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Gary

Looks like Gary had lots of bananas this weekThere was not much movement in s&p this week as I anticipated it was a very tight accumulation. The reason I drew the blue accumulation lines was based on Cem Karsan (Croissant) support/resistance levels from the previous week. This chart I tried to put Croissant levels onto a SPY chart. The weekly / daily levels are scary accurate as you can see the regression trend I set in this chart is only for Monday Open -> Tuesday Open. The median for Monday-Tuesday open is almost pinned exactly to close of markets Friday. To understand why the markets are behaving the way they are, Sergei Perfiliev released a video this week www.youtube.com that helps the less technical understand what Cem Karsan levels and his S&P modeling really mean. What Karsan means that Gary has his bananas is that thier is plenty of options liquidity (delta hedging) providing gary (the market makers options dealer). It basically means we're going to slowly grind higher until prince charming returns. The reason why volume is so low is that there is plenty of liquidity in options that market makers don't need to move (sell or buy) as much of the underlying to remain delta neutral. Who is Prince Charming? Charm is the change in Delta with respect to the passage of time. The thing with options markets is that as options near expiration this rate of change increases quickly. Aug 6 tweet thread from Karsan was a cryptic poem that he later re-tweeted this past Wednesday. My interpretation of his prince charming thread is simple. We're stuck in what he calls the after gamma. Never ending call squeezes. Which means big money is buying the dip with call options into a sell off that will eventually whipsaw back the other direction as market makers hedge (buy underlying) the call delta. This chart I did 2 weeks ago is a perfect example of the call squeeze whipsaw we saw the last Buy the Dip 19th. It was right before Karsan tweeted about never ending call squeezes. He retweeted the same tweet thread Sept 1st, so my expectation is that we'll have another similar buy the dip this next Vix / Opex.
AMEX:SPY
by SPYvsGME
4
GME and Wyckoff's Composite Man“…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays it; and to your great profit if you do understand it.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Course in Stock Market Science and Technique, section 9, p. 1-2) Wyckoff advised retail traders to try to play the market game as the Composite Man played it. In fact, he even claimed that it doesn't matter if market moves “are real or artificial; that is, the result of actual buying and selling by the public and bona fide investors or artificial buying and selling by larger operators.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Method of Trading and Investing in Stocks, section 9M, p. 2) Based on his years of observations of the market activities of large operators, Wyckoff taught that: The Composite Man carefully plans, executes and concludes his campaigns. The Composite Man attracts the public to buy a stock in which he has already accumulated a sizeable line of shares by making many transactions involving a large number of shares, in effect advertising his stock by creating the appearance of a “broad market.” One must study individual stock charts with the purpose of judging the behavior of the stock and the motives of those large operators who dominate it. With study and practice, one can acquire the ability to interpret the motives behind the action that a chart portrays. Wyckoff and his associates believed that if one could understand the market behavior of the Composite Man, one could identify many trading and investment opportunities early enough to profit from them. Wyckoff's composite man theories, price cycles, schematics of accumulation/distribution and three laws have helped me a great deal in understanding how markets work. Just as important has been Cem Karsan . The 19th I mapped out in this chart of a buy the dip trend: was originally identified by Cem since 2020 as the Fed pumping stimulus (liquidity) into the markets. The Fed stimulus creates a well fed Gary (ape). Gary is what people in vol markets refer to as how the majority of market markers are positioned for volatility. If a majority of MMs are long vol (well fed ape) it makes it harder for the underlying structure of the market to break down (corrections). Karsan identified this cycle of (dips) as a result of end of MM and HF 20 day cycles. With so much liquidity in the stock markets right now a well fed gary creates a pinning effect in major indexes for expiring contracts /hedging cycles. Using order flow (supply / demand) of major derivatives, Karsan is able to identify market support/resistance levels from volatility hedges and dozens of other factors with weekly/monthly pin point accuracy. What I think is causing all the short squeezes lately (AMC, SPRT, etc..) is that more people are identifying this cycle. All the short squeezes started up again at this wyckoff markup phase. Gamestop is one of the OG short squeezes and the effects of these cycles/phases are clear in the charts now. There are several posts on popular subreddits related to these phases/cycles going back to the original short squeeze in Jan. The thing with Gamestop are the Wyckoff price cycles are diminishing in volume and I don't know what that means.
NYSE:GME
by SPYvsGME
4