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GBPUSD

DeGRAM | GBPUSD forming the falling wedge📊 Technical Analysis ● Price is testing the rising-channel floor (≈1.3500) while carving a bullish falling-wedge; momentum divergence and prior green arrows hint buyers defend this rail. ● A break of 1.3590 (wedge roof / minor trendline) would confirm reversal, opening 1.3680 mid-band, with 1.3770 channel cap next. Risk is limited to a clean H4 close beneath 1.3450. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Softer US CPI trimmed two-year Treasury yields, eroding the dollar bid, while UK May GDP surprised to the upside and labour-market tightness keeps BoE “higher for longer” talk alive—narrowing the rate-gap that had weighed on sterling. ✨ Summary Long 1.3500-1.3560; breakout above 1.3590 targets 1.3680 → 1.3770. Invalidate on H4 close under 1.3450. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
U.K. GDP Report: What It Means for GBPUSD CMCMARKETS:GBPUSD Today, the U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS) 📊 will release its monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report 🗓️ at 6:00 a.m. UTC ⏰, likely impacting the British Pound (GBP) and GBP pairs globally 🌍. 🧐 What is GDP, and why does it matter? GDP (Gross Domestic Product) 💡 measures the total value of all goods and services produced within a country’s economy over a specific period. It is a key indicator of economic health 🏥, influencing central bank decisions, investor sentiment, and currency valuations. A higher-than-expected GDP 🆙 suggests a strong economy, which can support the currency 💪, while a lower-than-expected GDP 🆘 indicates weakness, often pressuring the currency lower 🔻. 📈 Market Expectations: The market forecasts UK GDP growth to rise by 0.1% for May 🗓️, but we anticipate the increase may be smaller than expected 📉, implying a potential bearish surprise for GBPUSD. ⚡️ Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL Stop: 1.35330 ❌ Stop Loss: 1.35714 ✅ Take Profit: 1.34946 Risk-reward ratio: 1:1 ⚖️ 🚨 Why Sell Here? 🔸 A weaker-than-expected GDP could lead to a pullback in GBPUSD below 1.3500 🚦. 🔸 Technical levels align with potential downside opportunities. 🔸 Volatility expected during and after the data release — manage risk carefully! ⚠️ 📌 Stay tuned for live updates and analysis following the data release! 💬 Support this post if it helps your trading decisions! 🔔
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
DeGRAM | GBPUSD will continue to correct📊 Technical Analysis ● Two false breakouts at the channel roof (1.3640 ±) underline supply; price is now carving successive lower-highs beneath the blue resistance line inside a 7-day falling channel. ● Fresh bearish rejection of 1.3605 leaves a descending triangle whose base aligns with 1.3563 support; a 30 min close below it exposes the lower rail / June pivot at 1.3525. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● BoE Chief Economist Pill repeated that “further evidence of disinflation” is needed but rates are “sufficiently restrictive”, reviving August-cut bets, while firm US wage-inflation keeps Fed easing priced farther out—widening the short-rate gap in the dollar’s favour. ✨ Summary Sell 1.3590-1.3610; break < 1.3563 targets 1.3525. Bear view void on an H1 close above 1.3640. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
7
GBPUSD LONG FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25GBPUSD LONG FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25 It’s Fun Coupon Friday! 💸🔥 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily order block ✅1H Order block ✅Intraday breaks of structure ✅4H Order block 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
Cable H4 | Pullback at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementCable (GBP/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 1.3533 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 1.3490 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support. Take profit is at 1.3612 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
GBP/USD Outlook: Can Buyers Step Back In?Hi everyone, GBP/USD continues to consolidate below the 1.36200 level, with multiple failed attempts to break higher confirming this area as firm resistance for now. Following the rejection, price moved lower into the 1.35300–1.34600 demand zone, where we’re watching closely for signs of renewed buying interest. This area has previously acted as a support base, and a reaction here could set the stage for another push higher. However, if buyers fail to step in, there is scope for a deeper retracement before the next attempt to reclaim resistance. We’ll be monitoring the price action closely to see which scenario plays out. A drop into this area was highlighted as the more probable short‑term path, and we’re now looking for GBP/USD to find support in this region; and more importantly, to hold above the 1.33800 level to form the base for another push higher. As previously noted, a decisive break above 1.37500 would renew our expectation for further upside, with the next key target around 1.38400. We'll be monitoring price action closely to see how it unfolds. We’ll continue to provide updates on the projected path for GBP/USD as price approaches this target. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to continue extending further from the 1.20991 January low towards 1.40000 and 1.417000. We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
GBPJPY - Multi Year SHORTS Coming! (Over 10,000pips)Here we have the 2 month chart of GBPJPY. We can see that we're in a massive ending diagonal made up of 5 waves. We are currently on wave 4 and have almost completed. At the moment we are working within the parameters of a channel however we must be aware that we may exceed the channel. The channel is just there for us to use as a guideline. In 2007, we have a really nice ending diagonal (expanding) before we made that ridiculous +13k pip drop. See below for the 2D GBPJPY chart from 2007: We can see that the lower timeframe diagonal broke down beautifully. We are anticipating something similar this time round! See below for the 2D GBPJPY chart of the current diagonal: We've got an almost identical price action as 2007. We just got to wait a little and watch for the break of the red trendline and enter and hold. See below for the 2week chart of GBPJPY: Trade Idea: - Watch for a break of the ending diagonal - Alternatively, you can wait for a pullback after the ending diagonal breaks - stop loss above highs once entry trendline breaks - Swing Target: 100 (10,000pips) What do you guys think? Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
9
GBPJPY - Multi-Year Short Update! In our last setup for GBPJPY, we identified a massive diagonal pattern, with price completing wave 4 and preparing for a multi-year drop into wave 5. Since then, price has played out exactly as forecasted — we've seen a clean impulse lower for wave 1, followed by an ABC correction for wave 2, which looks to have now completed. This sets the stage for the next major leg — wave 3 of 5 — which historically carries the most power and momentum. 📉 See monthly chart here: 📊 GBP/JPY Wave‑3 Trade Idea Background: We’ve completed wave 1 down and wave 2 up (ABC correction). GBPJPY is now positioned to start a powerful wave 3 down — the most impulsive leg in an Elliott sequence. 🔍 Current Price Action: Price is rejecting major resistance (previous wave A high + shaded zone) Structure shows a completed 5-wave move up within C, suggesting exhaustion. A clean ascending trendline (red) has formed under wave v — a break here signals the first confirmation. Option 1 – Aggressive Entry: - Trigger: Break and close below the red trendline (~198.00–197.80 zone) on the daily. - Entry: On candle close below trendline - Stop Loss: Above recent high ~199.80 and then breakeven once we move lower Option 2 – Conservative Entry (preferred): - Trigger: Trendline break + correction - Entry: On bearish confirmation and then a correction to indicate further downside - Stop Loss: Above recent high ~199.80 and then breakeven once we move lower Take Profit Levels: - TP1: 192 - TP2: 180 - TP3: 175 - Final Target: Trail for extended move toward wave (3) lows (could be 10,000+ pips over long term) 🔐 Invalidation: Daily close back above 200.00 or impulsive rally beyond the pink resistance zone invalidates the short bias in the short term. ✅ Summary: This is a high-conviction, structure-backed setup with: - Wave count + Fib confluence - Bearish structure at key resistance - Confirmation-based trigger (trendline break + retest) - Excellent long-term risk-to-reward profile 📂 Previous GBPJPY Setups (Track Record): 📌 Free Setup (Big Picture Outlook) – Multi-Year Shorts Incoming (Wave 4 Completion) ✅ Swing 1 – 1,200 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Long) ✅ Swing 2 – 1,000 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short) ✅ Swing 3 – 1,100 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short) ✅ Swing 4 – 700 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short)
by WicktatorFX
