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GBPUSD

GOLD Set for Big Move? | Key Zones + CPI Impact Explained !Gold Analysis – Key Levels + CPI Outlook! In this video, I broke down the recent rejection from the $3366–$3369 resistance zone, the drop to $3346, and current price action around $3357. We’ll also look ahead at what to expect with the upcoming CPI report — and how it could shape gold’s next big move. 📌 I’ve covered both bullish and bearish scenarios, shared key demand/supply zones, and outlined possible targets. 👉 For full context and trading strategy, make sure to watch the video till the end — and don’t forget to drop your opinion in the comments: Do you think gold will break $3380 next, or are we headed for another pullback? THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
112
UK inflation heats up, Pound shrugsThe British pound has stabilized on Wednesday and is trading at 1.3389 in the European session, up 0.07% on the day. This follows a four-day losing streak in which GBP/USD dropped 1.5%. On Tuesday, the pound fell as low as 1.3378, its lowest level since June 23. Today's UK inflation report brought news that the Bank of England would have preferred not to hear. UK inflation in June jumped to 3.6% y/y, up from 3.4% in May and above the market estimate of 3.4%. This was the highest level since January 2024 and is a stark reminder that inflation is far from being beaten. The main drivers of inflation were higher food and transport prices. Services inflation, which has been persistently high, remained steady at 4.7%. Monthly, CPI ticked up to 0.3% from 0.2%, above the market estimate of 0.2%. It was a similar story for core CPI, which rose to 3.7% y/y from 3.5% in May, above the market estimate of 3.5%. Monthly, core CPI climbed 0.4%, above 0.2% which was also the market estimate. The hot inflation report will make it more difficult for the BoE to lower interest rates and the money markets have responded by paring expectations of further rate cuts. Still, expectations are that the BoE will cut rates at the August 7 meeting, with a probability of around 80%, despite today’s higher-than-expected inflation numbers. The UK releases wage growth on Thursday, which is the final tier-1 event prior to the August meeting. Wage growth has been trending lower in recent months and if that continues in the May reading, that could cement an August rate cut.
by OANDA
GBPUSD – Levels, Adjustments, and Scenario PlanningAs mentioned in our pinned analysis, we had two levels on GBPUSD — ✅ Both of them were broken. 📉 After the break of the first level, we shorted the pullback and took a great profit. 📍 Now after the second level has also broken, I’ve adjusted the level slightly — There’s a chance price retraces to 1.35774 before continuing its drop. 🟢 Below, there’s a solid buy zone. 🔁 My Updated Scenarios: ✅ If price pulls back to the short level before hitting the buy zone → I’ll take the short. ⚠️ But if price touches the buy zone first, then any short afterward will just be partial or used for pyramiding — not a major trade. Let’s stay patient and let the market tell us what to do. 📌 All previous scenarios are still valid.
by ForexCSP
4
EUR/USD : Another Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently breaking through the 1.16–1.158 zone. If it manages to hold below 1.159, we can expect further downside movement. The next targets for EURUSD are 1.15580, 1.154, and 1.148. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
15
GBPUSD H4 RISESDisruption Analysis – GBP/USD (4H) 🕯️ Candle Breakout Misleading The marked “Candle Breakout” area is followed by weak bullish momentum, but lacks strong volume confirmation or higher timeframe reversal structure. The quick rejection after the breakout may indicate a false breakout, not a sustainable trend reversal. ⚠️ Demand Zone Weakness The “Support Area” (demand zone) has already been tested multiple times. Multiple touches weaken the demand zone—buyers may be exhausted, increasing the chances of a breakdown instead of a bounce. 📉 Macro Trend Still Bearish The recent sharp downtrend shows a strong bearish structure (lower highs, lower lows). A few bullish candles are not enough to confirm a reversal—this could just be a retracement. 💣 Upcoming Fundamental Risks The presence of multiple economic event icons (UK & US flags) indicates high-impact news—could result in unexpected volatility or trend reversals. Fundamental factors may disrupt the projected bullish move entirely. 🎯 Bullish Target Overoptimistic Target near 1.35000 lies within the Resistance Area, which has previously caused sharp rejections. Without a strong breakout above 1.3400, this target is unrealistic in current market conditions.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
