Gbpusd_forecast
Sterling Rebounds But Faces Heavy Resistance Ahead GBP/USD Outlook – Sterling Rebounds But Faces Heavy Resistance Ahead
🌐 Macro Insight – UK Labour Data Mixed, Trump Headlines Stir Market
The British Pound (GBP) regained some lost ground against the U.S. Dollar after the UK labour market data revealed mixed signals:
Wage growth cooled as expected, suggesting a potential easing in inflationary pressures.
UK ILO Unemployment ticked up to 4.7%, raising concerns about labour market fragility.
Meanwhile, in the U.S., President Trump denied reports about firing Fed Chair Powell, briefly easing tensions and stabilizing USD demand.
With both currencies facing mixed narratives, GBP/USD is set for a pivotal move, and traders should stay alert to key liquidity zones and order blocks.
🔍 Technical Setup – MMF + Smart Money Framework
On the H2 chart, GBP/USD has reacted from the OBS BUY ZONE at 1.3376, bouncing with a bullish structure and forming a potential continuation pattern. Price is now expected to target key zones above, where significant order blocks and Fibonacci confluence reside.
⚙️ Key Resistance Zones:
1.3578 – 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement + OBS
1.3627 – 0.618 Fibonacci + Supply Zone
1.3697 – CP Continuation Pattern + H2 Order Block
These areas represent institutional interest for potential sell setups.
✅ Trade Plan for GBP/USD
🟢 BUY ZONE: 1.3376 – 1.3398
SL: 1.3360
TP: 1.3450 → 1.3485 → 1.3530 → 1.3578 → 1.3627
Look for bullish structure confirmation before entering. Target the next liquidity highs and imbalance zones.
🔴 SELL ZONE: 1.3627 – 1.3697
SL: 1.3735
TP: 1.3580 → 1.3530 → 1.3480
Watch for rejection and bearish divergence at supply areas to time potential swing shorts.
🧠 Strategy Notes
This setup combines MMF zones with institutional volume and price action concepts. The pair is currently reacting to a deep discount zone and may climb toward premium levels where selling pressure awaits. Be cautious during New York session volatility, especially with potential U.S. policy headlines and upcoming global inflation data.
🗨 What’s Next?
Are bulls ready to reclaim control or will resistance zones cap this recovery? Drop your ideas below and don’t forget to follow for more institutional-grade insights powered by MMF methodology.
GBPUSD H4 RISESDisruption Analysis – GBP/USD (4H)
🕯️ Candle Breakout Misleading
The marked “Candle Breakout” area is followed by weak bullish momentum, but lacks strong volume confirmation or higher timeframe reversal structure.
The quick rejection after the breakout may indicate a false breakout, not a sustainable trend reversal.
⚠️ Demand Zone Weakness
The “Support Area” (demand zone) has already been tested multiple times.
Multiple touches weaken the demand zone—buyers may be exhausted, increasing the chances of a breakdown instead of a bounce.
📉 Macro Trend Still Bearish
The recent sharp downtrend shows a strong bearish structure (lower highs, lower lows).
A few bullish candles are not enough to confirm a reversal—this could just be a retracement.
💣 Upcoming Fundamental Risks
The presence of multiple economic event icons (UK & US flags) indicates high-impact news—could result in unexpected volatility or trend reversals.
Fundamental factors may disrupt the projected bullish move entirely.
🎯 Bullish Target Overoptimistic
Target near 1.35000 lies within the Resistance Area, which has previously caused sharp rejections.
Without a strong breakout above 1.3400, this target is unrealistic in current market conditions.
GBP/USD Rate Falls to Key Support LevelGBP/USD Rate Falls to Key Support Level
As of today, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the British pound has declined by more than 2% against the US dollar since the beginning of July. Notably, the pace of the decline accelerated on Friday and continued into Monday.
According to Reuters, the pound is under pressure due to market concerns over a potential economic slowdown amid an escalating trade war. Last week’s data confirmed a contraction in UK GDP, which could have far-reaching implications. In this context, criticism of the UK government’s failure to reduce public spending is becoming more pronounced.
What’s next for GBP/USD?
Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart
From a bullish perspective, it is worth noting that the pair has fallen to a significant support level around 1.3425. This level previously acted as resistance in the spring, but after a breakout, it has now turned into support (as indicated by arrows on the chart). Additionally, the RSI indicator shows strong oversold conditions, which suggests a potential short-term rebound.
From a bearish standpoint, it is concerning that the sharp rally from point A to point B has been entirely erased by the July decline. This indicates that despite significant gains by the bulls, they failed to hold them—casting doubt on GBP/USD's ability to sustain growth in the medium term.
Ongoing pressure may lead to an attempt by bears to push GBP/USD below the June low at point A. However, it is also possible that bearish momentum will weaken thereafter, potentially leading to a recovery within the developing downward channel (marked in red).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBPUSD: Two Strong Bullish Area To Buy From ?GU is currently in a bullish trend when examined on a daily time frame. There are two potential areas for purchase. The first area is currently active, as we anticipate a price reversal from this point. There is a significant possibility that price could decline to the second area and subsequently reverse from there directly. The sole reason we believe price could drop to the second area is if the US Dollar experiences corrections, which could cause GU to drop to our second area and subsequently rebound.
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GBP/USD Shorts from 3hr/5hr supply zoneMy analysis this week centers around the continuation of the bearish trend we've been observing. Recently, there was a break of structure, and a new supply zone has formed—indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend.
I’ll be waiting for price to retrace back into these Points of Interest (POIs), where I’ll look for lower time frame confirmations to catch potential sell entries and ride the move down.
I believe there’s still some bearish pressure left, and I expect price to continue falling until it reaches the 6-hour demand zone. Once we approach that area, I’ll begin looking for Wyckoff accumulation patterns as a signal for a potential reversal or rally to the upside.
Confluences for GBP/USD Sells:
✅ GBP/USD has been bearish over the past few weeks, and this trend may continue.
✅ Breaks of structure have occurred, forming fresh supply zones ideal for entries.
✅ Liquidity exists below current price, which may get swept before a reversal.
✅ The lower demand zone still needs to be mitigated, suggesting more downside movement first.
📌 If price fails to react properly at the 3-hour supply, I’ll be watching for a move into the 5-hour supply zone, which sits in a more premium area and may offer a cleaner reaction.
Let’s stay patient and focused — wishing everyone a profitable trading week ahead! 📉💼
USD Strengthens Against GBP With New Tariff AnnouncementsThis is the Weekly FOREX Forecast for the week of July 14 - 18th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: GBPUSD
The latest headlines tell the story. The tariffs are triggering a slow run to the USD safe haven. The previous week showed the USD Index closed pretty strong, while GBPUSD weakened.
There's a good chance we'll see more of the same this coming week.
Look for the strength in USD to continue to be supported by fundamental news, and outperform the other major currencies, including the GBP.
Buy USD/xxx
Sell xxx/USD
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
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GBPUSD: Bearish > Bullish Order FlowAlright, we are approaching some Higher Timeframe Points of Interests. We got a Potential Bullish Bat Pattern Pattern this align with this Bullish H4 Order Block, that's right in the middle of an whole number 1.34. We could expect some spikes around the area, some complex pullbacks, but we must remain steady.
Market Trap Alert! GBP/USD Bearish Robbery Plan🔥💸 "The Cable Heist" – GBP/USD Robbery Plan Using Thief Trading Style 💸🔥
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Ready for the GBP/USD Heist? Let’s break it down with our infamous Thief Trading Style – raw, unapologetic, and built for profits.
💼 Operation Name: “The Cable Forex Bank Robbery”
🎯 Pair: GBP/USD – aka “The Cable”
⚔️ Style: Scalp / Day Trade / Swing Heist
📊 Bias: Short (Bearish Setup)
🛠 STRATEGY SETUP: "Follow the Shadows"
🔍 Analysis Basis:
Smart-Money Traps at Key Levels
Oversold ≠ Reversal (Read between the candles)
Liquidity Hunting Zones
Retail Stop Clusters Exposed
Thief-style DCA Entries (Staggered Entry Levels)
Multi-timeframe Confirmation
COT, Sentiment & News-Driven Volatility
🎯 ENTRY ZONE:
Enter short (sell) using 15M or 30M chart.
Sell Limits near recent highs (pullback zone).