GBP/USD: Path to 1.3200 on Policy DivergenceThis trade idea outlines a high-conviction bearish thesis for GBP/USD. The core of this analysis is a significant and growing divergence between the fundamental outlooks of the UK and US economies, which is now being confirmed by a bearish technical structure. We anticipate the upcoming UK economic data releases during the week of July 14-18 to act as a catalyst for the next leg down. The Fundamental Why 📰 The primary driver for this trade is the widening policy and economic divergence. The UK is facing a triad of headwinds while the US economy exhibits greater resilience. This fundamental imbalance favors the US Dollar and is expected to intensify. Dovish Bank of England: The BoE is clearly signaling a dovish pivot towards monetary easing in response to a weakening labor market and sluggish growth prospects. This contrasts with the Federal Reserve's more patient, data-dependent stance. Widening Rate Differentials: The divergence in central bank policy is leading to a widening interest rate differential that favors the US Dollar. Geopolitical Headwinds: Fiscal policy from the new UK government and ongoing trade tensions are creating additional headwinds for the Pound. The Technical Picture 📊 Price action provides strong confirmation of the bearish fundamental thesis, showing a clear loss of upward momentum and the formation of a new downtrend. 📉 Death Cross: The 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average, forming a "death cross," which is a strong bearish indicator. 📉 Key Level Lost: The price has recently broken and is holding below the critical 200-day moving average, a classic bearish signal. 📉 Bearish Momentum: Both the RSI (below 50) and the MACD (below its signal line and zero) indicate that bearish momentum is in control. The Trade Setup 📉 👉 Entry: 1.3540 - 1.3610 🎯 Take Profit: 1.3200 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 1.3665
Short
by MaxellAguiran
Bullish reversal?The Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance. Pivot: 1.3529 1st Support: 1.3457 1st Resistance: 1.3633 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
GBPUSD Short idea! Yes, we're bullish on the Daily timeframe. This is a continuation of the 4H bearish pullback. For me, we're not far enough into the discount leg of the daily swing. I'd like to see some of those hefty imbalances get filled first. Risky, given that we've only wicked that recent 4H swing low, so waiting for 15m confirmation within that 1H extreme OB. Targeting the 4H swing low for a 2.5RR. We could switch up, and rally up now, but the DXY is showing some more potential upside strength in the short term. So, this aligns well with my notion of more GBP downside, ahead of the next rally up!
Short
by jakrmo
GBPUSD July Playbook: Bearish Setup at Channel High GBPUSD just printed a CC SELL signal right at the top of its rising channel — setting the stage for a potential July pullback. 📌 Breakdown using Vinnie’s Trading Cheat Code System: ✅ RSI Overbought zone triggered ✅ CC Sell + Confirm Sell combo at channel resistance (~1.38) ✅ Price stretched far above the mean with no higher timeframe support nearby ✅ MACD histogram rolling over — momentum shift in play 🎯 Targets: 1.3500 (channel median / recent base) 1.3280 (deeper support / previous Confirm Buy area) This looks like a textbook trap-the-buyers setup. Patience on the entry — I’ll be stalking rallies to sell into. 🧠 Tools Used: Vinnie’s Confirm Alerts CC Trend Indicator RSI OB/OS Scanner MACD HPS Screener Following this closely — could be one of the cleanest short opportunities of the month.
Short
by bluesignalfx
GBPUSD Bullish continuation pattern breakout?The GBPUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 1.3544 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 1.3544 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 1.3770 – initial resistance 1.3830 – psychological and structural level 1.3890 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 1.3544 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 1.3500 – minor support 1.3440 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 1.3544. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBPUSD Is Going Up! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.360. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.364 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 10, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to watch today: 15:30 EET. USD - Initial Jobless Claims GBPUSD: The British pound remains under pressure amid increased risk-off sentiment linked to new White House statements about additional tariffs from August 1. This is boosting demand for the US dollar as a safe haven and prompts investors to take profits on long GBP positions. Domestic factors in the UK also have a negative impact: revisions to social spending programs and weak manufacturing PMI and retail sales data signal a slowdown in economic activity. The Bank of England is expected to keep the rate at 5.50% until year-end, which limits the pound’s attractiveness for investors. The current GBP/USD rate is 1.35900. In the absence of positive drivers from the UK economy and persistent demand for the dollar, the pair remains vulnerable to further declines toward 1.3520. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.36000, SL 1.36300, TP 1.35200
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004