1
GBPUSD h4 big downhe resistance at 1.36554 may be weak due to: Multiple taps already Reduced seller interest A breakout above this zone could trigger short covering → sharp rally ✅ 2. Higher Low Structure Recent low at 1.35475 held strong Current consolidation appears like a bullish flag or accumulation range Could indicate continuation, not rejection GBPUSD SELL IDEA Fakeout Reversal Setup If price dips into the support at 1.35475 again, it might: Trap breakout traders Reverse and form a new impulse leg upward Target = 1.3700–1.3750 zone Disruption Path: Bullish Breakout Minor dip or tight range around current price Break and hold above 1.3655 Acceleration toward 1.3700–1.3750 Disruption Invalidation A strong close below 1.3540 with volume
Short
by Zara_FVG
5
GBPUSD LONG FORECAST Q3 D16 W29 Y25GBPUSD LONG FORECAST Q3 D16 W29 Y25 Welcome back to the watchlist GBPUSD ! Let's go long ! Alignment across all time frames. Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily order block ✅1H Order block ✅Intraday breaks of structure ✅4H Order block 📈 Risk Management Principles 🔑 Core Execution Rules Max 1% risk per trade Set alerts — let price come to your levels Minimum 1:2 RR Focus on process, not outcomes 🧠 Remember, the strategy works — you just need to let it play out. 🧠 FRGNT Insight of the Day "The market rewards structure and patience — not emotion or urgency." Execute like a robot. Manage risk like a pro. Let the chart do the talking. 🏁 Final Words from FRGNT 📌 GBPUSD is offering textbook alignment — structure, order flow, and confirmation all check out. Let’s approach the trade with clarity, conviction, and risk-managed execution. 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
3
GBPUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our buy entry at 1.3390, which is an overlap support. Our take profit will be at 1.3439 which is a pullback resistance level. The stop loss will be placed at 1.3333, which is a multi-swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
GBPUSD(20250716)Today's AnalysisMarket news: ① The annual rate of the overall CPI in the United States in June rose to 2.7%, the highest since February, in line with market expectations, and the monthly rate was 0.3%, the highest since January, in line with market expectations; the annual rate of the core CPI rose to 2.9%, the highest since February, lower than the expected 3%, but slightly higher than 2.8% last month, and the monthly rate was 0.2%, lower than the market expectation of 0.3%. ② Interest rate futures still show that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates this month, but there is a high possibility of a 25 basis point cut in September. ③ Fed mouthpiece: The CPI report will not change the Fed's policy direction. ④ Trump: Consumer prices are low and the federal funds rate should be lowered immediately. The Fed should cut interest rates by 3 percentage points. ⑤ Fed Collins: The core inflation rate is expected to remain at about 3% by the end of the year, and the Fed should maintain active patience. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3409 Support and resistance levels: 1.3497 1.3464 1.3443 1.3375 1.3354 1.3321 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3409, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3443 If the price breaks through 1.3375, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3354
Long
by NicolaZhu
Cable looking for a new high with Ending DiagonalCable found some support in the last 24 hours and it looks like we may still see a retest of the high, so apparently this 5th wave is still in progress but unfolding with an ending diagonal with subwave five on the way up to 1.37–1.38, which could be the key resistance for this reversal pattern. So despite some recovery that is happening right now, we still think that the impulse from January is in late stages, which is also confirmed by divergence on the RSI and overlapping price action that clearly suggests that bulls are losing strength up here. GH
by ew-forecast
GBPUSD Will Explode! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for GBPUSD is below: The market is trading on 1.3409 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 1.3535 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.3347 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
