GBPUSD
GBPUSD LONG FORECAST Q3 D8 W28 Y25GBPUSD LONG FORECAST Q3 D8 W28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily order block
✅1H Order block
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅4H Order block
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3584
1st Support: 1.3519
1st Resistance: 1.3771
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD H1 I Bearish Drop Based on the H1chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 1.3634 which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.3533, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.3684, an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/USD: Short‑Term Pullback Likely Before Fresh Upside AttemptHi everyone,
GBP/USD continues to consolidate below the 1.36850 level. We expect a retest of this level today; should price fail to break above, we anticipate a move lower to find buying interest between the 1.35300 and 1.34600 zones. A drop into this area appears to be the more probable short‑term path and could set the stage for another push higher.
As previously noted, a decisive break above 1.37500 would renew our expectation for further upside, with the next key target around 1.38400. We'll be monitoring price action closely to see how it unfolds.
We’ll continue to provide updates on the projected path for GBP/USD as price approaches this target.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to continue extending further from the 1.20991 January low towards 1.40000 and 1.417000.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
Bearish drop?GBP/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3636
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3683
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 1.3604
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
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GBPUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Here is my structure analysis for GBPUSD.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 1.3588 - 1.3633 area
Support 2: 1.3305 - 1.3400 area
Support 3: 1.3097 - 1.3175 area
Resistance 1: 1.3748 - 1.3835 area
Resistance 2: 1.3900 - 1.3400 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: rising trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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GBPUSD Long Re-entry, 07 JulyAsia Fill & Volume-Based Setup
This is a momentum-driven long based on Asia Fill and a strong bullish shift on LTF, with clear DXY correlation. HTF doesn't offer major confluence, but intraday price action supports the idea.
📍 Entry: Waiting for a retest of the 5m OB left behind after a strong bullish move
📈 Confluence: 1m BOS + 15m Extreme OB + high buyer volume
🔁 Risk: Price may not return to 5m OB – if missed, it's a no-trade
🎯 Target: Asia high (but first 1:3 RR), quick BE if we catch the move
Clean setup with structure and volume in our favor – execution depends on retest.
Pound Holds Gains on UK Fiscal StabilityGBP/USD held around 1.3660 during Friday’s Asian session, marking a second day of consolidation as the dollar weakened on caution over Trump’s planned tariffs. Trump said he would start sending tariff letters Friday, targeting ten countries with rates of 20–30%. The pound was supported after PM Starmer backed Chancellor Reeves, easing market concerns over a possible replacement with looser fiscal policies.
The BoE is expected to cut rates in August, likely to 4%, following dovish signals from officials, including Governor Bailey, who said rates should gradually decline as inflation eases.
Resistance is at 1.3700, while support holds at 1.3600.
XAU/USD : Get Ready for Another Fall ! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected from our previous analysis, when the price was trading around $3327, it climbed to the supply zone at $3345. After reaching this key level, strong selling pressure emerged, leading to a sharp drop in gold today down to $3296.
This move played out exactly as anticipated, and now, if the price stabilizes below $3330, we could expect further downside pressure on gold.
The Main Analysis :
#GBPUSD: A strong bullish move incoming, comment your views The price has shown a possible price divergence, which could lead to a long-term move to 1.37. We expect the US dollar to weaken, which will likely push the price of GBPUSD to our target. Key economic data will be released later today and tomorrow, which could shape the price pattern.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 7, 2025 GBPUSDEvents to pay atttenyion to today:
09:00 EET. GBP - Change in retail sales
GBPUSD:
The GBP/USD pair is starting the new week on a subdued note, fluctuating within a narrow range around the 1.3600 mark during the Asian session amid mixed fundamental signals.
The British pound (GBP) received some support last week after Prime Minister Keir Starmer said that Chancellor Rachel Reeves would remain in her post for the foreseeable future. However, the growing likelihood of a rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE) as early as August is having a negative impact on the GBP/USD pair. In fact, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey said that interest rates are moving downwards, while Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Alan Taylor called for faster rate cuts amid the risk of a hard landing for the British economy.
However, the decline in the GBP/USD pair is still being held back by the underlying bearish sentiment towards the US dollar (USD). Investors remain concerned that US President Donald Trump's sweeping bill to cut taxes and increase spending will lead to an explosion in the federal deficit and exacerbate the US's long-term debt problems. This, along with growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its cycle of rate cuts in the near future, is keeping the US dollar close to its February 2021 low.