DCA (Layered Entry) recommended – Thief loves catching price slipping.
Let the liquidity work for us.
🛑 STOP LOSS (SL):
Base SL around 1.36200 on 2H Chart – above swing high.
Adjust SL per position size and total entries.
Manage risk, but remember: thieves don’t panic, they plan!
🎯 TARGET ZONE:
TP near 1.33800 or adjust using price action.
Escape before target if market mood flips – no need to be greedy.
Trail SLs if market momentum dies down.
👀 Scalpers' Special Note:
Only SHORT — don’t mess with long side unless you’re a liquidity donor.
Quick ins & outs. If you're loaded with capital, jump in big – else follow the swing team.
Use trailing SLs for safety — protect the loot.
📢 FUNDAMENTALS TO WATCH:
News Impacting GBP/USD
COT Reports
Sentiment Indicators
Macro Trends / Yield Spreads
US Dollar Strength Index (DXY)
UK Economic Reports (CPI, GDP, Rate Decisions)
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U.K. GDP Report: What It Means for GBPUSD CMCMARKETS:GBPUSD
Today, the U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS) 📊 will release its monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report 🗓️ at 6:00 a.m. UTC ⏰, likely impacting the British Pound (GBP) and GBP pairs globally 🌍.
🧐 What is GDP, and why does it matter?
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) 💡 measures the total value of all goods and services produced within a country’s economy over a specific period. It is a key indicator of economic health 🏥, influencing central bank decisions, investor sentiment, and currency valuations.
A higher-than-expected GDP 🆙 suggests a strong economy, which can support the currency 💪, while a lower-than-expected GDP 🆘 indicates weakness, often pressuring the currency lower 🔻.
📈 Market Expectations:
The market forecasts UK GDP growth to rise by 0.1% for May 🗓️, but we anticipate the increase may be smaller than expected 📉, implying a potential bearish surprise for GBPUSD.
⚡️ Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL Stop: 1.35330
❌ Stop Loss: 1.35714
✅ Take Profit: 1.34946
Risk-reward ratio: 1:1 ⚖️
🚨 Why Sell Here?
🔸 A weaker-than-expected GDP could lead to a pullback in GBPUSD below 1.3500 🚦.
🔸 Technical levels align with potential downside opportunities.
🔸 Volatility expected during and after the data release — manage risk carefully! ⚠️
📌 Stay tuned for live updates and analysis following the data release!
💬 Support this post if it helps your trading decisions! 🔔
GBP/USD Outlook: Can Buyers Step Back In?Hi everyone,
GBP/USD continues to consolidate below the 1.36200 level, with multiple failed attempts to break higher confirming this area as firm resistance for now. Following the rejection, price moved lower into the 1.35300–1.34600 demand zone, where we’re watching closely for signs of renewed buying interest.
This area has previously acted as a support base, and a reaction here could set the stage for another push higher. However, if buyers fail to step in, there is scope for a deeper retracement before the next attempt to reclaim resistance. We’ll be monitoring the price action closely to see which scenario plays out.
A drop into this area was highlighted as the more probable short‑term path, and we’re now looking for GBP/USD to find support in this region; and more importantly, to hold above the 1.33800 level to form the base for another push higher.
As previously noted, a decisive break above 1.37500 would renew our expectation for further upside, with the next key target around 1.38400. We'll be monitoring price action closely to see how it unfolds.
We’ll continue to provide updates on the projected path for GBP/USD as price approaches this target.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to continue extending further from the 1.20991 January low towards 1.40000 and 1.417000.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
GBPUSD BUY TRADEBuy Opportunity on GBPUSD
ENTRY: 1.35900
STOPLOSS: 1.35600
TAKEPROFIT: 1.37000
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Intraday Drop into Support Zone — Can GBP/USD Bounce?Hi everyone,
GBP/USD continues to consolidate below the 1.36850 level. Price failed to break above and moved lower into the 1.35300–1.34600 zone, providing us with a clean intraday trade setup.
A drop into this area was highlighted as the more probable short‑term path, and we’re now looking for GBP/USD to find support in this region; and more importantly, to hold above the 1.33800 level to form the base for another push higher.
As previously noted, a decisive break above 1.37500 would renew our expectation for further upside, with the next key target around 1.38400. We'll be monitoring price action closely to see how it unfolds.