GBP/USD still under pressure despite slightly weaker US core CPIThe US dollar, which had gained ground last week, was under a bit of pressure earlier today. And following a mixed inflation report, the greenback spiked before returning to pre-CPI levels. The inflation report hasn’t changed market’s perception about the likely path of interest rates. US CPI comes in mixed June’s CPI rose 0.3% MoM and 2.7% YoY—hotter than the prior 2.4% and above the 2.6% consensus. However, core CPI was a touch weaker, rising 0.2% m/m instead of 0.3%, while the y/y rate was 2.9% as expected. The mixed CPI report means concerns that inflation may persist longer haven’t changed. The Fed may still delay or reduce the scope of any rate cuts, even if a September move is still on the table. Adding to the dollar’s appeal, President Trump floated steep tariffs—35% on some Canadian goods and up to 30% on imports from Mexico and the EU—if deals aren’t reached by August 1. These protectionist signals and Trump’s expansive fiscal stance could further stoke inflation, supporting the greenback if confidence in US monetary policy holds. Pound under pressure Sterling has had a rough start to the week, extending last week’s 1% drop in GBP/USD before rebounding slightly earlier today. The pound's slide follows a run of soft UK economic data, boosting expectations for a Bank of England rate cut—likely in August. On Friday, data confirmed a second consecutive monthly contraction in the UK economy, driven by a worsening manufacturing slump. This has added to speculation that weakening growth and a stronger pound could help ease imported inflation, especially ahead of Wednesday’s UK CPI release. Technical picture and key data ahead for GBP/USD GBP/USD has broken below important support zones (1.3630 and 1.3530–1.3550), now turned resistance. It is currently testing the 1.3434 level, aligned with a key trendline. A breakdown here could open the door to deeper losses toward 1.3370 and potentially the low 1.30s. Two major data points will guide the pair this week: • UK CPI (July 16): A soft print would likely reinforce rate cut bets. • US Retail Sales (July 17): After a May decline, a rebound could highlight US resilience and strengthen the dollar further. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
Pound under pressure ahead of US, UK inflation reportsThe British pound has edged up higher on Tuesday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3453, up 0.21% on the day. Earlier, GBP/USD touched a low of 1.3416, its lowest level since June 23. All eyes will be on the UK inflation report for June, which will be released on Wednesday. Headline CPI is expected to remain unchanged at 3.4% y/y, as is core CPI at 3.5%. Monthly, both the headline rates are expected to stay steady at 0.2%. Has the BoE's battle to lower inflation stalled? The BoE was looking good in March, when inflation eased to 2.6%, but CPI has rebounded to 3.4%, well above the BoE's inflation target of 2%. Services data has been especially sticky, although it dropped to 4.7% in May, down from 5.4% a month earlier. At 3.4%, inflation is stuck at its highest level since February 2024 and that will complicate plans at the BoE to renew interest rate cuts in order to kick-start the weak UK economy. The central bank has lowered rates twice this year and would like to continue trimming the current cash rate of 4.25%. The Bank meets next on Aug. 7 and Wednesday's inflation data could be a significant factor in the rate decision. In the US, if June inflation data rises as is expected, fingers will quickly point to President Trump's tariffs as finally having an impact. Recent inflation reports have not shown a significant spike higher due to the tariffs, which were first imposed in April. However, the tariffs may have needed time to filter throughout the economy and could be felt for the first time in the June inflation reading. The Fed meets next on July 30, with the markets pricing in a 95% chance of a hold, according to CME's FedWatch. For September, the odds of a rate cut stand at 59%. Today's inflation report could cause a shift in these numbers. GBP/USD tested resistance at 1.3454 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 1.3484 1.3396 and 1.3366 are the next support levels
by OANDA
DeGRAM | GBPUSD broke down the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Cable’s bounce stalled at the channel base (≈1.3500); price is now carving a bear flag beneath that rail and the prior wedge-break line, signalling failure to regain trend support. ● A 4 h close under 1.3415 confirms channel loss, opening the mid-May pivot 1.3271; flag top at 1.3470 caps risk while lower-high sequence stays intact. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Friday’s firm US consumer-sentiment and Fed Gov. Waller’s “no urgency to cut” comments nudged 2-yr yields back toward 4.80 %, reviving dollar demand. ● UK June payrolls contracted for a third month and wage growth cooled, boosting August BoE-cut odds and weighing on sterling. ✨ Summary Sell 1.3460-1.3490; sustained trade below 1.3415 targets 1.3271. Short view void on a 4 h close above 1.3470. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
2