various strikes and will have to cover (i.e., sell call against) at various durations, some of which may be quite long-dated with my current highest strike at the 94 (in the November 17th) and the lowest at the 84 (in the December 15th). Naturally, were I to have followed my initial plan as to when I wanted to start picking up shares, (See Post Below), I would be "less red" ... .
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by NaughtyPines
The Day Ahead: IWM, QQQ, TQQQ, GDXJ, FXI, EWZIt's Friday and a Triple Witching to boot! Well, IV isn't great here pretty much across the board for us premium sellers. Nevertheless, if you must play (and some of us gotta), here's what's shakin' ... . Broad Market QQQ, .8 IVR, 17.8% 30-day IV, with the shortest duration in which the <16 delta is paying greater than 1% of the strike price: December 29th. IWM, .7 IVR, 16.8% 30-day, with the shortest duration in which the <16 delta is paying greater than 1% of the strike price: December 29th. SPY, .9 IVR, 12.9% 30-day, with the shortest duration in which the <16 delta is paying greater than 1%: (Ugh), March (there is no February monthly yet). Exchange-Traded Funds Ideally, you want to hit these when IVR >50 and IV is >35%, but IVR is at rock bottom, with most skimming the very low end of their 52-week ranges. Sometimes, you just have to settle for what the market gives you. TQQQ, 8.5 IVR; 52.6% 30-day. GDXJ, .6 IVR; 31.6% 30-day. FXI, 7.9 IVR; 29.4% 30-day. EWZ, 2.8 IVR; 26.7% 30-day. Fortunately, all of these are <$45/share, so you will be small in terms of buying power effect with the natural exception of the leveraged TQQQ, which your broker may require be cash secured on margin (which naturally makes it less sexy in that environment from an ROC %-age perspective). Stay small and don't get all of your powder wet.
AMEX:IWMLong
by NaughtyPines
The Day Ahead: Premium Selling in IWM, QQQ, FXI, GDXJ, SMHIt's Fryyyydayyyy ... (which is when I tend to do all my "stuff"). Well, unless you've been hiding under a rock (no judgment here), you'll know that premium-selling in broad market isn't very good here, with IWM IVR/IV at 12.3/19.7%, QQQ at 9.1/20.1%, and SPY at 6.8/14.4%. That sub-25 IVR is telling you that broad market IV is in the bottom quarter of its 52-week range which for premium-sellers is kind of drag. Your premium-selling options in this environment (at least from a premium selling perspective) are to (a) do nothing; (b) sell your go-to delta and duration for whatever the market is paying, knowing that you might get assigned at the strike or have a poo pile to manage toward expiry; or (c) go longer-dated to get paid something decent with the probability of profit (POP) and or probability of touch (POT) that you're used to. Since I'm trying to create cash flow here (at least in the retirement account), I generally opt for (c), since I'm not fond of cleaning up poo piles with a great deal of frequency and like high POP/low POT. With that goal in mind, I generally target the shortest duration <16 delta strike that is paying around 1% of the strike price in credit. Currently, the shortest duration <16 delta strike paying that in IWM is the December 15th 164 (14 delta, bid 1.65); in QQQ, the December 15th 325 (14 delta, bid 3.26); and in SPY, the Jan 19th 400 (16 delta, bid 4.24), so I'll look to add short put rungs in those durations or greater. Because broad market sucks so hard though, I'll also be venturing out into the exchange-traded fund space to see if I can scrounge up any premium there. Currently, FXI (IVR 11.3/30.8%), GDXJ (7.6/30.3%), and SMH (17.6/28.7%) are at the top of my screener when sorted for 30-day IV, but you can see that IV is also at the low end of the 52 week range in that space, too. The ideal is to sell in both high IVR/high IV with IVR >50/IV>35% for ETF's, but there is nothing currently in the space with those metrics, so -- as with broad market -- you're options are the same: (a) do nothing; (b) sell your go-to delta/duration with the chips falling where they may; or (c) sell longer duration with your go-to POP/POT. Here are the shortest duration <16 strikes paying around 1% of strike price in credit for these underlyings: FXI, Dec 15th 22.85, 13 delta, bid .29 (don't know what the odd ball strike is about). GDXJ, Nov 17th 29, 12 delta, bid .31. SMH, Nov 17th 130, 13 delta, bid 1.35. I would note that there is a highly options-liquid ETF with >50% IV, and it's TQQQ, with an IVR of 17.3 and a 30-day IV of (wait for it) ... 70.5%. It's a leveraged instrument, so I would exercise caution trading it with the expectation that, for example, the 16 delta (the 2 times expected move strike in non-leveraged stuff) is a "safe" strike to sell with limited assignment risk, a high probability of expiring worthless, and/or not being an in-the-money headache toward expiry. As long as you're familiar with all these "warts," it's probably okay to play small. That being said, it won't be particularly buying power efficient on margin; it looks like my broker's requiring that it be cash secured (most underlyings require 20% of the strike price or thereabouts in buying power), so the buying power requirement makes it "less sexy" in spite of its high IV. Lastly, I would be neglectful were I to not mention the single name space for premium-selling here, but my general order of preference in selling premium (particularly in the retirement account) is (a) broad market; (b) exchange-traded funds; and (c) single name (in that order). Here are the top 30-day IV, highly options liquid single name underlyings at the moment that are trading at >$20/share and with a 30-day>50%. There isn't a ton here and (as with everything else), IV is at the low end of its 52-week range (I mean 1.0? c'monnnn, you're killing me here, smalls): AFRM (Tech/Software)), IVR/IV 1.0/75.5% RIVN (Automaker/EV), 5.5/65.5% TSLA (Automaker/EV), 11.3/52.7%
AMEX:IWM
by NaughtyPines
$BABA Inverse Head & ShoulderNYSE:BABA Inverse Head & Shoulder. The inverse head and shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that is often seen in stocks that have been in a downtrend. The pattern is characterized by three troughs, with the middle trough being lower than the other two. The neckline is the horizontal line that connects the bottoms of the two outer troughs. If the price of BABA breaks above the neckline, it would be a signal that the downtrend is over and that the stock is likely to move higher. The target price for the breakout would be the distance between the neckline and the head of the pattern. Of course, no pattern is guaranteed, and there is always the possibility that BABA could break down below the neckline instead. However, the inverse head and shoulders pattern is a bullish signal that is worth watching for.
NYSE:BABALong
by AlgoTradeAlert
$JD Potential IHS still intact Hey guys, after a big down day today, I wanted to take a look at the chart again. The inverse head and shoulders is still intact. I really want to see the RSI trendline keep that incline slope. If it doesn’t hold RSI tendline, we may head all the way to oversold conditions, which could be several dollars below here if we don’t get a significant rally. Also, It could potentially be a sign that the selling pressure is still present. Everything here is just an opinion, and made for entertainment purposes. This is in no way, shape or form any any type of financial advice or advice in general. This is for entertainment purposes only.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by Urmomma