We’ll continue to provide updates on the projected path for GBP/USD as price approaches this target.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to continue extending further from the 1.20991 January low towards 1.40000 and 1.417000.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
#GBPUSD: A strong bullish move incoming, comment your views The price has shown a possible price divergence, which could lead to a long-term move to 1.37. We expect the US dollar to weaken, which will likely push the price of GBPUSD to our target. Key economic data will be released later today and tomorrow, which could shape the price pattern.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
Market Analysis: GBP/USD DipsMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Dips
GBP/USD failed to climb above 1.3800 and corrected some gains.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is showing bearish signs below the 1.3700 support against the US dollar.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3650 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to stay above the 1.3750 pivot level. As a result, the British Pound started a fresh decline below 1.3720 against the US Dollar.
There was a clear move below 1.3700 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The bears pushed the pair below 1.3650. Finally, there was a spike below the 1.3600 support zone. A low was formed near 1.3562 and the pair is now consolidating losses.
There was a minor move above the 1.3615 level. On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near the 1.3650 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3650.
The next major resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3788 swing high to the 1.3562 low at 1.3675. A close above the 1.3670 resistance zone could open the doors for a move toward the 1.3700 zone. The 61.8% Fib retracement level is at 1.3700. Any more gains might send GBP/USD toward 1.3790.
On the downside, there is a key support forming near 1.3615. If there is a downside break below the 1.3615 support, the pair could accelerate lower. The next major support is near the 1.3560 zone, below which the pair could test 1.3500. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.3440 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBP/JPY Rejection from Resistance Zone GBP/JPY Rejection from Resistance Zone 🧱📌 | Bearish Setup In Play 🔻💹
📌 Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart illustrates a clear rejection from the resistance zone around 198.460, where previous price action formed a double-top pattern (🔴 red arrow). This suggests a strong supply area with selling pressure building.
🔍 Key Observations:
📏 Trendline Break:
The upward trendline (blue) has been decisively broken.
This break signals a loss of bullish momentum.
🧱 Resistance Zone @ 198.000–198.460:
Price tested this zone multiple times but failed to break above.
Acts now as a strong resistance zone.
🟠 Support Turned Resistance:
Former support has now turned into resistance (highlighted in blue text: "SUPPOT").
📉 Bearish Projection:
The projected path indicates a possible retest of the resistance zone before a sell-off continuation.
Target area: around 194.500, marked as “TAEGET FAXS” (typo: should be “TARGET ZONE”).
🔄 Possible Scenarios:
✅ Bearish Continuation:
If price rejects again near 198.000, expect a bearish move toward 194.500.
⚠️ Invalidation:
A strong breakout above 198.460 would invalidate the bearish thesis and may resume bullish momentum.
🔚 Conclusion:
The pair is currently under pressure with a confirmed break in trend structure. As long as price remains below 198.460, the bias remains bearish with a target toward the 194.500 zone. 📉👀
GBP/USD Potential Shorts from 1.37000This week, my analysis for GBP/USD focuses on the continuation of the bearish order flow. I currently have a clean 16-hour supply zone that remains unmitigated, where we may see a potential bearish reaction in alignment with the prevailing downtrend. If price breaks through this zone, I will shift focus to an extreme 2-hour supply zone higher up.
There are several imbalances and pools of liquidity resting below that serve as potential downside targets. Additionally, I’m noticing the formation of engineered liquidity beneath current price, which further supports the bearish outlook.
Confluences for GBP/USD Sells:
The U.S. Dollar has reacted from a strong demand zone, suggesting we could see continued bullish pressure on the dollar, which may weigh on GBP/USD.
GBP/USD has shown a clear change of character to the downside, confirming bearish market structure—this is a pro-trend trade setup.
We have both a clean 16-hour and an extreme 2-hour supply zone, offering high-probability entry points for potential shorts.
Multiple liquidity targets below, including Asia session lows and unfilled imbalances, align well with the bearish narrative.
P.S. My next potential long opportunity lies at the 6-hour demand zone near 1.34400. From there, I’ll be watching for price to slow down, accumulate orders, and potentially shift structure to the upside.
Wishing everyone a successful and profitable trading week!