Investors will therefore be closely studying the FOMC meeting minutes, which will be published on Wednesday, for clues about the Fed's rate cut path, which will stimulate demand for the US dollar and give a significant boost to the GBP/USD pair.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3620, SL 1.3640, TP 1.3520
Market Analysis: GBP/USD DipsMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Dips
GBP/USD failed to climb above 1.3800 and corrected some gains.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is showing bearish signs below the 1.3700 support against the US dollar.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3650 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to stay above the 1.3750 pivot level. As a result, the British Pound started a fresh decline below 1.3720 against the US Dollar.
There was a clear move below 1.3700 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The bears pushed the pair below 1.3650. Finally, there was a spike below the 1.3600 support zone. A low was formed near 1.3562 and the pair is now consolidating losses.
There was a minor move above the 1.3615 level. On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near the 1.3650 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3650.
The next major resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3788 swing high to the 1.3562 low at 1.3675. A close above the 1.3670 resistance zone could open the doors for a move toward the 1.3700 zone. The 61.8% Fib retracement level is at 1.3700. Any more gains might send GBP/USD toward 1.3790.
On the downside, there is a key support forming near 1.3615. If there is a downside break below the 1.3615 support, the pair could accelerate lower. The next major support is near the 1.3560 zone, below which the pair could test 1.3500. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.3440 support.
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GBPUSD overbought pullback support at 1.3544The GBPUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 1.3544 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 1.3544 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
1.3770 – initial resistance
1.3830 – psychological and structural level
1.3890 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.3544 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
1.3500 – minor support
1.3440 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 1.3544. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD Long, 07 JulyAsia Fill Setup
This is a pure Asia Fill trade, backed by recent bullish LTF structure and a clean reaction from a 15m decisional OB. Although HTF isn’t perfectly aligned for longs, the momentum and intraday structure make this setup valid.
📍 Entry: 1m BOS from 15m OB, refined entry from 1m OB
📈 Confluence: Trend, structure, and Asia high as a clear target
🔁 Risk: SL doesn’t fully cover the OB, but BOS + clean reaction justifies the entry
🎯 Target: Asia High (1:3 RR), with BE secured quickly if price moves favorably
Not a perfect setup HTF-wise, but strong intraday alignment makes it worth the shot.
DeGRAM | GBPUSD will continue to correct📊 Technical Analysis
● Price retests the broken wedge-base & channel roof ≈ 1.370 inside a confluence resistance zone (pink). Lower-highs into this cap form a bear flag pointing toward 1.360.
● Intraday rising-wedge has already cracked; projected width and the broader descending channel intersect 1.352-1.355, reinforcing downside targets.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer UK PMI prices and pre-election caution keep BoE-cut probabilities elevated, while a stronger US JOLTS print plus hawkish FOMC minutes underpin the dollar, favouring renewed GBP/USD pressure.
✨ Summary
Fade rallies 1.368-1.372; slide below 1.360 unlocks 1.355 then 1.343. Bear thesis invalid on a 30 min close above 1.374.
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GBPUSDThe market structure on GBPUSD shows a clear liquidity sweep above recent highs, followed by a market structure shift (MSS) to the downside, signaling a potential reversal. After the liquidity grab, price failed to sustain above the swept highs and started to form lower highs.
The RSI indicator also confirms a bearish divergence, strengthening the bearish bias. Currently, price is consolidating below the MSS level, which could act as a supply zone on any retest.
A strong bearish continuation is expected, targeting the SSL (Sell-side Liquidity) level marked below, which aligns with a potential demand zone from late June. The bearish projection suggests a move toward the 1.3350–1.3400 area.
This setup favors short opportunities on lower timeframe pullbacks, maintaining a bearish outlook as long as the price remains below the MSS.
GBP/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/USD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 3H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.358 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bullish continuation?The Cable (GBP?USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3426
1st Support: 1.3170
1st Resistance: 1.3758
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Off Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.3691, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.3532, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
The stop loss is set at 1.3790, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/USD Pulls Back After Rejection – Buyers Eye Lower LevelsHi everyone,
GBP/USD failed to break above the 1.37500 level and saw a rejection from that resistance, dropping further below the 1.36850 support. Since then, price has consolidated and ranged beneath this level.
Looking ahead, if price remains within this range, we anticipate a move lower to find buying interest between the 1.35300 and 1.34600 levels, which could set the stage for another push higher.
As previously noted, a decisive break above 1.37500 would renew our expectation for further upside, with the next key target around 1.38400. We'll be monitoring price action closely to see how it unfolds.
We’ll continue to provide updates on the projected path for GBP/USD as price approaches this target.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to continue extending further from the 1.20991 January low towards 1.40000 and 1.417000.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX